The first major non-Guilds precursor....


Last year Hugo won, the year before it was The Social Network.

What do you expect there to happen this year?

They usually love high-profile picks, so I'm thinking Lincoln will get Best Director, Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor. However, Best Picture will go to Argo and maybe Best Ensemble as well. I expect Jennifer Lawrence to pick up Best Supporting Actress.

My predictions -

Best Film
Argo

Best Director
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Supporting Actor
Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike

Best Supporting Actress
Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables

Best Acting by an Ensemble
Argo

Breakthrough Performance
Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Adapted Screenplay
Lincoln

Best Original Screenplay
Moonrise Kingdom

Best Animated Feature
ParaNorman

Best Directorial Debut
David Chase, Not Fade Away

Best Documentary
This Is Not a Film

Best Foreign Language Film
Amour

Top Films (in alphabetical order)
The Dark Knight Rises
Django Unchained
Flight
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Promised Land
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Giving PTA Best Director here would seem to fit their recent "slightly different than the rest" choices in BD

They like giving Ba to big names, though. Fincher for Bejamin Button, Burton for Sweeney Todd, Eastwod fo Invictus.Spielberg just perfectly.

I feel like, more often than not, the NBR just picks their Best Director by spinning a wheel with all the big contenders that year and choosing what it lands on, which is how we get Eastwood winning for INVICTUS (His only Directing win from these guys, I might add!), or Michael Mann for Collateral. They have been making a little more sense the last two years though.

Michael Mann winning for Collateral is an amazing choice. Just because a choice is out of step with Oscar doesn't mean it's just random B.S.

I forgot their raging Clint boner. Trouble with the Curve is definitely making the top 10!

I believe they might give Clint a rest this year, between Trouble with the Curve's beyond mediocre reception and the Republican convention fiasco. And it is not a film he directed.

Although I do believe there will be one "surprise" in their top ten, a film not on many award-season radars or at least seen as also-also-rans. My bet is Promised Land. Other options include Arbitrage, A Late Quartet, Not Fade Away, On the Road, Quartet, A Royal Affair, and Seven Psychopaths.

Sam Mendes for Skyfall? Or are we just talking Picture, with all of the talk about Clint I'm confused.

They're in! ZD30 continues its awards dominance.

Best Picture
ZERO DARK THIRTY

Top Films of the Year
ARGO
BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD
DJANGO UNCHAINED
LES MISÉRABLES
LINCOLN
LOOPER
THE PERKS OF BEING A WALLFLOWER
PROMISED LAND
SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, ZERO DARK THIRTY

Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Best Actress
Jessica Chastain, ZERO DARK THIRTY

Best Supporting Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, DJANGO UNCHAINED

Best Supporting Actress
Ann Dowd, COMPLIANCE

Breakthrough Actor
Tom Holland, THE IMPOSSIBLE

Breakthrough Actress
Quvenzhané Wallis, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD

Best Ensemble
LES MISÉRABLES

Best Original Screenplay
Rian Johnson, LOOPER

Best Adapted Screenplay
David O. Russell, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Best Directorial Debut
Benh Zeitlin, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD

Special Achievement in Filmmaking
Ben Affleck, ARGO

Spotlight Award
John Goodman, ARGO, FLIGHT, PARANORMAN, TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE

Best Animated Film
WRECK-IT RALPH

Best Foreign Language Film
AMOUR

Best Documentary
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN

Freedom of Expression Award
THE CENTRAL PARK FIVE
PROMISED LAND

Foreign Language Films of the Year
BARBARA
THE INTOUCHABLES
THE KID WITH A BIKE
NO
WAR WITCH

Documentaries of the Year
AI WEIWEI: NEVER SORRY
DETROPIA
THE GATEKEEPERS
THE INVISIBLE WAR
ONLY THE YOUNG

Top 10 Independent Films
ARBITRAGE
BERNIE
COMPLIANCE
END OF WATCH
HELLO I MUST BE GOING
LITTLE BIRDS
MOONRISE KINGDOM
ON THE ROAD
QUARTET
SLEEPWALK WITH ME

http://www.indiewire.com/article/nation ... n-progress

Wow, Zero Dark Thirty is definitely the frontrunner at this point.

Also their list is pretty awesome. Love the inclusion of Wallflower and Looper, which I didn't expect. Both are two of my favorite movies of the year.

Bradley Cooper!!! Sweet! These are great!

Agreed. It's nice to see him recognized as he was brilliant in that movie, almost as good as Lawrence.

Yeah, Cooper is simply terrific in Silver Linings. A very unexpected display of talent that should certainly be rewarded with a nomination.

Snubbed from the top 10: Flight, Life of Pi, The Master

Whoo, Leo! (lol not sure if it means squat but yay)

oh yeah good observation! But as long as Lincoln doesn't win everything, I'll be happy.

The Hobbit is out. If they had Django, then they definitely had TH screening too.

Bradley Cooper is in no way, shape, or form superior to Daniel Day-Lewis (and he is easily outshone by Jennifer Lawrence in his film), but I s'pose it is nice to see a left-field choice.

Nice to see Ann Dowd's memorable turn in Compliance revived. Another Hathaway snub.

The Life of Pi snub:

Moonrise Kingdom only being included on the list of independent films may be a bit frustrating for Focus Features.

The top ten is almost ruined by the curious inclusion of The Perks of Being a Wallflower.

You mean the awesome inclusion of The Perks of Being a Wallflower?

Agreed. Helps make this list much more interesting. Especially when it got in over something like The Master. I'm pretty ecstatic over its inclusion.

And it's really cool to see Ann Dowd win for Compliance. Haven't seen the film yet as I haven't had an opportunity to but it looks great and I've heard great things about her performance.

Thank God something is taking over the front-runner status from Lincoln. Though honestly I'm unsure if the Academy will award it Best Picture when they just awarded Bigelow's The Hurt Locker not long ago.

Magnolia needs to start campaigning for Ann Dowd. She's been doing the campaigning herself, using her own money and sending out DVD's of the film.

lol she's campaigning for herself?

Glad Perks made it in over the Master.

These are some fantastic nominations and wins.

Great to see Django in there, looks like it won't disappoint. Not surprised that The Master or The Hobbit didn't make it, they won't figure much in the Oscar race.

Love the fact Looper received some recognition. It deserves it.

Happy for Zero but still think it will be this years Social Network.