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 The Boxoffice Derby Thread! 
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Rank: 22nd

Accuracy: 87.56%

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Tue Feb 05, 2008 8:17 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Levy! :2thumbsup:

And nobody got a score on Wild West Comedy Show.

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Mon Feb 11, 2008 7:29 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
congrats levy :shades:

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Mon Feb 11, 2008 9:23 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Wow, even with a mediocre score, Levy wins the derby. I got tenth place with my score. That moved me up to 11th place for the year.

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Mon Feb 11, 2008 9:39 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Levy!.

Im losing my groove! :( ... im sucking big time.


Tue Feb 12, 2008 2:20 am
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Golfaholic
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Yay Me!! ;)

Thanks guys. Oddly enough that is my first derby win although I've been lingering around the top quite often...

Up to 2nd for the month and 12th for the year.

PS: I still think it sucks that no matter if you bet 1.1 or 100 on Wild West you get a zero.


Tue Feb 12, 2008 3:01 am
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Levy :thumbsup:

255th for the week, 36th for the year, and 96th for the month. Hmm, maybe it's time to re-retire.


Tue Feb 12, 2008 5:24 am
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The Antichrist
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Well done, Levy! :yes:

A pretty bad February so far for us, and also the year is overall mediocre. At least it can only improve.

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Tue Feb 12, 2008 9:01 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Hannah Montana is out for a third week? :unsure:


Tue Feb 12, 2008 11:54 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Levy wrote:
PS: I still think it sucks that no matter if you bet 1.1 or 100 on Wild West you get a zero.


Levy's avatar was quite prescient - nicely done.

It does suck that zeros aren't ranked, but I guess the alternative of negative percents would be pretty unpopular. It would help if BOM didn't allow movies into their "top 10" that had no shot at making the actual top 10.

By the way, I know my list of best predicters in Derby history could use some improvement, so I am creating a new list that corrects for games like this one (and especially the I Am Legend one that Corpse won) that punish a lifetime score even though you get #1. BOM has no such list, so someone needs to create it. I will post it as soon as I can.

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Tue Feb 12, 2008 2:25 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
I always use "Average Ranking" as a better measuring stick.

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Tue Feb 12, 2008 7:17 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
xiayun wrote:
I always use "Average Ranking" as a better measuring stick.


Is there a list for that?


Wed Feb 13, 2008 8:58 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Note: posting this one here in addition to the thread where I started this. This took some time.
Ok, so I got to thinking about the most fair way to rank the all-time best Derby predicters. Not to beat a dead horse, but since I started this thing, I wanted to do it right. The major complaint is the number of games played. But the main problem is that every game is of different difficulty. Corpse won the toughest game ever the week I Am Legend and Alvin and the Chipmunks came out, yet her winning score of 70.492 brought her overall average down, which is a disadvantage compared to people who didn't play that game (same for all who played that week). Similar story for Levy et al. this last weekend. Xiayun suggested average ranking as a better yardstick, and I agree, however, the problem there is the variable number of people in each game. To illustrate the problem, if there were a freak anomalous game of say 50 players, then a rank of 50 would seem pretty good, though you got last place. A rank of 100 out of 10,000 would be top 1% though it could hurt your average. To correct for these problems and be most fair, we should consider a player's score relative to the average score for each game, and then average those numbers. To these ends, I've considered only the 1000 players who have played the most games (1003 players of at least 31 games). This list is the top 10% or so of those, who have scored at least 10% above average on average (I thought Levy deserved to make the cut for the recent win). I'm sure no one is surprised to see Ragnarok still wins (who was that guy?). I know that there will still be resistance against those who played fewer games, but the relative to average score eliminates that as any kind of advantage. A higher number of games is still an honor in its own right though. I could also do a list to correct for improvement over time by considering everyone's most recent 30 games. But enough for now.

