No. Likely? Yes.

But it feels nicer to say lock for $1.4 billion than lock for $1.35 billion (which it most certainly is with Japan still ahead).

You could also say "Avengers is a lock for the All Time Top 3 Worldwide", which is $1.328 billion. Which I think I would agree with...

Too easy, though. I mean its holds in most holdover territories are just great great great. With $440+ million in the bank and coming off a $150+ million OS weekend, I don't see how it can miss $780-800 million overseas.

At the same time, with the updated weekend gross in North America and its WoM, the domestic number shoule be around $570-600 million now at least. So the lowest possible number, IMO, is $1.35 billion. Can't see it going any lower.

@ERCboxoffice
Marvel's THE AVENGERS has joined the 1%--$1 billion worldwide!!! Int'l: $628.9M - Domestic: $373.2M


1.002 billion in 19 days with only 10 domestic days

Also a third weekend around 100 million overseas.

It will fly past 800 million overseas without Japan and now should cross DH2 easily and become the third biggest film of all time globally and domestically.

Shocking thing this will sell more tickets then DH2 Globally (not overseas)

Well, as I said.

$36.7m DARK SHADOWS

Never thought it had a shot of beating DH2. This is just crazy!

"Marvel’s The Avengers played like a vacuum cleaner on the foreign theatrical circuit for the third consecutive round, sucking up a weekend tally of $95.4 million from 54 territories and leaving its competition to sort out the remaining box-office pickings.

For all the hoopla circling the Disney release’s astonishing domestic action ($373.2 million over two rounds), the action-paced mélange of comic book heroes is doing even better overseas ($628.9 million from three frames).

Avengers’ weekend action was down 39% from the prior weekend’s take, a rate of decline considered muscular given the film’s lofty box-office heights. In just a dozen days, it has outgrossed such Marvel titles as Captain America ($192 million offshore), Iron Man ($266.7 million), Thor ($268.3 million) and Iron Man 2 ($311.5 million).

Besides setting industry opening records in a dozen offshore markets including Brazil and Mexico, the Robert Downey Jr.-Chris Evans-Scarlett Johansson vehicle directed by Joss Whedon has rolled up mighty market cumes in the U.K. ($65.7 million), China ($52.3 million), Mexico ($49.6 million), Korea ($41.3 million), Australia ($40.5 million), Russia ($36 million), France ($33.4 million) and Germany ($24.1 million).

Slightly denting Avengers' mighty foreign action was Warner Bros.’ Dark Shadows, which opened offshore at 5,664 sites in 42 territories for an estimated $36.7 million, or nearly $6,500 per screen. It finished No. 2 on the weekend.

The eighth collaboration of Johnny Depp and director Tim Burton, the big-screen sendup of ABC's 1966-71 horror soap opera drew 93% of what 2005’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (the fourth Depp-Burton combination) grossed in the same markets at “the same point in release,” said Warner Bros. (Factory went on to take in $268 million offshore.)

The biggest market for Shadows was Russia, where playdates at 977 situations delivered $5.3 million. A No. 1 France opening generated $4.6 million at 474 situations, and the U.K. produced $4 million at 515 venues.

No. 1 openings also were recorded in Spain ($2.4 million at 341 spots) and Italy ($2.3 million at 537 situations). Australia opening action came to $3.7 million at 369 screens, while Korea came up with $2.5 million at 375 sites. Japan opens the film May 19, with Brazil and Mexico following June 22.

Universal’s American Pie: Reunion, the fourth title in the raunchy comedy franchise begun with American Pie in 1999, is now the biggest overseas grosser of the series. It is also the No. 3 offshore title this round.

The weekend take at 4,600 playdates in 49 markets was $15.6 million, pushing the foreign total to $144.5 million, besting American Pie 2’s overseas tally of $143 million in 2001. Worldwide, the comedy sequel was poised to pass the $200 million mark Sunday.

Universal’s Battleship, which debuts Friday in the U.S. and Canada, has already grossed $215.3 million on the foreign circuit. Weekend action gave the sci-fi/action title based on a popular video game $11.2 million from 8,900 venues in 62 territories. Openings in 10 Latin American markets included a Mexican bow ($3.1 million at 566 engagements). It ranks No. 4.

