Yes, $350 million : )

A $75 million opening day? Nahhh.... a 27% increase over the current record?!

But will it have that much more anticipation than Revenge of the Sith?

I'm with Corpse on this one. A May release date would do it no good as a steep decline would ensue with no holiday weekdays to fall back on. Early July would be great for it - especially with no Transformers breathing down its neck - like OotP which basically did $300m anyway.

Before the split - I was predicting a 2010 Potter 7 doing $350-$375m. Now Im thinking $310-$350m for each one. Still not sure if the 2nd will do better or worse than the first. Both Pirates and Matrix trilogies suggest the second will do worse even though its the epic conclusion.

If Prince Caspian does well in May, I don't think Shrek 4 would be a serious threat really. Shrek the Third failed to receive 3 multiplier despite opening the weekend before Memorial Day Weekend. Yes, it did have Pirates opening just a week later so that was a big reason, but still, just over a 2.6 multipler for Shrek? The legs of Shrek the Third, the poor reviews, and the awful DVD sales suggest Shrek 4 could fall below 300M, and I think it probably will. If Prince Caspian can gross something near the first Narnia, or more, I don't think Shrek would be a major threat and the reverse would the bigger talking point.

Though I would like to see Narnia take the Pirates July spot.

The spirit - December 25th 2008

moved up.

Massive bomb.

Didn't want to face Underworld 3?

Yes. It is understandable. Underworld pequel comes out after 2 successful movies and a company that is better at marketing those kind of movies.

Spirit will get killed by Seven Pounds, The Day the earth Stood still and bedtime stories.

There's alot of money to be made at Christmas though so it should do some decent numbers. Personally I think its better off in Feb/Mar/April - like Sin City.

http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?0507160050.LaChris

A&C 2 - March 19th 2010

Bad release date. I expect a 150 million drop.

Terrible move. That's what happens when studios get confident about their product, and think that moviegoers will see their films in droves any time of year. Night At The Museum's May move was risky, as was Narnia's. This move is just plain ridiculous.

Yeah thats a silly move. I guess outside the holiday season and summer - March is considered the next big launching spot for a big animated/kids film (thanks to Ice Age, Horton etc). Being a sequel it should still open well enough but a it wont get much further than $120-$130m

I cant believe the Love Guru still hasnt moved. I'd say they are better off moving to the Hancock weekend as that is rated R and is the only wide release. Plus the weekend after it is rather weak.

Also I didnt realise Tropic Thunder is coming out so late in the summer and is up against Clone Wars. That could go either way.

Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun Li - February 27th 2009

Oh boy, really really stupid move for Alvin. Seriously, the holiday season was the main reason for the first film's success!

http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=44871

DEATH RACE - August 22nd 2008

wtf? It moved up from september 26th and not a single piece of promotion is ready for the film.

I guess people making the movie think since Horton hears a who did so well in March they think Alvin will.

March is also the month the family films from the Winter are fading away, and there isn't more until the Summer, so the market is empty when it comes to family films. So a big family film should do fairly well in March, I think Ice Age and Horton are great examples.

So maybe it's a good move since it will likely see a sharp decrease, and would be overwhelmed against stronger event and family films during the Winter. So a Spring release means little to no competition.

Horton would have made $180+ million with Alvin's release date in December, so...

Probably, but Alvin 2 is bound to see a big decrease no matter the release, so maybe opening it during a weak frame of the year will be okay.

W. - October 17, 2007

Being released by Lionsgate, apparently. Slightly surprising, yet not at all at the same time.

Explain

I am not at all shocked that it's being released less than three weeks before the general election. Probably a smart marketing move.

I was looking at the future schedule. Is it me or is it like locked that TF2 will win next year and will likely be like ROTS in 2005 and DMC in 2006, being the only huge event film next year???



X-men Origins will be in the same situation as Iron Man. No big movie for almost 2 months and decent competition. However I see instead a gross of 75/200 million.

Next Memorial day will be weird with a Terminator spinoff and a Christmas film. I don't know what will happen.

However to me the only very hyped film and prehaps the first event film does not appear till the end of June!!

Transformers 2 is easily set to knock down spiderman 3 record.... It will have lots of attention as it there will be only smaller films grossing max 40 million in their first weekend.

My basis is simple, what is its competition and really to me 2009 seems to be a sequel free year. We saw this in 2005-2006 and this usually lead to a lot of sub 300 million films but then one film breaking out getting close to 400 million.

I am hoping for Prince of Persia to breakout and IA3 to do $180+ million domestically and $350+ million overseas.

A-Team could do DH4 type boxoffice.

True there will be a lot of 200 million grosses next year. No doubt about that, but there will not be an event film (250 million +) in May....


However imo, the only film with a chance to make over 250 million before July is Transformers 2 next year...

The hype will be massive, the market will be quite open and it will face Ice age 3.

I see around 135-150 million opening weekend with a gross about 330-380 million domestic.

I don't know about that Disaster film called 2012.