Well, here it is.

baumer started the thread on Mojo, but doesn't seem he'll join here soon.

Post your predictions, discuss them, talk about movie. Would prefer that this would be spoiler-free thread though, but if you're insisting in some spoilers, would be good if you make the text 'highlight to read', meaning choose font colour to be white. (color=white)spoilers(/color), and replace () with [].

Daily progress:
[table][row color=#000000]Day[col color=#000000]Gross[col color=#000000]%Change[col color=#000000]Theaters[col color=#000000]PTA[col color=#000000]Total[col color=#000000]Of TPM[col color=#000000]Of AOTC[col color=#000000]Of Spider-M.[col color=#000000]Of Spider-M. 2[col color=#000000]Of FOTR[col color=#000000]of TTT[col color=#000000]of ROTK[row color=#333333]1[col color=#333333]$50.013.859[col color=#333333]-[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$13.661[col color=#333333]$50.013.859[col color=#333333]-$381.074.442[col color=#333333]-$260.662.881[col color=#333333]-$353.692.516[col color=#333333]-$323.571.966[col color=#333333]-$264.762.311[col color=#333333]-$291.772.899[col color=#333333]-$327.013.466[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]2[col color=#333333]$33.529.613[col color=#333333]-32,96%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$9.159[col color=#333333]$83.543.472[col color=#333333]-$347.544.829[col color=#333333]-$227.133.268[col color=#333333]-$320.162.903[col color=#333333]-$290.042.353[col color=#333333]-$231.232.698[col color=#333333]-$258.243.286[col color=#333333]-$293.483.853[row color=#333333]3[col color=#333333]$40.693.760[col color=#333333]21,37%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$11.115[col color=#333333]$124.237.232[col color=#333333]-$306.851.069[col color=#333333]-$186.439.508[col color=#333333]-$279.469.143[col color=#333333]-$249.348.593[col color=#333333]-$190.538.938[col color=#333333]-$217.549.526[col color=#333333]-$252.790.093[row color=#333333]4[col color=#333333]$34.212.468[col color=#333333]-15,93%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$9.345[col color=#333333]$158.449.700[col color=#333333]-$272.638.601[col color=#333333]-$152.227.040[col color=#333333]-$245.256.675[col color=#333333]-$215.136.125[col color=#333333]-$156.326.470[col color=#333333]-$183.337.058[col color=#333333]-$218.577.625[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]5[col color=#333333]$14.352.807[col color=#333333]-58,05%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$3.920[col color=#333333]$172.802.507[col color=#333333]-$258.285.794[col color=#333333]-$137.874.233[col color=#333333]-$230.903.868[col color=#333333]-$200.783.318[col color=#333333]-$141.973.663[col color=#333333]-$168.984.251[col color=#333333]-$204.224.818[row color=#333333]6[col color=#333333]$9.907.711[col color=#333333]-30,97%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$2.706[col color=#333333]$182.710.218[col color=#333333]-$248.378.083[col color=#333333]-$127.966.522[col color=#333333]-$220.996.157[col color=#333333]-$190.875.607[col color=#333333]-$132.065.952[col color=#333333]-$159.076.540[col color=#333333]-$194.317.107[row color=#333333]7[col color=#333333]$8.652.951[col color=#333333]-12,66%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$2.364[col color=#333333]$191.363.169[col color=#333333]-$239.725.132[col color=#333333]-$119.313.571[col color=#333333]-$212.343.206[col color=#333333]-$182.222.656[col color=#333333]-$123.413.001[col color=#333333]-$150.423.589[col color=#333333]-$185.664.156[row color=#333333]8[col color=#333333]$9.079.570[col color=#333333]4,93%[col color=#333333]3661[col color=#333333]$2.480[col color=#333333]$200.442.739[col color=#333333]-$230.645.562[col color=#333333]-$110.234.001[col color=#333333]-$203.263.636[col color=#333333]-$173.143.086[col color=#333333]-$114.333.431[col color=#333333]-$141.344.019[col color=#333333]-$176.584.586[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]9[col color=#333333]$15.579.342[col color=#333333]71,59%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$4.253[col color=#333333]$216.022.081[col color=#333333]-$215.066.220[col color=#333333]-$94.654.659[col color=#333333]-$187.684.294[col color=#333333]-$157.563.744[col color=#333333]-$98.754.089[col color=#333333]-$125.764.677[col color=#333333]-$161.005.244[row color=#333333]10[col color=#333333]$20.918.340[col color=#333333]34,27%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$5.711[col color=#333333]$236.940.421[col color=#333333]-$194.147.880[col color=#333333]-$73.736.319[col color=#333333]-$166.765.954[col color=#333333]-$136.645.404[col color=#333333]-$77.835.749[col color=#333333]-$104.846.337[col color=#333333]-$140.086.904[row