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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68265
Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Maybe he is predicting that Japan or Germany will implode before the films' release. You never know.
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| Sun Nov 10, 2013 2:36 am |
 
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Tower wrote: BJ wrote: Tower wrote: BJ wrote: BJs Prediction:
Domestic Total: 895m
International Total: 955m
World Wide Total: 1,850b
Multiplyer: 4.71 Interesting that you think it will make 2.36 times as much as ROTS DOM but just 2.04 times as much OS. Considering how the DOM and OS markets have changed since 2005, that seems unlikely. The International crowd is no where near as Star Wars crazy as the Domestic crowd. But I was comparing it to another SW film, so this is already taken into account. I just think that a larger bump is more likely with the Domestic crowd, and I don't think star wars is the type of franchise that would get over 1b Internationally. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Nov 10, 2013 2:43 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Domestic- $501,000,000
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Nov 13, 2013 4:18 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68265
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions I'm sticking with my prediction that it will disappoint and end with $250m or less. I mean, it has happened many times before with hyped films.
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| Thu Nov 14, 2013 9:14 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions For example...?
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Nov 14, 2013 12:34 pm |
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m051293
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Nov 02, 2011 2:34 am
Posts: 543
Location: DC Metropolitan
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 57M from previews + midnights? That's insane, I was thinking more like 40 - 45M (25M Previews + 20M Midnights). Don't think we'll see 55+ till the finale.
So like 210M OW, 700M Total
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| Thu Nov 14, 2013 3:04 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions m051293 wrote: 57M from previews + midnights? That's insane, I was thinking more like 40 - 45M (25M Previews + 20M Midnights). Don't think we'll see 55+ till the finale.
So like 210M OW, 700M Total including midnights my opening wknd prediction would be 216m, not much higher than yours, simply more front-loaded. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Nov 14, 2013 3:43 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions m051293 wrote: Don't think we'll see 55+ till the finale. Disney paid $4b for Lucasfilm and want their money back - there will be no finale in our lifetime... It will be like James Bond forever...
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| Thu Nov 14, 2013 7:32 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
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Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions They've probably made at least half of that back in merchandise already.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Nov 15, 2013 1:56 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions I love Pixar but how on earth it cost 7B to be bought by disney and marvel & star wars were only 4B each?????
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| Fri Nov 15, 2013 3:54 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions mark66 wrote: m051293 wrote: Don't think we'll see 55+ till the finale. Disney paid $4b for Lucasfilm and want their money back - there will be no finale in our lifetime... It will be like James Bond forever... I'm guessing they'll conclude this trilogy with some sort finality, but the spinoffs will continue on forever.
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| Fri Nov 15, 2013 3:59 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions LOL! I'm watching the Star Wars marathon on Spiketv as we speak and seeing the prequels again it's easy to understand why fans are so mixed on the series. The acting/dialogue is horrible, but they each have their moments.
I'm expecting ALOT more from Abrams though.
That aside I'm curious to see how they will market this. Will we have to wait until TA2 for a teaser or could we get an announcement teaser like TH got back in December 2011 ? To create as much hype as possible I think they should release something next year around Christmas time, and then release a more epic/action oriented trailer with TA2.
A trailer with TA2 could absolutely slay with general audiences if done right.
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| Sat Nov 30, 2013 5:12 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Surprised this didn't get bumped after all the hype from the casting announcement. Even though most people don't know who the hell Oscar Isaac or Adam Driver are it was still a pretty big deal, especially with the confirmation that the original three leads are returning.
Predicting this is really tough considering how oddly structured December runs tend to be, but if I had to...
Friday: $66 million ($26 million previews)
Saturday: $45 million
Sunday: $42 million
Opening Weekend: $153 million
Domestic Total: $670 million
International Total: $920 million
Worldwide Total: $1.59 billion
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| Sun May 04, 2014 7:43 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions EPISODE III's opening weekend (after debuting on a Thursday) adjusts to $135m. There's no way EPISODE VII with an extra ten years of inflation and kids brought up on the prequels and CLONE WARS is only going to open to $153m.
(Also, if you include SITH's Thursday in its opening weekend, it would adjust to $197m.)
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| Sun May 04, 2014 7:56 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions It's a December opening - it's all about the legs...
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| Sun May 04, 2014 8:05 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22188
Location: Places
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: EPISODE III's opening weekend (after debuting on a Thursday) adjusts to $135m. There's no way EPISODE VII with an extra ten years of inflation and kids brought up on the prequels and CLONE WARS is only going to open to $153m.
(Also, if you include SITH's Thursday in its opening weekend, it would adjust to $197m.) star wars isnt even close to as popular now as it was 10 years ago, let alone 15 years ago. _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sun May 04, 2014 8:30 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6323
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Opening weekend: $110
Domestic total: $390m
Non-US total: $750m
So basically The Hobbit but bigger in America and slightly bigger WW.
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| Sun May 04, 2014 8:46 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22188
Location: Places
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Barrabás wrote: Opening weekend: $110
Domestic total: $390m
Non-US total: $750m
So basically The Hobbit but bigger in America and slightly bigger WW. What does RETURN OF THE KING inflate to? That is the ball park ceiling, IMO. _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sun May 04, 2014 8:49 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions I don't think this will make $600 million domestically. I am thinking along the lines of 160/540 if it is good.
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| Sun May 04, 2014 9:59 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23306
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Yeah I think 450-550m is where this could go.
This reminds me of the BOG Episode 1 forum. It's entertaining to go back and re- read expectations of some of the loonies back then. Titanic was supposed to be decimated in no time.
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| Mon May 05, 2014 9:57 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22188
Location: Places
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions Magnus wrote: i mean, so much of the films potential comes down to the quality. If it's shit then yeah, 600m is probably not happening. But if it's a major crowd-pleaser, its going to beat Avatar. 200m+ OW, 3.8+ multiplier.
And I'm not in the camp that "its December so theres a limit to its OW". Yes, people will wait for WOM and the holidays. But a lot of fucking people won't because its mother fucking STAR WARS. The issue you miss magnus is that if the OW is on the higher end, the multiplier needs to come down. It isn't going to open to 200m and then get a 3.8. It will blow off too much steam on OW. I know it's 3D and a few days later, but come on. Demand within the general public is not going to exceed that of TDKR. Realistically i see 35 midnights, 80 for the opening day, 180 weekend, 475 total. _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Last edited by Excel on Mon May 05, 2014 10:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon May 05, 2014 10:26 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions This should do well.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Mon May 05, 2014 11:43 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 800m+, this is fuckin star wars
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| Mon May 05, 2014 12:34 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions I agree with Magnus and think it will do at least 500. I have a lot of faith in JJ too and think the film will be great.
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| Mon May 05, 2014 12:39 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19391
Location: San Diego
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Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions I think it'll beat Potter's OD record. The hype will be unreal.
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| Mon May 05, 2014 1:16 pm |
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