Coming in at a tentative No. 5 – pending firm figures due Monday – is Sony’s 21 Jump Street, the big-screen version of the vintage American TV series, which collected $3.2 million at 1,716 screens in 31 markets, elevating its foreign gross to $49.1 million. Fox's Titanic 3D rerelease has raked in $282.9 million overseas thanks in part to its $3.1 million draw at 2,005 venues in 39 markets.

Warner’s The Lucky One, the romantic melodrama starring Zac Efron, came up with $2.5 million from 1,629 screens in 28 markets, nudging its foreign cume to $22.8 million. Sony’s animation title The Pirates! Band of Misfits played at 3,328 venues in 50 markets and drew $2.2 million. Offshore cume stands at $74.5 million.

The top local-language title in France was Pathe’s release of the comedy Le Prenom, which in its third round generated an estimated $2 million at 450 situations, lifting its market cume to $15.9 million. In Japan, Toho’s Thermae Romae, Fuji TV’s big-screen version of Mari Yamazaki’s manga series, took first place in the market for the third straight round.

Opening in some 30 offshore territories this coming week is The Dictator, Paramount’s comedy from writer-actor Sacha Baron Cohen. Its biggest markets are the U.K., Germany, Russia and Australia.

Other international cumes: Disney’s John Carter, $210.4 million; Fox’s The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, $75.3 million; Universal’s The Five-Year Engagement, $4.7 million; Fox’s Chronicle, $61.2 million; DreamWorks Animation/Paramount’s Puss in Boots, $405.5 million; Fox’s Jannat 2, $11.1 million; Hugo, $78.5 million from Paramount territories; Fox’s This Means War, $98.6 million; Pathe’s Houba! Sur las piiste due Marsupilami, $39.3 million over six rounds in France only; and Fox’s We Bought a Zoo, $38.8 million. "

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/f ... ion-323811

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Wow, I had no idea American Reunion had such enormous international appeal.

Another huge week for The Avengers yet again.

And not too bad for Dark Shadows. $200 million or a bit more shouldn't be too difficult. Hopefully it can cross $300 million WW in the end.

American Pie was the #1 movie of 2000 in Germany. American Pie 2 had one of the biggest opening weekends ever in Germany when it opened here back in 2001. Among my generation these movies are HUGE.

Yeah same here in Oz. Huge. The latest film is the biggest one yet in terms of gross.

Anyone know how PIRANHA 3DD did in the UK and Ireland this past weekend?

"Taking the No. 1 box office spot overseas for the second consecutive weekend, Sony’s Men In Black III bagged $79.1 million on the foreign theatrical circuit – down a mild-mannered 38.9% from its opening offshore round – from 19,992 venues in 90 markets, lifting its foreign gross total to $275.4 million.

Finishing No. 1 in 20 territories, director Barry Sonnenfeld’s special effects extravaganza in 3D costarring Will Smith, Tommy Lee Jones and Josh Brolin showed real staying power across many key markets, with China down just 29% with a $15.5-million take from 5,207 locations.

In Germany, the drop was a mere 2% ($5.3 million from 987 venues) while the U.K. tally actually increased by 2% to $4.9 million from 913 sites. In Russia and China, MIB3 has rolled up a total combined gross of $81.8 million.

Opening No. 2 overseas overall was Universal’s Snow White and the Huntsman, which collected $39.3 million at 4,487 venues in 45 territories.

Director Rupert Sanders’ period action fantasy costarring Kristen Stewart, Chris Hemsworth and Charlize Theron (also the costar of Prometheus) premiered first in 30 markets with the U.K. the best (ranking third with $5.5 million drawn from 476). Bucking the European sports calendar, Snow White debuts this week in Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Bulgaria, Latvia and The Netherlands.

With the European soccer championship beginning Friday (June 8) in Poland and the Ukraine, there is a certain make-it-while-you can frenzy at play this round on the foreign theatrical circuit before the nearly month-long sporting event (concluding July 1) monopolizes audiences in front of television sets.

