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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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 August 19-21 Predictions Fright Night- 16.3
Conan the Barbarian- 10.3
Spy Kids: All the Time in the World- 8.9
One Day- 5.2
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:08 pm |
 
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions The Help will win the weekend with $18m.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:19 pm |
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devon28flick
SO FETCH!
Joined: Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:35 pm
Posts: 309
Location: Sunnyside Daycare
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions CONAN will win the weekend, but it should be a close race with 5 film making over 13 million, SK4 could break out and make 22 million
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:23 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: The Help will win the weekend with $18m. 
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:38 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Conan 15-19
Spy Kids 14-17
Fright Night 11-13
One Day 7-9
That would be disappointing for all of them I think. Granted, none of them are expected to do anything anyway but one would have thought being greenlit they would have expected:
Conan 27
Spy Kids 27
Fright Night 23
One Day 15.5
Or something of the sort.
I hope for:
One Day 21
Conan 19
Fright Night 15
Spy Kids 7.5
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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:40 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions I really hope One Day will breakout. It looks wonderful and can very well be this year's (500) Days.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 2:47 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Yes, The Help will win the weekend. None of the openers will open above $16m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 3:10 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25168
Location: Classified
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Three 3D movies!
The Help - $15M
Rise of the Apes - $14M
Spy Kids - $13M
Fright Night - $12M
Conan - $11M
One Day - $10M
Hopefully one of the openers can break out a little. Otherwise this will be a very boring weekend.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 3:52 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Conan - $17M
Fright Night - $15M
Spy Kids 4 - $13M
One Day - $7M
Last edited by Dil on Tue Aug 16, 2011 2:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 4:03 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Fright Night feels like something that could do 20-ish to me.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:30 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Stop posting thirty-two seconds before me.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:34 pm |
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devon28flick
SO FETCH!
Joined: Mon Jul 12, 2010 7:35 pm
Posts: 309
Location: Sunnyside Daycare
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: Fright Night feels like something that could do 20-ish to me. its rated R, its not gonna get close to 20 more like 15, why would this movie open higher than FD5 even if the series did have bad WOM from FD4. Fright Night should have been PG-13 then it would have been a breakout hit
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:41 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Fright Night has had some aggressive marketing, but the way movies have been underperforming lately nothing is certain anymore. If FD5 couldn't hit $20M than I don't see FN doing it either. I have to agree with devon that if it was PG-13 it would have been bigger.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:43 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions People hated The Final Destination. Seriously. It crippled the franchise.
I see Fright Night TV spots all the time. It appeals to teens. It's a remake that most people don't actually know is a remake, so it seems fresh. $20m certainly seems possible to me.
(Though you're right -- the studio would've been much smarter putting this out as a PG-13.)
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 5:47 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions (I hope) people are waiting for Don't Be Afraid of the Dark.
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| Sat Aug 13, 2011 10:22 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25168
Location: Classified
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Vampires have been castrated by the Twilight films. Can't see Fright Night having too much female appeal either.
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 12:15 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: Vampires have been castrated by the Twilight films. Hi there, HBO record True Blood ratings. 
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 12:21 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Actual predicts later but I do think The Help will be #1.
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 1:53 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions I haven't seen much advertising for Conan. Maybe I'm just missing it? I figured Lionsgate would give it a bigger push.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 1:55 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions Conan's gonna flop. Under $10m. There's no buzz for it at all.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 1:58 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions I agree that Conan is no threat to challenge the weekend title, and only Fright Night has a shot. I put The Help's chance at 90%. What's interesting is that The Help's chance of winning the weekend after is even stronger, like close to 100%.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 2:27 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions I don't know whether they always give predictions for next week, but erc is boldly predicting $26m for Conan and $21m for Spy Kids. http://www.ercboxoffice.com/index.php?s ... ews_id=440
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 12:29 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions The Help should win the weekend, though Fright Night has small chance.
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 12:31 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25168
Location: Classified
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions The Dark Shape wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Vampires have been castrated by the Twilight films. Hi there, HBO record True Blood ratings. True Blood is Twilight with soft-core porn and fairies.  Priest would be my example of how hard it is to lure men to a vampire film. Anyways, with such strong weekends I'll up my predictions for Help and Apes to $17M and $16M.
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 2:34 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: August 19-21 Predictions The vampires in True Blood are violent as hell. Hence, no castration.
I didn't even know Priest was a vampire film, which shows how well they apparently marketed the premise.
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| Sun Aug 14, 2011 2:50 pm |
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