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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22923
Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Yes especially with the empty marketplace (outside HG and 21). I was more referring to the fact that the buzz around the two new films has been largely drowned out by the THG media assault.
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:56 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22923
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Jon wrote: I'm genuinely surprised by Mirror Mirror. It just seems so...silly? Ridiculous? And Julia Roberts hasn't been a draw in ages. Though I guess people are excited to see her go bad? It does look silly. A big Snow White film in March though should do well. If Huntsmen opened in March instead (and there was no THG) - it would be huge. This is silly so its potential is limited - but there certainly is a market for this. _________________
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:58 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Jon wrote: I'm genuinely surprised by Mirror Mirror. It just seems so...silly? Ridiculous? And Julia Roberts hasn't been a draw in ages. Though I guess people are excited to see her go bad, or just for a new live-action family film. Ya fo real. I still don't see $20m+.
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 7:12 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Quote: V on HGAME competition: CLSH2 is expected in the $50 millions, according to some tracking services, SNOWH in the low-to-mid twenties Posted by: Antibody on Mar 26, 17:46 http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118051936?refCatId=13 "Wrath" is expected to open in the $50 millions, according to some tracking services, "Mirror Mirror" in the low-to-mid twenties. But aud interest has been skewed greatly over the past month by "Hunger Games," which gobbled up the majority of first-choice polling votes. Even on Monday, "Games" received 30% of first-choice votes -- characteristic of a film with huge B.O. scope.
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 9:01 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions My gut tells me Wrath will open around $30m, maybe lower. Wasn't Ghost Rider 2 overtracked by quite a bit?
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 9:56 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34997
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Magnus wrote: i don't know. I think Mirror Mirror looks kinda cute. I like the complete non-serious tone its taking. Same here. Looks really fun, IMO. Even though I'm not interested in Wrath I'm still rooting for it to do well. 50 Million would be amazing.
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 10:00 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48673
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Promising tracking for Mirror Mirror.
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| Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:26 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm
Posts: 2120
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Also from that same Variety article ;
"Titanic" is one of April's biggest B.O. question marks; early tracking for "Titanic 3D" points to a potential $40 million opening.
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 1:04 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions 5-day? 3-day?
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 6:11 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Magnus wrote: JC is looking at a 70%+ drop IMO unless Disney does some fudging.
21 Jump Street is the only film I see getting a solid drop this weekend and thats only cause the WOM for it is strong, theres no direct comedy competition this weekend, and it'll lose the least amount of theaters/screens. Lorax will lose a bunch of theaters/screens plus Mirror Mirror is direct competition, Act of Valor faces direct comp with Wrath, Project X will lose a lot of theaters/screens, and a Thousand Words just sucks.
However, the top 3 alone will make 120m+ so it should be a good weekend overall. Act of Valor seems to be skewing a bit older and it was somehow able to withstand all competition os far, so it could actually have another sub-50% drop. A Thousand Words, John Carter, This Means War, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island and Project X will get killed. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 7:01 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions John Carter is doing pathetically bad. I thought if Prince of Persia can get a multi of 3, so can this.
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 7:39 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Jon wrote: I'm genuinely surprised by Mirror Mirror. It just seems so...silly? Ridiculous? And Julia Roberts hasn't been a draw in ages. Though I guess people are excited to see her go bad, or just for a new live-action family film. It is silly, but the movie embraces the silliness. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 11:10 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36928
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Don't know how to measure MTC vs V tracking but I think $37m for Wrath will be good and it has a potential to do more since there hasn't been much for younger males looking for pure action movie. The effect of first might be too big though.
Mirror Mirror has been tracking well for sometime now, it could do well even with THG being this huge and you never know it could hurt THG somewhat, but I wouldn't count on that.
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| Tue Mar 27, 2012 11:22 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34997
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Salmon Fishing in the Yemen should make an appearance in the top 10 this weekend. It's expanding to at least 400 theaters Friday. Should bring in 1.1 Million if not a bit more, which will likely be good enough to make it into the top 10. My predictions have the last three movies in the top 10 making around 1 Million each.
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| Wed Mar 28, 2012 4:18 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34997
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Salmon Fishing is up to 448 theaters on MovieFone right now for Friday. 500 would be a good bet.
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| Wed Mar 28, 2012 4:43 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions From boxoffice - Wrath of the Titans is currently responsible for just 2 percent of daily sales on Fandango. That is a weak number, though to be fair, films aimed at the older fanboy action crowd don't always post strong pre-sales figures. Mirror Mirror is currently responsible for 4 percent of daily sales on Fandango. That is an encouraging sign given that the figure currently ranks behind only The Hunger Games (albeit very far behind). Link - http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stori ... ror-mirrorSounds pretty poor for Titans and with the weak twitter buzz this is starting to look like GH2 all over again. Very promising for Mirror Mirror though.
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| Wed Mar 28, 2012 7:58 pm |
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jj.
Child Actor
Joined: Mon Mar 05, 2012 10:56 pm
Posts: 32
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus wrote: John Carter will suffer big again, IMO. It will lose its remaining 3D screens to Wrath of the Titans, lose a ton of theatres overall (its PTA is shitty) Checked several local theaters and Carter goes down to 2-3 shows at all of them starting Friday. It should be pretty much out of first run theaters by next weekend.
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| Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:58 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions wrongturn687 wrote: From boxoffice - Wrath of the Titans is currently responsible for just 2 percent of daily sales on Fandango. That is a weak number, though to be fair, films aimed at the older fanboy action crowd don't always post strong pre-sales figures. Mirror Mirror is currently responsible for 4 percent of daily sales on Fandango. That is an encouraging sign given that the figure currently ranks behind only The Hunger Games (albeit very far behind). Link - http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stori ... ror-mirrorSounds pretty poor for Titans and with the weak twitter buzz this is starting to look like GH2 all over again. Very promising for Mirror Mirror though. That's ridiculous that two wide openers are only making 2% and 4% in online sales. Hunger Games is at 76%.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 2:06 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34997
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Maybe people just don't feel they need to buy their tickets in advance for Wrath and Mirror Mirror. I know I wouldn't.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 6:38 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8636
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions I think THG is looking for a sub 60% drop.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:04 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Mike wrote: Maybe people just don't feel they need to buy their tickets in advance for Wrath and Mirror Mirror. I know I wouldn't. If I remember correctly Clash had tepid online ticket sales too. 
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:30 am |
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Crux
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 11:28 pm
Posts: 1589
Location: Pittsburgh
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Mike wrote: Maybe people just don't feel they need to buy their tickets in advance for Wrath and Mirror Mirror. I know I wouldn't. Agreed.....these movies aren't really going to sell out too many showings. I hardly ever buy tickets in advance.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 9:42 am |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am
Posts: 5570
Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions I wanna see Wrath of the Titans but don't have the urgency to buy my tickets now like there usually is for bigger event movies.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 11:08 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Thurs Fandango
1. The Hunger Games 71%
2. Mirror Mirror 7%
3. Wrath of the Titans 6%
4. 21 Jump Street 4%
5. The Lorax 2%
Stunning number still for HG - the highest (otherwise) 2nd weekend I know of is Alice's 63%, and Avatar was 61%.
Evidence that it is now getting more the HP crowd than Twi. It's getting the older males. Nice.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 2:17 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions Quote: Gitesh Pandya @giteshpandya
Didnt see this coming - #MirrorMirror opening wider than #WrathOfTitans. 3603 vs 3545 incl Imax.
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| Thu Mar 29, 2012 2:55 pm |
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