| Author |
Message |
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68387
|
 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club The WOM will be better due to Smaug.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Sun Dec 15, 2013 12:32 am |
 
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club It is crossing $250m for sure even if the ending pisses off some people its not going to impact its legs THAT much.
|
| Sun Dec 15, 2013 11:01 pm |
|
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club This is becoming a real possibility. Harry Potter 2 retained 80% of HP1's adjusted total. And that sequel's OW was down 4.67% from HP1's. Hobbit 2's estimated OW was down a deep 12.88% from H1.
|
| Sun Dec 15, 2013 11:26 pm |
|
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club I am guessing a $235M total.
|
| Sun Dec 15, 2013 11:34 pm |
|
|
|
Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club It's not happening, yeahhhhh
_________________
Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie
2. Rebel Moon
3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1
4. Oppenheimer
5. The Flash
6. Elemental
7. Aquaman 2
8. Dune Part 2
9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
10. Blue Beetle
|
| Sun Dec 15, 2013 11:55 pm |
|
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club LOL, I just noticed this thread was about the first Hobbit. So it was a failure.
But The Hobbit 2 could definitely go below $250M.
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 12:19 am |
|
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68387
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club This thread will be resurrected many times.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 12:35 am |
|
|
|
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club Come 1st January this thread will fail again 
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 1:33 am |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club The Dark Shape wrote: Why is it going to be more frontloaded? Its midnights-to-opening day ratio was better than the first's and its Saturday drop looks better than the first's. Without midnights this one increased less on Sat. I could explain the lower midnights to be the result of only aone year wait with less of an event. Most franchises become more frontloaded with each installment. Also, the drop in gross can frontload it which seemed to be the case with Harry Potter, Pirates, and Matrix. I have it just over 260m.
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 6:11 pm |
|
|
|
The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club DP07 wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Why is it going to be more frontloaded? Its midnights-to-opening day ratio was better than the first's and its Saturday drop looks better than the first's. Without midnights this one increased less on Sat. HOBBIT 1 Friday w/o midnights: $24,725,547 HOBBIT 1 Saturday gross: $27,739,815 Change: +11% HOBBIT 2 Friday w/o midnights: $22,390,587 HOBBIT 2 Saturday gross: $24,430,416 Change: +10% It's the difference of one percentage point. (And why are we separating midnights again? Everyone who saw the films at midnight would have seen them on Friday, and HOBBIT 2 still would have had a better drop.)
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 6:28 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club The Dark Shape wrote: DP07 wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Why is it going to be more frontloaded? Its midnights-to-opening day ratio was better than the first's and its Saturday drop looks better than the first's. Without midnights this one increased less on Sat. HOBBIT 1 Friday w/o midnights: $24,725,547 HOBBIT 1 Saturday gross: $27,739,815 Change: +11% HOBBIT 2 Friday w/o midnights: $22,390,587 HOBBIT 2 Saturday gross: $24,430,416 Change: +10% It's the difference of one percentage point. (And why are we separating midnights again? Everyone who saw the films at midnight would have seen them on Friday, and HOBBIT 2 still would have had a better drop.) I don't think that's true. We are talking about people who did not see it Friday for some reason (non-event perhaps). I don't think they all saw it Friday. I don't think they have all seen it yet. It might be true for most of the midnight crowd, but not for the less devoted. If there was reason enough not to see it at midnight, there could be reason not to see it opening day. Anyway, I get closer to a 3% difference. I'm just saying the Sat drop is unconvincing.
|
| Mon Dec 16, 2013 6:47 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club So if they saw it at midnight, because they couldn't see it Friday, isn't it safe to assume that they would've seen it Saturday? Making Saturday's increase much better?
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Wed Dec 18, 2013 5:38 pm |
|
|
