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 August 12-14 Predictions 
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Those poll results for FD5 aren't suprising considering the last one was pretty damn awful. I never expected it to register better than TFD, but that site isn't exactly the best indicator for how well it will do. The FD series has already proven to be more mainstream than internet friendly and I doubt BOM users are gushing over this new movie.


Mon Aug 08, 2011 3:48 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
wrongturn687 wrote:
Those poll results for FD5 aren't suprising considering the last one was pretty damn awful. I never expected it to register better than TFD, but that site isn't exactly the best indicator for how well it will do. The FD series has already proven to be more mainstream than internet friendly and I doubt BOM users are gushing over this new movie.


I don't see any reason why the BOM poll would be less meaningful than it was for the last 2 films. The attendance increase in the franchise was miniscule, and in fact the poll for part 4 was slightly inflated over the poll for part 3 - not a good sign for this one.

It's also worth noting that the presence of '5' in the title may give it a disadvantage over the last one, which did not have a number in the title.

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Mon Aug 08, 2011 5:15 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
wrongturn687 wrote:
RS: [FDES5] low 20s

curtis20 wrote:
MTC
FD5- 21

wrongturn687 wrote:
:Comparisions:
TFD - RS High Teens / MTC 20
FD3 - No RS / MTC 23

bl1222 wrote:
Final Destination 5 is tracking behind Final Destination 4 and the 3rd one.


Unless I've forgotten how numbers work, FD5 is technically speaking tracking higher than TFD, even if the difference is minor.


Mon Aug 08, 2011 5:31 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
The Dark Shape wrote:
wrongturn687 wrote:
RS: [FDES5] low 20s

curtis20 wrote:
MTC
FD5- 21

wrongturn687 wrote:
:Comparisions:
TFD - RS High Teens / MTC 20
FD3 - No RS / MTC 23

bl1222 wrote:
Final Destination 5 is tracking behind Final Destination 4 and the 3rd one.


Unless I've forgotten how numbers work, FD5 is technically speaking tracking higher than TFD, even if the difference is minor.


He was referencing the BOM polls, not MTC.

FD5 is tracking well below 4 on IMDB as well.

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Mon Aug 08, 2011 5:35 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
If that's really true, It might chime in the lowest admissions in the franchise. If grosses less than Final Destination 2 ($47m) unadjusted, it would be a boneheaded decision to make a 6th one.


Mon Aug 08, 2011 5:38 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
curtis20 wrote:
MTC

The Help- 25 5 Day


Once again, Libs knows a lot more crap about women's films than I.

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Mon Aug 08, 2011 9:46 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
bl1222 wrote:
If that's really true, It might chime in the lowest admissions in the franchise. If grosses less than Final Destination 2 ($47m) unadjusted, it would be a boneheaded decision to make a 6th one.


No, they would just need to cut the 3D, which would put the budget back in the $20m range.


Mon Aug 08, 2011 10:24 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
The Help mixes two usually unpredicted demos (Women and African American). I wouldn't bet against it

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Tue Aug 09, 2011 12:12 am
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Movie Fandango User Rating % Fandango Sales

The Help “Must Go” 31%

Rise of the Planet of the Apes “Must Go” 15%

The Smurfs “Go” 14%

Glee: The 3D Concert Movie “Go” 11%

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 “Must Go” 6%


bolds well for The Help


Tue Aug 09, 2011 5:28 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
The Help will be No.1.

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Tue Aug 09, 2011 9:26 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
The reviews for the help are looking really good. I am starting to think it may break out. Sadly 30 less reviews seems to be falling. Hope it will rebound. I also think FD5 will be like Saw 6. Even though it looks like the best one yet there is only so many times you can do the Samething over before people get a little tired. Not sure what to think about Glee.


Tue Aug 09, 2011 9:50 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
The Help will be No.1.


The Help will do well but it won't be #1. During the Weekend it might get in High Teens but that won't be enough to beat FD5 or ROTPOTA


Wed Aug 10, 2011 12:35 am
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
The Help is opening over 5-day so 2 days before its release these numbers are expected (I mean Fandago). Also the novel is famous so I guess it will be frontloaded a bit. The release is over 5-days so I don't think Help will have enough help over the weekend. I don't see it breaking $40m-$45m over 5-day. ROTPOTA should be close to $27m over the weekend.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 1:54 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Glee is off to a good start review wise, 100% at RT with 7 reviews in, and the 6.7 average currently is higher than both Justin Bieber and Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus had, so it should finish fresh in the end.