Fox rushed the overseas opening of the weekend’s No. 3 title, Prometheus, a week before director-coproducer Ridley Scott’s horror-sci/fi title -- loosely linked to his 1979 Alien -- debuts in the U.S. and Canada. The studio figured this made sense in 15 selected markets including the Ukraine, France, the Benelux countries, Scandinavia, Russia and the U.K.

Opening round drew $35 million from 4,695 locations (3,300 spots in 3D) for a per-venue average of $7,461. Prometheus ranked No. 1 in 14 of its opening territories with Russia drawing $11.1 million from 1,670 situations.

Three biggest European territories were the U.K. ($9.99 million at 1,019 locations, a market record for a Ridley Scott title), France ($7 million from 665 sites) and Sweden ($1.59 million at 172 spots), both of which were the second-highest market openings so far this year. Openings in Australia, South Korea and Taiwan are on tap this week.

“We are holding back in Germany and Spain where (Euro soccer championship) TV viewership is highest and June admissions soft,” said Craig Dehmel, Fox International’s senior v.p. of sales and strategic planning. In Italy, Fox has decided not to play Prometheus “until after the summer lull, when business picks back up in the fall.”

In any case, the highly watched 16-team tournament will put a dent in June film attendance generally in Europe much like the World Cup soccer championships in South Africa did two years ago.

The Euro Cup, the biggest sporting event staged in Eastern Europe since the 1980 summer Olympics in Moscow and the 1984 Winter Games in Sarajevo, is likely to create continental distribution hassles for the Hollywood majors.

This week, for example, Paramount is releasing DreamWorks Animation’s Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted in 28 foreign markets this week, including only five in Continental and Eastern Europe.

No. 4 on the weekend, Marvel’s The Avengers -- which opened overseas six rounds ago and a week before its domestic bow -- has surpassed the $800-million foreign gross mark ($802.5 million) after a sixth weekend that provided $12.4 million from 53 territories. Worldwide, the super-hero mélange has drawn $1.355 billion making it distributor Disney’s highest gross film globally.

Taking in $32.4 million so far in its two top territories -- Japan ($18.7 million) and France ($13.7 million) -- Warner Bros.’ Dark Shadows has rolled up a foreign gross total of $120.5 million. Director Tim Burton’s big-screen version starring Johnny Depp of a vintage TV soap opera took in $7.2 million on the weekend at some 4,000 screens in 52 territories. It ranks No. 5 on the weekend.

Paramount’s The Dictator has passed the $60 million gross mark overseas ($60.6 million) thanks partially to a $6.46 million weekend at 2,865 sites in 30 markets. A No. 3 third round in Germany drew $1.4 million from 515 locations for a market cume of $8.8 million. The Sacha Baron Cohen comedy opens this week in Israel and Hong Kong.

Taking the No. 2 spot after Men In Black III in Australia is Lionsgate’s What To Expect When You’re Expecting. The comedy starring Cameron Diaz opened (via local distributor Roadshow) at 245 spots and drew an estimated $2.3 million. Weekend overall at multiple territories drew $3.7 million, lifting the film’s international cume to $8.7 million.

Opening No. 9 in the U.K. was Entertainment One’s release of director Ken Loach’s The Angels' Share, which played in main competition at this year’s Cannes International Film Festival. Opener at just 73 screens for the social realist fairy tale about the unemployed young drew an estimated $800,000.

Director Wes Anderson’s Moonrise Kingdom from Universal/Focus Features drew a No. 10 ranking in the U.K. with a second round tally of $330,000 from 133 playdates for a 10-day market cume of $1.1 million

Dropping about 25% in its third round in France was UGC’s release of director Jacques Audiard’s Un gout de rouille et d’os (Rust & Bone). The drama about an ex-boxer (Matthias Schoenaerts) who takes up with a trainer of killer whales (Marion Cotillard) drew an estimated $1.4 million at 460 playdates, lifting its market cume to $8.5 million. The film ranks No. 3 in France after Prometheus and Men in Black III.

Other international cumes: Universal’s American Pie: Reunion, $169.8 million (after a $2.4 million weekend at 1,600 sites in 31 markets); Hugo, $81.3 million in Paramount-handled territories including China where the market opening drew $2.67 from some 6,000 dates; Universal’s Battleship, $235 million; Fox’s The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, $82.16 million; Universal’s Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax, $97 million; Fox’s The Descendants, $94.1 million; and Fox’s Titanic 3D, $286.5 million."

