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 Best Picture Simulation 
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Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
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Post Best Picture Simulation
For those who would like to take part, I'm willing to undertake a Best Picture simulation of the WOKJ members. It's going to simulate exactly how the Oscar voters would vote, therefore what you rank as 2nd or 3rd or even 4th is sometimes just as important as what you rank 1st. This is because of the instant run-off system where your votes get reallocated as movies get eliminated. I will present round by round results so we can see exactly which round each film is voted out.

My goal is to get at least 40 votes, so we can get a large enough sample to get plenty of opinions. If this is unrealistic hopefully we can get at least 30. I want to get a large enough sample, though, to do this right.

What you need to do:

1. Play nice: try to watch the films before you vote (many of them are out on DVD) and be honest with your submission. Many of the Oscar voters take it really seriously so let's try to come at it from the same perspective.
2. Once you feel you've watched enough to form an opinion (this isn't a requirement, just a suggestion), PM me with your ranking of the films from 1 to 10. You may submit as few as 1 film or as many as 10, or any number in between. If you want to submit a ballot with just 3 films, that is fine. But remember what's in red above. And please be very clear about your ranking so I don't have to guess what is ranked your number 1, number 2, etc.
3. I'll set a very loose deadline of February the 14th at midnight PST. If I don't feel I have enough submissions by then, I can extend it a few more days. If you guys feel this deadline is too soon we can push it back. The goal here is a true simulation :)
4. You can change your vote up until the deadline. Just PM me again.

Why PM? Because I want the ballots to be secret; there may be a few people who are too shy to vote for a movie that other people don't like out of fear of criticism. I'd really prefer that not any votes be public (even in spoiler tags) as that might sway opinions.

These are the 10 Films in alphabetical order:

Avatar
The Blind Side
District 9
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air


Last edited by Kenspy on Wed Feb 10, 2010 7:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:00 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
So far we have 1 vote in (mine lol). I'll update periodically.


Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:01 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Alright 4 entries in, don't be shy :)


Thu Feb 04, 2010 2:38 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Hmmmmmmmmmmmm...I'm doing this on a couple other forums and I have entries in the dozens so far. Here we're stuck on 4 :(

No matter, even if we don't reach a high enough number here, your votes WILL count in the final tabulation (all the votes from all forums combined), and I'll post the results.


Fri Feb 05, 2010 4:33 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Well, I've only seen six nominees so far and the only other I'll see before the 13th is A Serious Man (due to the other three simply not being out here yet). I'll then send in the rankings.

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Sat Feb 06, 2010 11:32 am
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Yeah no problem...if you've only seen 4 or 5 films it's okay to rank. I think asking to rank 1 to 10 is scaring some people off who think that if they haven't seen all/most that they can't participate. Nah the Academy members aren't too unlike yourselves. There's a reason they send out DVD screeners, cause the chance of their film being seen otherwise isn't too high. So if you're a normal movie viewer who hasn't seen 8 or 9 of these and you want to cast your vote, please do! Your input is wanted :)

Up, Inglourious Basterds, The Hurt Locker, and District 9 are all available on DVD (and netflix).
As Lecter said, A Serious Man comes out on DVD in a few days.
I'm just going to assume that everyone has seen Avatar (love it or hate it or whatever)

So there's 6 right there!


Sat Feb 06, 2010 1:18 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
I'll end up not seeing Precious, The Blind Side and An Education before voting here (O'll be seeing An Education around Feb 18th, I think...the other two not before March).

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Sat Feb 06, 2010 1:20 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
as soon as I see Hurt Locker I'll have seen all of them; then i'll vote.

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Sat Feb 06, 2010 3:59 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
I'm seeing Up In the Air tonight which will make it a total of 8 BP movies seen. I won't be able to see The Blind Side before March and I haven't found a single info on when Precious opens here... So, I'm casting my vote tomorrow, but Precious will be 9th and TBS 10th as it's more likely I'm going to like Precious more than TBS. But I have no idea where both movies will fit. Not that it will matter as neither Precious nor TBS will be among the top rated movies at first. They're likely to fall off fast.