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Wed Aug 10, 2011 2:28 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
xiayun wrote:
Glee is off to a good start review wise, 100% at RT with 7 reviews in, and the 6.7 average currently is higher than both Justin Bieber and Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus had, so it should finish fresh in the end.


Wow that's surprising :-k


Wed Aug 10, 2011 2:31 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Glee is off to a good start review wise, 100% at RT with 7 reviews in, and the 6.7 average currently is higher than both Justin Bieber and Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus had, so it should finish fresh in the end.


Wow that's surprising :-k


Why, though? Glee divides a lot of people but it has its fair share of critical support and awards attention.

Speaking for myself, I'm a pretty big fan of the show (even though last season was uneven as hell) but I don't think I'd pay money to see a concert movie.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 2:39 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Libs wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Glee is off to a good start review wise, 100% at RT with 7 reviews in, and the 6.7 average currently is higher than both Justin Bieber and Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus had, so it should finish fresh in the end.


Wow that's surprising :-k


Why, though? Glee divides a lot of people but it has its fair share of critical support and awards attention.

Speaking for myself, I'm a pretty big fan of the show (even though last season was uneven as hell) but I don't think I'd pay money to see a concert movie.


While the show does have awards attention it doesn't mean the movie would be critically acclaimed. It was very obvious from the late addition that the movie is a cash-grab so to get good ratings is surprising.

I might not be a huge fan though I do watch it, it is like useless fun :P The thing I like most about Glee is its college setup and underdog stories (ofcourse the music), take that out and I don't think there is anything great. This movie does exactly that it takes them out of college setup and well singing in stadium isn't much of underdog tale. So I thought this might not be thrashed by critics.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 2:50 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
The Help is opening over 5-day so 2 days before its release these numbers are expected (I mean Fandago). Also the novel is famous so I guess it will be frontloaded a bit. The release is over 5-days so I don't think Help will have enough help over the weekend. I don't see it breaking $40m-$45m over 5-day. ROTPOTA should be close to $27m over the weekend.



I think he meant #1 for wed which is very possible.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 5:27 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
It looks like FD5 will be the next Fast Five as the first reviews pouring in are really positive. I know it's early, but I think this could easily be first movie in the series to get a fresh rating on RT. Overall it sounds like a solid weekend for quality genre films and that's pretty rare these days.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 6:56 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
If the other movies didn't get a fresh rating, this one won't. FD5 is pretty much identical to 2 and 3.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 7:40 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
You never know its a 100 right now with 5 fresh reviews. I know it won't stay that way but thats still a very interesting start.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:32 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
It obviously won't stay that high, but this should without a doubt be the best reviewed one in the series. I have also seen three more rave reviews from blogger sites, but I have to admit I'm alot more curious of what the more mainstream critics will think. Either way I might just have to check it out on Friday with my brother who has been bugging the hell out me to see it. I'm somewhat excited about it though.


Wed Aug 10, 2011 11:44 pm
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
I would be shocked if The Help ends up lower than Glee and FD5, though I don't see the later two maintaining this good rating for so long


Thu Aug 11, 2011 1:32 am
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
I would be shocked if The Help ends up lower than Glee and FD5, though I don't see the later two maintaining this good rating for so long


The Help has slipped to 73%. 96 reviews, 70 fresh/26 rotten. Average: 7.1/10

FD5 is at 83%. 6 reviews, 5 fresh/1 rotten. Average: 7.5/10

Glee 3D still sits at 100%. 10 reviews, all fresh. Average: 6.7/10


Thu Aug 11, 2011 5:38 am
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Post Re: August 12-14 Predictions
I seriously don't understand why some critcs have to be assholes and spoil movies. This is exact reason why I hate reading online reviews. Thank you Matt Pais fo spoiling the end of FD5 for me. :disgust:


Thu Aug 11, 2011 11:26 am
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