SOURCE

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How many more markets is Lorax yet supposed to open? Even with a great domestic opening I think that less than $200m OS total will not be good for it.

Majors ahead
Belgium 18 July 2012
France 18 July 2012
Germany 19 July 2012
Ireland 27 July 2012
UK 27 July 2012
Japan 6 October 2012
Hungary 18 October 2012

"Dropping a relatively modest 31% from its opening foreign launch, DreamWorks Animation’s Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted claimed the No. 1 offshore box office spot for the second consecutive weekend with $53 million drawn from 10,957 locations in 43 markets.

That puts the overseas gross total accumulated by the second sequel in the animation franchise at $157 million.

Europe’s Most Wanted opened in 15 mostly medium-sized territories, taking the top spot in each. But it was the holdover territories that provided most of the box office impetus. Russia delivered $9.2 million, pushing the market cume to $35 million. In France, the take was $6.2 million for a market cume of $15.9 million. Mexico’s $5.2 million pushed the market cume to $15 million.

Spicing offshore weekend action somewhat were a pair of openings day-and-date with U.S. and Canada releases.

Warner Bros.’ Rock of Ages, director Adam Shankman’s big-screen version starring of the hit Broadway musical, played at 1,850 screens in 10 territories. The Tom Cruise vehicle drew $4.1 million with a U.K. debut garnering $1.6 million from 471 sites. That’s My Boy, Adam Sandler’s latest R-rated comedy costarring Andy Samburg, premiered at 223 screens in Australia for $1.4 million.

Taking the No. 1 weekend spot in Japan and the No. 2 berth overall was Universal’s Snow White and the Huntsman, which grossed $31.2 million overall at 6,768 playdates in 57 territories. Japan via Toho-Towa generated $4.7 million at 335 locations, taking a 45% market share. In France, the film drew $5.1 million from 610 situations for a 27% market share.

In Russia, Huntsman drew $6.1 million from 721 spots. Director Rupert Sanders’ period action fantasy costarring Kristen Stewart, Chris Hemsworth and Charlize Theron has grossed a total of $124.6 million so far overseas with openings in Australia, New Zealand and Chile due this week. Worldwide gross stands at $247.2 million.

The weekend’s No. 3 spot was occupied by 20th Century Fox’s Prometheus, which registered a solid series of No. 2 openings in Latin, Central and South America from Mexico to Argentina. Best of the new markets were Mexico ($3.2 million at 1,280 spots) and in Brazil ($3 million at 508 sites). Overseas cume for the Ridley Scott sci-fi/action title stands at nearly $130 million ($128.9 million).

Television broadcasts of Euro Cup soccer matches continue to undercut theatrical attendance on the Continent in specific markets depending on which teams are playing. Box office in the U.K., for example, was off nearly 60% on Friday when the national team took on and beat Sweden. U.K. theatrical action rebounded on Saturday.

On Sunday, box office dropped in Denmark, Germany, Portugal and the Netherlands as these national teams play one another. More general box office erosion is due in a week or so as tournament semi-finals and finals action get underway drawing big cross-national tv audiences.

Far and away the best overseas grosser of the MIB franchise, Men In Black III pushed its foreign cume to $391.6 million taken in since May 23. The weekend provided another $19.7 million drawn from 11,415 screens in 79 markets. The previous franchise champ was the 1997 original, which grossed a total of $338.7 million offshore. Top current market remains Japan (via Toho-Towa) where the cume is $32.3 million. MIB3 ranks No. 4 on the weekend.

No. 5 on the weekend, and opening in Singapore, Italy, Switzerland and Taiwan, The Dictator from Paramount, drew $4.7 million overall in its fifth round at 2,008 situations in 35 territories. Foreign cume for the Sacha Baron Cohen comedy stands at $76.7 million. The No. 1 debut in Italy, which Paramount noted was a “soft market,” came up with $942,000 from 350 sites. France and Lebanon open this week.

Marvel’s The Avengers from Disney continues to chug along on the foreign circuit, registering another $3.9 million from playdates in 56 markets, lifting its foreign gross total to $833.1 million. Worldwide gross stands at $1.420 billion, making the film the No. 4 best-grossing title ever released overseas.