Sat Feb 06, 2010 5:16 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Wow, great idea. I was thinking of making a fake election myself (completely making up the vote) to see what might happen if people voted strategically. It seems that you can vote against a movie just as much as you can vote for one and i waned to see if this would hurt both Avatar and the Hurt Locker at the same time. What if Inglourious Basterds wins because voters strategically voted against Avatar and the Hurt Locker and Basterds gets by unscathed? Is it realistically possible?


Thu Feb 11, 2010 1:58 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
To make up a vote you'd have to make up at least a hundred of ballots. Even then the sample is too small.

About a month ago I used http://www.randomizer.org/ to randomize strings of 100 sets of 10 numbers. I did that to showcase the new voting system on another board. I haven't appended movies to the numbers, but this is how it all went down:

1st Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 4, 8, 5, 3, 9, 6, 10, 7, 2
1, 5, 4, 10, 2, 3, 6, 9, 8, 7
1, 9, 7, 6, 5, 8, 2, 10, 3, 4
1, 5, 2, 8, 3, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7
1, 5, 2, 9, 6, 10, 3, 4, 7, 8
1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 2, 3, 8, 6, 7
1, 7, 3, 8, 2, 4, 10, 5, 6, 9
1, 8, 10, 4, 9, 2, 6, 3, 5, 7
1, 6, 7, 5, 4, 3, 8, 2, 9, 10
1, 6, 4, 7, 9, 2, 3, 8, 10, 5
1, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 4, 2, 3, 5
1, 6, 3, 5, 7, 4, 8, 10, 2, 9
1, 7, 3, 5, 6, 9, 4, 10, 8, 2
1, 8, 10, 4, 2, 9, 7, 6, 3, 5
1, 8, 10, 9, 6, 2, 7, 3, 5, 4

2, 6, 4, 1, 7, 3, 10, 9, 8, 5
2, 10, 9, 3, 8, 1, 5, 6, 7, 4
2, 1, 9, 10, 8, 7, 4, 5, 6, 3
2, 9, 5, 8, 4, 7, 6, 10, 3, 1
2, 7, 1, 4, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10, 9
2, 4, 9, 10, 5, 6, 8, 7, 3, 1
2, 10, 8, 9, 5, 7, 1, 4, 6, 3
2, 3, 1, 6, 7, 9, 5, 8, 4, 10
2, 3, 7, 4, 5, 6, 9, 1, 8, 10

3, 7, 2, 4, 10, 1, 8, 5, 9, 6
3, 2, 10, 8, 6, 7, 5, 9, 1, 4
3, 7, 5, 6, 4, 1, 2, 8, 9, 10
3, 2, 6, 5, 7, 1, 9, 10, 4, 8
3, 10, 5, 6, 2, 7, 9, 1, 4, 8
3, 6, 9, 1, 4, 8, 5, 2, 10, 7
3, 1, 5, 8, 10, 9, 4, 7, 2, 6

4, 1, 7, 5, 2, 6, 9, 10, 3, 8
4, 10, 8, 1, 5, 6, 3, 9, 2, 7
4, 10, 2, 7, 6, 9, 5, 8, 1, 3
4, 9, 2, 8, 3, 7, 10, 1, 5, 6
4, 2, 5, 8, 7, 1, 10, 6, 3, 9
4, 6, 7, 2, 8, 3, 5, 10, 9, 1
4, 1, 8, 6, 9, 2, 5, 10, 7, 3

5, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7, 3, 1, 2, 8
5, 1, 3, 4, 8, 6, 2, 9, 7, 10
5, 1, 7, 4, 3, 10, 2, 9, 8, 6
5, 8, 9, 10, 7, 1, 4, 3, 2, 6
5, 2, 9, 1, 7, 3, 6, 4, 8, 10
5, 10, 3, 2, 4, 9, 6, 1, 8, 7
5, 9, 6, 10, 4, 8, 7, 1, 2, 3
5, 4, 7, 9, 2, 8, 6, 1, 3, 10
5, 4, 2, 3, 6, 1, 8, 7, 10, 9
5, 9, 3, 6, 7, 2, 8, 10, 1, 4
5, 7, 10, 1, 2, 6, 3, 9, 4, 8
5, 7, 1, 6, 8, 3, 10, 9, 2, 4
5, 8, 7, 4, 3, 1, 6, 10, 2, 9
5, 9, 8, 7, 1, 3, 10, 2, 6, 4
5, 1, 6, 10, 3, 4, 8, 9, 7, 2
5, 7, 3, 1, 2, 10, 4, 8, 6, 9
5, 10, 2, 6, 1, 7, 8, 4, 9, 3

6, 3, 7, 9, 5, 8, 4, 1, 2, 10
6, 9, 4, 3, 2, 1, 7, 5, 8, 10
6, 1, 9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 3, 8, 4
6, 10, 8, 4, 7, 3, 1, 5, 9, 2
6, 9, 7, 1, 10, 3, 5, 4, 2, 8
6, 7, 8, 2, 10, 1, 5, 9, 4, 3
6, 10, 4, 9, 7, 3, 8, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 9, 3, 10, 8, 7, 4, 5
6, 1, 5, 2, 7, 3, 10, 8, 9, 4
6, 9, 7, 4, 1, 10, 5, 2, 3, 8
6, 3, 2, 10, 4, 8, 7, 5, 9, 1
6, 4, 2, 7, 5, 1, 8, 3, 10, 9
6, 3, 9, 10, 7, 8, 2, 1, 4, 5

7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 2, 3, 4, 8, 9
7, 2, 1, 3, 9, 8, 5, 10, 6, 4
7, 3, 9, 2, 5, 6, 1, 8, 4, 10
7, 5, 6, 3, 1, 9, 10, 8, 2, 4
7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 9, 8, 3, 2, 4
7, 9, 10, 6, 2, 1, 3, 5, 8, 4
7, 10, 2, 3, 1, 4, 6, 9, 8, 5
7, 2, 4, 1, 3, 6, 10, 8, 9, 5
7, 6, 1, 2, 8, 4, 10, 9, 3, 5

8, 6, 1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 3, 2, 7
8, 5, 2, 6, 4, 10, 9, 7, 3, 1
8, 4, 3, 5, 7, 6, 2, 1, 9, 10
8, 1, 9, 6, 10, 7, 5, 4, 2, 3
8, 4, 1, 10, 5, 6, 3, 2, 9, 7

9, 8, 2, 6, 1, 3, 4, 7, 5, 10
9, 10, 5, 3, 7, 8, 4, 1, 6, 2
9, 8, 3, 10, 1, 5, 4, 7, 2, 6
9, 1, 5, 6, 10, 2, 8, 7, 4, 3
9, 6, 4, 1, 3, 5, 2, 7, 10, 8
9, 1, 7, 5, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 3
9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 4, 1, 6, 3, 8
9, 7, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 1, 10, 5
9, 6, 10, 5, 3, 7, 1, 8, 4, 2
9, 8, 7, 3, 4, 6, 2, 5, 10, 1

10, 6, 5, 9, 2, 7, 1, 3, 8, 4
10, 1, 5, 2, 4, 6, 8, 3, 7, 9
10, 3, 5, 4, 1, 8, 6, 2, 9, 7
10, 4, 5, 9, 2, 8, 6, 1, 3, 7
10, 6, 3, 8, 7, 5, 4, 1, 2, 9
10, 9, 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 7, 8, 2
10, 4, 9, 7, 2, 6, 3, 1, 5, 8
10, 9, 5, 4, 6, 1, 8, 7, 2, 3

