The Departed had a ratio of 100. AG certainly won't be that low; otherwise it would be on pace to break HP's November record. Still, is $20m really in play?

A ratio of 40-50 for Bee Movie and 80-100 for MC, I'm thinking.

Is this really on track to make the Top 5 R-rated openings off all time?



It's still not getting nominated for Best Picture

Yeah, the ratio should be quite high especially considering the early release....but it still is looking good.

told yall!!!!!

American Gangster - 1403 (355), +17 (+?), B+
Bee Movie - 84 (10), +8 (+0), B- (Down from B)
Martian Child - 24 (4), +2 (+2), B

Was your written review number a typo, Xia?

its severely clogged

Heh, yeah, that's the increase in raw reviews from previous update. The written number was 300 something.

Could the fact that AG was leaked put the ratio higher?

I doubt that would effect the ratio much.

Could be. This is the most widely known early leak I've ever heard, honestly. So many people I know have this film already and most of them watched it.

and it got already 5,506 votes on IMDB - almost unheard of before release...

btw. the rating so far is a great 8.5...


PS: Now we know that IMDB is used by plenty of pirates...

So what are the numbers as of now

American Gangster - 1424 (362), +21 (+7), B+
Bee Movie - 91 (11), +7 (+1), B-
Martian Child - 27 (5), +3 (+1), B

Clogged.

or journalists

American Gangster - 1548 (373), +124 (+11), B+
Bee Movie - 130 (11), +39 (+1), C+ (down from B-)
Martian Child - 48 (5), +21 (+0), B

Maybe instead of being clogged, Yahoo was cleaning up some of the reviews for AG. It's more normal now, and still looking excellent even with a 200 ratio.

Bee Movie is not doing very well. It needs to pick up some pace to just hit 500 reviews and $10m for the day. Will be saved by the multiplier, but not going to be a breakout.

American Gangster - 1610 (386), +62 (+13), B+
Bee Movie - 171 (16), +41 (+5), C+
Martian Child - 55 (6), +7 (+1), B

Trying to stay in sync with the :30 update:

American Gangster - 1675 (394), +127 (+21), B+
Bee Movie - 195 (21), +65 (+10), C+
Martian Child - 60 (9), +12 (+4), B

What Friday gross can we expect?

In a broad range, $1-2m. More narrowly, I'm thinking around 1.5m.

Pity, I was hoping for $2m-$2.5m...

American Gangster - 1770 (406), +95 (+12), B+
Bee Movie - 225 (24), +30 (+3), C+
Martian Child - 68 (9), +8 (+0), B

Pretty stable now, so could make some reasonable projection. 100 per hour will put AG at 2,500, possibly more; subtract say 500 extra from being on the front page and give a normal ratio of 100-120, I'll go ahead and say $17-20m.

Bee Movie finally picked the pace up some. Still only looking at 400-450 reviews and a bad grade. A Robot type of Friday. $9-10m.

Martian Child should finish with around 120. With a decent grade and no Yahoo exposure, I don't expect a high ratio, so $1.2-1.5m.

I went with $40 mil for Gangster, which is higher than most.

Looks like Bee will do less than $32 mil...

The IM should be superb, so probably $35m.

American Gangster - 1870 (421), +100 (+15), B+
Bee Movie - 271 (26), +46 (+2), C+
Martian Child - 75 (10), +7 (+1), B

American Gangster - 1870 (451), +19 (+30), B+
Bee Movie - 271 (26), +10 (+10), C+
Martian Child - 75 (15), +2 (+5), B

Ca-logged.