PlayerRel. to Ave AveAvg RankAvg ScoreGamesLast Game
Ragnarok 1.159 45.66 84.70%1006/3/2005
Peter Laughner 1.155 69.00 81.51%395/2/2003
Gemini_2 1.151 57.30 84.13%10912/31/2004
Vovanik 1.149 51.13 84.21%1841/25/2008
Omni 1.146 71.06 83.42%722/8/2008
Corpse 1.145 63.04 83.32%502/8/2008
Alex Young_2 1.145 78.06 82.23%1003/12/2004
xiayun 1.144 58.41 83.87%1882/8/2008
OSHO ( Rus ) 1.143 56.94 84.42%861/12/2007
Paradigma (RUS) 1.143 73.14 84.30%4912/14/2007
Michael Patrick 1.142 95.69 80.62%453/21/2003
Brandon Gray 1.141 65.13 83.07%24812/22/2006
Laert44 (RUS) 1.140 70.65 83.71%1131/18/2008
RKyle 1.139 75.50 83.59%1432/8/2008
Scott Vasquez 1.138 69.68 82.95%3052/8/2008
Adam H 1.138 67.41 81.88%348/15/2003
betaman 1.137 77.63 83.14%1341/4/2008
HP2003 1.134 80.25 81.01%635/19/2004
JURY GALIMOV 1.133 74.10 82.64%1362/8/2008
Crag Hack 1.132 71.51 83.06%1912/8/2008
Mr. Sparkle 1.130 69.15 83.77%391/25/2008
DIB2 1.130 80.11 82.65%842/8/2008
dprimora 1.130 87.66 81.17%961/23/2004
Azrail (Osetia) 1.129 102.56 83.26%362/1/2008
smh_emadie 1.129 86.76 81.08%388/1/2003
Pantalaimon 1.128 93.84 81.25%322/8/2008
Arch Stanton 1.128 110.25 81.64%3210/12/2007
sexy jessica 1.127 91.29 80.37%485/2/2003
mh_emadi_2 1.127 83.97 81.08%398/1/2003
Bill Delehanty 1.127 80.74 82.67%2212/8/2008
King Aragorn 1.126 93.94 80.88%328/15/2003
Nostradamus (Russia) 1.126 85.68 82.38%716/29/2007
Rafael Armando 1.126 74.56 82.00%1702/3/2006
Jeff 42 1.126 78.97 82.63%2035/25/2007
evil darth pimp 1.126 77.78 83.47%6510/15/2004
CALot 1.125 85.71 82.12%752/8/2008
foolosopher 1.124 90.36 83.24%531/18/2008
RUS IGOR 1.123 75.30 82.95%9011/9/2007
klem 1.123 83.82 81.67%1379/9/2005
bullseye 1.121 98.55 80.00%446/23/2006
dolemit3 1.120 102.57 81.86%8711/16/2007
Leonardo da Vinci 1.119 79.01 83.21%1382/17/2006
Mithrandir 1.119 92.19 81.28%637/23/2004
sadysto 1.119 103.31 81.78%7410/26/2007
meteor_phoenix 1.118 107.97 79.55%636/27/2003
amiyumi_2 1.117 82.67 82.32%7212/24/2004
Len Anderson 1.117 98.24 79.83%631/16/2004
trixster 1.116 101.39 82.20%828/24/2007
magicdreamer 1.116 115.62 80.86%378/24/2007
IGOR MOJAEV 1.116 87.91 82.13%583/25/2005
StarchildFan 1.115 110.85 78.44%529/19/2003
Misha A 1.115 105.75 81.15%2932/8/2008
NetGhost 1.115 94.17 81.62%1612/8/2008
MikeQ. 1.114 97.58 82.06%16010/20/2006
Azamat 1.113 95.29 81.18%1272/8/2008
WebNavigator 1.113 88.09 83.36%473/16/2007
these2shall pass 1.113 128.12 78.43%333/21/2003
Aki Oksanen 5 1.113 98.84 81.34%2368/24/2007
djt09 1.113 118.69 78.97%645/27/2005
Sol 1.112 130.92 77.60%392/21/2003
moonreflection 1.112 96.08 80.57%1232/10/2006
JMorphin 1.112 100.35 81.58%2232/16/2007
Wolfram Meidlinger 1.111 100.89 81.11%29312/21/2007
S_Whitford 1.111 92.07 81.96%1216/23/2006
da torri 1.110 99.51 82.90%433/3/2006
SaW 1.110 113.76 79.70%422/8/2008
Chris Greffin 1.110 103.08 79.56%3912/12/2003
Corwin (RUS) 1.109 99.79 81.13%1672/8/2008
Rod_2 1.109 109.06 80.56%12510/8/2004
asalem182 1.109 99.81 81.28%2002/8/2008
haerpino 1.109 103.10 81.61%8712/29/2006
Animosity Reigns 1.108 103.38 82.01%13510/5/2007
necronomic (Russia) 1.108 95.56 81.28%597/21/2006
Adam Nemeth2 1.108 119.41 78.08%445/2/2003
mfantin65 1.108 108.20 81.90%506/3/2005
Juni78ukr 1.108 111.06 80.93%1152/8/2008
Dieter Rogiers 1.108 131.76 76.58%3812/10/2004
John Martin 1.108 112.21 78.45%525/9/2003
dar2005 1.108 104.85 81.56%17612/15/2006
redrum 1.107 108.88 81.98%4910/5/2007
Kullervo 1.107 106.41 81.36%837/15/2005
ghogue 1.107 126.73 80.48%442/8/2008
Jack Ward_2 1.107 90.87 81.26%475/19/2004
winnie_2 1.106 115.25 80.46%1932/3/2006
The Bates_2 1.106 120.13 78.25%395/2/2003
Paul_B 1.105 108.38 81.33%1518/3/2007
kidwltm 1.105 108.60 79.71%772/6/2004
Nate Lamarra 1.105 117.70 77.59%377/2/2003
Joel The Great 1.105 111.09 81.96%322/1/2008
Stefan_2 1.105 102.08 80.61%26411/16/2007
hgreen 1.104 125.03 80.25%1002/8/2008
rhett_2 1.104 106.63 81.21%356/25/2004
Joel_2 1.104 123.58 79.13%336/30/2006
Zingaling 1.104 103.81 81.17%1978/17/2007
Vharrus 1.103 110.47 81.58%458/10/2007
Michael W 1.103 142.63 76.44%3812/27/2002
David Hatfield 1.103 113.31 78.79%6512/17/2003
VasekVVV 1.103 118.69 79.40%482/8/2008
Mrs Smoker feat. Jay Z 1.103 117.19 81.00%1759/21/2007
Groucho 1.102 122.20 80.83%469/14/2007
WildThings 1.102 113.79 80.54%778/10/2007
fabulix 1.102 112.05 80.59%1042/8/2008
plot 1.101 96.71 81.13%344/1/2005
Clint G 1.101 132.71 77.59%482/14/2003
bluecrushfan88 1.101 106.54 81.02%1753/9/2007
Levy (WOKJ) 1.101 114.43 79.34%1242/8/2008
Indiana baumer 1.101 148.82 78.15%458/10/2007
Cory G. 1.101 115.78 80.63%2182/8/2008
Han Solo (RUS) 1.100 117.68 79.68%412/8/2008
Rick_3 1.100 134.32 76.75%347/30/2004
This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

