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 The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion 
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Superfreak
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Post The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
This is big, it needs a good day after 4 straight downers. There were 5 sell outs at local theater today, praaay for an increase.

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:16 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
$15.5M -20%


Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:20 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
$15.5M -20%

Sounds right. Maybe a hair higher (15.7).

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:29 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Isn't Tuesday the discount day for many theaters?

$18.3 million (-5.5%)


Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:50 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Tuesday has become stronger over the years, so should not see a higher drop than TDK or DMC. $18m+.

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 1:48 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
It is coming of a big Monday (yeah I know it is not as big as TDK's but still) so I see about 10% decrease but that would hardly be a surprise cause Tuesday's have gotten stronger nowadays. I see $17,547,161 for a 9.5% decrease which is not really impressive IMO. It should increase or stay flat to be called good or impressive.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:13 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
around 18 million

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 7:41 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Rth, who has access to the Rentrak data, is saying $17.8-18.3 million, so looks like it will end up around $18m.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 9:39 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
RTH has been a little higher for TDKR so I think it will be close to my $17.5m :P


Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:19 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
ERC:

Quote:
Bat-update: TDKR earned an estimated $17.7M Tuesday. Bat-bank now holds $198M.


Sub-10% drop!!! :D


Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:22 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Jon wrote:
ERC:

Quote:
Bat-update: TDKR earned an estimated $17.7M Tuesday. Bat-bank now holds $198M.


Sub-10% drop!!! :D


Good news.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:23 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Wasn't sub-10% drop expected? Its Wednesday hold will be more telling. TDK dropped an exceptional 12% on its first Wednesday. Already grossing lesser over the weekdays I think TDKR will have around 15%-18% drop on Wednesday


Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:25 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
ERC Top Ten:
http://www.ercboxoffice.com/index.php?s ... 10_details

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:39 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Magnus wrote:
Means nothing unless it has a good Wed. hold.


Which isn't likely since Discount Tuesday probably inflated the Tuesday number.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 10:57 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Magnus wrote:
I just realized that TDK is looking at a 66m 2nd weekend as a best case-scenario, which would still be about a 59% drop.

Wed: 14.5m (18.5% drop)
Thurs: 13m (10.5% drop)
Fri: 20m (54% increase)
Sat: 25m (25% increase)
Sun: 21m (16% drop)

Weekend: 66m.

And again, that's an optimistic breakdown.

:(


Thursday isn't optimistic.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:10 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
:(

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:28 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Magnus wrote:
Even if you raise it to 13.5m, it still means 67.5m weekend optimistically. 58% drop.


Yes, and it's probably not going to have a great hold for the weekend with the Olympics starting on Friday. Right now I'm hoping for around $62.5m so it can be $15m ahead of Potter's second weekend.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:32 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
The only thing is that the primary demographic missing - families - primarily go to the movies on weekend.

Whenever/if they show up, it will likely be on the weekend. IF they come out this weekend, we will see larger than expected increases.

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:36 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
I like how everyone was anticipating the Tuesday number... and then said it doesn't matter because Wednesday will be the REAL telling number!

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:37 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
17.745......... Damn that's not too bad actually. Avengers watch your back!!!!!111

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:46 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
At one point on Saturday I thought it might have a From Justin to Kelly type run, where it would not have a daily increase until its second Tuesday or third weekend. I still think the Friday increase could be really low like something in the 20%-35% range. I hope I am wrong, but this movie has so many things going against it at the moment that a Friday increase higher than TDK seems unlikely. TDK did not have to deal with the Olympics Opening Ceremony until its 4th weekend.

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Last edited by mdana on Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:47 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
redfirebird2008 wrote:
Magnus wrote:
I just realized that TDK is looking at a 66m 2nd weekend as a best case-scenario, which would still be about a 59% drop.

Wed: 14.5m (18.5% drop)
Thurs: 13m (10.5% drop)
Fri: 20m (54% increase)
Sat: 25m (25% increase)
Sun: 21m (16% drop)

Weekend: 66m.

And again, that's an optimistic breakdown.

:(


Thursday isn't optimistic.


Thursday should be something approximately around TA's 30% drop from Tuesday and TDK's 22% drop. Between 25-32% seems the projectory which would be between $12.1m and $13.3m.

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 11:59 am
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
I feel the Wednesday drop will be a little lesser as well though not as good as TDK's 12%. Somewhere between 15%-18% but then the Friday will have much lesser increase as compared to TDK so a $65m+ second weekend is not yet guaranteed.


Wed Jul 25, 2012 12:16 pm
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Chippy wrote:
I like how everyone was anticipating the Tuesday number... and then said it doesn't matter because Wednesday will be the REAL telling number!

That happens with almost every big movie, especially when the gross is expected and unrevealing.

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Wed Jul 25, 2012 2:52 pm
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Post Re: The Dark Knight Rises Tuesday Discussion
Magnus wrote:
IT...ROSE...by 12k.


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Wed Jul 25, 2012 3:21 pm
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