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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Early call. Join now.  I see 11 noms and probably 4-5 wins.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Sep 15, 2013 2:38 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Yes
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Sun Sep 15, 2013 6:21 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12194
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
This movie is incredible. Phenomenal acting and directing.
At this point, I think it has a chance at winning these categories:
Best actor (95%) Best picture (85%) Adapted screenplay (80%) Cinematography (80%) Directing (75%) Score (60%) Best supporting actor (50%) Best supporting actress (35%)
It will also probably get costume design nods, editing, make up but not sure if those were notables from the movie. The biggest standouts were picture, actor, supporting actress (Lupita Nyong), screenplay, directing, and cinematography.
I think this has a serious play for best cinematography and adapted screenplay and might get a nod for supporting actress. The scenary was not like I would have expected from this film and other people were talking about just how well filmed the landscapes were and the characters.
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Sun Sep 15, 2013 9:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68326
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
12 Years A Slave is the hare. There's no way it can sustain the buzz.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 12:31 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
looks bloody boring
_________________The Force Awakens
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 1:28 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68326
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
It's too obvious.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:55 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Think Costume Design is very likely as well. Gravity will grab some techs, but overall I see a pretty clean sweep by 12 Years a Slave. 6+ wins.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:18 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
OUT
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 4:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
I'm thinking wins for:
Best Picture Best Director Best Actor Best Adapted Screenplay Best Editing Best Cinematography
Gravity will probably end up with Visual Effects and two Sound wins.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 5:32 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
real gutsy call
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 6:59 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
I think calling anything in September is gutsy.
In fact, I named it a winner on August 11th, even before Telluride.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 7:01 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Arthur is massaging his small männlichkeit.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 7:14 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
It ain't small. And no, you ain't getting pics.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 7:28 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Es ist winzig!
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 7:35 pm |
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Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm Posts: 2716 Location: Berlin, Germania
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
the two only critics alive i listen to, walter chaw and ed gonzalez, didn't like it very much, so i'm rooting against it.
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Mon Sep 16, 2013 7:43 pm |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13299 Location: Vienna
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
This is going to rule the oscars next year. I'm in.
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Sat Sep 21, 2013 5:13 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Having seen the film, I am still quite certain about this.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Sep 21, 2013 5:53 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Dr. Lecter wrote: Having seen the film, I am still quite certain about this. But I sense a disturbance in the force compared to your previous posts.
_________________
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Sat Sep 21, 2013 6:13 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
trixster wrote: real gutsy call Looks like it pushes all the right Academy buttons (except disability) - - odds are on it's side.
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Sat Sep 21, 2013 7:51 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Does it have Wall Street guys throwing midgets?
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Sep 23, 2013 11:04 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40508
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Its biggest threat may be The Butler, in a way
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu Sep 26, 2013 11:23 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Shack wrote: Its biggest threat may be The Butler, in a way Erm, no. Its biggest threat is probably going to be Gravity at this point.
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Thu Oct 03, 2013 11:18 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
Yeah, no. Neither.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 03, 2013 11:23 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
There is no threat. Because it's not winning.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Oct 03, 2013 11:59 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: 12 Years a Slave for BP winner
American Hustle is still the biggest threat. Gravity is amazing, but no, it's not winning BP at the Oscar.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 04, 2013 3:40 am |
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