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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Yahoo is good again. :wink:
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:05 pm |
 
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Special congrats to our undeniable YAHOO REVIEWS EXPERTS:
Xiayun & DP07!
 _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:53 pm |
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TDW_BIBLE
Newbie
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:54 am
Posts: 5
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xiayun wrote: Final projections:
The Grudge - Simply great hourly numbers. 12.5 - 15M.
Surviving Christmas - Didn't pick up much during the night. Didn't completely stop either. So I don't think we'll see Thunderbirds ratio here. 2 - 2.4M.
I Heart Huckbees - 80 - 110 ratio for a 0.8 - 1.1M opening looks right. GRUDGE, THE $15,248,500 (NEW) $4,699 PTA
SURVIVING CHRISTMAS $1,424,500 (-) $518 PTA
I HEART HUCKABEES $952,000 (-) 1,213 PTA
8)
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 2:18 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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micasey300 wrote: DP07 wrote: The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m You can't be serious. I would die if that were true. Wow, that was a very painful death!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 6:02 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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micasey300 wrote: micasey300 wrote: DP07 wrote: The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m You can't be serious. I would die if that were true. Wow, that was a very painful death! 
 :wink:
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 6:05 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm
Posts: 3016
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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micasey300 wrote: micasey300 wrote: DP07 wrote: The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m You can't be serious. I would die if that were true. Wow, that was a very painful death! And WOWWWWW!
not for The grudge..
but for 'our undeniable YAHOO REVIEWS EXPERTS' :wink:
it really works!
Can't wait 'till 5 Nov.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 6:29 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Even though the sample set is small, but I think user grade is definitely a factor. A D-range grade pretty much gauranteed an over 250 ratio, even for the comedy genre that has had low ratio in the past.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 7:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Hehehe, you guys are really experts at that
I just posted by Friday numbers analysis here, if anyone's interested:
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopi ... 5778#15778_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 7:22 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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xiayun wrote: Even though the sample set is small, but I think user grade is definitely a factor. A D-range grade pretty much gauranteed an over 250 ratio, even for the comedy genre that has had low ratio in the past. Yeah, that does appear to be the case. This just provides more evidence for it. The effect really seems to kick in when a movie hits a C.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 7:42 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Ratios With Friday Estimates
# of reviews Box Office (In Millions) Ratio
The Grudge 1825 $15.248500 119.68
Surviving Christmas 337 $1.424500 236.57
I Heart Huckabees 91 $0.952000 95.59
4 Hour Ratios
The Grudge 690 $15.248500 45.25
Surviving Christmas 99 $1.424500 69.50
I Heart Huckabees 20 $0.952000 21.01
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 6:56 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Yay!
I was worried when the grudge was C+ but that was only from 60 odd votes, but now B from over 6,000 is awesome!
I heard it's the scariest movie of the year!
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 10:38 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Great job guys. Every week, the reliability of Yahoo just gets better and better.
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:06 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ratios With Friday Actuals
# of reviews Box Office (In Millions) Ratio
The Grudge 1825 $14,557,965 125.36
Surviving Christmas 337 $1,389,059 242.61
I Heart Huckabees 91 $967,166 94.09
4 Hour Ratios
The Grudge 690 $14,557,965 47.40
Surviving Christmas 99 $1,389,059 71.27
I Heart Huckabees 20 $967,166 20.68
Last edited by xiayun on Tue Nov 01, 2005 1:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 6:32 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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BTW, The Grudge is fast approaching 10000. It'll make it today, 4 days total, pretty impressive considering it "only" had 1825 on Friday.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 6:36 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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 Friday 10/22
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 0 1825 1825
2 ) Team America: World Police 6613 7021 408
3 ) Surviving Christmas 0 337 337
4 ) Shark Tale 10175 10487 312
5 ) Friday Night Lights 5855 6070 215
6 ) Shall We Dance? 2568 2740 172
7 ) Taxi 3972 4131 159
