Both of these are coming out in November domestically but there OS runs will be different.

Rise of the Guardians will come out of the gate is almost all of the big markets and will try to build the WOM before holiday season kicks off. During holidays it should hold well after which it shouldn't have much left in the tank anyways.

Wreck it Ralph is rolling out as far as January in few markets. It has strong WOM and the direct likability to attract family crowds.

Among the two I am thinking Ralph will do better in OS but just marginally.

Guardians will easily do better. DW movies just earn more money OS than Disney/Pixar ones these days.

Wreck-It Ralph is more commercial than that other thing.

WIR makes an impressive $12m from 6 markets representing 11% of the market share. The Worldwide total is $61.1m.

Wreck-It Ralph. It will attract more than just the family crowd and it has better release dates than Rise of the Guardians. They are more spread out (some open in February/March) while Guardians will open just a few weeks before The Hobbit. The Christmas holidays will also feature 1 big animated release in a lot of territories, which will steal away some of Guardians's audience.

China opens for Wreck-It Ralph tomorrow (Tues 6th). I was thinking it will be big, but to open on a Tuesday for a kids movie is not great, so its opening week will not be that huge. Plus, my local cinema chain is MCL, and my local doesn't have it. That's weird, they usually get all of the crap. Hopefully that's not indicative of other cinema chains here.

Looks like it Ralph did not do as well as expected.



Some of the big markets are already included. I expected it to do $400m OS, but that's not going to happen at this pace.

Yeah, Guardians has both the advantage of being DreamWorks, and I think having a more marketable premise to international audiences - though Santa/Tooth Fairy/Easter Rabbit aren't big figures, I don't think video game characters are much bigger.

Santa is bigger everywhere if marketed well.

Is it too early to call this?

Nope.

I called it on November 5th.

Rise of the Guardians added another $10 million 3,869 overseas locations for an international cume of $13.5 million after two weekends. Next week, the animated flick rolls out to 50 more territories.

Key stats from Paramount:

• Russia was the highest new entry, with a solid $5.85 million from 800 locations taking the first place in the local box office. This is 11% above Wreck-It Ralph and 4% above Brave.
• Rise of the Guardian's debut in Colombia made a strong $937k from 115 locations. This is 100% above How To Train Your Dragon, and 58% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• Argentina's opening added $668k from 110 locations. This is 101% above How To Train Your Dragon, and 43% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• Singapore's opening is estimated at $593k from 50 cinemas.
• Malaysia is estimated to have opened at $574k from 94 locations. This is 30% above Hotel Transylvania, and 37% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• In the Ukraine, Rise of the Guardians is estimated to have opened at $552k from 110 locations.

http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/20 ... n-overseas

Looks like both the movies are doing softer than expected.

Rise of the Guardians added another $10 million 3,869 overseas locations for an international cume of $13.5 million after two weekends. Next week, the animated flick rolls out to 50 more territories.

Key stats from Paramount:

• Russia was the highest new entry, with a solid $5.85 million from 800 locations taking the first place in the local box office. This is 11% above Wreck-It Ralph and 4% above Brave.
• Rise of the Guardian's debut in Colombia made a strong $937k from 115 locations. This is 100% above How To Train Your Dragon, and 58% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• Argentina's opening added $668k from 110 locations. This is 101% above How To Train Your Dragon, and 43% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• Singapore's opening is estimated at $593k from 50 cinemas.
• Malaysia is estimated to have opened at $574k from 94 locations. This is 30% above Hotel Transylvania, and 37% above Monsters Vs Aliens.
• In the Ukraine, Rise of the Guardians is estimated to have opened at $552k from 110 locations.

Paramount reports that Rise of the Guardians pulled an estimated $40 million from 8,708 locations in 55 countries overseas this weekend. 20 of this weekend's openings were at #1, and the cume now stands at $57 million internationally. The film will open in Israel, Iceland and South Africa next weekend.

Key notes from Paramount:

· France was the highest new entry, with a very good $4.7M from 620 locations taking the 1st place in the local Box Office. This is on a par with How To Train Your Dragon and 120% above Megamind.
· Mexico's opening is estimated at an excellent $3.7M from 577 cinemas. Estimated ranking is at #1. This is 39% above How To Train Your Dragon and 51% above Megamind.
· Rise of the Guardian's debut in Brazil made an estimated very solid $3.1M from 397 locations. This is 22% above How To Train Your Dragon and 42% above Megamind.
· The Italian opening is estimated at an excellent $3.1M from 510 cinemas. This is 119% above How To Train Your Dragon and 193% above Megamind.
· The UK's opening added a strong $3M from 487 locations.
· In Korea the film is estimated at $2.7M from 471 cinemas.
· Germany is estimated to have opened at $1.6M from 560 locations.
· In Spain, Rise of the Guardians is estimated to have opened at $1.4M from 616 locations.
· The Philippines opened at $841k from 113 locations at #1.
· In Belgium, Rise of the Guardians is estimated to have opened at $673k from 50 locations.
· Chile is estimated to have opened at an excellent $425k from 48 cinemas to make it the biggest non-franchise DWA animation opening of all time. The estimated ranking is at #1.

http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/20 ... n-overseas

I did expect a little more about $50m for these many countries, still not too bad but it will need to rely on good legs from here on to recoup its budget. Domestically it is not going to make much more than $100m so it needs about $250m-$300m OS to earn some money back for the studios.

$20.1m/$119.4m Guardians
$4.7m/$57.7m Ralph

Unless Guardians pick up again in OS markets during holidays Ralph should easily get this.

I am still surprised how lower Guardians ended up both domestically as well as OS.

$13.7m/$142.9m Guardians
$7.3m/$67.6m Ralph

Ralph has quite a few markets to open yet so it should handily win this.

$20.4m/$100.2m Ralph
$11.6m/$165.2m Guardians

No Christmas bump for Guardians it seems. Great for Ralph

Holidays are almost over, so is Guardians, on the other hand Ralph opens in key countries through January

$19.5m/$132.7m Ralph
$9.6m/$181.4m Guardians

$11.6m/$156.9m Ralph
$3.9m/$187.7m Guardians

You know, Rise of the Guardians almost saved some face overseas. At least it'll finish with more than $300 million worldwide.