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
5 17 (17%)
1 15 (15%)
6 13 (13%)
9 10 (10%)
2 9 (9%)
7 9 (9%)
10 8 (8%)
3 7 (7%)
4 7 (7%)
8 5 (5%)

2nd Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 4, 5, 3, 9, 6, 10, 7, 2
1, 5, 4, 10, 2, 3, 6, 9, 7
1, 9, 7, 6, 5, 2, 10, 3, 4
1, 5, 2, 3, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7
1, 5, 2, 9, 6, 10, 3, 4, 7
1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 2, 3, 6, 7
1, 7, 3, 2, 4, 10, 5, 6, 9
1, 10, 4, 9, 2, 6, 3, 5, 7
1, 6, 7, 5, 4, 3, 2, 9, 10
1, 6, 4, 7, 9, 2, 3, 10, 5
1, 6, 7, 9, 10, 4, 2, 3, 5
1, 6, 3, 5, 7, 4, 10, 2, 9
1, 7, 3, 5, 6, 9, 4, 10, 2
1, 10, 4, 2, 9, 7, 6, 3, 5
1, 10, 9, 6, 2, 7, 3, 5, 4
1, 9, 6, 10, 7, 5, 4, 2, 3

2, 6, 4, 1, 7, 3, 10, 9, 5
2, 10, 9, 3, 1, 5, 6, 7, 4
2, 1, 9, 10, 7, 4, 5, 6, 3
2, 9, 5, 4, 7, 6, 10, 3, 1
2, 7, 1, 4, 3, 5, 6, 10, 9
2, 4, 9, 10, 5, 6, 7, 3, 1
2, 10, 9, 5, 7, 1, 4, 6, 3
2, 3, 1, 6, 7, 9, 5, 4, 10
2, 3, 7, 4, 5, 6, 9, 1, 10

3, 7, 2, 4, 10, 1, 5, 9, 6
3, 2, 10, 6, 7, 5, 9, 1, 4
3, 7, 5, 6, 4, 1, 2, 9, 10
3, 2, 6, 5, 7, 1, 9, 10, 4
3, 10, 5, 6, 2, 7, 9, 1, 4
3, 6, 9, 1, 4, 5, 2, 10, 7
3, 1, 5, 10, 9, 4, 7, 2, 6

4, 1, 7, 5, 2, 6, 9, 10, 3
4, 10, 1, 5, 6, 3, 9, 2, 7
4, 10, 2, 7, 6, 9, 5, 1, 3
4, 9, 2, 3, 7, 10, 1, 5, 6
4, 2, 5, 7, 1, 10, 6, 3, 9
4, 6, 7, 2, 3, 5, 10, 9, 1
4, 1, 6, 9, 2, 5, 10, 7, 3
4, 3, 5, 7, 6, 2, 1, 9, 10
4, 1, 10, 5, 6, 3, 2, 9, 7

5, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7, 3, 1, 2
5, 1, 3, 4, 6, 2, 9, 7, 10
5, 1, 7, 4, 3, 10, 2, 9, 6
5, 9, 10, 7, 1, 4, 3, 2, 6
5, 2, 9, 1, 7, 3, 6, 4, 10
5, 10, 3, 2, 4, 9, 6, 1, 7
5, 9, 6, 10, 4, 7, 1, 2, 3
5, 4, 7, 9, 2, 6, 1, 3, 10
5, 4, 2, 3, 6, 1, 7, 10, 9
5, 9, 3, 6, 7, 2, 10, 1, 4
5, 7, 10, 1, 2, 6, 3, 9, 4
5, 7, 1, 6, 3, 10, 9, 2, 4
5, 7, 4, 3, 1, 6, 10, 2, 9
5, 9, 7, 1, 3, 10, 2, 6, 4
5, 1, 6, 10, 3, 4, 9, 7, 2
5, 7, 3, 1, 2, 10, 4, 6, 9
5, 10, 2, 6, 1, 7, 4, 9, 3
5, 2, 6, 4, 10, 9, 7, 3, 1

