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 The Boxoffice Derby Thread! 
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
averaging 83% again, nice.

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Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:22 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I wonder why the hell we have to predict again silly Chihuahua with 788 theaters when it will make at very best only 700k.


Thu Nov 20, 2008 5:15 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
almost famous wrote:
I wonder why the hell we have to predict again silly Chihuahua with 788 theaters when it will make at very best only 700k.


I guess they think the Disney helps Disney phenom that others here have noted will be full force. Saw can't beat BHC due to theater drop and Soul Men is also plummeting in theaters, but I don't know yet how likely Soul Men is to drop that much and BHC to be helped that much. I'd have thought BHC would be hurt enough by Bolt to cancel the Disney aid phenom. HSM3 hurt it....

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Thu Nov 20, 2008 6:02 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Slumdog Millionaire would've been a good candidate for such a weekend.

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Fri Nov 21, 2008 5:33 am
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Golfaholic
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
xiayun wrote:
Slumdog Millionaire would've been a good candidate for such a weekend.


Boy in striped pajamas even more. Maybe the theater increase surprised BG


Fri Nov 21, 2008 2:35 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
general consensus:

1. Twilight - 72.3m
2. Bolt - 33.7m
3. Quantum of Solace - 30.3m
4. Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa - 16.2m
5. Role Models - 6.6m
6. Changeling - 2.6m
7. High School Musical 3: Senior Year - 2.4m
8. The Secret Life of Bees - 1.5m
9. Zack and Miri Make a Porno - 1.4m
10. Beverly Hills Chihuahua - 0.7m

Derby scores based on these numbers:

Omni 96.71%
The Scottie 96.26%
asalem182 96.1%
DIB2 94.92%
foolosopher 94.29%
Ponyo 94.1%
2001 93.15%
xiayun 91.48%

with Chihuahua at 0.6m:
Omni 98,14%
DIB2 96,34%

with Chihuahua at 0.5m:
Omni 96,14%
DIB2 94,34
xiayun 94,33

with Chihuahua at 0.8m:
Omni 95,64%
Ponyo 95,6%

with Chihuahua at 0.8m AND Zack and Miri at 1.5m:
Ponyo 96,3%
Omni 94,97%

with Chihuahua at 0.7m AND Zack and Miri at 1.6m:
Ponyo 95,6%
Omni 95,46%

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Fri Nov 21, 2008 9:14 pm
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Stop cursing us. :glare:

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Fri Nov 21, 2008 9:19 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Chihuahua turned out to be a derby killer after all. As far as I remember it's the lowest ranking movie in the derby since Vince Vaughn's Gigantic Title Movie. There wasn't a single non-zero score for that one.

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 12:12 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Xia! Great comeback :thumbsup:

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:10 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Damn - I envy anyone who called BHC 100%. :notworthy: I barely avoided a 0. Lousy little mutt, single-handedly making or breaking the game. Apox on BOM. :disgust:

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:25 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
2nd and 3rd. Congrats Xiayun! And rumpel, foolosopher, scotty, trillian, asalem, levy... everyone really.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:32 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Thanks! :) Certainly had been a tough stretch, with missing games and low scores. Turned out didn't need to risk that 0.1 on BHC, but happy that my feeling on how much the new openers would hurt Medagascar 2, HSM3, and BHC was finally on the mark.

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:40 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Apparently I'm an idiot because I predicted 3.4 for HSM...

:disgust: Totally blew up my score.

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:57 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Xia, OmniCorpse, Rumpel, Fool, Scott, Dib2, Ponyo, etc.

Extra congrats to Xia for stomping the competition and being 1 of 5 to nail BHC!

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:57 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Proud Ryu wrote:
Chihuahua turned out to be a derby killer after all. As far as I remember it's the lowest ranking movie in the derby since Vince Vaughn's Gigantic Title Movie. There wasn't a single non-zero score for that one.


According to BoM last week Beverly Hills Chihuahua had 16,500 shows per weekend
This week only 2,600 shows per weekend.

How the hell we were supposed to know that? Actually per show average increases nearly twice from 96 to 180 dollar.

Anyway, congratulations to Xia, Omni/Corpse. It was definitely a wrong week for making risky experiments and checking silly theories.


Mon Nov 24, 2008 7:10 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
damn it, barely over 80% :mad:

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 7:53 pm
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je vois l'avenir
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
my second worst week ever.....oops

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 8:09 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Xia pawns

Congrats

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Mon Nov 24, 2008 8:41 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congratulations, Xiayun, Corpse/Omni.


Mon Nov 24, 2008 8:53 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
What a comeback, Xia. 5% ahead of the crowd. That must be some kind of record. Surprised I ended up almost in the top 20. The openers saved me big time


Tue Nov 25, 2008 3:20 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats xiayun, what a comeback!

All the usual suspects did amazing this week as well :)


Tue Nov 25, 2008 3:52 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats to xiayun on another comeback victory.

Also, @ Levy. I once had a 5.71% gap between me and the second place winner (on the Ige Age 2 weekend).

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Tue Nov 25, 2008 5:21 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Xia's victory is the 11th highest relative-to-average win of all time, and the 2nd highest this year, after the OmniCorpse victory where Tropic Thunder won its 3rd weekend (which was the 7th highest of all time).

While I'm at it, Xiayun is also now tied for 4th with Bill Delahanty for the the most Derby wins with 7, after Brandon Gray (12), Ragnarok (10), and Scottie (9). These players account for one fifth of all wins.

:noway: :thumbsup:

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Tue Nov 25, 2008 10:54 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Did Ragnarok post at all?

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Nov 25, 2008 2:26 pm
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King Albert!
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Corpse wrote:
Did Ragnarok post at all?


Ragnarok used to be a frequent poster at BOM from 2003 through 2005, and he posted here for a brief period. His name is an anagram for K. Aragorn. He retired the derby in the summer of 2005. We've talked to each other frequently over at BOM, even eating his own humble pie if I get a better score than him. He is from Athens, Greece.

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