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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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 The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
It's been my second most anticipated movie all year long (after Inception, which did pretty well for itself too. ) Much of t  he competition seems very dark and unpleasant, Fincher just had his last movie get the most nominations of the year but not Best Picture, and most importantly, the early reviews are off-the-charts positive. It's possible this plays a lot less than the internet is expecting it to, but it is also looking to have some similarities to The Departed: ensemble drama opening in early October release date by a "due" writer and director getting some of the best reviews of their respected careers. Who wants to say they had Best Picture nailed before October? Members: MovieDude trixster Magnus MadGez Shack ???
Last edited by MovieDude on Wed Dec 15, 2010 7:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Sep 25, 2010 10:22 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
This would've been a lot more ballsy if you had started it before the reviews started rolling in.
I don't really see the similarities to The Departed, apart from release date. Scorsese was WAY more due and the ensembles aren't even comparable. Also, William Monahan wasn't exactly owed an Oscar.
Still, I'm in. The Academy has been going topical lately and this fits the bill. The King's Speech is really its only competition at this point.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Sun Sep 26, 2010 2:40 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35248 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
What can even challenge it? It will be pretty boring if the eventual Best Picture winner is THIS obvious.
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Sun Sep 26, 2010 11:25 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm Posts: 7578 Location: Torrington, CT
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
In.
_________________ It's my lucky crack pipe.
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Wed Sep 29, 2010 2:44 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23368 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
In.
Cant see much challenging it. Maybe King's Speech and True Grit (pending reviews). But thats it.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri Oct 01, 2010 9:17 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
I think The King's Speech winning against The Social Network would upset the internet community in the same was Shakespeare in Love winning against Saving Private Ryan did )and still does till today).
True Grit now can't win...not with the acclaim The Social Network is getting and not with the Coens' recent win. The King's Speech is the only remaining contender thanks to being the frontrunner for Best Actor and having the British fraction behind it.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 01, 2010 10:18 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40554
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Probably the closest thing to a lock this early, since ROTK
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Oct 01, 2010 1:22 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
I wonder how general audiences will react to The King's Speech. Whether it will have a minor/modest run along the lines of Frost/Nixon or An Education, or whether it can find a wider audience, à la a Richard Curtis crowd pleaser.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Fri Oct 01, 2010 5:43 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Given the acclaim and likely many Oscar noms and a few wins...I'd say a The Queen-like run is likely.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 01, 2010 5:57 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Anyone want to join on this inevitable bandwagon?
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Wed Dec 15, 2010 7:11 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
I think while it has the best chance, its box office wasn't big enough to make it a near lock yet. If a film makes a huge dent at the box office in the next month and a half, I think a dark horse could win it. For example, if either The Fighter or True Grit overperform box office wise and are really embraced by moviegoers, I could see an upset.
With the Academy working so hard to get viewers, and seeing the massive effect that box office performance had on the Oscars last year (ex. expanding the best picture nominee list, Sandra Bullock getting best actress, The Blind Side getting best picture nomination, etc), big box office can still sway the competition for best picture.
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Fri Dec 17, 2010 10:03 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
O wrote: I think while it has the best chance, its box office wasn't big enough to make it a near lock yet. If a film makes a huge dent at the box office in the next month and a half, I think a dark horse could win it. For example, if either The Fighter or True Grit overperform box office wise and are really embraced by moviegoers, I could see an upset.
With the Academy working so hard to get viewers, and seeing the massive effect that box office performance had on the Oscars last year (ex. expanding the best picture nominee list, Sandra Bullock getting best actress, The Blind Side getting best picture nomination, etc), big box office can still sway the competition for best picture. Avatar - $750 million The Hurt Locker - $16 million - won BP 'nuff said.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Dec 17, 2010 11:48 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16923 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
In
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 2:06 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
MovieDude wrote: Anyone want to join on this inevitable bandwagon? Call Levy! But isn't it called BanKWagon?
_________________
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 5:39 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
On February 27th, The King's Speech is going to kick The Social Network into the gutter where it belongs.
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 6:59 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
No. THE FIGHTER 
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 8:03 am |
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MovieGeek
Grill
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:38 pm Posts: 3682 Location: Here
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Joining this exclusive club. Can I have a membership card?
_________________ i'm back
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 1:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
The beter question now is:
How many Oscars will it win?
I'm thinking:
Best Picture Best Director Best Adapted Screenplay Best Editing
Don#t really see it getting more at the moment. Best Actor is possible, but against Firth more of a stretch. I suppose Best Score is a possibility too. That's about it.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 1:34 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
It will win Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay. Two Oscars.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 5:36 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Oh, I disagree. I could easily see them awarding the overdue Fincher and Sorkin, but then giving BP to a more sentimental choice (The King's Speech, The Fighter).
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 18, 2010 11:57 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Shack wrote: Probably the closest thing to a lock this early, since ROTK Probably the closest thing to a lock this early, since... the Norbit incident. (˙ʞɹoʍʇəu lɐıɔos əɥʇ oʇ sı ɹɐəq ıƃoʎ sɐ slɹıƃɯɐəɹp oʇ sı ʇıqɹou :ʇuıɥ)
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Sun Dec 19, 2010 2:37 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
I don't believe in the Norbit Effect, to be honest. Alan Arkin won because he's a respected veteran, and he was in a film nominated for Best Picture. Eddie Murphy lost because Dreamgirls lost momentum in general, and perhaps because he's a notorious a-hole.
And even if there is a Norbit Effect, Timberlake's involvement with Yogi Bear as a voice actor won't derail The Social Network. I still don't believe TSN has the Best Picture win sewn up entirely, but if it loses, it won't be because voters said, "Love it, but Timberlake did Yogi Bear, so I'm voting for The King's Speech."
..."shit, wait, The Warrior's Way. Now I'm voting for Black Swan! Wait, No Strings Attached! Damn it! Honey, has John Hawkes been in any crap movies lately, or can I vote for Winter's Bone?"
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sun Dec 19, 2010 4:02 am |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am Posts: 6245
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Magnus wrote: Gunslinger wrote: Oh, I disagree. I could easily see them awarding the overdue Fincher and Sorkin, but then giving BP to a more sentimental choice (The King's Speech, The Fighter). There really is no reason to think that will happen. Honestly, if I had to pick, I would say BD is more questionable than BP. But they're all locks. I don't agree with that at all. I think King's Speech has a much better job at winning BP than anyone does at taking fincher's overdue oscar. BD is a very tight race for Noms but Fincher has won already.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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Sun Dec 19, 2010 8:56 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
Let's not forget that the membership of the Academy doesn't entirely consist of teenage tweeters and twenty-something mirror gazers.
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Sun Dec 19, 2010 9:17 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: The Social Network will WIN Best Picture club
I don't see any film stopping it now. Besides sweeping the critics awards, the fact that Time gave Mark Zuckerberg the Person of the Year shows how relevant the story of Facebook is, and I don't believe he would have beaten WikiLeaks' Julian Assange if The film hadn't been made.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon Dec 20, 2010 3:42 am |
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