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Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:44 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
wow... i just notice that the past week was my worst since December 26, 2005 (64.777%), and a week after i got the best score in derby history... Does it still stand? :unsure:


Thu Feb 14, 2008 2:50 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
matatonio wrote:
wow... i just notice that the past week was my worst since December 26, 2005 (64.777%), and a week after i got the best score in derby history... Does it still stand? :unsure:

IM pretty sure it does a 97% is sick. ;)

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Thu Feb 14, 2008 4:25 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
BJ wrote:
matatonio wrote:
wow... i just notice that the past week was my worst since December 26, 2005 (64.777%), and a week after i got the best score in derby history... Does it still stand? :unsure:

IM pretty sure it does a 97% is sick. ;)


Oh yeah, the 97.11% is the best score ever (for the Chronic-what-cles of Narnia contest).
2nd place: 96.949%, sadysto (Night at the Museum)
3rd place: 96.945%, NetGhost (Night at the Museum, same game as above)

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Fri Feb 15, 2008 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Ehh, so close, and so there's obviously something to regret.
At any rate, big congrats to asalem :thumbsup: , me myself & Corpse, and Xia.

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Tue Feb 19, 2008 7:47 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Omni wrote:
Ehh, so close, and so there's obviously something to regret.
At any rate, big congrats to asalem :thumbsup: , me myself & Corpse, and Xia.


I'd say Juno since we were going to go higher and not safer.

3rd for the week (93.61%). And the top 4 are all KJers. :thumbsup: And congrats to Jayhawk, dreamline, sidewinder and 2001 also.

4th for the year so far.

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Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:37 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Hannah's Monday cost me the win, but I have only myself to blame for lowering Step Up 2's prediction from 22 to 20 to 17 in a 5 minute span.

Congrats asalem! And certainly Omni/Corpse as well.

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Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:38 pm
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congrats Ahmed :thumbsup:


Wed Feb 20, 2008 2:59 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Total KJ domination!

Congrats everybody...


Wed Feb 20, 2008 3:01 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Thanks everyone :)

My fourth win overall, and the 2nd in the last 10 games. 20th for the year, and 39th for the month.

Total domination by KJ :thumbsup:


Wed Feb 20, 2008 4:22 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Good job Asalem. I got 32nd place this weekend.

That moved me up to #5 for the month, and I am in the top 10 for the year. This is probably the quickest I have ever been in the top ten for a calender year.

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Wed Feb 20, 2008 4:25 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Yeah, the monthly charts looks good:

2. BJ
4. Xia
5. Scott
7. Dreamline
8. Myself
11. Corpse
12. Omni

And the Yearly chart is even better for KJ:
1. Xia
3. BJ
4. Corpse
5. Omni
9. Dreamline
10. Scott
11. Dib
13. Myself


Wed Feb 20, 2008 5:25 am
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Post Re: Derby Game Discussion Thread
Congratulations to to asalem. Great score indeed!


Wed Feb 20, 2008 7:36 am
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