i am not too sure. we have several 400m domestic grossers but only 2 700m+ os grossers. despite all the inflation potter movies have not crossed that.

DENMARK - Opening Weekend

No idea how HP6 or Twilight opened here but here are some comparisons.

1) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $4,057,585 (5-Day or $2,236,822/ 13,477,972 DKR/ 162,624 adms. 3-Day - 123) or $3,941,108 (5-Day or $2,762,400 3-Day) Actuals
2) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $3,345,310 (5-Day or $2,249,177/ 13,105,954 DKR 3-Day - 122)
3) James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $2,913,627 (or $1,975,900 3-Day - 120)
4) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $2,852,196 (18,171,914 DKR/ 217,975 adms. 3-Day - 97)
5) Män Som Hatar Kvinnor (2009) - $2,796,101 (or $2,196,181 3-Day - 102)
6) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $2.75m
7) James Bond: Casino Royale - $2,697,755 (or $2,117,318/ 12,054,525 DKR/ 150,124 adms. 3-Day - 101)
8) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $2,578,503 (5-Day or $1,343,725/ 7,896,804 DKR/ 90,288 adms. 3-Day - 85)
9) Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $2,573,851 (or $1,861,491/ 8,806,714 DKR 3-Day - 113)
10) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $2,354,978 (12,863,832 DKR - 101)

The Da Vinci Code - $2,197,034 (12,782,785 DKR/ 144,749 adms. 3-Day - 110)
The Dark Knight - $2,170,332 (or $1,159,779/ 5,498,049 DKR 3-Day - 73)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $2,066,909 (4-Day or $1,398,893/ 8,305,510 DKR/ 113,204 adms. 3-Day - 92)
Shrek 3 - $2,054,631 ($1,844,096/ 10,039,994 DKR - 130)
Avatar - $2m (102)
I Am Legend - $1,971,463 (or $876,893/ 4,458,170 DKR 3-Day - 45)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $1.9m
Harry Potter 3: POA - $1,801,456 (10.9m DKR - $185,691/ 1,149,241 DKR/ 163,781 adms. 3-Day – 98/137)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $1.8m

2012 - $1.2m (74)


HONG KONG - Opening Weekend

Fantastic opening weekend. Not far off 2012 which was a giant killer in Asia.

1) Spiderman 3 - $3,733,266 (6-Day - 88)
2) Kung Fu Hustle - $3,195,590 ($675,867 - 94) or $3,232,208 Actuals
3) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $2,976,407 (97)
4) Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $2,819,776 (90)
5) Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $2.7m

Shaolin Soccer - $2.7m (335)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $2,649,588 (95)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $2,599,580 (98)
The Mummy 3: Tomb Of The Dragon Emperor - $2,192,465 (77)
CJ7 (2008) - $2,115,955 (85)
The Dark Knight - $2,107,626 (76)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $2.1m (73) or $2,341,126 week
2012 - $2.04m (55)
The Day After Tomorrow - $2,009,083 (HK$15.66m - $506,761/ HK$3.95m - 68) - Day 5
The Da Vinci Code - $2,001,006 ($578,899 - 83)
Storm Riders - $2m (47) - Day
Spiderman 2 - $1,985,999 (HK$15.49m - $384,635/ HK$3m - 73) - Day 5 or $2,031,463 ($1,649,612 without Wed p/v - 70) Actuals
Initial D - $1,920,430 (HK$14.79m - $487,504 - 99)
Avatar - $1.9m (68)
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $1,889,597 (60)


SINGAPORE - Opening Weekend

Opens on par with 2012. Somewhere around the Top 10 largest opening of all-time.

1) Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $3,155,292 (5-Day or $2,478,544 4-Day - 94)
2) Spiderman 3 - $2,632,049
3) Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $2m (400,000 adms. incl. p/v - 40) or $2.6m week
4) Iron Man - $1,965,910 (or $1,544,008 4-Day - 64)
5) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $1,950,508 (96)
6) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $1,843,089 (91)
7) Transformers - $1,815,653 (4-Day) or $2.1m 5-Days
8) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $1,652,539 (98)
9) 2012 - $1.6m (95)
10) Avatar - $1.6m (101)

The Dark Knight - $1,538,640 (68)
The Mummy 3: Tomb Of The Dragon Emperor - $1,510,369 (72)
I Am Legend - $1,482,633 (or $703,164 4-Day - 53)
Spiderman 2 - $1,471,703 (58)
X-Men Origins: Wolverine - $1,462,183 (or $1,283,453 4-Day - 61)


MALAYSIA - Opening Weekend

Very similar in neighbouring Malaysia, though 2012 pulls off a much larger opening here.

Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $3,389,581 (5-Day or $2,546,774 4-Day - 127)
Spiderman 3 - $2,509,377 (6-Day or $1,544,778 4-Day - 110)
2012 - $2.3m (136)
CJ7 (2008) - $1,915,171 (90)
Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $1.8m (65) or $2.2m week
Iron Man - $1,696,412 (or $1,357,704 4-Day) - 93
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $1,551,309 (114)
Transformers - $1,530,632 (95) or $1.77m 5-Days
James Bond: Tomorrow Never Dies - $1.5m (66)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $1,480,734 (114)
The Mummy 3: Tomb Of The Dragon Emperor - $1,478,536 (91)
Terminator 4: Salvation - $1,424,015 (119)
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $1,134,285 (113)
Spiderman 2 - $1,311,596 (or $1,085,971 without p/v - 67)
Avatar - $1.3m (185)
Alien vs. Predator 2: Requiem - $1,277,932 (82)
Godzilla - $1.2m (or $881,000 without p/v - $1.5m/$1.1m week - 70)
Hancock - $1,194,321 (71)
X-Men Origins: Wolverine - $1,189,333 (103)


PHILIPPINES - Opening Weekend

Not quite as impressive here, but this is a solid opening and is blockbuster status easily.

Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $3,858,896 (or $3,786,501 5-Day - 106)
Spiderman 3 - $3,679,730
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $2,537,228 (90)
Superman Returns - $2.5m (1,286,502 adms. incl. $109,00 IMAX on 1 - 81)
Spiderman 2 - $2,405,379 (P158.51m 5-Day - Manila = P126.14m - 65)
Transformers - $2,248,660 (84) or $2.5m 5-Days
Fantastic Four 2: Rise Of The Silver Surfer - $2.2m (232)
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $2,177,955 (105)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $2.1m
You Changed My Life (2009) - $2,001,735 (75)
Iron Man - $1,745,212 (84)
For The First Time (2008) - $1,717,417 (75)
Godzilla - $1.7m (5-Days - 138)
2012 - $1.7m (100)
Twilight - $1,694,933 (66)
One More Chance (2008) - $1,581,163 (70)
Titanic - $1.5m (104)
X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $1.5m (186)
A Love Story - $1,448,162 (70)
Caregiver (2008) - $1,435,652 (70)
Batman & Robin - $1.4m (or $1.6m week - 76)
King Kong - $1.4m (104) or $2,138,116 week
The Dark Knight - $1,388,090 (92)
A Very Special Love (2008) - $1,315,039 (95)
Mission Impossible 3 - $1,308,551 (186)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $1.3m (Mania = P61.68m)
The Mummy 3: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor - $1,204,170 (90)
Star Wars 1: PM - $1.2m (89)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $1,160,741 (101)
National Treasure 2: Book Of Secrets - $1,151,563 (90)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $1.15m (incl. p/v - 55)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $1,119,479
Harry Potter 1: PS - $1,118,000 (50)
Deep Impact - $1.1m (87)
The Mummy Returns - $1.1m (139)
The Day After Tomorrow - $1.1m (or $1,260,259 by Mon - 148)
Avatar - $1.1m (298)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $1,095,305 (100)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $1,083,032 (3-Day incl. p/v + Premiere or $518,975 2-Day -120)
Spiderman - $1.04m (127)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: Prince Caspian - $1,036,190 (91)

X-Men Origins: Wolverine - $955,234 (91)
Angels & Demons - $921,209 (80)
Terminator 4: Salvation - $883,760 (102)


THAILAND - Opening Weekend

Super opening, 3rd largest opening of 2009.

Spiderman 3 - $3,467,747 (6-Day or $1,993,206 4-Day - 326)
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $3,130,788 (5-Day or $2,334,293 4-Day - 376)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $3,088,560 (5-Day or $2,219,992 4-Day - 299)
2012 - $2.8m (185)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $2,654,137 (5-Day or $1,790,051 4-Day - 204)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $2,448,500 (5-Day)
Declaration Of Independence - $2,440,828
Tom Yum Goong - $2,302,800
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $2,120,045 (or $1,871,690 4-Day - 338)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $2,096,000 (4-Day - 218)
Spiderman 2 - $1,982,627 (or $1,541,989 without p/v - 197) or $1,992,300 ($1,869,500 BOM)
Naresuan (King Naresuan) - $1,950,806
The Mummy 3: Tomb Of The Dragon Emperor - $1,911,616 (250)
Transformers - $1,823,172 (266) or $1,918,994 Actuals or $2.1m 5-Days
Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $1.8m (or $2.5m week - 137 prints)
Avatar - $1.8m (355)
Die Hard 4: Live Free Or Die Hard - $1,733,379 (or $940,219 4-Day - 235)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $1,717,000 (5-Day or $1,407,400 3-Day - 150)
Mission Impossible 3 - $1,704,426 (4-Day or $1,377,766 3-Day - 76)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $1.7m (310)
King Kong - $1,613,000 (5-Day or $1,317,900 3-Day - 345) or $1,993,386 week

Terminator 4: Salvation - $1,483,467 (106)

Arch, wasn't Sam Worthington hot?

posted at bom.

