| Author |
Message |
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40511
|
 Re: Best Picture 2011 All I'm saying is don't underestimate how strong The Help, Moneyball and Midnight in Paris are for different reasons and that if you're looking to take one of them out to make room for The Artist/Descendants/Hugo if there's only 5 noms, Hugo isn't a write-in cause the critics love it and it has techs. How many times have we overrated the importance of the critics circles in making something a stone cold lock? A lot. Hugo was not considered an Oscar movie a month ago so it's made quite a large leap over that time
My prediction however is that we get 6-8 noms and the top 6 players all get in
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Fri Dec 23, 2011 4:18 pm |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 David wrote: trixster wrote: Not to mention the new rules favour passion voting, which Hugo will certainly get. I very much doubt any of the Best Director nominees have their film miss. The only lone-Best-Director candidate in play, IMO, is Terrence Malick. Drive.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Sat Dec 24, 2011 4:20 pm |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 No way Refn gets recognized, but it doesn't get into Picture. He's largely unknown in America.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Sat Dec 24, 2011 5:32 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 With more than five spots for Picture, there is no director getting nominated, but his film being snubbed. Not happening.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Sat Dec 24, 2011 5:37 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35239
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Tyler wrote: David wrote: trixster wrote: Not to mention the new rules favour passion voting, which Hugo will certainly get. I very much doubt any of the Best Director nominees have their film miss. The only lone-Best-Director candidate in play, IMO, is Terrence Malick. Drive. Would be great but it won't happen. Still wouldn't count it out for a Best Picture nomination though.
|
| Sun Dec 25, 2011 5:10 pm |
|
|
|
thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14617
Location: LA / NYC
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Call me crazy but I'm really starting to get the feeling that The Help could win this.
|
| Mon Jan 02, 2012 2:58 pm |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 God, I hope not. It's almost guaranteed to be the worst nominee, unless J. Edgar or My Week with Marilyn sneak in.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Mon Jan 02, 2012 3:30 pm |
|
|
|
Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Near as I can tell, we're down to, at most, 8 nominees:
Moneyball
Hugo
Midnight In Paris
The Help
The Artist
The Descendants
War Horse
Tree of Life
Your nominees are going to come from this list. Hopefully not all eight...that's too many. Tree of Life and Midnight in Paris are most vulnerable, maybe Moneyball.
I don't buy that The Help can win. This is still The Artist's to lost.
_________________
k
|
| Mon Jan 02, 2012 5:06 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 I don't think Midnight in Paris is really vulnerable.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Tue Jan 03, 2012 8:07 pm |
|
|
|
Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Could be. They haven't been so enamored of Woody lately (remember the VCB screenplay snub?) and the movie just isn't a contender in many categories. Could get lost in the shuffle
_________________
k
|
| Tue Jan 03, 2012 10:58 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Johnny Dollar wrote: Could be. They haven't been so enamored of Woody lately (remember the VCB screenplay snub?) and the movie just isn't a contender in many categories. Could get lost in the shuffle Indeed, but it is a tremendous financial hit for Allen and it had some of the strongest WoM of all movies last year. Moreover, the SAG Ensemble nom speaks for itself too. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Wed Jan 04, 2012 2:07 pm |
|
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23339
Location: Melbourne Australia
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Its between The Artist and The Descendants.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
| Fri Jan 06, 2012 12:24 am |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 If Fincher is recognized by the DGA, is it safe to say Dragon Tattoo is in? It's scored with the National Board of Review, the PGA, and the WGA.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Fri Jan 06, 2012 2:21 am |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Considering DGA is used to be the best predictor of BP lineup in the 5 nominees days, I'd say definitely since it's even easier to get into BP now.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Fri Jan 06, 2012 3:15 am |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40511
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Feels like The Artist, The Help, the Descendants, Hugo, Moneyball, Midnight in Paris get in and War Horse, Bridesmaids and Dragon Tattoo fill out the remaining spots, depending on how many. I'll say the first 6, War Horse and Bridesmaids for 8 nominees atm
Still wish it was 5 noms. I'd be predicting a Hugo snub while War Horse or Midnight in Paris replaces it as the crap your pants moment of nomination day. Still think Hugo is the lock that isn't if there's one. If say War Horse rides Spielberg, old voters and looking like an Oscar movie (like a combination of Munich and The Reader's noms), and Bridesmaids is just an unstoppable train due to getting a hell lot of "I have to put it #1 if I want it to get in" voting/crushing the female voter demo, that makes 8 including the big 6. Could lead to one in that group being in danger and I see the Artist, The Descendants, Moneyball, and The Help as locks. Moneyball is the least exciting of those 4, but it's this year's Michael Clayton, more of a write in than anyone wants it to be
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Fri Jan 06, 2012 8:05 pm |
|
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23339
Location: Melbourne Australia
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 It would be taking the piss if Bridesmaids makes it in if there are less than 8 nominees.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
| Sat Jan 07, 2012 7:06 pm |
|
|
|
Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Bridesmaids and Dragon Tattoo are not getting in.
_________________
k
|
| Sun Jan 08, 2012 6:44 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Bridesmaids getting a BP nom would be horrible.
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:08 am |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Hating on Bridesmaids should be grounds for imprisonment.
There's a colonial woman on the wing of the plane! She was churning butter!
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:11 am |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 IMO, if you wouldn't dream of nominating a film for Best Director, it has no place in Best Picture.
Sorry, Bridesmaids.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:20 am |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 David wrote: IMO, if you wouldn't dream of nominating a film for Best Director, it has no place in Best Picture.
Sorry, Bridesmaids.  I don't agree. lol
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:21 am |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40511
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 I think if I had to pick a film at this moment to pull a King's Speech/Crash on The Artist's Social Network/Brokeback.. it'd be Midnight in Paris
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:31 pm |
|
|
|
jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 Shack wrote: I think if I had to pick a film at this moment to pull a King's Speech/Crash on The Artist's Social Network/Brokeback.. it'd be Midnight in Paris Pretty much.
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:43 pm |
|
|
|
David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 I have no real concrete case for this, but I still feel The Help is better positioned to "Crash" The Artist than Midnight in Paris. It'll get more nominations overall (even if it misses Director), it has "weightier themes," it has much bigger box office, etc.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 3:51 pm |
|
|
|
thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14617
Location: LA / NYC
|
Re: Best Picture 2011 David wrote: I have no real concrete case for this, but I still feel The Help is better positioned to "Crash" The Artist than Midnight in Paris. It'll get more nominations overall (even if it misses Director), it has "weightier themes," it has much bigger box office, etc. I completely agree with this, and I still wouldn't be surprised if it wins despite the DGA snub.
|
| Mon Jan 09, 2012 4:33 pm |
|
|
