The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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critch
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 10:36 am Posts: 124
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
MR. GREEN wrote: Quote: The new word that Avatar actually made $77.3 million and beat I Am Legend (and also made more on IMAX than originally reported) reminds me of "Entourage", specifically the scene in the first or second season where a studio buys up $5 million in tickets to push a movie over. Yeah, put FOX down for an extra 10 Million out of their pocket to ensure this movie stays on top and doesn't come out looking more disappointing than what it probably really is..  Yeah, that's how it works. They spent 300-500 million dollars just so they can spend more money. Never mind that the word of mouth is incredible. Never mind the sold out reports... I'm sure they did the same thing for Titanic. It really only made 75 million, the rest was Fox magically buying tickets coast to coast.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:19 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote: drunken post of the year... 
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:30 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23370 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Monday - $16.5m
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:44 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Monday
Rev - 18.7m -24% Dr. Lecter - 17.2m -30% LadiesMan217 - 17.1m -31% MadGez - 16.5m -33% Chip Munkington - 16.1m -35% MG Casey - 15.3m -38% Keyser Soze - 15.1m -38% Mark66 - 15,094,051 -39% BJs Prediction: 15.05m -39% Corpse - 14.8m -40% MikeQ - 12.37m -50% The Dark Shape - 11.0m -55%
Average: 15.36m -37%
Nice Average All, Chip Munkington wins, though Madgez was closer hi prediction was posted to late.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:10 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
 Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row  Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad. 
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:17 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I'm gonna be offline soon, so here's my Tuesday prediction:
$18,925,622
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:18 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
mark66 wrote: I'm gonna be offline soon, so here's my Tuesday prediction:
$18,925,622 nice 
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:21 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6774
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote: :grrr: Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row  Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad.  gah. 19M tuesday for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:21 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Tuesday
Mark66 - 18,925,622 +16% BJs Prediction: 18.00m +10%
Average: 18.46m +13%
you have until 10pm eastern
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:24 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote: BJ wrote: :grrr: Bloody Hell, I have consistently under predicted two days of the films run in a row  Well I still don't expect more than a 10% bump today, anymore would just be mad.  gah. 19M tuesday for sure. It would be great to see but every film has its limits.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:26 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday
18.4 +12%
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:28 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
IMDB Update:AvatarUser Rating: 8.9/10 (44,515 votes)User Ratings for AvatarUser Comments for AvatarIMDB top 250 #21 on top 250External Reviewsstill #21 but scoring crazy high with people over 35 
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:29 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
RT Update:AvatarReviews: 214 Fresh/Rotten: 180 Fresh /34 Rotten Certified Fresh84% Fresh / 16% RottenAverage Rating: 7.5 / 10Cream of the CropReviews: 34Fresh/Rotten: 32 Fresh / 2 Rotten 94% Fresh / 6% RottenAverage Rating: 7.6 / 10 Its got 91% from the users with 3,562 fresh and 325 rotten, average grade is 8.7
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:36 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Rank | Days in Release | Day | % Change | Domestic Total | Theater Average | Theater Count | Day, Month and Year |
1 | Opening Day | $26,752,099 | New | $26,752,099 | $7,750 | 3,452 | December 18, 2009 |
1 | 2nd Day | $25,529,036 | -4.6% | $52,281,135 | $7,395 | 3,452 | December 19, 2009 |
1 | 3rd Day | $24,744,346 | -3.1% | $77,025,481 | $7,168 | 3,452 | December 20, 2009 |
1 | 4th Day | $16,385,820 | -33.8% | $93,411,301 | $4,747 | 3,452 | December 21, 2009 |
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:39 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Tuesday- $17.7 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:44 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Predict Avatars Tuesday
Keyser Soze - 19.0m +16% Mark66 - 18,925,622 +16% DIB2 - 18.4m +12% BJs Prediction: 18.05m +10% Chip Munkington - 17.7m +8%
Average: 18.42m +13%
you have until 10pm eastern
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 3:52 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Alomst $500M to go!  Oh and $18.22M for today.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:17 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
15. I'm gonna keep going low so my expectations can be obliterated.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:33 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
The Dark Shape wrote: 15. I'm gonna keep going low so my expectations can be obliterated. pansy, you bore me 
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:34 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm Posts: 740
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Avatar is epic overseas.
It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:36 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote: Avatar is epic overseas.
It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million. Cool, does the source list how much it made in various countries?
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:38 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Mandeep wrote: Avatar is epic overseas.
It grosses 27 million overseas on Monday raising its overseas total to 191.8 million. Hell yes, BKB is quailing in his boots.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:39 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm Posts: 740
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
no its Box office Mojo's page on Avatar
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:40 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6774
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
27M OS monday from a 165M weekend is crazy. which means there is a holiday effect in many os markets. i dont know how many markets close on christmas but overall we could be looking at OS total close to 350M by coming sunday. BJ, after seeing how other films dropped yesterday and I want to reduce my tuesday to 16M. I dont see a increase if monday already had a holiday effect. 
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 4:59 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Keyser Söze wrote: 27M OS monday from a 165M weekend is crazy. which means there is a holiday effect in many os markets. i dont know how many markets close on christmas but overall we could be looking at OS total close to 350M by coming sunday. BJ, after seeing how other films dropped yesterday and I want to reduce my tuesday to 16M. I dont see a increase if monday already had a holiday effect.  it wasn't a holiday effect so much as recover from that snow storm. But new predict accepted all the same.
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Tue Dec 22, 2009 5:02 pm |
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