6, 3, 7, 9, 5, 4, 1, 2, 10
6, 9, 4, 3, 2, 1, 7, 5, 10
6, 1, 9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 3, 4
6, 10, 4, 7, 3, 1, 5, 9, 2
6, 9, 7, 1, 10, 3, 5, 4, 2
6, 7, 2, 10, 1, 5, 9, 4, 3
6, 10, 4, 9, 7, 3, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 9, 3, 10, 7, 4, 5
6, 1, 5, 2, 7, 3, 10, 9, 4
6, 9, 7, 4, 1, 10, 5, 2, 3
6, 3, 2, 10, 4, 7, 5, 9, 1
6, 4, 2, 7, 5, 1, 3, 10, 9
6, 3, 9, 10, 7, 2, 1, 4, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 3, 2, 7

7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 2, 3, 4, 9
7, 2, 1, 3, 9, 5, 10, 6, 4
7, 3, 9, 2, 5, 6, 1, 4, 10
7, 5, 6, 3, 1, 9, 10, 2, 4
7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 9, 3, 2, 4
7, 9, 10, 6, 2, 1, 3, 5, 4
7, 10, 2, 3, 1, 4, 6, 9, 5
7, 2, 4, 1, 3, 6, 10, 9, 5
7, 6, 1, 2, 4, 10, 9, 3, 5

9, 2, 6, 1, 3, 4, 7, 5, 10
9, 10, 5, 3, 7, 4, 1, 6, 2
9, 3, 10, 1, 5, 4, 7, 2, 6
9, 1, 5, 6, 10, 2, 7, 4, 3
9, 6, 4, 1, 3, 5, 2, 7, 10
9, 1, 7, 5, 2, 4, 6, 10, 3
9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 4, 1, 6, 3
9, 7, 2, 3, 4, 6, 1, 10, 5
9, 6, 10, 5, 3, 7, 1, 4, 2
9, 7, 3, 4, 6, 2, 5, 10, 1

10, 6, 5, 9, 2, 7, 1, 3, 4
10, 1, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 7, 9
10, 3, 5, 4, 1, 6, 2, 9, 7
10, 4, 5, 9, 2, 6, 1, 3, 7
10, 6, 3, 7, 5, 4, 1, 2, 9
10, 9, 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 7, 2
10, 4, 9, 7, 2, 6, 3, 1, 5
10, 9, 5, 4, 6, 1, 7, 2, 3

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
5 18 (18%)
1 16 (16%)
6 14 (14%)
9 10 (10%)
2 9 (9%)
4 9 (9%)
7 9 (9%)
10 8 (8%)
3 7 (7%)

3rd Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 4, 5, 9, 6, 10, 7, 2
1, 5, 4, 10, 2, 6, 9, 7
1, 9, 7, 6, 5, 2, 10, 4
1, 5, 2, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7
1, 5, 2, 9, 6, 10, 4, 7
1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 2, 6, 7
1, 7, 2, 4, 10, 5, 6, 9
1, 10, 4, 9, 2, 6, 5, 7
1, 6, 7, 5, 4, 2, 9, 10
1, 6, 4, 7, 9, 2, 10, 5
1, 6, 7, 9, 10, 4, 2, 5
1, 6, 5, 7, 4, 10, 2, 9
1, 7, 5, 6, 9, 4, 10, 2
1, 10, 4, 2, 9, 7, 6, 5
1, 10, 9, 6, 2, 7, 5, 4
1, 9, 6, 10, 7, 5, 4, 2
1, 5, 10, 9, 4, 7, 2, 6

