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 Friday Numbers (July 16) 
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
$21M is a solid number for Inception, but as I have said a million times before I would not be suprised by a slight decrease today. As for DM it held up really well, but it's likely not going to go far past $200M if it gets there. As for the the rest of the holdovers nothing too special, but that drop for Predators is AWFUL. It's now VERY likely it will go under $50M and $60M is deffentially out of the question.


Last edited by Dil on Sat Jul 17, 2010 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 17, 2010 12:46 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Thegun wrote:
Yes, 59% drop for Twatlight, 300 is still not guaranteed.

New Moon dropped 64% and Eclipse is still ahead of it in the dailies by about 10m. Huge weekdays will still help it and 300m is still quite achievable.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 12:46 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Also I just realized K&D will only finish with around $75M domestic. That's pretty bad considering the budget and marketing. Too bad because the movie was actually decent. I say the same for A-Team aswell.


Last edited by Dil on Sat Jul 17, 2010 5:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 17, 2010 12:58 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
BOM:

http://admin.boxofficemojo.com/daily/ch ... -16&p=.htm

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 1:49 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Releasing Predators days before Inception reminds me of when Universal released Hellboy II: The Golden Army right before The Dark Knight.

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 1:53 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Gunslinger wrote:
Releasing Predators days before Inception reminds me of when Universal released Hellboy II: The Golden Army right before The Dark Knight.


It's the kind of thing where I think they knew it wouldn't have legs anywhere they put it, so last weekend was a good slot for opening weekend.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 1:54 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Libs wrote:
Gunslinger wrote:
Releasing Predators days before Inception reminds me of when Universal released Hellboy II: The Golden Army right before The Dark Knight.


It's the kind of thing where I think they knew it wouldn't have legs anywhere they put it, so last weekend was a good slot for opening weekend.


But it was a damn good movie and shouldn't have dropped as much as avp and avpr both of which were extremely shitty movies.

Ugh.

Fuck you fanboys for not showing up on 2nd weekend after the 1st. They complain all the time that studio made crap film and when they actually do make a decent film the numbers aren't good. So fuck u fans. You deserve shit.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 2:18 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
See any movies this weekend, ladiesman217?

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 2:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
LadiesMan217 wrote:
Libs wrote:
Gunslinger wrote:
Releasing Predators days before Inception reminds me of when Universal released Hellboy II: The Golden Army right before The Dark Knight.


It's the kind of thing where I think they knew it wouldn't have legs anywhere they put it, so last weekend was a good slot for opening weekend.


But it was a damn good movie and shouldn't have dropped as much as avp and avpr both of which were extremely shitty movies.

Ugh.

Fuck you fanboys for not showing up on 2nd weekend after the 1st. They complain all the time that studio made crap film and when they actually do make a decent film the numbers aren't good. So fuck u fans. You deserve shit.

:|


Sat Jul 17, 2010 2:27 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Um, why would it increase today? Even Despicable Me decreased on Saturday, and that didn't have 3m midnights.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 2:38 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Goception wrote:
Um, why would it increase today? Even Despicable Me decreased on Saturday, and that didn't have 3m midnights.

films not decreasing, awareness is still building.

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 2:41 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
I suspect awareness will increase from here on out to Sunday night, so 80mil is still possible

Fri: 21.7
Sat: 26.8
Sun: 35.9
OW: 84.4

Yup, superb indeed.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:01 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
My friend's brother also said that Inception was "okay," and this is usually indicating an 8x overall multiplier. Shack's $500m thread is very much in play based on this information.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:05 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
I'm really doubting the "great legs" excuse. 60m is not bad, and considering tracking better than I expected, however this is not avatar. It is may have some similar cool cgi and action, however it is focused on a mind-bending complex plotline that many may find confusing and not enjoyable. Avatar was just dumb enough to connect with everyone but had "revolutionary" visuals and 3D so that critics enjoyed it too. It was a perfect storm. I'm not convinced Inception will find that sort of WOM and become a sensation. It should be good for 220m or so, which isn't bad but not what I was hoping for.

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:06 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Michael A wrote:
I'm really doubting the "great legs" excuse. 60m is not bad, and considering tracking better than I expected, however this is not avatar. It is may have some similar cool cgi and action, however it is focused on a mind-bending complex plotline that many may find confusing and not enjoyable. Avatar was just dumb enough to connect with everyone but had "revolutionary" visuals and 3D so that critics enjoyed it too. It was a perfect storm. I'm not convinced Inception will find that sort of WOM and become a sensation. It should be good for 220m or so, which isn't bad but not what I was hoping for.


