I don't get the over-the-top love for Inception. We haven't seen nearly enough to know if it can meet this $250 million + potential everyone is guaranteeing. Can we keep in mind Nolan still only has two films over $200 million, let alone $100 million, and both involve a caped crusader? Sure, he's a much bigger pull now, but wouldn't that mean Sam Raimi was as well? This just seems too dark to be that huge.

I shall repeat:

It's gonna be AWWWEESSOMMEEEEE

Time for an update!

1. Toy Story 3 will break 1B WW.
2. Toy Story 3 will beat Shrek 2.
3. HP7 Part I WW total will fall short of 1B.
4. HP7 Part I will break 150m OW but finish w/ less than 335m.
5. Shrek 4 total < Shrek 3 total, but it will break 575m overseas.
6. Iron Man 2 OW > TDK OW
7. Eclipse will not break 275m, but pass 500m overseas.
8. Inception will break 250m.
9. Narnia 3 will break 225m.
10. Alice in Wonderland total > CATCF total
11. Clash of the Titans OW > 300 OW
12. Prince of Persia will not break 175m.
13. Knight and Day will pass 145m.
14. Sex and the City 2 will not pass the original.
15. 2010 yearly total will break 12B.

1. Iron Man 2 will make $425+ million.
2. Shrek Forever After will not make $300 million
3. Clash of the Titans will pass $200 million
4. Valentine's Day will have an opening weekend over $45 million
5. Shutter Island will make over $120 million
6. The Bounty Hunter and Date Night will both make $100+ million
7. Death at a Funeral will open with over $28 million
8. Footloose will make over $120 million
9. Jonah Hex won't pass $50 million
10. Eclipse won't pass $260 million
11. The Sorcerer's Apprentice will outgross Inception
12. The Meet the Fockers sequel won't be released in July
13. The Zookeeper will make over $120 million
14. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows won't pass $300 million (sadly)
15. Gulliver's Travels will make at least 3 times as much as the Green Hornet
16. Tron: Legacy won't pass $100 million

Okay I'll do one for every movie.
1. Daybreakers will open to more than 17m
2. Leap Year will cross 35m total
3. Youth in Revolt implodes and doesn't reach 12m.
4. Book of Eli will beat Cloverfield's record and take over from Avatar as #1
5. Spy Next Door is a hilarious flop and fails to top 20m.
6. The Lovely Bones expands well to a total above 65m.
7. Extraordinary Measures is ordinary, generic and is the first movie of the year to fail to pass 10m.
8. Legion has the worst legs ever topping Jonas Bros multiplier, or not topping.
9. Tooth Fairy returns Dwayne Johnson as a family star with a total over 70m.
10. Edge of Darkness is the first 100m hit of the NY.
11. When in Rome disappoints with a sub 45m total of a 16m OW.

Predators will do well. The script is a total crowd-pleaser.

your inception prediction is contradicting your 2010 guarantee.

Avatanic will make more in 2010 than any 2010 release.

no...



Avatar has to make like 650+ million

800m is assured

Well with 3D, Shrek 4 is gauranteed $900m WW and Toy Story there as well.

I'm not talking World Wide though it will make more WW than every 2010 release aw well. the film was around 565-575m on thursday dec. 31, it should easily clear 1.5b int. for 2010 considering it is already at 1b int with 2009 excluded, Avatanic will make more Domestically, Internationally and WW in 2010 alone than any 2010 release.

WW is already a guarantee and Domestic also looks close enough. It would still be in Top 5 for sure but number 1 is also not out of picture. It made $283,624,210 domestically in 2009 by December 31st. So if goes somewhere around 700M-750M it would still beat others which will be crawling to cross 400M mark

Yeah actually the ones before I no longer count.

It starts from Daybreakers but I didn't really feel those so.

Anyway the ones I'm really feeling are the ones in bold.

I'll add The Crazies to open to 28m+

to

A Nightmare on Elm Street 40m+ OW
Percy Jackson 40m+ OW
Valentine's Day 50m+ OW

and maybe Tooth Fairy finishes with less than 45m total.

So that's only 4 I think to add to my predictions for the year.

update

Opening Weekends
-Edge of Darkness 29m
-Dear John 24m
-Valentine's Day 58m
-Percy Jackson 42m
-Wolfman 36m
-Shutter Island 30m
-Crazies 28m
-Alice in Wonderland- currently more than 60m
-Green Zone 24m
-Remember Me 17m
-Bounty Hunter 28m
-Clash of the Titans- currently at more than 40m
-How to Train Your Dragon- currently at more than 40m
-The Last Song 23m
-Date Night 34m- currently under construction
-Nightmare on Elm Street 42m

Too high? What about the turds?
-Tooth Fairy 14m
-Legion 9m
-Extraordinary Measures 6m
-When in Rome 13m
-From Paris with Love 14m
-Cop Out 8m
-Brooklyn's Finest 11m
-Our Family Wedding 7m
-She's Out Of My League 8m
-Hot Time Tub Machine 7m
-Season of the Witch 9m
-Furry Vengeance 14m
-Repo Men 12m (unfortunately)


This year will rock.

You know I seriously underestimated the buzz on AIW. This movie is being brought up everywhere and it's still two months away. I think an opening at 60mill is very possible.

An opening of just $60m would be a disappointing bomb based on the current hype and especially since even Fast & Furious made $70m last year.

2010 guarantee. Avatar will have grossed more money in 2010 calendar year than any 2010 opener.

I wouldn't call a $60m opening for Alice disappointing, but perhaps a little below expectations (or what they will be closer to the release), as it should open quite a bit higher than Charlie and the Chocolate Factory 5 years ago.

The lack of any family fare before it opens is going to help a great deal I believe, especially with all the R films between now and then. The only family film near it's release is Percy Jackson, but it's still three weeks before Alice and I see it doing Spiderwick/Terabithia numbers.

Fail.

Epic fail.

Paranormal Activity 2 finished BELOW 50m total.