2, 6, 4, 1, 7, 10, 9, 5
2, 10, 9, 1, 5, 6, 7, 4
2, 1, 9, 10, 7, 4, 5, 6
2, 9, 5, 4, 7, 6, 10, 1
2, 7, 1, 4, 5, 6, 10, 9
2, 4, 9, 10, 5, 6, 7, 1
2, 10, 9, 5, 7, 1, 4, 6
2, 1, 6, 7, 9, 5, 4, 10
2, 7, 4, 5, 6, 9, 1, 10
2, 10, 6, 7, 5, 9, 1, 4
2, 6, 5, 7, 1, 9, 10, 4

4, 1, 7, 5, 2, 6, 9, 10
4, 10, 1, 5, 6, 9, 2, 7
4, 10, 2, 7, 6, 9, 5, 1
4, 9, 2, 7, 10, 1, 5, 6
4, 2, 5, 7, 1, 10, 6, 9
4, 6, 7, 2, 5, 10, 9, 1
4, 1, 6, 9, 2, 5, 10, 7
4, 5, 7, 6, 2, 1, 9, 10
4, 1, 10, 5, 6, 2, 9, 7

5, 10, 4, 9, 6, 7, 1, 2
5, 1, 4, 6, 2, 9, 7, 10
5, 1, 7, 4, 10, 2, 9, 6
5, 9, 10, 7, 1, 4, 2, 6
5, 2, 9, 1, 7, 6, 4, 10
5, 10, 2, 4, 9, 6, 1, 7
5, 9, 6, 10, 4, 7, 1, 2
5, 4, 7, 9, 2, 6, 1, 10
5, 4, 2, 6, 1, 7, 10, 9
5, 9, 6, 7, 2, 10, 1, 4
5, 7, 10, 1, 2, 6, 9, 4
5, 7, 1, 6, 10, 9, 2, 4
5, 7, 4, 1, 6, 10, 2, 9
5, 9, 7, 1, 10, 2, 6, 4
5, 1, 6, 10, 4, 9, 7, 2
5, 7, 1, 2, 10, 4, 6, 9
5, 10, 2, 6, 1, 7, 4, 9
5, 2, 6, 4, 10, 9, 7, 1

6, 9, 1, 4, 5, 2, 10, 7
6, 7, 9, 5, 4, 1, 2, 10
6, 9, 4, 2, 1, 7, 5, 10
6, 1, 9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 4
6, 10, 4, 7, 1, 5, 9, 2
6, 9, 7, 1, 10, 5, 4, 2
6, 7, 2, 10, 1, 5, 9, 4
6, 10, 4, 9, 7, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 9, 10, 7, 4, 5
6, 1, 5, 2, 7, 10, 9, 4
6, 9, 7, 4, 1, 10, 5, 2
6, 2, 10, 4, 7, 5, 9, 1
6, 4, 2, 7, 5, 1, 10, 9
6, 9, 10, 7, 2, 1, 4, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 4, 10, 2, 7

7, 2, 4, 10, 1, 5, 9, 6
7, 5, 6, 4, 1, 2, 9, 10
7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 2, 4, 9
7, 2, 1, 9, 5, 10, 6, 4
7, 9, 2, 5, 6, 1, 4, 10
7, 5, 6, 1, 9, 10, 2, 4
7, 1, 10, 5, 6, 9, 2, 4
7, 9, 10, 6, 2, 1, 5, 4
7, 10, 2, 1, 4, 6, 9, 5
7, 2, 4, 1, 6, 10, 9, 5
7, 6, 1, 2, 4, 10, 9, 5

9, 2, 6, 1, 4, 7, 5, 10
9, 10, 5, 7, 4, 1, 6, 2
9, 10, 1, 5, 4, 7, 2, 6
9, 1, 5, 6, 10, 2, 7, 4
9, 6, 4, 1, 5, 2, 7, 10
9, 1, 7, 5, 2, 4, 6, 10
9, 5, 2, 10, 7, 4, 1, 6
9, 7, 2, 4, 6, 1, 10, 5
9, 6, 10, 5, 7, 1, 4, 2
9, 7, 4, 6, 2, 5, 10, 1