Hopefully it will do around 18-20M in 5 days and then excellent legs

So Avatar will match 2012 in Asia and greatly outperform it in the English Speaking countries and in Mainland europe.

yep. But it will beat 2012 in Japan fo sho

I say $100m is probable...next week's gross is going to be uber huge.

$100m would be awesome, but I'm still cautious at the moment, at least until more numbers are released. Mainly because of big Hollywood film openings the past few years which all failed to get to $100m (Spider-Man 3 got the biggest 5-day ever with 26.6m, but only finished in the mid 60's. Indy IV brings in 13.4m over the 2-day, finishes in the low 60's. Harry Potter 5 opened huge with 18.6m over 3-days, but didn't reach $90m. And one of the last $100m Hollywood films, ROTK, opened to almost $15m over 2-days and just barely got there.) Avatar will be better received than most recent big Hollywood films, and while the opening day is great (don't know if holiday hurt, helped, or did nothing to it), I don't think it's high enough to guarantee $100m without knowing more numbers. I'd rather play it safe right now and be surprised. And if it would fail to reach $100m, a total of 70, 80, 90 is certainly nothing to be disappointed about, it'd still be astounding.

If it does do $100m though, that is going to give Japan two $100m films this year. I t hink Rookies is going to be counted. Variety had it at $99m a few weeks back, but a recent Variety article talking about Hollywood films still struggling mentioned local films are doing better each year, and that Rookies raked in $100m.

The yen is at 91.6 US dollar rate. In May, 2008, it was at 104. Don't discount the steep rise in the yen's value against the dollar. This will help Avatar in dollar terms big time.

with the film being original concept instead of sequel and the massive opening I think 100m is 100% guaranteed.

yay

He certainly was. Especially after 3 months.

3 Idiots has started on a historic note in India. early 6 AM shows were 80-90% packed. Overall day will be 90-100% sold out shows.

With this start I fully expect Avatar to crash this weekend in India unfortunately. No chance of recovering.

NNNNNNOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!, bloody hell

That is true, though it hasn't helped Hollywood films much this year (only HP6 and This Is It being in the Top 10 of the year), in fact, they are down sharply in yen once again this year, and probably in USD overall too. Potter 6 did beat Potter 5 by a few $million, but also lost over 1 billion in yen to it. And after you look at HP6's $93m and This Is It's $49m totals this year, the third biggest Hollywood film was Angels and Demons which grossed a mediocre $34m (good for the film, but very poor for it's ranking). There is still Up with plenty left in the tank, and of course Avatar. I just don't want people to be disappointed if Avatar "only" finishes with 80m or something.

Ice Age 3 lost something like 80% of Ice Age 2's audience.
Transformers 2 lost no less than 25% of Transformers audience.
Terminator 4 lost well over 50% of Terminator 3's audience.

There's also Night at the Museum and others who didn't come close to matching what their predecessors brought in.

avatar will make 100m+ There is no need to doubt such an inevitability

Here's hoping it does.

It will, there is no need to even hope

Here's some food for thought while we await Thursdays numbers. Combining the 37 million OS and 16.4 million domestically, AVATAR made 53.4 million Worldwide on Wednesday.

Considering that the next week until January 3rd is holidays in most countries, plus the open of the film in china still to come, it wouldn't be unthinkable that AVATAR could average 45 million over the course of the next 11 days. For all those of you not mathematically inclined, that's 495 million WW in just 11 days.

Add that to the 381 it already has, and it could be at 876 by Jan. 3rd. Awesome!!

its such a beautiful phenomenon

Sam Worthington to me is not that hot, i'm not into guys like that, too blokey. Though his Avatar is a different matter, i found the Avatar strangely attractive ,

That's mind blowing if it happens, though i will not doubt it. This movie has the potential to do almost about anything.

Updated HP6 figures from Week 5 onwards...

WORLDWIDE - Opening Weekend

1) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $158,022,354 + $237,000,000 = $395,022,354 (5-Day - 84/15,900)
2) Spiderman 3 - $151,116,516 + $230,544,376 = $381,660,892 (6-Days - 107/16,711)
3) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $127,972,864 + $216,361,000 = $344,333,864 (5-Days - 102/17,600)
4) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $139,715,157 + $193,000,000 = $332,715,157 (5-Days)
5) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $158,449,700 + $145,534,793 = $303,984,493 (5-Days - 105c/114t/10,489)
6) Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $125,178,907 + $146,388,656 = $271,567,563 (55/8427)
7) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $124,100,534 + $126.8m = $250.9m (5-Days - 28t/14,000+)
8) Avatar - $77,025,481 + $165,500,000 = $242,525,481 (106/14,604)
9) The Da Vinci Code - $77,073,388 + $155,000,649 = $232,074,037 (57/12182)
10) 2012 - $65,237,614 + $165,200,000 = $230,437,614 (105/12,685)

Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $200,077,255 + $19,843,916 = $219,921,171 (2)
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $66,732,868 + $151,697,196 = $218,430,064 (5-Day - 101/11652)


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 2

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $258.4m + $406.4m = $664.8m
Spiderman 3 - $240.2m + $385.4m = $625.6m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $221.3m + $404m = $625.3m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $207.9m + $353.5m = $561.4m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $222.3m + $270m = $492.3m
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $236.9m + $247.6m = $484.5m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $293.3m + $189.6m = $482.9m
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $230.9m + $243m = $473.9m
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $202.9m + $266.7m = $69.6m
The Da Vinci Code - $136.5m + $317.5m = $454m
2012 - $108.1m + $341m = $449.1m
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $119.7m + $322.6m = $442.3m
The Dark Knight - $313.8m + $125.5m = $439.3m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 3

Spiderman 3 - $284.6m + $466.7m = $751.3m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $255.7m + $492.3m = $748m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $253.4m + $493m = $746.4m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $242m + $450.3m = $692.3m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $290.4m + $390.4m = $680.8m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $339.2m + $301.6m = $640.8m
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $307.9m + $309m = $616.9m
The Dark Knight - $393.8m + $201.4m = $598.2m
2012 - $138.5m + $455.8m = $594.3m
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $151.9m + $430.9m = $582.8m
The Da Vinci Code - $172m + $408.9m = $580.9m
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $246.4m + $327.4m = $573.8m
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $255.4m + $314.5m = $569.9m
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $229.3m + $332.1m = $561.4m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 4

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $274.1m + $549.4m = $823.5m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $267.5m + $541.8m = $809.3m
Spiderman 3 - $304m + $501m $805m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $261m + $509.5m = $770.5m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $312.3m + $455m = $767.3m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $354.3m + $365.1m = $719.4m
The Dark Knight - $441.6m + $254m = $695.6m
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $165.7m + $505.4m = $671.1m
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $327.5m + $341.7m = $669.2m
2012 - $149m + $517.5m = $666.5m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 5

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $287m + $584.6m = $871.6m
Spiderman 3 - $318.3m + $526.7m = $845m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $283.9m + $554.5m = $838.4m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $326.8m + $496.7m = $823.5m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $272m + $548.4m = $820.4m
The Dark Knight - $471.1m + $319.8m = $790.9m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $379.7m + $392.2m = $771.9m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $373.6m + $397.2m = $770.8m
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $182m + $550m = $732m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 6

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $295.7m + $608.9m = $904.6m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $290.2m + $595.8m = $886m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $337.8m + $538.7m = $876.5m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $278.8m + $588.9m = $867.7m
The Dark Knight - $489.4m + $377.6m = $867m
Spiderman 3 - $325.6m + $538.2m = $863.8m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $392.4m + $463.7m = $856.1m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $384.9m + $412.4m = $797.3m
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $187.9m + $578m = $765.9m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 7

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $301.7m + $624.9m = $926.6m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $401.2m + $521.5m = $922.7m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $345.3m + $572.8m = $918.1m
The Dark Knight - $502.3m + $413.7m = $916m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $294.3m + $610.5m = $904.8m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $283.2m + $609m = $892.2m
Spiderman 3 - $330m + $543.9m = $873.9m
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $393.7m + $422m = $815.7m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 8

Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $407.5m + $556.1m = $963.6m
The Dark Knight - $512m + $435.5m = $947.5m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $351.1m + $591.5m = $942.6m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $304.5m + $634.1m = $938.6m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $297m + $619.6m = $916.6m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $286.1m + $626.3m = $912.4m
Spiderman 3 - $332.5m + $547m = $879.5m
Titanic - $337.4m + $516m = $853.4m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 9

Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $412.9m + $581.5m = $994.4m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $356.5m + $618.4m = $974.9m
The Dark Knight - $517.8m + $447.8m = $965.6m
Titanic - $371.6m + $583m = $954.6m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $298.8m + ??? = ???
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $306m + $640.6m = $946.6m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $288.2m + $633.7m = $921.9m


WORLDWIDE - Weekend 10

Titanic - $405.1m + $630m = $1,035.1m
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $416.6m + $592m = $1,008.6m
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $361.1m + $644.3m = $1,005.4m
The Dark Knight - $521.9m + $455m = $976.9m
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $299.6m + ??? = ???
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $307m + $644.5m = $951.5m
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $289.3m + $639.3m = $928.6m

But how is that possible? We both worship Mariah, we have to like the same guys!

This is all very confusing.