Please.

That is not an excuse, it is a prediction. An opening around $60M for this type of movie is a certified success, not something that needs to be excused.

And considering what you just said in this post ("a mind-bending complex plotline that many may find confusing and not enjoyable"), $220M would be EXCELLENT, more than just "not bad." The movie is very intricate and demands that people pay attention.


Last edited by Libs on Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:07 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Magception wrote:
My father's cousin's husband's aunt's grandson said it was the greatest movie ever made. 10x multiplier is looking good. Titanic is going down again.


This doesn't seem logical.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:08 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Magception wrote:
zingy wrote:
Magception wrote:
My father's cousin's husband's aunt's grandson said it was the greatest movie ever made. 10x multiplier is looking good. Titanic is going down again.


This doesn't seem logical.


It's the grandson of the woman who's nephew is married to a woman who is my father's cousin.

This:
Michael A wrote:
a mind-bending complex plotline that many may find confusing and not enjoyable.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Also, I wanted to add what I think might be becoming a misconception from those who haven't seen Inception:

The movie is NOT confusing, assuming you actually pay attention and don't text half the film. Everything makes perfect sense, it just expects the viewer to be on their toes. The people who seem to think average Americans won't accept the film are being kind of elitist, imo.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:23 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
CYRUS didn't expand well at all :whaa:. I would have thought adding more than double the theaters it would be able to increase a bit from last weekend, but it's actually going to drop. The expansion will clearly stop here. Of course a lot of people were probably like, "Why see CYRUS when we can see INCEPTION?" Well NOT me! :P


Sat Jul 17, 2010 3:40 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
And you loved Cyrus so much.

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 4:12 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Libs wrote:
That is not an excuse, it is a prediction. An opening around $60M for this type of movie is a certified success, not something that needs to be excused.

Then why are some people disappointed?

Also, one should not forget that it boasts a combined production and marketing budget of over $260m, the studio is surely expecting a blockbuster return. Plus it doesn't lend itself well to merchandising tie-ins, like toys, so no revenue there.

The movie is walking a fine line at the moment, depending on its legs it could go either way, success or disappointment.

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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Nazgul9 wrote:
Libs wrote:
That is not an excuse, it is a prediction. An opening around $60M for this type of movie is a certified success, not something that needs to be excused.

Then why are some people disappointed?

Also, one should not forget that it boasts a combined production and marketing budget of over $260m, the studio is surely expecting a blockbuster return. Plus it doesn't lend itself well to merchandising tie-ins, like toys, so no revenue there.

The movie is walking a fine line at the moment, depending on its legs it could go either way, success or disappointment.


Who's disappointed?

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Sat Jul 17, 2010 4:37 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Chipo DiCaprio wrote:
Nazgul9 wrote:
Libs wrote:
That is not an excuse, it is a prediction. An opening around $60M for this type of movie is a certified success, not something that needs to be excused.

Then why are some people disappointed?

Also, one should not forget that it boasts a combined production and marketing budget of over $260m, the studio is surely expecting a blockbuster return. Plus it doesn't lend itself well to merchandising tie-ins, like toys, so no revenue there.

The movie is walking a fine line at the moment, depending on its legs it could go either way, success or disappointment.


Who's disappointed?


Plenty of people. Whether or not their disappointment is justified, in retrospect, is another story. I could go either way with it.


Last edited by Jiffy on Sat Jul 17, 2010 5:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Jul 17, 2010 4:43 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Gunslinger wrote:
And you loved Cyrus so much.


No, but I feel good for supporting an indie film ;). It will show my theater that there's some interest in indie films and maybe they will get more (afterall, there were 9 people at Cyrus last night, lol).


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Post Re: Friday Numbers (July 16)
Once again, I'm perplexed as to how some can't grasp the concept that an opening can be disappointing relative to expectations and budget (and I would surely argue those expectations were not unfounded or foolhardy) but still good financially. It's the same idea behind Toy Story 3 and Iron Man 2 being disappointing.

The legs are something we can't judge right now. It could sprout a POTC style 6.0 multi, it could go up today, but we can't say for sure. All we have to judge it on now is it's opening day, which to me is disappointing.


Sat Jul 17, 2010 5:04 pm
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