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PresidentPalmer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 16, 2005 2:34 am Posts: 1956
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
MARVEL_ROCKS wrote: HAhahahaha BKB helps another movie.
I am seriously worried about Captain America and The Avengers. Somehow, I get the feeling that both those movies will disappoint at the boxoffice. I know what u mean. The Guy is like bad luck for anything he supports. and good luck for anything he doesn't
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:53 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
$25 mil OD guaranteed
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:55 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Jack Sparrow wrote: According to THR Green Lantern is looking at $20m Friday with $57m-$60m for weekend. Then either Nikki or THR is off on their Friday projection, since the latter's includes the midnight tally.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
Last edited by Rolling Thunder on Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:58 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35248 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Strong opening for Green Lantern. It's because everyone wants to fuck Ryan Reynolds  .
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 9:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
I am very glad that I was wrong about the Green Lantern. The box office certainly needed a push. It will be interesting to see what type of legs the film shows...
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:17 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
It'll be interesting to see its legs. It's not like Fantastic Four had good word of mouth but because it skewed so young (or so I assume), it was able to have solid legs. Maybe Green Lantern can do the same.
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:20 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
zingy wrote: It'll be interesting to see its legs. It's not like Fantastic Four had good word of mouth but because it skewed so young (or so I assume), it was able to have solid legs. Maybe Green Lantern can do the same. god i hope so i want a sequel with Sinestro as the villain 
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:29 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
giteshpandya Gitesh Pandya Sources telling me #GreenLantern could be heading to about $23M FRI incl midnites. 60-ish wknd possible.
with father's day effect 60M+ OW for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:55 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Keyser Söze wrote: giteshpandya Gitesh Pandya Sources telling me #GreenLantern could be heading to about $23M FRI incl midnites. 60-ish wknd possible.
with father's day effect 60M+ OW for sure.  60m + is great
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:12 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Looks like it'll beat my $50-60 million OW prediction. Aggressive last-minute marketing push did help a lot.
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:17 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Mike wrote: Strong opening for Green Lantern. It's because everyone wants to fuck Ryan Reynolds  . Go ahead, I would love myself Miss Lively. Also, if it does get a 20m OD, it's not getting a 3x even with FD. In fact, it'll also get worse legs because Cars 2 is a juggernaut with the kids and it still is Pixar so it's a no contest. Then Transformers 3, also kid-appealing, followed by Zookeeper, Potter, CA- no way GL gets good legs with mediocre WOM. We know Potter is most likely good and is critic-proof anyway, TF3 looks great, Cars 2 is Pixar and CA won't be as bad as GL, so really, its run is done, unless of course, Americans decide to be collective fucktards and give it good legs despite it being the worst movie of the summer so far.
_________________ Calls Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2 Lorax over Despicable Me Men in Black 3 Under 100m Madagascar 3 Under 100m Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:48 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
I'm quite surprised to see GL open this well. Just the latest evidence that the target demographic doesn't care about reviews OW.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jun 17, 2011 11:57 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35248 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
At least the opening will be good. They probably won't make a sequel though. What they'd do is reboot it  . So sick of everything being rebooted, especially when they reboot films that are already hits.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:00 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Rolling Thunder wrote: I'm quite surprised to see GL open this well. Just the latest evidence that the target demographic doesn't care about reviews OW. So can we conclude twitter means nothing. its not good enough tool to extrapolate into numbers.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:01 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Keyser Söze wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: I'm quite surprised to see GL open this well. Just the latest evidence that the target demographic doesn't care about reviews OW. So can we conclude twitter means nothing. its not good enough tool to extrapolate into numbers. It swung and missed, but show me a method that hasn't struck out many times. If GL has a $23m Friday, it simply means its ratio was similar to Robin Hood's (890). It's all in picking the best comparative match. We learn from it and move on.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:06 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6784