Top grossing local language newcomer in France was Studio Canal’s release of Bienvenue Parmi Nous (Welcome Back), director Jean Becker’s drama bout a disenchanted 60-year-old painter’s encounter with a teenage girl. Costarring Patrick Chesnais, Jeanne Lambert and Miou, Miou, the film opened to an estimated $700,000 at some 350 screens.

Other international cumes: Focus Features/Universal’s Moonrise Kingdom, $2.2 million over 24 days in the U.K. only; Warner Bros.’ Dark Shadows, $135 million (thanks to a $2.7 million weekend at 2,900 screens in 50 markets); Universal’s American Pie: Reunion, $174.1 million; Fox’s The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, $83.7 million; Universal’s Hanni and Nanni 2, $5.3 million in Germany, Austria and Switzerland; Fox’s This Means War, $101.3 million (thanks to a $1.6 million opening in China at 1,500 sites); Universal’s Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax, $98.7 million; Fox’s We Bought A Zoo, $43 million; and Universal’s Battleship, $235.7 million."

SOURCE

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Madagascar is coming from a $30m weekend from 44 countries with $208m total. It will make about $70m more from these markets for $280m total. I don't see another $300m+ million coming from Europe and I know that it will still make more than Madagascar 2's total but $600m OS might not happen though $550m is now guaranteed. It will do great though with $550m+ OS total and with domestic total more than $200m this is looking for an outstanding $750m-$800m WW total.

"It was Spidey versus Manny, Sid and Diego on the foreign theatrical circuit this weekend as two billion-dollar franchise titles -- yet to debut in the U.S. and Canada – registered strong numbers in overseas matchups of different dimensions.

Opening more than two weeks before its July 13 U.S. and Canada debut was Blue Sky Studio’s Ice Age: Continental Drift, which introduced itself via 20th Century Fox to 9,505 screens including some 4,200 3D venues in 34 markets for a weekend take of $78 million for an average of $8,206 per site. It ranks No. 1 on the weekend.

No. 2, Sony’s The Amazing Spider-Man -- fourth in the blockbuster series, which has racked up worldwide box office of $2.5 billion to date -- opened on a far more limited basis at 6,068 sites in just 13 markets, and drew $50.2 million on the weekend for a per-location average of $8,273. The sequel premieres domestically this week.

Continental Drift is the fourth title in the increasingly remunerative computer animation franchise that has grossed $1.918 billion worldwide over the last 10 years. It took the No. 1 spot in each of its opening markets, said Fox, “with an additional #1 ranking in the U.K. from previews alone (U.K. opens officially on July 13).”

Continental Drift’s opening strength in Latin and South America was impressive. It set debut records in Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Peru, Central America and in Chile. The Mexico premiere drew $13.8 million from 2,516 situations. Brazil kicked in $6.9 million at 1,010 spots. In France, the animation sequel notched the biggest opening of the year, generating $11.8 million at 1,072 venues while Australia contributed $6.4 million at 580 situations.

The opening Continental Drift figures indicate the title is on track for a foreign gross total of at least $500 million. Biggest franchise grosser thus far is 2009’s Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs, drawing a worldwide total of $887.1 million of which $693.9 originated offshore.

The original, 2002’s Ice Age, grossed a total of $381.8 million globally with most of that ($207 million) coming from overseas playoff. The worldwide take for 2006’s Ice Age 2: The Meltdown increased to $649.5 million with $457 million derived from the foreign circuit. Continental Drift opens this week in 14 markets including Germany and Holland.

The Amazing Spider-Man concentrated on Asian openings with South Korea ($13.4 million at 1,213 sites), Japan ($11.4 million drawn from 1,092 spots) and India ($6 million at 1,236 venues) throwing off the biggest numbers. Sony decided to skip many European markets until the Euro Cup soccer tournament ends (the final match occurs Sunday between Spain and Italy.) However, a No. 1 Germany bow produced $4.2 million at 755 locations.

