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 Our Consensus In The Top 10 Categories 
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Best Original Screenplay:

Lars and the Real Girl
Ratatouille
Juno
The Savages
Michael Clayton


Best Adapted Screenplay:

Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 10:58 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
ORIGINAL:

Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

ADAPTED:

Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 11:42 am
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Original Screenplay
Juno
Knocked Up
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 1:15 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Brilliant idea loyal! I love it. It will be cool to have a set of forum-consensus predictions of all the major categories just before the nominations are announced. It will gauge just who the surprise nominees really are, at least in contrast to the view of the consensus.

My predictions:

Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Peace,
Mike


Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:37 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
I think the consensus for Adapted Screenplay is already obvious.

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:45 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Adapted is pretty set, unless they really hate Atonement...but what could replace it?

Original is harder:
Juno and Michael Clayton are set. The Savages should be (best screenplay of the year), but I think it's small enough to possibly fall out. Ratatouille will most likely be in since it needs some recognition besides animated. Then it's Knocked Up vs. Lars, but both could get in if The Savages falls out. Oh, and a small chance Waitress gets in.

But yeah...I'll predict
Juno
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
Knocked Up


Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:50 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
esnack wrote:
Adapted is pretty set, unless they really hate Atonement...but what could replace it?



Zodiac. It got the WGA nom and the USC Scripter nom, whereas Atonement missed the former and The Diving Bell missed the latter.

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:57 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Dr. Lecter wrote:
esnack wrote:
Adapted is pretty set, unless they really hate Atonement...but what could replace it?



Zodiac. It got the WGA nom and the USC Scripter nom, whereas Atonement missed the former and The Diving Bell missed the latter.


Foreign language are ineligible for USC, I think.


Tue Jan 15, 2008 3:01 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
esnack wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
esnack wrote:
Adapted is pretty set, unless they really hate Atonement...but what could replace it?



Zodiac. It got the WGA nom and the USC Scripter nom, whereas Atonement missed the former and The Diving Bell missed the latter.


Foreign language are ineligible for USC, I think.


Oh ok. Well, in any case, Zodiac is the only spoiler...methinks.

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 3:04 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages


Tue Jan 15, 2008 3:51 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Dr. Lecter wrote:
esnack wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
esnack wrote:
Adapted is pretty set, unless they really hate Atonement...but what could replace it?



Zodiac. It got the WGA nom and the USC Scripter nom, whereas Atonement missed the former and The Diving Bell missed the latter.


Foreign language are ineligible for USC, I think.


Oh ok. Well, in any case, Zodiac is the only spoiler...methinks.


And Atonement wasn't eligible for the WGA - yes, yes, that's why it missed. :P

Peace,
Mike


Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:05 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Why wasn't Atonement eligible?

Original
Juno
Michael Clayton
Lars and the Real Girl
The Savages
Ratatouille
[40YO Virgin got in, so I'm REALLY hoping Knocked Up knocks something out. Stupid Juno stealing its thunder!]


Adapted
Atonement
The Diving Bell
Into the Wild
No country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:21 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
He's just kiddin' : )

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:27 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Raffiki wrote:
[40YO Virgin got in, so I'm REALLY hoping Knocked Up knocks something out. Stupid Juno stealing its thunder!]


What are you talking about?

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 4:34 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Original
1 Juno
2 Michael Clayton
3 Ratatouille
4 The Savages
5 Eastern Promises



Adapted
1 No Country for Old Men
2 Into the Wild
3 The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4 There Will Be Blood
5 Charlie Wilson's War


Tue Jan 15, 2008 5:10 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Best Original Screenplay:

Lars and the Real Girl
Ratatouille
Juno
The Savages
Michael Clayton


Best Adapted Screenplay:

Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men

____

40YO didn't get in Raff, so I don't expect Knocked Up to be in either...

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Best Original Screenplay:

Lars and the Real Girl
Ratatouille
Juno
The Savages
Michael Clayton


Best Adapted Screenplay:

Zodiac
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
There Will Be Blood
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men


Tue Jan 15, 2008 5:55 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Yeah...the consensus is rather clear.

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 6:18 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages

Adapted Screenplay
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Zodiac

So, basically the consensus with Zodiac over Atonement. I'm far more interested in the results for S. Actress, where after the main three it's completely up in the air.


Tue Jan 15, 2008 6:19 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Eh, Jon, I think you'll find fairly clear consensus for Keener with probably 90% mentioning her.

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days (Best Screenplay)
Original Screenplay
Juno
The Savages
Ratatouille
Michael Clayton
Knocked Up

Best Adapted Screenplay
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Zodiac
Into the Wild

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 8:23 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days (Best Screenplay)
Original Screenplay
Juno
Lars and the Real Girl
The Savages
Ratatouille
Michael Clayton

Best Adapted Screenplay
Atonement
There Will Be Blood
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild

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Tue Jan 15, 2008 8:37 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-Minus 7 Days
Lorry Hal wrote:
Raffiki wrote:
[40YO Virgin got in, so I'm REALLY hoping Knocked Up knocks something out. Stupid Juno stealing its thunder!]


What are you talking about?



I could have sworn 40 Year Old Virgin was nominated for Original Screenplay. I guess not.

I looked back and it was nominated by the Writer's Guild for Original Screenplay. Maybe that's what I remembered.

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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-6 Days (Best Editing/Cinematography)
Best Editing

American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Cinematography

The Assassination of Jesse James By the Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Lust, Caution
There Will Be Blood


Wed Jan 16, 2008 2:16 pm
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Post Re: Building A Consensus: T-6 Days (Best Editing/Cinematography)
Best Film Editing

American Gangster
The Bourne Ultimatum
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

Best Cinematography

Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Lust, Caution
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

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