8 ) Raise Your Voice 5715 5871 156
9 ) Ladder 49 7388 7544 156
10 ) The Forgotten 7518 7674 156
11 ) I Heart Huckabees 354 445 91
12 ) Napoleon Dynamite 12834 12915 81
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7129 7191 62
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge N/A N/A
Team America: World Police 412 -0.97%
Surviving Christmas N/A N/A
Shark Tale 215 45.12%
Friday Night Lights 197 9.14%
Shall We Dance? 134 28.36%
Taxi 129 23.26%
Raise Your Voice 144 8.33%
Ladder 49 130 20.00%
The Forgotten 122 27.87%
I Heart Huckabees N/A N/A
Napoleon Dynamite 62 30.65%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 59 5.08%
7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Raise Your Voice 120 30.00%
Shark Tale 315 -0.95%
The Forgotten 163 -4.29%
Napoleon Dynamite 94 -13.83%
Taxi 208 -23.56%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 83 -25.30%
Ladder 49 218 -28.44%
Friday Night Lights 319 -32.60%
Shall We Dance? 425 -59.53%
Team America: World Police 1056 -61.36%
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| Wed Oct 27, 2004 2:10 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Saturday 10/23
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 1825 6466 4641
2 ) Surviving Christmas 337 1110 773
3 ) Team America: World Police 7021 7724 703
4 ) Shark Tale 10487 11110 623
5 ) Friday Night Lights 6070 6400 330
6 ) Raise Your Voice 5871 6150 279
7 ) Taxi 4131 4387 256
8 ) The Forgotten 7674 7908 234
9 ) Shall We Dance? 2740 2970 230
10 ) Ladder 49 7544 7773 229
11 ) I Heart Huckabees 445 551 106
12 ) Napoleon Dynamite 12915 13009 94
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7191 7254 63
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 1825 154.30%
Surviving Christmas 337 129.38%
Team America: World Police 408 72.30%
Shark Tale 312 99.68%
Friday Night Lights 215 53.49%
Raise Your Voice 156 78.85%
Taxi 159 61.01%
The Forgotten 156 50.00%
Shall We Dance? 172 33.72%
Ladder 49 156 46.79%
I Heart Huckabees 91 16.48%
Napoleon Dynamite 81 16.05%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 62 1.61%
7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
The Forgotten 224 4.46%
Taxi 278 -7.91%
Shark Tale 686 -9.18%
Ladder 49 296 -22.64%
Napoleon Dynamite 126 -25.40%
Raise Your Voice 398 -29.90%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 90 -30.00%
Friday Night Lights 577 -42.81%
Team America: World Police 2466 -71.49%
Shall We Dance? 1171 -80.36%
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| Wed Oct 27, 2004 2:17 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Sunday 10/24
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 6466 8691 2225
2 ) Team America: World Police 7724 8218 494
3 ) Shark Tale 11110 11430 320
4 ) Surviving Christmas 1110 1382 272
5 ) Friday Night Lights 6400 6638 238
6 ) Ladder 49 7773 7982 209
7 ) Shall We Dance? 2970 3170 200
8 ) Taxi 4387 4578 191
9 ) The Forgotten 7908 8084 176
10 ) Raise Your Voice 6150 6323 173
11 ) I Heart Huckabees 551 688 137
12 ) Napoleon Dynamite 13009 13081 72
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7254 7301 47
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 4641 -52.06%
Team America: World Police 703 -29.73%
Shark Tale 623 -48.64%
Surviving Christmas 773 -64.81%
Friday Night Lights 330 -27.88%
Ladder 49 229 -8.73%
Shall We Dance? 230 -13.04%
Taxi 256 -25.39%
The Forgotten 234 -24.79%
Raise Your Voice 279 -37.99%
I Heart Huckabees 106 29.25%
Napoleon Dynamite 94 -23.40%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 63 -25.40%
7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Shark Tale 412 -22.33%
Napoleon Dynamite 95 -24.21%
The Forgotten 245 -28.16%
Ladder 49 291 -28.18%
Taxi 267 -28.46%
Friday Night Lights 383 -37.86%
Raise Your Voice 307 -43.65%
Shall We Dance? 357 -43.98%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 88 -46.59%
Team America: World Police 1292 -61.76%
Last edited by DP07 on Wed Oct 27, 2004 2:52 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Wed Oct 27, 2004 2:31 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Monday 10/25
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 8691 9985 1294
2 ) Team America: World Police 8218 8558 340
3 ) Shark Tale 11430 11614 184
4 ) Friday Night Lights 6638 6817 179
5 ) Surviving Christmas 1382 1547 165
6 ) Shall We Dance? 3170 3320 150
7 ) Ladder 49 7982 8122 140
8 ) The Forgotten 8084 8199 115
9 ) I Heart Huckabees 688 797 109
10 ) Taxi 4578 4686 108
11 ) Raise Your Voice 6323 6391 68
12 ) Napoleon Dynamite 13081 13126 45
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7301 7340 39
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 2225 -41.84%
Team America: World Police 494 -31.17%
Shark Tale 320 -42.50%
Friday Night Lights 238 -24.79%
Surviving Christmas 272 -39.34%
Shall We Dance? 200 -25.00%
Ladder 49 209 -33.01%
The Forgotten 176 -34.66%
I Heart Huckabees 137 -20.44%
Taxi 191 -43.46%
Raise Your Voice 173 -60.69%
Napoleon Dynamite 72 -37.50%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 47 -17.02%
7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
The Forgotten 134 -14.18%
Ladder 49 167 -16.17%
Taxi 132 -18.18%
Friday Night Lights 232 -22.84%
Napoleon Dynamite 65 -30.77%
Shark Tale 284 -35.21%
Shall We Dance? 242 -38.02%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 68 -42.65%
Raise Your Voice 141 -51.77%
Team America: World Police 735 -53.74%
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| Wed Oct 27, 2004 2:37 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Tuesday 10/26
