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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
16.5

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:07 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/nonholiday.htm

lol, the other two made so much more if the first 3 days TDK nearly doubles, Avatar is dailies juggernaut.

Sith and Transformers two smashed.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:11 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
another interesting statistic, every film that made over 14m on their first monday fallowing opening wknd also made over 380m(Sith, which adjusts over 400m anyway) so 400m = locked up

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:30 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday - $14.76m


Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:37 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Predict Avatars Monday

Rev - 18.7m -24%
Dr. Lecter - 17.2m -30%
LadiesMan217 - 17.1m -31%
MadGez - 16.5m -33%
Chip Munkington - 16.1m -35%
MG Casey - 15.3m -38%
Keyser Soze - 15.1m -38%
Mark66 - 15,094,051 -39%
BJs Prediction: 15.05m -39%
Corpse - 14.8m -40%
MikeQ - 12.37m -50%
The Dark Shape - 11.0m -55%

Average: 15.36m -37%

Nice Average All, Chip Munkington wins, though Madgez was closer hi prediction was posted to late.


:thumbsup:

Though in fairness I posted the prediction before I went to sleep and Monday numbers were nowhere in sight.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:50 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
MadGez wrote:
BJ wrote:
Predict Avatars Monday

Rev - 18.7m -24%
Dr. Lecter - 17.2m -30%
LadiesMan217 - 17.1m -31%
MadGez - 16.5m -33%
Chip Munkington - 16.1m -35%
MG Casey - 15.3m -38%
Keyser Soze - 15.1m -38%
Mark66 - 15,094,051 -39%
BJs Prediction: 15.05m -39%
Corpse - 14.8m -40%
MikeQ - 12.37m -50%
The Dark Shape - 11.0m -55%

Average: 15.36m -37%

Nice Average All, Chip Munkington wins, though Madgez was closer hi prediction was posted to late.


:thumbsup:

Though in fairness I posted the prediction before I went to sleep and Monday numbers were nowhere in sight.

deadline is 10pm eastern time, i'm not that strict with it but your prediction was a half a day later, I considered awarding both of you but bailed at the last 2nd.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:00 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars 2nd Wknd


BJs Prediction: 80.95mm +5%

Average: 80.95m +5%

you have until Friday, 10pm eastern

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:15 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJs Daily Breakdown:

Mon: 16.385m -33%
Tue: 18.1m +10%
Wed 18.1m NC
Thur: 10.95m -39%

Opening Wk: 140.55m

Fri: 23.55m +115%
Sat: 30.00m +26%
Sun: 27.40m -9%

2nd Wknd: 80.95m +5%

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:18 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday #
18.6m :D

2nd wknd #
91.6m :D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:36 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rev wrote:
Tuesday #
18.6m :D

2nd wknd #
91.6m :D

nice, matching Titanic's 17% increase would be pretty badazz

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:57 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Badass and also completely unrealistic.


Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:15 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
DayAvatarI Am LegendReturn of the King
Wed--$34,450,834
- / -
$34,450,834 / 1
Thu--$17,019,987
-50.6% / -
$51,470,821 / 2
Fri$26,752,099
- / -
$26,752,099 / 1
$30,059,386
- / -
$30,059,386 / 1
$21,811,549
+28.2% / -
$73,282,370 / 3
Sat$25,529,036
-4.6% / -
$52,281,135 / 2
$28,795,114
-4.2% / -
$58,854,500 / 2
$27,492,053
+26% / -
$100,774,423 / 4
Sun$24,744,346
-3.1% / -
$77,025,481 / 3
$18,356,821
-36.3% / -
$77,211,321 / 3
$23,326,111
-15.2% / -
$124,100,534 / 5
Mon$16,385,820
-33.8% / -
$93,411,301 / 4
$7,465,450
-59.3% / -
$84,676,771 / 4
$13,563,208
-41.9% / -
$137,663,742 / 6

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:15 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
ROTKs first monday = pawned, even when adjusted

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:27 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Tuesday


Mark66 - 18,925,622 +16%
Rev - 18.6m +14%
DIB2 - 18.4m +12%
Jmovies - 18.22m +11%
BJs Prediction: 18.05m +10%
Chip Munkington - 17.7m +8%
Corpse - 16.5m +1%
Keyser Soze - 16.0m -5%
The Dark Shape - 15.0m -8%
Jiffy208 - 14.76 -9%

Average: 17.22m +5%

you have until 10pm eastern

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:41 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars 2nd Wknd


Rev - 91.6m +17%
BJs Prediction: 80.95mm +5%

Average: 86.28m +12%

you have until Friday, 10pm eastern

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:46 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Monday in general was huge, it can only go down from here, i'd be surprised if not all movies drop on tuesday or at best stay flat.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:08 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Nazgul9 wrote:
Monday in general was huge, it can only go down from here, i'd be surprised if not all movies drop on tuesday or at best stay flat.

we shall see :D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:10 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Weekend Prediction: 59m.


Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:13 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
The Dark Shape wrote:
Weekend Prediction: 59m.

as expected, lowball.

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
A 59m low-ball for weekend two speaks quite well for the film, does it not?


Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:48 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
The Dark Shape wrote:
A 59m low-ball for weekend two speaks quite well for the film, does it not?

:D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:49 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
2nd Weekend- $70.2 mil

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:55 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Chip Munkington wrote:
2nd Weekend- $70.2 mil

close but still low :yes:

BJs New Guarantee:

Avatar is 150% guaranteed to break the 2nd wknd record :D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:58 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Chip Munkington wrote:
2nd Weekend- $70.2 mil

close but still low :yes:

BJs New Guarantee:

Avatar is 150% guaranteed to break the 2nd wknd record :D


why so low faith in Avatar, BJ? :disgust:

100% guaranteed to break it! :D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 9:09 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
blast from the past, TDKs guaranteed greatness.

BJ wrote:
There are no sane and insane predicts, the films is 150% guaranteed to top 400m with such relative ease that magnus will wonder why ever ever doubted such an inevitability.

400m+

BJs Prediction:

148m | 510m

100% guaranteed head exploding 55m+ opening day
100% guaranteed ball crushing 136m+ opening wknd
100% guaranteed eye popping 4 wks straight over 20m
100% guaranteed GUARANTEED! top grosser of 2008
150% guaranteed jaw dropping 400m+

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Last edited by BJ on Tue Dec 22, 2009 9:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Dec 22, 2009 9:12 pm
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