10, 5, 6, 2, 7, 9, 1, 4
10, 6, 5, 9, 2, 7, 1, 4
10, 1, 5, 2, 4, 6, 7, 9
10, 5, 4, 1, 6, 2, 9, 7
10, 4, 5, 9, 2, 6, 1, 7
10, 6, 7, 5, 4, 1, 2, 9
10, 9, 6, 4, 1, 5, 7, 2
10, 4, 9, 7, 2, 6, 1, 5
10, 9, 5, 4, 6, 1, 7, 2

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
5 18 (18%)
1 17 (17%)
6 15 (15%)
2 11 (11%)
7 11 (11%)
9 10 (10%)
4 9 (9%)
10 9 (9%)

4th Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 5, 9, 6, 7, 2
1, 5, 2, 6, 9, 7
1, 9, 7, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 2, 9, 6, 7
1, 5, 2, 9, 6, 7
1, 9, 5, 2, 6, 7
1, 7, 2, 5, 6, 9
1, 9, 2, 6, 5, 7
1, 6, 7, 5, 2, 9
1, 6, 7, 9, 2, 5
1, 6, 7, 9, 2, 5
1, 6, 5, 7, 2, 9
1, 7, 5, 6, 9, 2
1, 2, 9, 7, 6, 5
1, 9, 6, 2, 7, 5
1, 9, 6, 7, 5, 2
1, 5, 9, 7, 2, 6
1, 7, 5, 2, 6, 9
1, 5, 6, 9, 2, 7
1, 6, 9, 2, 5, 7
1, 5, 6, 2, 9, 7
1, 5, 2, 6, 7, 9

2, 6, 1, 7, 9, 5
2, 9, 1, 5, 6, 7
2, 1, 9, 7, 5, 6
2, 9, 5, 7, 6, 1
2, 7, 1, 5, 6, 9
2, 9, 5, 6, 7, 1
2, 9, 5, 7, 1, 6
2, 1, 6, 7, 9, 5
2, 7, 5, 6, 9, 1
2, 6, 7, 5, 9, 1
2, 6, 5, 7, 1, 9
2, 7, 6, 9, 5, 1
2, 5, 7, 1, 6, 9

5, 7, 6, 2, 1, 9
5, 9, 6, 7, 1, 2
5, 1, 6, 2, 9, 7
5, 1, 7, 2, 9, 6
5, 9, 7, 1, 2, 6
5, 2, 9, 1, 7, 6
5, 2, 9, 6, 1, 7
5, 9, 6, 7, 1, 2
5, 7, 9, 2, 6, 1
5, 2, 6, 1, 7, 9
5, 9, 6, 7, 2, 1
5, 7, 1, 2, 6, 9
5, 7, 1, 6, 9, 2
5, 7, 1, 6, 2, 9
5, 9, 7, 1, 2, 6
5, 1, 6, 9, 7, 2
5, 7, 1, 2, 6, 9
5, 2, 6, 1, 7, 9
5, 2, 6, 9, 7, 1
5, 6, 2, 7, 9, 1
5, 1, 6, 2, 9, 7
5, 9, 2, 6, 1, 7

6, 7, 2, 5, 9, 1
6, 9, 1, 5, 2, 7
6, 7, 9, 5, 1, 2
6, 9, 2, 1, 7, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 2, 7
6, 7, 1, 5, 9, 2
6, 9, 7, 1, 5, 2
6, 7, 2, 1, 5, 9
6, 9, 7, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 9, 7, 5
6, 1, 5, 2, 7, 9
6, 9, 7, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 7, 5, 9, 1
6, 2, 7, 5, 1, 9
6, 9, 7, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 2, 7
6, 5, 9, 2, 7, 1
6, 7, 5, 1, 2, 9

7, 2, 1, 5, 9, 6
7, 5, 6, 1, 2, 9
7, 1, 5, 6, 2, 9
7, 2, 1, 9, 5, 6
7, 9, 2, 5, 6, 1
7, 5, 6, 1, 9, 2
7, 1, 5, 6, 9, 2
7, 9, 6, 2, 1, 5
7, 2, 1, 6, 9, 5
7, 2, 1, 6, 9, 5
7, 6, 1, 2, 9, 5