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 9985 10789 804
2 ) Team America: World Police 8558 8787 229
3 ) Shark Tale 11614 11752 138
4 ) Friday Night Lights 6817 6955 138
5 ) Taxi 4686 4792 106
6 ) Shall We Dance? 3320 3424 104
7 ) Ladder 49 8122 8214 92
8 ) Surviving Christmas 1547 1631 84
9 ) The Forgotten 8199 8282 83
10 ) Raise Your Voice 6391 6464 73
11 ) I Heart Huckabees 797 860 63
12 ) Napoleon Dynamite 13126 13179 53
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7340 7370 30
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 1294 -37.87%
Team America: World Police 340 -32.65%
Shark Tale 184 -25.00%
Friday Night Lights 179 -22.91%
Taxi 108 -1.85%
Shall We Dance? 150 -30.67%
Ladder 49 140 -34.29%
Surviving Christmas 165 -49.09%
The Forgotten 115 -27.83%
Raise Your Voice 68 7.35%
I Heart Huckabees 109 -42.20%
Napoleon Dynamite 45 17.78%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 39 -23.08%
7 days eariler Weekly Increase/Decrease
Napoleon Dynamite 59 -10.17%
Shall We Dance? 129 -19.38%
Taxi 134 -20.90%
Friday Night Lights 197 -29.95%
Shark Tale 215 -35.81%
Ladder 49 144 -36.11%
The Forgotten 130 -36.15%
Raise Your Voice 122 -40.16%
Team America: World Police 412 -44.42%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 62 -51.61%
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| Wed Oct 27, 2004 3:01 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Wednesday 10/27
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 10789 11461 672
2 ) Team America: World Police 8787 8957 170
3 ) Shark Tale 11752 11893 141
4 ) Friday Night Lights 6955 7058 103
5 ) Shall We Dance? 3424 3510 86
6 ) The Forgotten 8282 8367 85
7 ) Taxi 4792 4873 81
8 ) Ladder 49 8214 8290 76
9 ) Surviving Christmas 1631 1697 66
10 ) Raise Your Voice 6464 6521 57
11 ) Napoleon Dynamite 13179 13218 39
12 ) I Heart Huckabees 860 897 37
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7370 7390 20
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 804 -16.42%
Team America: World Police 229 -25.76%
Shark Tale 138 2.17%
Friday Night Lights 138 -25.36%
Shall We Dance? 104 -17.31%
The Forgotten 83 2.41%
Taxi 106 -23.58%
Ladder 49 92 -17.39%
Surviving Christmas 84 -21.43%
Raise Your Voice 73 -21.92%
Napoleon Dynamite 53 -26.42%
I Heart Huckabees 63 -41.27%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 30 -33.33%
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| Thu Oct 28, 2004 3:56 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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So...
Could you explain what it means for the movies like The Grudge? (the statistics, that is)
Does it indicate good legs?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Oct 28, 2004 12:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ratio predictions:
Saw - Horror films normally have a ratio of 110-130. However, not too high a theater count, rated-R, as well as the fact that some people have already seen it (it has 1,146 votes at IMDb already, and those movie buffs or fans tend to review early at Yahoo once it becomes available) will all increase its ratio. I think these factors will push its ratio to 140-170 level.
Ray - Adult films mean low ratio. Theater count isn't high, but the # of screens per theater is good. Also, unfortunately, the African American population doesn't all have the most convenience access to internet. I think the ratio will be between 90 and 120.
Birth - A rated-R movie in limited release. It also has controversy, so I think 200 is the minimum. 200-250.
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| Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:56 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Hmm, doesn't look like Yahoo will be tracking Birth today since it still has its release date on November 5.
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| Fri Oct 29, 2004 3:34 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ray 9, +9, B
Saw 5, +5, A
I'd have expected Saw to come out with the faster start. Good grade for Saw, but impressive first hour for Ray.
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| Fri Oct 29, 2004 3:36 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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The Grudge has the biggest first week since The Village. It beat AVP by just a few hundred.
Thursday 10/28
Beginning of Day End of Day Daily Total
1 ) The Grudge 11461 12085 624
2 ) Team America: World Police 8957 9148 191
3 ) Shark Tale 11893 12058 165
4 ) Friday Night Lights 7058 7188 130
5 ) Ladder 49 8290 8376 86
6 ) Surviving Christmas 1697 1783 86
7 ) Taxi 4873 4958 85
8 ) Shall We Dance? 3510 3584 74
9 ) The Forgotten 8367 8440 73
10 ) Napoleon Dynamite 13218 13277 59
11 ) Raise Your Voice 6521 6571 50
12 ) I Heart Huckabees 897 947 50
13 ) Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 7390 7423 33
Previous Day Daily Increase/Decrease
The Grudge 672 -7.14%
Team America: World Police 170 12.35%
Shark Tale 141 17.02%
Friday Night Lights 103 26.21%
Ladder 49 76 13.16%
Surviving Christmas 66 30.30%
Taxi 81 4.94%
Shall We Dance? 86 -13.95%
The Forgotten 85 -14.12%
Napoleon Dynamite 39 51.28%
Raise Your Voice 57 -12.28%
I Heart Huckabees 37 35.14%
Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow 20 65.00%
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| Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:23 am |
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