BEST PICTURE:
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Atonement
Michael Clayton
Juno

BEST DIRECTOR:
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Sean Penn, Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright, Atonement

BEST ACTOR:
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd

BEST ACTRESS:
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Ellen Page, Juno
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Laura Linney, The Savages

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Catherine Keener, Into the Wild

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Brad Bird, Ratatouille
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Aaron Sorkin, Charlie Wilson’s War
Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Seems that Dave Karger has a pretty solid record (3 or 4/5 in categories), so... Atonement would get the shaft? In favor of Into the Wild? According to the guilds...

He neglects Into the Wild a lot there, yeah.

Ruby Dee getting a nom? Really? Nah...I doubt it.

Then again, there's one important thing to remember. Without either Dee or Washington, we'll have a year with not a single African-American nominee. Not in Director/Actor/Actress/Sup. Actor/Sup. Actress anyway.

Replace Dee with either Redgrave/Ronan (or Leigh!!!) and these would be quite perfect considering what's going on at the moment. Go Atonement? I can't think with a cold heart, that's why I'm not making full predictions this year...

very good predictions. Swap Atonement for Into the Wild in one or two places and you've basically got my predictions. and that lost OS slot could go to Lars or Knocked Up

he really only left it outta BP. He gave it Director and two Supportings. Throw in BP and that's all the major noms it'll likely get.

I read on awardsdaily.com that Dave Karger did these predictions after the DGA nominations.

Hmm... I'm still torn on Atonement but Into the Wild should have secured a spot by now as most of us agree.

I really hope Atonement makes it!!!!

How accurate is EW?

3 to 4 correct out of 5 on average. Some categories strike 5/5. I can't pull up archives, but I'm pretty sure they nailed some Screenplay and Acting categories in the past.

I think I'm blind.... but I didn't see any of their "FYC" this time?

I hope he's right on Linney getting in for actress....she seems to have slightly more buzz lately.
But he's so, so off on Atonement...unless he knows something we don't. More likely we know a lot that he doesn't, though.