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 July 23-25 Predictions 
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Wallflower
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
SALT - 28.3 MILLION
RAMONA & BEEZUS - 10.1 MILLION

INCEPTION
will hurt SALT a bit. SALT will hurt INCEPTION a little too, but to a lesser extent, IMO.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:20 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Vague early predictions

Salt - $38-41m
Ramona and Beezus - $3-5m

I'll wait for Monday's grosses before predicting Inception, but I'm anticipating a less-than-43% drop. Star Trek dropped 42.8% following a $75m OW, I'm assuming Inception can drop a bit less given the smaller OW and the similar WOM.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:28 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
2 of my buds have already agreed to see it again, both saying they feel they'll enjoy it even more

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:45 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Hmm what are the chances Inception can increase on it's opening weekend or atleast not drop below $50M ? :ohmy:


Last edited by Dil on Sun Jul 18, 2010 7:59 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jul 18, 2010 5:49 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Magception wrote:
TrekFan1 wrote:
I'll wait for Monday's grosses before predicting Inception, but I'm anticipating a less-than-43% drop. Star Trek dropped 42.8% following a $75m OW, I'm assuming Inception can drop a bit less given the smaller OW and the similar WOM.


A. Add in the previews to Star Trek and it would have dropped over 45%

B. May openings vs. July opening VERY different. A 45% drop in July is GREAT while only good in May.

Not to say that Inception won't drop under 45% (I think it will), but ST isn't the best comparison.

wrongturn687 wrote:
Hmm what are the chances Inception can increase on it's opening weekend or atleast not drop below $50M ? :ohmy:


0% chance for both.

Absolute best possible case would be 25% drop which is what WC got, which would lead to a 45m weekend. And that's like literally THE MAX. If it does more than that, I will eat my own shit and put it on YouTube.



If it did that you could send me some of your shit and I'D eat it and put it on YouTube :P.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 7:48 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Inception - $43.8m (-27%)
Salt - $40.2m
Ramona and Beezus - $10.7m

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 8:59 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
Inception - $43.8m (-27%)


:cheer:


Sun Jul 18, 2010 9:15 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
I'll eat Mag's shit if Inception tops 40m next wknd.

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 9:24 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
I must be the only one that thinks Salt will "bomb" (as in barely getting $30).
I don't see the interest for this at all. Can't be the movie itself, look very average.
Is Jolie really that big of a draw?
:nerd:


Sun Jul 18, 2010 9:38 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Magception wrote:
MadGez wrote:
Inception - $43.8m (-27%)


YOU CRAZY GEZ!


I just get that feel that it will defy logic as a few films a decade do. I could be very wrong but i'm going with it.

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 9:47 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Every summer needs a leggy runaway hit. Shockingly, the closest we've had to one this summer is Grown-Ups. Perhaps Inception could be the one we're looking for.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 10:07 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Tony Stark wrote:
INCEPTION: 37 Million 2nd weekend


Um....that's a reasonable prediction. What's up?


Really?? Alright.. Give me a moment and I'll think of a number a little more outlandish..

34 Million for the weekend..

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 10:27 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Grow a pair and go under $30m you clown.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 10:32 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
zingy wrote:
Grow a pair and go under $30m you clown.


I've got your clown HANGING below my knees.. If your so confident in 30 Million, why don't you throw the number out yourself??? :whistle:

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Sun Jul 18, 2010 10:34 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Ghostooze wrote:
I must be the only one that thinks Salt will "bomb" (as in barely getting $30).
I don't see the interest for this at all. Can't be the movie itself, look very average.
Is Jolie really that big of a draw?
:nerd:


In a movie like this she can be. Still, I don't see it being that big either. I'd be happy to be wrong as it looks fun, but at the moment I don't think it will be. I say high 20's or maybe lower 30's.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 11:35 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Early Tracking is suggesting about 35m for Salt. This is a perfect role for Angelina and though I think screen absence could do bad for her, the tracking is suggesting otherwise. It might end up being a big opener since she hasn't been on big screen for quite sometime now (last being Changeling that was in October 2008)

It has a good chance of 40m+ still Inception might hurt this. The vice-versa is also true and if Salt turns out to be good there is a chance that Inception might get hurt a bit more.


Sun Jul 18, 2010 11:59 pm
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Magception wrote:
TrekFan1 wrote:
I'll wait for Monday's grosses before predicting Inception, but I'm anticipating a less-than-43% drop. Star Trek dropped 42.8% following a $75m OW, I'm assuming Inception can drop a bit less given the smaller OW and the similar WOM.


A. Add in the previews to Star Trek and it would have dropped over 45%

B. May openings vs. July opening VERY different. A 45% drop in July is GREAT while only good in May.

Not to say that Inception won't drop under 45% (I think it will), but ST isn't the best comparison.


True, true. Star Trek was just the first well-received non-3D blockbuster incorporating sci-fi and action elements with a $60-80m OW that came to mind. :D


Last edited by TrekFan1 on Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:31 am, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:17 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Checked a bunch of twitter comments throughout the day... have yet to read a bad comment about Inception.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:48 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
I'm thinking low/mid 40's for Salt.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:49 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Chipo DiCaprio wrote:
Checked a bunch of twitter comments throughout the day... have yet to read a bad comment about Inception.


People either love it or dont get it (in that case they may see it again) - so its a win win for Inception. Expect a sub 30% drop next weekend for sure. I even wouldnt be surprised with a sub 15%.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 2:10 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Are you smoking something? :P Sub 15%? That's just not possible ;). Maybe if it opened with 11 Million.


Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:19 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Salt - $36.7 million
Ramona and Beezus - $7.4 million


Inception - -41%

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 3:49 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
The early tracking for Ramona seems to be good. I am not sure it will do well but there is a chance it might actually clear that double digits mark which would be a great number for it


Mon Jul 19, 2010 6:34 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
Chipo DiCaprio wrote:
Checked a bunch of twitter comments throughout the day... have yet to read a bad comment about Inception.


People either love it or dont get it (in that case they may see it again) - so its a win win for Inception. Expect a sub 30% drop next weekend for sure. I even wouldnt be surprised with a sub 15%.


Inceptions the Moss of movies.

Super freak. :D

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 9:19 am
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Post Re: July 23-25 Predictions
Guru has Inception being underestimated by $1.3 mill. Now $61.7 million weekend. {nm}


Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:04 am
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