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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40602
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 The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
I think they're going to feel some pain for the 3 Hobbit movies thing. This movie looks like 40 minutes of stuff happening + 2 hours of singing/drinking/walking scenes. I'm betting the under on the Hobbit
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 1:50 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Under $250m would be crrrrazzyy. Even Fellowship adjusts to $437m and this has 3D.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 1:57 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Aint happening considering there arent any other popcorn flicks in december as the alternative. Besides you are assuming close to an adjusted 50% drop from ROTK
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 2:02 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Nope that is not happening. This somehow seems even weirder than Excel's $300m club.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 2:05 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 2:36 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
$250 mil seems a little high - - but what the heck - - I'm in!
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 2:41 pm |
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Gopher
You are waiting for a train
Joined: Fri Jun 19, 2009 3:25 pm Posts: 995
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Better chance at >500 than <250.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 2:43 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7196 Location: Wisconsin
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Gopher wrote: Better chance at >500 than <250. Agreed.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 3:07 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
LOL
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 3:58 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
_________________The Force Awakens
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 4:53 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Fat chance.
If you look at the release schedule, The Hobbit as a family-friendly effects-driven film has nothing in the way over the Christmas and New Year holidays. Even it opens to a modest $60mil, its legs will likely carry it to over $250mil.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:11 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:12 pm |
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CowboyFromHell
Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:23 pm Posts: 2033 Location: Somewhere, USA
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
I'm with the consensus here, I don't see it happening.
It'll cruise past 250M.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 5:23 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
The Hobbit is this year's Tin Tin.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:08 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Jack Sparrow wrote: Nope that is not happening. This somehow seems even weirder than Excel's $300m club. mine will be a success, this not even close! MAN OF STEEL trailer alone assures 300m 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 6:29 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Though $250M may be a bit too low of a gross, this is not going to be the Top-10 all-time film a lot of people are thinking it'll be
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 9:30 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19448 Location: San Diego
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
... yeah, no.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 10:38 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Excel wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Nope that is not happening. This somehow seems even weirder than Excel's $300m club. mine will be a success, this not even close! MAN OF STEEL trailer alone assures 300m  Yes trailers these days do assure $300m Excel.
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Fri Oct 26, 2012 11:58 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
No not under $250m. The first one should be big regardless but the 2nd/3rd could be hurt if the first one feels like filler. Singing/Drinking/Walking scenes wont appeal to mass audiences so WOM would hurt the follow-up but less so the first film. Still we dont know how good the film is yet.
350m seems to be the minimum.
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Sat Oct 27, 2012 5:37 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11016 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
This is a fail.
Only way this succeeds is if the film gets panned by critics and audiences. Of choose it won't though.
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Sat Oct 27, 2012 6:37 pm |
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SquareMaster316
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2011 8:01 pm Posts: 204
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Definitely out on this one.
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Sat Oct 27, 2012 7:40 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Jack Sparrow wrote: Excel wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Nope that is not happening. This somehow seems even weirder than Excel's $300m club. mine will be a success, this not even close! MAN OF STEEL trailer alone assures 300m  Yes trailers these days do assure $300m Excel. Can you imagine how much less $$$ Avengers would have made without TDKR's trailer?  Same for Potter 8 and Spider-man! 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Oct 27, 2012 8:41 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Mighty ballsy.
I'm in for an under 300m club, but 250m is a tad extreme right now.
People, when will you learn throwing out "that's a drop of MASSIVE% from predecessor" has been faulted again and again.
It also does not have a better chance at 500m than less than 250m.
Have people read the Hobbit? Or are they basing their predictions on the LOTR trilogy and/or LOTR books? That's a big and often error. Does anyone have any idea what the first half could include? They're splitting it into three fucking movies and how long is it? A fifth the size of LOTR?
The writing is on the wall. I think this faith is admirable but misplaced. I hope Jackson can make a wonderful movie and prove me wrong but under 300m is more than likely where I'm standing.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sat Oct 27, 2012 11:41 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
Excel wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Excel wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Nope that is not happening. This somehow seems even weirder than Excel's $300m club. mine will be a success, this not even close! MAN OF STEEL trailer alone assures 300m  Yes trailers these days do assure $300m Excel. Can you imagine how much less $$$ Avengers would have made without TDKR's trailer?  Same for Potter 8 and Spider-man!  Yeah because if Dark Knight Rises would not have been made there would be no summer 2012 at all.
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Sun Oct 28, 2012 1:12 am |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 1796
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 Re: The Hobbit less than 250 mil club
If this club was "under $300M", I might be in. But $250M, no. Surely Hobbit shouldn't have too much trouble doing $35M more than King Kong.
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Sun Oct 28, 2012 3:54 pm |
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