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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Speed Racer

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 10:36 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
MR. GREEN wrote:
Quote:
The new word that Avatar actually made $77.3 million and beat I Am Legend (and also made more on IMAX than originally reported) reminds me of "Entourage", specifically the scene in the first or second season where a studio buys up $5 million in tickets to push a movie over.


Yeah, put FOX down for an extra 10 Million out of their pocket to ensure this movie stays on top and doesn't come out looking more disappointing than what it probably really is.. :whistle:


Yeah, that's how it works. They spent 300-500 million dollars just so they can spend more money. Never mind that the word of mouth is incredible. Never mind the sold out reports... I'm sure they did the same thing for Titanic. It really only made 75 million, the rest was Fox magically buying tickets coast to coast.


Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:19 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote:
drunken post of the year...

:yes:

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:30 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Monday - $16.5m

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:44 am
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Monday

Rev - 18.7m -24%
Dr. Lecter - 17.2m -30%
LadiesMan217 - 17.1m -31%
MadGez - 16.5m -33%
Chip Munkington - 16.1m -35%
MG Casey - 15.3m -38%
Keyser Soze - 15.1m -38%
Mark66 - 15,094,051 -39%
BJs Prediction: 15.05m -39%
Corpse - 14.8m -40%
MikeQ - 12.37m -50%
The Dark Shape - 11.0m -55%

Average: 15.36m -37%

Nice Average All, Chip Munkington wins, though Madgez was closer hi prediction was posted to late.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:10 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
:grrr: Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row :noway: Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad. :yes:

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:17 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I'm gonna be offline soon, so here's my Tuesday prediction:

$18,925,622

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:18 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote:
I'm gonna be offline soon, so here's my Tuesday prediction:

$18,925,622

nice :D

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:21 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
:grrr: Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row :noway: Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad. :yes:


gah. 19M tuesday for sure.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:21 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Tuesday


Mark66 - 18,925,622 +16%
BJs Prediction: 18.00m +10%

Average: 18.46m +13%

you have until 10pm eastern

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:24 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote:
BJ wrote:
:grrr: Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row :noway: Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad. :yes:


gah. 19M tuesday for sure.

It would be great to see but every film has its limits.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:26 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday

18.4 +12%

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:28 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
IMDB Update:

Avatar

User Rating: 8.9/10 (44,515 votes)

User Ratings for Avatar

User Comments for Avatar

IMDB top 250 #21 on top 250

External Reviews
still #21 but scoring crazy high with people over 35 :happy:

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:29 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
RT Update:

Avatar

Reviews: 214
Fresh/Rotten: 180 Fresh /34 Rotten Certified Fresh
84% Fresh / 16% Rotten
Average Rating: 7.5 / 10

Cream of the Crop
Reviews: 34
Fresh/Rotten: 32 Fresh / 2 Rotten
94% Fresh / 6% Rotten
Average Rating: 7.6 / 10

Its got 91% from the users with 3,562 fresh and 325 rotten, average grade is 8.7

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:36 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar


Days
RankDays in ReleaseDay% ChangeDomestic TotalTheater AverageTheater CountDay, Month and Year
1Opening Day$26,752,099New$26,752,099$7,7503,452December 18, 2009
12nd Day$25,529,036-4.6%$52,281,135$7,3953,452December 19, 2009
13rd Day$24,744,346-3.1%$77,025,481$7,1683,452December 20, 2009
14th Day$16,385,820-33.8%$93,411,301$4,7473,452December 21, 2009

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:39 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday- $17.7 mil

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:44 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Tuesday


Keyser Soze - 19.0m +16%
Mark66 - 18,925,622 +16%
DIB2 - 18.4m +12%
BJs Prediction: 18.05m +10%
Chip Munkington - 17.7m +8%

Average: 18.42m +13%

you have until 10pm eastern

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:52 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Alomst $500M to go! :)

Oh and $18.22M for today.


Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:17 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
15. I'm gonna keep going low so my expectations can be obliterated.


Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:33 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
The Dark Shape wrote:
15. I'm gonna keep going low so my expectations can be obliterated.

pansy, you bore me :sleep:

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:34 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar is epic overseas.


It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:36 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote:
Avatar is epic overseas.


It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million.


Cool, does the source list how much it made in various countries?

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:38 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote:
Avatar is epic overseas.


It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million.

Hell yes, BKB is quailing in his boots.

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:39 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
no its Box office Mojo's page on Avatar

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:40 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
27M OS monday from a 165M weekend is crazy. which means there is a holiday effect in many os markets. i dont know how many markets close on christmas but overall we could be looking at OS total close to 350M by coming sunday.

BJ, after seeing how other films dropped yesterday and I want to reduce my tuesday to 16M. I dont see a increase if monday already had a holiday effect. :(

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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:59 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote:
27M OS monday from a 165M weekend is crazy. which means there is a holiday effect in many os markets. i dont know how many markets close on christmas but overall we could be looking at OS total close to 350M by coming sunday.

BJ, after seeing how other films dropped yesterday and I want to reduce my tuesday to 16M. I dont see a increase if monday already had a holiday effect. :(

it wasn't a holiday effect so much as recover from that snow storm. But new predict accepted all the same.

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