color=#333333]11[col color=#333333]$18.708.290[col color=#333333]-10,57%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$5.107[col color=#333333]$255.648.711[col color=#333333]-$175.439.590[col color=#333333]-$55.028.029[col color=#333333]-$148.057.664[col color=#333333]-$117.937.114[col color=#333333]-$59.127.459[col color=#333333]-$86.138.047[col color=#333333]-$121.378.614[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]12[col color=#333333]$14.841.083[col color=#333333]-20,67%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$4.052[col color=#333333]$270.489.794[col color=#333333]-$160.598.507[col color=#333333]-$40.186.946[col color=#333333]-$133.216.581[col color=#333333]-$103.096.031[col color=#333333]-$44.286.376[col color=#333333]-$71.296.964[col color=#333333]-$106.537.531[row color=#333333]13[col color=#333333]$4.406.639[col color=#333333]-70,31%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$1.203[col color=#333333]$274.896.433[col color=#333333]-$156.191.868[col color=#333333]-$35.780.307[col color=#333333]-$128.809.942[col color=#333333]-$98.689.392[col color=#333333]-$39.879.737[col color=#333333]-$66.890.325[col color=#333333]-$102.130.892[row color=#333333]14[col color=#333333]$4.004.937[col color=#333333]-9,12%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$1.093[col color=#333333]$278.901.370[col color=#333333]-$152.186.931[col color=#333333]-$31.775.370[col color=#333333]-$124.805.005[col color=#333333]-$94.684.455[col color=#333333]-$35.874.800[col color=#333333]-$62.885.388[col color=#333333]-$98.125.955[row color=#333333]15[col color=#333333]$3.903.255[col color=#333333]-2,54%[col color=#333333]3663[col color=#333333]$1.066[col color=#333333]$282.804.625[col color=#333333]-$148.283.676[col color=#333333]-$27.872.115[col color=#333333]-$120.901.750[col color=#333333]-$90.781.200[col color=#333333]-$31.971.545[col color=#333333]-$58.982.133[col color=#333333]-$94.222.700[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]16[col color=#333333]$7.076.177[col color=#333333]81,29%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$1.939[col color=#333333]$289.880.802[col color=#333333]-$141.207.499[col color=#333333]-$20.795.938[col color=#333333]-$113.825.573[col color=#333333]-$83.705.023[col color=#333333]-$24.895.368[col color=#333333]-$51.905.956[col color=#333333]-$87.146.523[row color=#333333]17[col color=#333333]$10.456.177[col color=#333333]47,77%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$2.865[col color=#333333]$300.336.979[col color=#333333]-$130.751.322[col color=#333333]-$10.339.761[col color=#333333]-$103.369.396[col color=#333333]-$73.248.846[col color=#333333]-$14.439.191[col color=#333333]-$41.449.779[col color=#333333]-$76.690.346[row color=#333333]18[col color=#333333]$7.555.982[col color=#333333]-27,74%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$2.070[col color=#333333]$307.892.961[col color=#333333]-$123.195.340[col color=#333333]-$2.783.779[col color=#333333]-$95.813.414[col color=#333333]-$65.692.864[col color=#333333]-$6.883.209[col color=#333333]-$33.893.797[col color=#333333]-$69.134.364[row color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][col color=#333333][row color=#333333]19[col color=#333333]$2.421.791[col color=#333333]-67,95%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$664[col color=#333333]$310.314.752[col color=#333333]-$120.773.549[col color=#333333]-$361.988[col color=#333333]-$93.391.623[col color=#333333]-$63.271.073[col color=#333333]-$4.461.418[col color=#333333]-$31.472.006[col color=#333333]-$66.712.573[row color=#333333]20[col color=#333333]$2.345.139[col color=#333333]-3,17%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$643[col color=#333333]$312.659.891[col color=#333333]-$118.428.410[col color=#333333]$1.983.151[col color=#333333]-$91.046.484[col color=#333333]-$60.925.934[col color=#333333]-$2.116.279[col color=#333333]-$29.126.867[col color=#333333]-$64.367.434[row color=#333333]21[col color=#333333]$2.311.696[col color=#333333]-1,43%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$633[col color=#333333]$314.971.587[col color=#333333]-$116.116.714[col color=#333333]$4.294.847[col color=#333333]-$88.734.788[col color=#333333]-$58.614.238[col color=#333333]$195.417[col color=#333333]-$26.815.171[col color=#333333]-$62.055.738[row color=#333333]22[col color=#333333]$2.286.110[col color=#333333]-1,11%[col color=#333333]3650[col color=#333333]$626[col color=#333333]$317.257.697[col color=#333333]-$113.830.604[col color=#333333]$6.580.957[col color=#333333]-$86.448.678[col color=#333333]-$56.328.128[col color=#333333]$2.481.527[col color=#333333]-$24.529.061[col color=#333333]-$59.769.628[/table]

