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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Early Friday Numbers Quote: EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY & 3-DAY ESTIMATES FOR OCTOBER 2-4
1. NEW - Zombieland (Sony) - $8.5M Fri - $21.3M 3-day - $21.3M cume
2. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (Sony) - $3.5M Fri - $15.9M 3-day - $81.6M cume
3. NEW - Toy Story/Toy Story 2 (Disney) -$3.7M Fri - $13.7M 3-day - $13.7M cume
4. Surrogates (Disney) - $2.3M Fri - $7.5M 3-day - $26.5M cume
5. NEW - The Invention of Lying (Warner Bros) - $2.2M Fri - $6.5M 3-day - $6.5M cume
6. Fame (MGM) - $1.5M Fri - $4.7M 3-day - $16.6M cume
*NEW - Whip It (Fox Searchlight) - $1.7M Fri - $4.4M 3-day - $4.4M cume
*NEW - Capitalism: A Love Story (Overture) - $1.3M Fri - $3.9M 3-day - $3.9M cume
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:04 am |
 
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Looks really good for the Top 3.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:05 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Damn early?
Anyway, that looks good and quite a break-out for Zombieland.
It's been a very good year for horror, very good. FIVE horror movies opened above $20 million it seems: Friday the 13th, The Final Destination, The Haunting of Connecticut, My Bloody Valentine 3D and now Zombieland. Saw VI will follow suit, so that's at least six.
Last year we had only four (five if you count Cloverfield). Only three of them were R-rated whereas this year all, but one are R-rated so far.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:07 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Early Friday Numbers A bit of an ouch for Capitalism, imo.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:10 am |
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curtis20
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2008 2:16 pm
Posts: 492
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Decent weekend. Zombieland did Expectation. Good for TS1/TS2
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:10 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Very good for Zombieland, though I'm hoping it breaks $22m.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:11 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday Numbers I think Michael Moore's shitkc has gotten a bit old by now for general audiences. He doesn't have the same drawing power he used to have. Sicko was still riding on the F 9/11 wave, this is a step down now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:15 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Early Friday Numbers I'd actually say that's expected for Capitalism. It should have a fine IM, as the rush factor is gone for Moore's films. Could easily get to 4.5m and a 4,700 PTA, which is fine for a such big expansion.
The IMs for holdovers in general won't be as good as last week's given the holiday boost, especially for the family films.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:19 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Early Friday Numbers True, but I still thought it could have done better than Sicko this weekend. It's just barely going to beat Sicko's 3.6m from 700 theatres.
Also seems we didn't use the right numbers. Omni and I both thought Sicko opened to 4.6m. ^___^. Wouldn't have gone as high as we did on Capitalism.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:19 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday Numbers I dunno, with that weekend number and a lot of competition for theatres and screens, I am not sure about Capitalism breaking $20 million...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:20 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Early Friday Numbers It's not as hot a topic as what Sicko dealt with. Universal healthcare has resonance with a bigger audience, while attacking capitalism (which general viewers could feel if they just read the title) is more likely to be rejected and making people think you're a extreme leftist. The lesser reviews don't help either. Basically I never really expected it to do better than Sicko did.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:23 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Not good for Whip It/Capitalism.
Great for Zombieland/TS/Lying!!!
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:24 am |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm
Posts: 8627
Location: Syracuse, NY
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Major ouch for WHIP IT... too bad.
_________________
Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land
2. Other People
3. Nocturnal Animals
4. Swiss Army Man
5. Manchester by the Sea
6. The Edge of Seventeen
7. Sing Street
8. Indignation
9. The Lobster
10. Hell or High Water
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:24 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday Numbers xiayun wrote: It's not as hot a topic as what Sicko dealt with. Universal healthcare has resonance with a bigger audience, while attacking capitalism (which general viewers could feel if they just read the title) is more likely to be rejected and making people think you're a extreme leftist. The lesser reviews don't help either. Yeah, though I still think that if released 2-3 years ago (provided the financial crisis had happened then) it'd still have done better than it does now. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:25 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Early Friday Numbers I guess it Capitalism can reach 4.5 or so this weekend, it's not all that bad actually.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:27 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Dr. Lecter wrote: I think Michael Moore's shitkc has gotten a bit old by now for general audiences. He doesn't have the same drawing power he used to have. Sicko was still riding on the F 9/11 wave, this is a step down now. That's one way of looking at it... (Nothing to do with mass media propoganda - - nope! - - nothing to see here...)
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:28 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Early Friday Numbers I probably wouldn't give Toy Story that high of an IM. Still, that's an excellent number, considering it basically translates to a $15,000 weekend PTA for a single film.
I feel Zombieland will reach 9m with actual, as from the crowd report, the (late) night business is very strong.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:34 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Capitalism wrecked my prediction. I thought it would have a healthier PTA drop and most certainly beat Sicko's 441 theater number by at least 50%.
However, to compliment what xiayun said, I didn't think about how Capitalism would play very well in left big cities compared to middle america, whereas with Sicko middle america is more concerned about health care costs than in big cities with more easily obtained affordable health care.
Zombieland has actually set a new standard for horror comedy. It's success is no doubt derived from strongly emphasizing the comedy aspect to make it CLEAR that it is in fact a comedy merely set in horror trappings, and emphasizing the action of just wall to wall zombie killing survival was brilliance.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:45 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: Early Friday Numbers したい wrote: A bit of an ouch for Capitalism, imo. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 2:58 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Well, Nikki released her set of numbers, some rather different: http://www.deadline.com/hollywood/holly ... m-weekend/. I wouldn't trust her on the holdovers though as I remember she had G-Force not dropping Fri-to-Fri at all for one of the weeks. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:19 am |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Yeah, a -12% Friday-to-Friday hold for Cloudy seems beyond the bounds of reality considering the 3D competition from the Toy Story double feature.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:26 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Aint no way Cloudy goes anywhere near that high, nor Lying, nor etc.
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:34 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7195
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Okay, so here are my weekend projections with Finke's numbers.
Note** I'm not too confident in these numbers as both Finke can be way off, and
I'm not sure what the multipliers will be like.
Zombieland - 9M - 25.1M
Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs - 4.9M - 19.0M
Toy Story/Toy Story 2 3D - 3.8M - 14.1M
The Invention of Lying - 2.7M - 7.9M
Whip It - 1.7M - 5.1M
Capitalism: A Love Story - 1.6M - 5.4M
Surrogates - 2.2M - 7.0M
Fame - 1.4M - 4.3M
The Informant - 1.1M - 3.5M
Love Happens - 0.925M - 2.8M
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 8:46 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
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Re: Early Friday Numbers Sunday drops might me higher than expected with the Favre-Packers game on, right? Or is this just me hoping Zombieland is dropping below 22
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 9:45 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12194
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Re: Early Friday Numbers If the Toy Story double feature makes $14 m this weekend, here is what the Toy Story film totals would look like unofficially (as the numbers may or may not be added to them):
Toy Story 2 + $7 m = $252,852,179 (Passes $250 m!!!)
Toy Story + $7 m = $198,796,233 (Should pass $200 m eventually!!!)
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| Sat Oct 03, 2009 10:08 am |
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