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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
It's hard for me not to be a tad bit disappointed by Magic Mike's opening. I know it's still an AMAZING number, and it was always going to have to endure a hefty Saturday drop, but to fall short of 40 million after a nearly 20m Friday is a bit...distressing. Even Friday the 13th made it to 40 million over three days after a 19.2m start.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:39 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
I wonder how many days it will be until Ted 2 is announced.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:41 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8636 Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Ted played well all day Yesterday and into the night...
Likley held well here in Canada due to the Holiday...
_________________The Dark Prince
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:42 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Will Ted really be that leggy?
I mean, I want to see it but a lot of my friends that do, want to do so because of its obvious association to Family Guy.
It could be more frontloaded than one would expect. I don't think it's as universal as the Hangover.
But, since it's not out here for another month, it could really just be very funny and be leggy in that way.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:44 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Weekend Estimates
David wrote: It's hard for me not to be a tad bit disappointed by Magic Mike's opening. I know it's still an AMAZING number, and it was always going to have to endure a hefty Saturday drop, but to fall short of 40 million after a nearly 20m Friday is a bit...distressing. Even Friday the 13th made it to 40 million over three days after a 19.2m start. I know it's crazy to be disappointed by this number as it is indeed great but it kind of is after its Friday. To be fair though Friday The 13th had Valentine's Day and President's Day to help soften the blow.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:47 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Oh, and Magic Mike better get to 100 Million. I'm hoping for strong weekdays like SATC had.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:50 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Magic Mike wrote: Oh, and Magic Mike better get to 100 Million. I'm hoping for strong weekdays like SATC had. Sadly, I'm not sure it will. Isn't a total around 85-90 million more realistic at this point?
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:52 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32117 Location: the last free city
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Stripper dudes got bitch slapped by a teddy bear
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:52 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
If the point-two holds (or if it goes higher), Magic Mike will be the largest opening of Soderbergh's career, just topping Ocean's Twelve's $39,153,380.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:01 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23841 Location: Classified
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Brave - $33M -50% yikes. Mad 3 might beat it after all. 4 Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection $26,500,000 -- 2,161 -- $12,263 $26,500,000 1 Lionsgate 5 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted $11,500,000 -42% 3,715 -205 $3,096 $179,696,522 4 Paramount / DreamWorks 6 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter $5,500,000 -66% 3,109 1 $1,769 $28,534,193 2 Fox 7 Prometheus $4,500,000 -55% 1,959 -903 $2,297 $117,836,848 4 Fox 8 Snow White and the Huntsman $4,300,000 -47% 2,337 -582 $1,840 $145,485,920 5 Universal 9 Marvel's The Avengers $4,200,000 -41% 1,757 -473 $2,390 $606,283,073 9 Disney 10 People Like Us $4,100,000 -- 2,055 -- $1,995 $4,100,000 1 Ted Still shocking that this broke out so huge. McFarlane power bests shirtless Tatum by majority decision. One of the more impressive openings ever.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:03 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
I regret giving Ted eight dollars.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:11 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Ouch for People Like Us. Couldn't even get a 2k per-theatre-average.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:12 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Still a terrific opening, but DAMN. That's a huge drop on Saturday for Magic Mike. I still see $100m, though.
What an awesome opening for Ted, though. $54m?! That's INSANE.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:41 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am Posts: 4556
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Re: Weekend Estimates
This is a great end to the good, if unspectacular June that we had. The weekend Top 10 aggregates to 186m+ which is around what TF3 weekend did last year. Never thought we'd have a weekend this huge and led by two non-sequel, R-rated comedies.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:55 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Rev wrote: Stripper dudes got bitch slapped by a teddy bear
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:09 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Yes, a real man's man manly man movie won. Women should now return to the kitchen with their heads bowed.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:16 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Indeed.
_________________
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:18 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
BMP is hungry for a sammich.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:20 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Great openings for Ted and Magic Mike. Eventhough Magic Mike was REALLY frontloaded wom seems decent and it should still be able to cross $100M, but probably not much more. Overall June was a solid month for movies, but now we move on to hopefully one of the biggest July's ever and strong holdovers from this weekend can definitely help out this month ALOT.
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:22 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Look like Magic Mike is truly all about Friday night for the ladies, even more so than SATC. It will probably continue to see Fri-to-Sat drops throughout its run (but better Fri increases as well ).
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:26 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
This is Wahlberg's fifth hit in a row and will be his highest grossing film.
He's almost the perfect A-list star. Other than the occasional dip into David O. Russell territory (which won't happen again after their falling out), he doesn't have the Redford/Clooney urge to alternate between artistic and populist films. He seems perfectly pleased on the populist side of the fence. He has the intensity and physicality to play action roles, but can just easily headline a romantic comedy. And though there was the unfortunate incident where he beat and blinded an older Vietnamese gentleman while screaming, "Vietnam fucking shit," he hasn't done anything truly awful, such as join the Church of Scientology or yell at the writer of Basic Instinct.
Dude's on the top of the world.
I wonder how much he gets paid per picture.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:31 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11556
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Re: Weekend Estimates
So Universal's top film of the year will potentially be about a foul teddy bear?
Regardless, Ted came out at the perfect time for them (after BS flopped).
The Hangover dipped 10% on its second day in early June, so still too early to say how lengthy Ted's run will be. A 13.5% drop in late June is reasonable though. It only needs a 3.7 multiplier to get to $200 m.
This was the 12th biggest weekend ever. It also had the lowest #1 movie out of all of the top 25 weekends ever, showing how spread out the grosses were.
1 Dec. 25–27, 2009 52 $259,901,856 29,807 $8,719 4 Avatar $75,617,183 29.1% 2 Jul. 18–20, 2008 29 $253,586,871 32,822 $7,726 3 The Dark Knight $158,411,483 62.5% 3 Jul. 15–17, 2011 28 $251,645,075 29,547 $8,517 2 Harry Potter / Deathly Hallows (P2) $169,189,427 67.2% 4 Nov. 20–22, 2009 47 $250,014,893 27,050 $9,243 3 New Moon $142,839,137 57.1% 5 May 4–6, 2012 18 $249,722,108 28,660 $8,713 1 The Avengers $207,438,708 83.1% 6 May 27–29, 2011 21 $216,205,440 27,760 $7,788 2 The Hangover Part II $85,946,294 39.8% 7 Nov. 18–20, 2011 46 $214,952,266 28,353 $7,581 3 Breaking Dawn Part 1 $138,122,261 64.3% 8 Jul. 7–9, 2006 27 $209,881,552 28,080 $7,474 1 Dead Man's Chest $135,634,554 64.6% 9 Jan. 1–3, 2010 1 $209,232,557 29,939 $6,989 0 Avatar $68,490,688 32.7% 10 Mar. 23–25, 2012 12 $203,811,164 24,938 $8,173 2 The Hunger Games $152,535,747 74.8% 11 May 25–27, 2007 21 $199,216,618 22,023 $9,046 2 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 $114,732,820 57.6% 12 Jun. 29–Jul. 1, 2012 26 $196,885,000 30,677 $6,418 4 Ted $54,100,000 27.5%
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:39 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Ted is going to buy a second location.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:44 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8636 Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Ted held well over the weekend.
_________________The Dark Prince
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:55 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Wow, awful opening for Jonathan Demme's Neil Young Journeys. His last theatrical Young documentary/concert film, Heart of Gold, opened in four theatres with a per-theatre-average of $13,477. This one only managed $4,433 in three. Strange because while this is obviously the definition of niche, one would expect the core audience to stay fairly consistent.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:56 pm |
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