A strong foreign gross total has become key to the Spidey series.The franchise original, 2002’s Spider-Man, grossed about the same foreign and domestically ($417.9 overseas versus $403.7 in the U.S. and Canada). 2004’s Spider-Man 2, increased the foreign take to $412.7 while its domestic number dipped to $373.4 million. 2007’s Spider-Man 3 increased the foreign take to $554.3 million while the $336.5-million domestic take was the lowest of the series thus far.

Meanwhile, Universal’s release of Ted, which opened No. 1 on the weekend in the U.S. and Canada, is currently registering muscular preview business in Australia (where it ranks as the market’s No. 2 title).

In three days of previews director Seth MacFarlane’s comedy-fantasy starring Mark Wahlberg has grossed an estimated $4.5 million at 199 screens with, says Universal, “only two day and two evening sessions at best.” Official overseas bow is due this week Down Under and in Taiwan.

Third on the weekend was DreamWorks Animation’s Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted, which drew $16.2 million in its fourth round overseas, playing at 7,011 locations in 44 territories and lifting its foreign gross total to $244.2 million since opening offshore on June 6.

Universal’s Snow White and the Huntsman, the weekend’s No. 4 title, drew $14.5 million from some 6,000 situations in 60 markets. Director Rupert Sanders’ period action fantasy costarring Kristen Stewart, Chris Hemsworth and Charlize Theron has grossed a total of $189 million so far overseas.

Playing in 11 markets in its second stanza offshore is Pixar’s latest animation, Brave, which via Disney collected $6.7 million and raising its overseas gross total to $26.8 million. It ranks No. 5 on the weekend.

Sony’s Men In Black III played at 4,355 screens in 80 markets, drawing $6.4 million on the weekend. Director Barry Sonnenfeld’s special effects extravaganza in 3D costarring Will Smith, Tommy Lee Jones and Josh Brolin has accumulated $429.8 million since its offshore opening on May 23.

Fox’s Prometheus from director Ridley Scott grossed $6.2 million on the weekend at 4,592 sites in 58 territories, lifting the sci/fi-action title’s foreign cume to $166.5 million. Biggest market is the U.K. where the film has grossed $36 million to date.

Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter, also from Fox, drew $5 million in its second overseas round at 2,742 situations in 21 territories. Cume for the Civil-War-set action fantasy co-produced by Tim Burton comes to $17.5 million.

Warner Bros.’ Dark Shadows drew $4.2 million from some 2,500 sites in 48 markets. Director Tim Burton’s period fantasy starring Johnny Depp has accumulated $151.6 million overseas to date.

Boosting action in France was French exhibitors’ annual La Fete du Cinema, conducted over fours days (June 24-27) and providing reduced theater ticket prices. Big beneficiary was Pathe’s release of Un bonheur n’arrive jamais seul (Happiness Never Arrives Alone), director James Huth’s romantic comedy about a footloose musician and a single mother with three children. Opening round at some 500 screens generated $3.4 million.

No. 1 in Italy in its third market round was Paramount’s The Dictator, which drew $2.5 million overall at 1,791 playdates in 37 markets. Foreign cume for the Sacha Baron Cohen comedy stands at $89 million rolled up since May 16.

Other international cumes: Warner’s Rock of Ages, $11.6 million; Focus Features/Universal’s Moonrise Kingdom, $2.6 million; Fox’s This Means War, $102.2 million; Universal’s The Five Year Engagement, $12.7 million; Warner’s Tengo Ganas De Ti, $8.3 million over two rounds in Spain only; and Universal’s American Pie: Reunion, $176.4 million."

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/f ... ted-343963

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So Dark Shadows saved a bit of face abroad.

Rock of Ages, not so much.

RoA was never going to be big in OS markets but that number is awful even though it hasn't yet released in many markets. Dark Shadows on the other hand is doing poorly IMO. It might not reach $250m OS total in the end which for a Depp/Burton movie with vampires is not great. It needs another $70m from OS to get $300m WW total which would bring it to the borderline for $150m budgeted movie.

Ice Age and Spidey did REALLY well. I am specially surprised by that high number from Spidey however it was released in quite a few BIG markets. IA4 with those numbers should easily crack $700m OS total. The more interesting fact is that Europe is still under-way for both these movies.

Wow, PAINTED SKIN 2 did $47.7m in 4 territories last weekend...