Weekly progress:
[table]
[mrow]Date[col]Rank[col]Gross[col]%Change[col]Theaters[col]PTA[col]Total[col]Weeks[row]
[mrow]05/20-05/22[col]1[col]$108,435,841[col]-[col]3,661[col]$29,619[col]$158,449,700[col]1
[mrow]05/27-05/22[col]1[col]$55,205,972[col]-49.09%[col]3,663[col]$15,071[col]$255,648,711[col]2
[mrow]06/03-06/05[col]3[col]$25,088,336[col]-54.56%[col]3,650[col]$6,874[col]$307,892,961[col]3
[/table]


Records broken or tied (there are some more of them but these are 'biggest'):

Opening Day - $50,013,859 (previous holder The Matrix Reloaded - $42,508,303 or Spider-Man 2 - $40,442,604)
Single Day - $50,013,859 (Shrek 2 - $44,797,042)
Midnight Showings - $16,912,367 (The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King - around $8,000,000)
Fastest to $50m (:razz:) - 1 day (many many movies in 2 days)
Fastest to $100m - 3 days (tied with Spider-Man and The Matrix Reloaded)
Fastest to $150m - 4 days (Spider-Man 2 - 5 days)
Fastest to $200m - 8 days (tied with Spider-Man 2)
Fastest to $250m - 11 days (Spider-Man 2 - 12 days)
Fastest to $300m - 17 days (Shrek 2 - 18 days)
Top 3-day Gross - $124,237,232 (Spider-Man - $114,844,116)
Top 4-day Gross - $158,449,700 (Spider-Man 2 - $130,456,123)
Top 5-day Gross - $172,802,507 (Spider-Man 2 - $152,411,751)
Top 6-day Gross - $182,710,278 (Spider-Man 2 - $180,072,888)
Top 9-day Gross - $216,022,081 (Spider-Man 2 - $211,257,583)
Top 10-day Gross - $236,940,421 (Spider-Man 2 - $225,116,345)
Biggest Non-Holliday Monday - $14,352,807

Current place on All Time Domestic list: 16th
Current place on 2005 Domestic list: 1st

Previous episodes box office:

Star Wars (A New Hope) - $460,998,007
The Empire Strikes Back - $290,475,067 (-37%)
Return of the Jedi - $309,306,177 (+6.48%)
The Phantom Menace - $431,088,301 (+39.37%)
Attack of the Clones - $310,676,740 (-27.93%)




Chart from the-numbers.com (http://www.the-numbers.com/features/starwars.php), best free Box Office Site.