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Rolling Thunder wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: I'm quite surprised to see GL open this well. Just the latest evidence that the target demographic doesn't care about reviews OW. So can we conclude twitter means nothing. its not good enough tool to extrapolate into numbers. It swung and missed, but show me a method that hasn't struck out many times. If GL has a $23m Friday, it simply means its ratio was similar to Robin Hood's (890). It's all in picking the best comparative match. We learn from it and move on. I dont see a consistent pattern to use it a tool at this point. Plus Alex just uses what ever ratio fits his prediction rather use a comparative ratio to similar movies. I dont see any comparison between GL and Robinhood. May be after few years of maintaining the counts if we can detect a pattern, we could use it to extrapolate. Currently its a big hit and miss.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:30 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11016 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Jedi Master Carr wrote: And it will drop 65% next week after the toxic WOM gets out. I still think it will make less than X-Men: FC. I wasn't hearing anything toxic as I headed to the exits. Also, there was a smattering of applause at the end but by no means thunderous. I got the feeling a majority of my audience enjoyed it for what it was.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 12:36 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
It looks like the numbers for this weekend are all over.... THR in its 2nd update says that Green Lantern is expected to gross $22m for $58m-$60m. Mr. Popper's Penguins - $6.7m for $17m-$19mSuper 8 - $6m (but is still expected to take #2 spot) with $20mhttp://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/b ... ern-202992
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:26 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Nikki's numbers (still updating Top 10)
1. Green Lantern (Warner Bros) NEW [3,816 Runs] Friday $23M, Estimated Weekend $60M
2. Mr. Popper's Penguins (Fox) NEW [3,338 Runs] Friday $7M, Estimated Weekend $19M
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:40 am |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
Great hold for Super 8. I have a bad feeling that X-men crashed and burned. 
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:45 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
^That smiley does not justify your hate campaign against X-Men
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:48 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
I know that MPP is in its OW but it was heavily marketed as a movie to see with your fathers this weekend. On top of that it is more kid friendly than Super 8 so it can have a better Saturday, plus a good Sunday hold. If these numbers hold for Super 8 and MPP then I guess the latter has a very good chance to take #2 spot for the weekend....it's Friday is definitely better than expected.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:53 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
1. Green Lantern (Warner Bros) NEW [3,816 Runs] Friday $22M, Estimated Weekend $60M
2. Mr. Popper's Penguins (Fox) NEW [3,338 Runs] Friday $7M, Estimated Weekend $19M
3. Super 8 (Paramount Week 2 [3,408 Runs] Friday $5.8M (-52%), Estimated Weekend $19.5M, Estimated Cume $71.5M
4. X-Men: First Class (Fox) Week 3 [3,375 Runs] Friday $3.3M, Estimated Weekend $11.5M, Estimated Cume $129M
5. The Hangover Part II (Legendary/Warner Bros) Week 4 [3,460 Runs] Friday $3M, Estimated Weekend $10M, Estimated Cume $233M
6. Kung Fu Panda 2 (Paramount) Week 4 [3,469 Runs] Friday $2.5M, Estimated Weekend $8.2M, Estimated Cume $143M
7. Bridesmaids (Universal) Week 5 [2,573 Runs] Friday $2.4M, Estimated Weekend $7.2M, Estimated Cume $136M
8. Pirates Of The Caribbean 4 (Disney) Week 5 [2,742 Runs] Friday $2.2M, Estimated Weekend $8.2M, Estimated Cume $222M
9. Midnight In Paris (Sony Classics) Week 5 [1,083 Runs] Friday $1.4M, Estimated Weekend $5M, Estimated Cume $21.5M
10. Judy Moody (Relativity) Week 2 [2,524 Runs] Friday $825K (-63%), Estimated Weekend $2.5M, Estimated Cume $11.4M
Tree of Life (114 screens) - $300K Friday Estimated $1.2M The Art Of Getting By (610 screens) -$275K Estimated $750K.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:58 am |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am Posts: 3139
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
That would definitely kill FC chances of outgrossing the original X-Men if that number holds up.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 2:59 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35248 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Early Friday Numbers
That would be a really great hold for Midnight in Paris.
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Sat Jun 18, 2011 3:09 am |
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