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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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 Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? zwackerm wrote: The Dark Knight is overrated. my man _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:31 am |
 
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? My final prediction - $76m/$205m
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 6:53 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Final
80m/220m
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 10:44 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? 76/205 would be a worse multiplier than CA 2, which I don't see happening with summer weekdays and the fact that it is a n original film from a non mainstream brand.
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 10:59 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? August isn't exactly prime summer time and CA2 didn't have as big of competition specially second weekend like TMNT.
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:10 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Post-previews-prediction:
Opening weekend - $89 million
Total Gross - $305 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:13 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Dr. Lecter wrote: Post-previews-prediction:
Opening weekend - $89 million
Total Gross - $305 million It's going to be kind of amazing if Chris Pratt has top billing in two of the Top 10 movies of the year. Who was the last actor to do that?
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:23 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Magnus wrote: yeah its not going to have a 3.42 multiplier. CA2 had a 2.72 multiplier with only one major competitor (ASM2 on its 5th weekend) in its first six weekends.
Even with a 90m OW, I think 250m is near its max. Historically, August is pretty kind to well-received blockbusters (just look at how many big August openers had a 2.9+ multiplier, including recent ones), and even if this has the MCU backing, it's still an accessible non-sequel. $250 million I guess would be a realistic goal, but it's actual max is closer to Lecter's prediction. This will be in the Top 5 well into August if it breaks $90 million, and that can count for a lot.
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:28 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25433
Location: Classified
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? He could end up with two of the top 5 movies. 
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:29 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Magnus wrote: yeah its not going to have a 3.42 multiplier. CA2 had a 2.72 multiplier with only one major competitor (ASM2 on its 5th weekend) in its first six weekends.
Even with a 90m OW, I think 250m is near its max. Lol, its WoM will be about ten times better than for the original Captain America. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 12:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Magnus wrote:
I don't think you can argue its WOM is stronger than CA2
I am gonna argue just that. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 7:15 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? GotG is funny but CA2 had better WOM and lesser competition. Plus August is having a shit load of movies opening.
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| Fri Aug 01, 2014 8:28 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Its actually really depressing that WOM can't give movies Pirates of the Caribbean type legs anymore.
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:10 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Like it or hate it, Pirates was a unique franchise
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:13 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? That's a family movie. I meant that it is sad that a fanboy property's total is essentially determined opening weekend. No matter how good a superhero film is, it likely won't get a 3X mulitplier.
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:16 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? The pirates movies have been... kinda family films
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:34 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Guardians of the Galaxy is probably even more family friendly. Dumb fanboy effect ruins everything.
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 9:38 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Brian wrote: The pirates movies have been... kinda family films _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 1:27 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? This was really mediocre with substandard action and is definitely a lesser-tier comic book movie. Transformers easily keeps the summer crown, people way overestimating its crossover appeal and legs.
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| Sat Aug 02, 2014 10:36 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5824
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? concede I was way off, really thought a TMNT breakout would've hurt its legs like every other summer movie but it did even better than CA2?
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| Sat Aug 09, 2014 11:23 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Yeah, this won't be dropping anywhere close to 64%, and the rest of its holds should be a walk in the park.
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| Sun Aug 10, 2014 8:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Its great to see this breaking out and becoming this huge but I would have preferred if CA2 was bigger than this.
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| Sun Aug 10, 2014 8:58 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Magnus wrote: yeah its not going to have a 3.42 multiplier. CA2 had a 2.72 multiplier with only one major competitor (ASM2 on its 5th weekend) in its first six weekends.
Even with a 90m OW, I think 250m is near its max. LOL, Magnus.  It is a near-lock to hit $300 million now. The absolute floor is $290 million, meaning a 3.07 multiplier. I still think my $305 million projection will pretty much come true within $1-2 million. It will pass a multiplier of 3.2. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Aug 23, 2014 9:43 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Yes, it will be at almost 275 million on Labor Day. Add in a very uncompetitive first couple weeks of September, and Bingo Bango Guardians becomes our first 300 million film of the year. I really hope it grosses at least 305 million or so to cement its place ahead of Who Framed Roger Rabbit to be the second best attended summer winner in the last 26 years.
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| Sat Aug 23, 2014 10:07 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Guardians of the Galaxy: Will it really be a big hit? Whoops, it needs 310 million. May not be possible.
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| Sat Aug 23, 2014 10:19 pm |
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