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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6787
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 Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Hobbit will probably make 1.05B at best WW. Skyfall is highly likely to make 1.1B WW (may be even hit the top 5 all time WW number). So skyfall will handily beat hobbit in OS and WW. Next weekend numbers will give us better perspective on domestic though hobbit is the big favorite at the moment.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 12:09 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Jack Sparrow wrote: I don't think its WW total will be THAT big in China specially more than Skyfall (which has the advantage of being shot there). That doesn't give it an advantage. Chinese people do not care about that. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 3:54 am |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm
Posts: 2231
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC I think Skyfall will explode in China.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:04 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC It may do. Hard to tell really. I'll certainly be seeing it.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:17 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Algren wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: I don't think its WW total will be THAT big in China specially more than Skyfall (which has the advantage of being shot there). That doesn't give it an advantage. Chinese people do not care about that. Yes it does in the past quite a few movies have done well on that aspect in Asian markets.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:38 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC As for this weekend it is harder-than-expected drop for me. Though Pi expanding in OS markets could be the reason as well (in terms of loosing 3D and IMAX theaters). It is still a good total and better rebound in OS markets. Crossing $560m was the least I thought it would do this weekend, maybe I was expecting too much  By next weekend it should get to $620m OS and if that happens I am sure $700m OS is happening with a very slight chance for $750m if China breaks out.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:45 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC I hope it beats Skyfall, Its the better film.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 6:32 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC MadGez wrote: I hope it beats Skyfall, Its the better film. Skyfall is at $726m OS without China, even if both the movies end up equaling at BO Skyfall will be ahead of TH from holdovers, so it should win OS unless Hobbit posts some amazing holds from here on.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 7:12 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Jack Sparrow wrote: Algren wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: I don't think its WW total will be THAT big in China specially more than Skyfall (which has the advantage of being shot there). That doesn't give it an advantage. Chinese people do not care about that. Yes it does in the past quite a few movies have done well on that aspect in Asian markets. Like Looper?  We're talking about China, not "Asian markets". Chinese people do not care about where it's filmed. In fact, they're so in love with everything foreign, that all movies tend to do well enough to disguise any bump that filming location would give it. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 9:16 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Different films and different way of marketing China, still we will see how it goes.
P.S. Was Looper really shot in China or did they make sets for it?
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 12:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Shot in Shanghai.
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 12:53 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC MadGez wrote: I hope it beats Skyfall, Its the better film. different, not better
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| Mon Jan 07, 2013 12:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68388
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The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey will now open on Feb 21 in China. Skyfall opens on Jan 21, so there's no worry of conflicting schedules. But it will have to compete against A Good Day to Die Hard which opens in China on Feb 18.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:25 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC That's really good date compared to the last one both had plus enough breathing space for both the movies.
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 12:04 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Updated weekend numbers
$58.6m/$562.8m
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| Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:38 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC $26.1m/$608m
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 5:12 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Yeah, $700 million is happening as is $1 billion worldwide, but unless it becomes a HUGE breakout in China, Skyfall's WW and OS totals are safe.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 5:19 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6153
Location: New York
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC mark66 wrote: $26.1m/$608m Hmm, wasn't it at $580m before the weekend (Thursday)? How does $608m total mean only $26.1m for the weekend?
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 5:29 pm |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 1796
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC That's a huge drop.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 6:28 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC It still is making 700 million and 1 Billion, so I wouldn't call it a disappointing run.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 6:32 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6153
Location: New York
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Here's hoping China contributes a nice sum. Are people there even aware of the whole HFR thing? I feel like most people here were only even vaguely aware of it.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 6:45 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC People over here were quite aware of it.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 7:09 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Jedi Master Carr wrote: It still is making 700 million and 1 Billion, so I wouldn't call it a disappointing run. Extrapolating from my earlier post... Bradley Witherberry wrote: Bradley Witherberry wrote: If it had matched the performance of it's predecessors in the LOTR series, what would The Hobbit have been expected to earn given the intervening inflation plus the 3D premium? To assuage my curiosity (though my BO skillz are no where near the experts here), I did a rough calculation myself based on the ticket inflation charts plus 50% of tickets sold at a 3D premium. Based on these parameters, I estimate that the LOTR films would have earned approximately the following if released this past Xmas: FOTR = $440m TT = $480m ROTK = $530m ...I would estimate that the corresponding WW totals would be: FOTR = $1.22b TT = $1.30b ROTK = $1.57b So a 22% - 57% drop after supposedly building on the good will of the LOTR series, might be considered a significant disappointment in some circles.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 7:10 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Too low. FOTR would have made $1.5b today in 3D and with expanded markets. ROTK $1.7b.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 7:16 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: THE HOBBIT: An Unexpected Journey (WW ASSAULT) - AUS REC Nazgul9 wrote: Too low. FOTR would have made $1.5b today in 3D and with expanded markets. ROTK $1.7b. I bow to the master.
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| Sun Jan 13, 2013 7:17 pm |
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