A winner 40 years in the making, The Force Awakens will make history as the only film to gross 1 Billion dollars domestically and will on the strength of that narrative, become the first science-fiction-ish film to win Best Picture.

Out

Avatar made 2.7 billion and lost to a film that made 12 million.

This is wishful thinking.

It will be nominated due to it's outrageous box office and for ratings. They'll find a way.

in

just cause

Researching when the biggest film in the world loses Best Picture, like Star Wars vs Annie Hall, ET vs Gandhi, Avatar vs The Hurt Locker, I noticed the film it loses to has always won Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Screenplay. Meaning the winner aka the smaller film always had the dominate support, despite any David vs Goliath narratives.

And yet Mad Max: Fury Road, the current frontrunner to win Best Director isn't being widely predicted to win any of the other top prizes. That to me demonstrates that 2015 is going to be yet another year of firsts for the academy. Admittedly, that COULD also mean Fury Road will win Best Picture and categories like Editing but I suspect voters will go with something more mainstream.

I'm tempted.

AHEM

Widely, by pundits. Of course this could all change if Fury Road wins the GG or PGA, which considering its my #1 film of 2015 by a wide margin, would be awesome. But I suspect it's not going to win BP and BD.

Out

I'm a pundit, damnit!

Fuck it.

IN!

Nah, Furiousa's got dis shit

Out.

If anything, the third film will win it. But probably none do.

There is no third film. There's only annual Star Wars films from now until the sun burns out.

Is it not the third trilogy with solo movies in-between?

Loyal...

Gurl.

Dunno, with all the money it's making, they could afford to buy Oscar votes.

I should have prefaced this club by saying I really didn't like the film, I felt it was kinda fan service wank and frankly I spent most of its runtime bored.

That said, the fact that this film, which is highly regarded critically (to my amazement to be honest), is going to blow past Avatar by several hundred million should NOT be discounted. A lot of things have to fall into place for this to happen. It's going to be exciting to watch. We've never had a billion dollar film in the race before and this year is weak. It's Jan and there's no frontrunner.

The year itself isn't that weak; the crop of traditional Oscar contenders was weak. Movies like The Martian, Mad Max and Inside Out were all great, and certainly deserving of Best Picture, but no one thinks they will win because they don't fit traditional Oscar standards.

Er... you HAVE looked at the threads in this forum recently, have you not?

That's more hope than actual expectation.

This isn't the 90s, there aren't any traditional Oscar standards anymore. If anything, you're seeing the normal Oscar bait (WWII dramas, juicy biopics) rejected and riskier films win.

Just curious, how many Oscar races have you followed before?

This is not happening. Out.

In:
Loyal
BJ
Moviegeek

Out:
James Cameron
George Lucas

Lol