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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Since I've seen the TV Spots for this countless times, I can't help but to think this really is going to be a crowd pleaser this weekend, especially movies like this that are are both feel good, funny and a tear jerker all in 1.. Because of this, I see this doing surprising numbers and blowing away expectations, even for a movie with Owen Wilson.. This also has appeal across the board for kids and adults as well, so my prediction is:
50 Million 3 day opening
200 Million Domestic Total..
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 9:30 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
It should definitely do well, but $50m opening weekend? No chance. Even if you were talking four-day, it still won't.
$40m four-day would be fantastic for it. I'm thinking more like $34m-ish.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 2:54 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
If this pulled $50 m opening weekend, it would finish with $250 m or more. I can see $30 m or so, and a very strong $150 m total.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 2:58 pm |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Game over. Now Marley and Me will struggle to crack 100 million.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 3:34 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Ladies man217, why did you say Quote: If Marley and Me can get a strong opening weekend and then good WOM I think it can do $130+ million domestically which will be good for fox.
Fox really needs a 100+ million hit.
When you said Marley and Me will struggle to crack $100 million.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 3:53 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
He's saying that it'll struggle to crack $100m now because the rule of thumb is that when BKB predicts one way, the outcome is the opposite.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 4:25 pm |
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MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
bl1222 wrote: Ladies man217, why did you say Quote: If Marley and Me can get a strong opening weekend and then good WOM I think it can do $130+ million domestically which will be good for fox.
Fox really needs a 100+ million hit.
When you said Marley and Me will struggle to crack $100 million. I thought the rule of thumb was that any predictions made by BKB becomes opposite.
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Tue Dec 23, 2008 5:42 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
LadiesMan217 wrote: bl1222 wrote: Ladies man217, why did you say Quote: If Marley and Me can get a strong opening weekend and then good WOM I think it can do $130+ million domestically which will be good for fox.
Fox really needs a 100+ million hit.
When you said Marley and Me will struggle to crack $100 million. I thought the rule of thumb was that any predictions made by BKB becomes opposite. Not all.. If you look back at my track record for 2008, it's actually quite impressive..
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Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:35 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm Posts: 7578 Location: Torrington, CT
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Yeah, like TDK making less than $250m.
_________________ It's my lucky crack pipe.
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Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:42 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Shouldnt any bkb logic be linked with the Soul Plane thread?
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Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:45 pm |
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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm Posts: 4308
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
if Marley and Me had a 50m 3-day OW, it would make something like 250m in total, with good word-of-mouth.
So no. Not even half of that. I think a 20m 3-day would be a great start, en route to a possible 100m total. Considering its budget is probably low, that would be great.
_________________ Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
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Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:57 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
I'm banking on a $25-ish or more 3-day.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:58 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Anton Chigurh wrote: Yeah, like TDK making less than $250m. If you look back at everyones prediction for that movie, no one and I mean NO ONE predicted that overrated movie to gross what it did and it did so cause of Heath Ledgers personal life and more of a tribute to the guy than the movie itself and even now that it's on DVD, even people are starting to question why all the hype.. Hell, it can't even muster up decent awards over at the Oscar Forum from what I'm reading and no ones saying shit about that which is shocking for as much hype as you all gave this movie.. But that's another thread for another time.. Point is is that I have gotten some predictions right for 2008 and don't receive near as much credit as I should..
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Thu Dec 25, 2008 9:19 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
http://chud.com/articles/articles/17541 ... Page1.htmlThis review alone proves to me that I actually might win this prediction.. This is going to make ALOT of $$$ this weekend and rightfully so.. People love feel good tear jerker type of movies around the holidays and there isn't 1 movie being released this weekend that'll stand up to this..
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Thu Dec 25, 2008 9:51 am |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am Posts: 3139
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Just like how The Incredible Hulk would make 130 million OW...
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Thu Dec 25, 2008 1:40 pm |
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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm Posts: 4308
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
well I saw it today...it's certainly going to have fantastic legs; the audience really loved it. And for a 1:30pm show, it was pretty crowded. But yeah, a 50m OW would mean like a 70m 4-day, and it certainly wasn't THAT kind of a crowd, especially with Bedtime Stories doing equally strong business nearby.
_________________ Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
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Thu Dec 25, 2008 8:47 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
For 4 days, this has a chance of happening now, right?
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Fri Dec 26, 2008 1:27 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6782
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Still good call bkb.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Dec 26, 2008 1:48 am |
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billybobwashere
He didn't look busy?!
Joined: Wed Jan 11, 2006 3:59 pm Posts: 4308
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
i eat my words. Good call. But nothing about these Christmas Day numbers makes sense. Benjamin Button to make $200m?! Wow!!
_________________ Retroviral VideosA film-based project created for the purpose of helping raise awareness about HIV/AIDS, specifically in South Africa.
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Fri Dec 26, 2008 5:29 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23385 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Ben Button making $200m was always likely if it could get a good OW. So too Marley which has built some major steam over the last week.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri Dec 26, 2008 10:10 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
Still not technically right BKB, but this is still a solid call for you. I couldn't even imagine $50m four-day before.
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Fri Dec 26, 2008 1:39 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
BUMP since technically, I called this closer than anyone with 1 Million to spare..
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Sun Dec 28, 2008 9:09 am |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am Posts: 3139
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 Re: The Marley & Me 50 Million Weekend Club..
No. You called 50 million for the 3 day. It made 37 million...
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Mon Dec 29, 2008 12:09 am |
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