Some good sites with news, rumours, spoilers

http://www.theforce.net
http://boards.theforce.net/Revenge_of_t ... rs_Allowed)/b10331/ - TF.N Episode III spoiler board
http://www.millenniumfalcon.com/index.php - great site for spoilers
http://www.starwars.com - official site
http://www.nightly.net/ubb/ultimatebb.p ... ory/1.html - good message board
http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=4777 -Coming Soon's Episode III page

Star Wars: RotS:

Opening: $65 Million

Total: $301 million

$65m opening? Uh, ok.

Nice legs though.

Well if youre gonna criticise everybody's openings etc, no wonder only i have have posted hehe

Opening: $88.0
Total: $290.5

Opening: $105 Million
Total: $338 Million

It's the last Star Wars movie people, a 300 million total is a lock.

Nebs, wheres youre prediction?

Here it is:

$106m three-day opening, $146m four-day

$411m total


And I wasn't critisising your prediction, more amusment at it's lowness.

I mean this is Star Wars, no matter how much you hate it, you should know that it'll open higher than that. Much higher.

And if it doesn't, don't you worry, I'll remove all the evidence where I said different.

Now why didn't Episode II do this good? I don't see how Star Wars can get bigger when it has lost all of its common audience. The common audience now sees these movies as a Fans Only Movie, in my opinion.

Thats unbelievably ridiculous.

Sorry, thats amusement at its highness lol

That would be one hell of a fan community to propel the movie to $310m.

I doubt the fans were responsible for even 10% of it's gross.

And as for why didn't AOTC gross that many? I don't know, dissapointment after TPM, much less hype, WOM even? I don't know why John and Michelle decided not to see it.

And with my prediction, I hope they'll see it, and that they'll bring their friends as well. I predited that as a fan, and normally to some people it'll seem high.

Shush Algren! :evil:

Fans only movie is true, not very well explained, but i know what you mean.

I will probably see this movie, but i am not anticipated about it at all. By no means at all. And i think alot of people think this too, there are just too many Star Wars movies about now.....then again, because this is the "supposed" last one, people may shed the dollars to see it, who knows :?

well i think this very antisipated!! $85M/$350M

I figure the trailers will be much better than AOTC, which were awesome themselves. And factor in inflation, ROTS should do minimally better than AOTC.

BUT (This is huge but), if the trailers capture how dark ROTS is really going to be, this will not gross 300 million. If it's PG-13, even less.

With dark trailers and PG-13 rating:
Opening: $85.0
Total: $255.0

It will gross more than AOTC ( Domestic and Worldwide). For me thats a safe thing.
I think dark Trailers will lead to a high gross.

Opening:
86.7

Closing:
297+frequent rereleases= 310

Okay, let me go through it...


STAR WARS: EPISODE III - Revenge of the Sith:



There is a lot going for this movie and I am sure that it will be the movie event of 2004, even if it fails to secure the top spot of the year. It is also the most anticipated movie of the next year. The fact that it is the probably last movie of the series that has lasted for decades will help it, no doubt. However, it would be somewhat foolish to compare it to Return of the King in this way, as all movies of the Lord of the Rings franchise were very beloved and praised, unlike the new Star Wars movies. Star Wars: The Phantom Menace was a huge success at the box-office, but it was an ultimate disappointment to many Star Wars fans. This disappointment reflected in Star Wars: Attack of the Clones' gross which only represented about 72% of its predecessor's gross.

