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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Wrath of the Titans $33m Mirror Mirror $19m
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 2:01 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games -62% Wrath of the Titans - $37m Mirror Mirror - $14m
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 5:48 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28295 Location: ... siiiigh...
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Yeah, THG is taking a hit. Not that it diminishes its success. But it's not doing above 80.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 6:55 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Everyone - don't forget that IMAX screens for Hunger Games vanish next weekend, which means that $10 million of its gross this weekend probably shouldn't even be considered.
That in mind:
1. Hunger Games - $69.7 million (-55%) 2. Wrath of the Titans - $35.6 million 3. Mirror Mirror - $16 million 4. 21 Jump Street - $13.4 million (-37%) 5. The Lorax - $8.6 million (-34.5%)
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 7:23 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Losing IMAX screens doesn't mean that, people who could have seen it in IMAX won't go to a normal theater and see it there.
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 7:26 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I wouldn't expect the film to have much staying power in IMAX anyway. The way its filmed really doesn't fit the format at all.
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 8:03 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I cant see THG doing less than $75m.
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 8:15 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
There's enough room in the marketplace for both Mirror and Wrath to do well enough.
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 9:24 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm Posts: 2120
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
wasn't Mirror Mirror tracking above 30 million just two weeks ago? Have we had any updated info since then??
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Sun Mar 25, 2012 9:47 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
It was. Let's see how it is this week!
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 12:01 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I can see a 60% drop for THG. No midnights about $20m, no IMAX a boost of about $5m and then a drop of about 52% for $62m second weekend. The WOM is great but I don't think it is at the level of Avatar or TDK.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:04 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8636 Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
That would set it on a path to reach 350+ million ^^^
Spiderman 3 was at 240 million at day 10 and reach 336 million.
So I think the Odds are in the Hunger Games Favour!
Lol I think that is going to become the next big saying..
_________________The Dark Prince
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 7:35 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Magnus wrote: I see about 68m for HG. 50% drop from OW minus midnights, 56% drop overall.
Wrath will break 30m and Mirror will break 20m. 21 Jump Street will hold well. Everything else will drop huge. John Carter will suffer big again, IMO. It will lose its remaining 3D screens to Wrath of the Titans, lose a ton of theatres overall (its PTA is shitty) and Wrath is even more direct competition than The Hunger Games, leaving basically nothing for it. A drop better than 55% would surprise me. Could we actually see several movies in the Top 10 making less than $1 million next weekend?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 10:21 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Nah, Lorax will be able to hold onto a decent amount of screens and theaters next weekend, and for a while. It's still the only animated movie in release (And will be until The Pirates! in five weeks) and after Mirror Mirror it'll also be the one of the only two family films in release. And it's still one of only two non-THG holdovers actually making money, which means pretty much all of the multiplexes are going to hold onto it as they finally dump Silent House, A Thousand Words, Project X, and any February holdovers they still have (All of those have PTAs under $1,100 right now). The pace of new openers means that a LOT of stuff that would have normally been gone by now is still here, and I think Lorax can take advantage of that for a while.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:10 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
The Hunger Games - $69m Wrath of the Titans - $39m Mirror Mirror - $16m
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:17 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I am just hoping for another breakout this weekend, but doesn't look like that's going to happen.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:13 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games 2nd weekend * 50M-55M - good * 55M-62M - great * 62M-70M - are you fucking kidding me! * 70M+ - MOTHER OF GOD!!
I'm going with first option.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:19 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
While a 60% drop for THG at $62m will be great it won't be "are you fucking kidding me"....
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:23 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Magnus wrote: Mesjarch wrote: Hunger Games 2nd weekend * 50M-55M - good * 55M-62M - great * 62M-70M - are you fucking kidding me! * 70M+ - MOTHER OF GOD!!
I'm going with first option. More like... 55m-60m - okay 60m-65m - good 65m-70m - great 70m-75m - are you fucking kidding me! 75m+ - MOTHER OF GOD no John Carter scale?
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:45 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Hunger Games - 70 (53% drop) Wrath of the Titans - 34 Mirror Mirror - 16
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:51 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
MTC? RS?
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:18 pm |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
RS in March proved that they are worthless.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:25 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm Posts: 2120
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
MTC 37 wrath 26 mirror
That would be pretty good for both. Yes, Wrath will have fallen steeply from it's orginial, but that wasn't well recieved plus the Hunger Games stole a lot of it's thunder. Plus, the studio is really banking on OS for this one.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:31 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
Thats good for both considering how THG is dominating. Hopefully RS comes in alot lower.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:43 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: March 30-April 1 Predictions
I'm genuinely surprised by Mirror Mirror. It just seems so...silly? Ridiculous? And Julia Roberts hasn't been a draw in ages. Though I guess people are excited to see her go bad, or just for a new live-action family film.
Last edited by Jonathan on Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:55 pm |
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