On the other hand AOTC made up for some of the flaws on The Phantom Menace, especially by reducing Jar Jar Binks' screen-time and giving the movie a darker mood than its predecessor had. This is definitely reflected in the higher RT rating, the higher IMDB rating and the better reactions from the viewers. Furthermore, as mentioned above, the fact that this will most likely be the last Star Wars movie to be seen on a big screen will help the repeat viweings as hardcore fans won't miss the opporunity to see the last installment of their beloved franchise on the silver screen as often as possible, knowning that there will be no other Star Wars movies to look forward to, in near future.

Moreover, I don't think that the darker mood of the last movie will have an effect on the audiences. In the end, it is still Star Wars and it will most likely garner a PG rating, once again.

The movie also won't have to deal with huge competiton coming from a movie that has had the biggest opening weekend of all time and a 40 years worth of fans (i.e. Spider-Man). Next May actually seems rather weak with Kingdom of Heaven being a historical epic (and we all know what happened to Troy and King Arthur this year) and no huge movies aside from Madagascar which aims at younger audiences.

The opening weekend of this movie should be bigger than of its predecessor which had to deal with many fans disappointed by the first movie in the Prequel Trilogy who weren't all too eager to go out and see this movie as soon as possible. Revenge of the Sith won't really have this problem. I don't see why it should make any less at the box-office than Star Wars: Attack of the Clones. Therefore, here are my predictions:


Opening weekend (4-day) - $126.5 million

Total gross - $338 million

Mate, that is terrible legs, which i could actually see happening

I predicted the 4-day opening weekend. By that I mean that it will make $36 million on its first day and $90.5 million on its 3-day weekend. That gives it legs almost as good as Attack of the Clones had them and those were decent legs.

4 Day- 138 Million

Total-406 Million

THis will be huge!!!

Star Wars Episode III - The Revenge of the Sith

Opening Day: 38.4m
2nd Day: 32.66m -15%
Opening Wknd: 107m - Fri: 32.66m -15% / Sat: 42.46m +30% / Sun: 31.84m -25%
4-Day-Opening: 145.36m
4-Day: 158.36m - Mon: 12.73m -60%
5-Day: 167.63m - Tue: 9.54m -25%
6-Day: 176.14m - Wed: 8.51m -10%
Opening Wk: 184.22m - Thur: 8.08m -5%
2nd Wknd: 62.22m - Fri: 16.16m +100% / Sat: 24.24m +50% / Sun: 21.62m -10%
4-Day-Wknd: 79.66m - Mon: 17.45m -20%
Wk-2: 97.66m - Wknd: 62.22m / 4-Day-Wknd: 79.66m | Total: 281.43m
Wk-3: 43.76m - Wknd: 30.17m | Total: 325.19m
Wk-4: 24.26m - Wknd: 17.84m | Total: 349.45m
Wk-5: 14.6m - Wknd: 10.04m | Total: 364.05m
Wk-6: 10.00m - Wknd: 6.51m | Total: 379.04m
Wk-7: 7.65m - Wknd: 4.98m | Total: 386.69m
Wk-8: 6.31m - Wknd: 3.52m | Total: 393.00m
Wk-9: 4.02m - Wknd: 2.57m | Total: 397.02m
Wk-10: 2.54m - Wknd: 1.62m | Total: 399.56m
Wk-11: 1.63m - Wknd: 1.01m | Total: 401.19m
Wk-12: 1.05m - Wknd: .64m | Total: 402.64m
Money made after Wk-12: 6m
Days to 100m: 3-Days - 113.52m
Days to 150m: 5-Days - 158.36m
Days to 200m: 9-Days - 200.38m
Days to 250m: 12-Days - 263.69m
Days to 300m: 17-Days - 301.79m
Days to 350m: 30-Days - 351.09m
Days to 400m: 73-Days - 400.24m
Domestic Total: 409m
International: 448m
WW: 860m

8)

It's going to be much bigger than AOTC, but I think a bit less that TPM

102/405

90mill 3 day

330mill total if its crap like TPM.

450mill total if its as good as the spoilers of the rough cut made it sound.

Just cant see it doing better than AOTC, and that was crap :x