9, 2, 7, 1, 5, 6
9, 2, 6, 1, 7, 5
9, 5, 7, 1, 6, 2
9, 1, 5, 7, 2, 6
9, 1, 5, 6, 2, 7
9, 6, 1, 5, 2, 7
9, 1, 7, 5, 2, 6
9, 5, 2, 7, 1, 6
9, 7, 2, 6, 1, 5
9, 6, 5, 7, 1, 2
9, 7, 6, 2, 5, 1
9, 6, 1, 5, 7, 2
9, 7, 2, 6, 1, 5
9, 5, 6, 1, 7, 2

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
5 22 (22%)
1 22 (22%)
6 18 (18%)
9 14 (14%)
2 13 (13%)
7 11 (11%)

5th Round
Spoiler: show
1, 5, 9, 6, 2
1, 5, 2, 6, 9
1, 9, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 2, 9, 6
1, 5, 2, 9, 6
1, 9, 5, 2, 6
1, 2, 5, 6, 9
1, 9, 2, 6, 5
1, 6, 5, 2, 9
1, 6, 9, 2, 5
1, 6, 9, 2, 5
1, 6, 5, 2, 9
1, 5, 6, 9, 2
1, 2, 9, 6, 5
1, 9, 6, 2, 5
1, 9, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 9, 2, 6
1, 5, 2, 6, 9
1, 5, 6, 9, 2
1, 6, 9, 2, 5
1, 5, 6, 2, 9
1, 5, 2, 6, 9
1, 5, 6, 2, 9
1, 5, 6, 9, 2

2, 6, 1, 9, 5
2, 9, 1, 5, 6
2, 1, 9, 5, 6
2, 9, 5, 6, 1
2, 1, 5, 6, 9
2, 9, 5, 6, 1
2, 9, 5, 1, 6
2, 1, 6, 9, 5
2, 5, 6, 9, 1
2, 6, 5, 9, 1
2, 6, 5, 1, 9
2, 6, 9, 5, 1
2, 5, 1, 6, 9
2, 1, 6, 9, 5
2, 1, 6, 9, 5
2, 1, 5, 9, 6
2, 1, 9, 5, 6

5, 6, 2, 1, 9
5, 9, 6, 1, 2
5, 1, 6, 2, 9
5, 1, 2, 9, 6
5, 9, 1, 2, 6
5, 2, 9, 1, 6
5, 2, 9, 6, 1
5, 9, 6, 1, 2
5, 9, 2, 6, 1
5, 2, 6, 1, 9
5, 9, 6, 2, 1
5, 1, 2, 6, 9
5, 1, 6, 9, 2
5, 1, 6, 2, 9
5, 9, 1, 2, 6
5, 1, 6, 9, 2
5, 1, 2, 6, 9
5, 2, 6, 1, 9
5, 2, 6, 9, 1
5, 6, 2, 9, 1
5, 1, 6, 2, 9
5, 9, 2, 6, 1
5, 6, 1, 2, 9
5, 6, 1, 9, 2

6, 2, 5, 9, 1
6, 9, 1, 5, 2
6, 9, 5, 1, 2
6, 9, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 2
6, 1, 5, 9, 2
6, 9, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 5, 9
6, 9, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 9, 5
6, 1, 5, 2, 9
6, 9, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 5, 9, 1
6, 2, 5, 1, 9
6, 9, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 9, 5, 2
6, 5, 9, 2, 1
6, 5, 1, 2, 9
6, 1, 2, 9, 5

9, 6, 2, 1, 5
9, 2, 5, 6, 1
9, 2, 1, 5, 6
9, 2, 6, 1, 5
9, 5, 1, 6, 2
9, 1, 5, 2, 6
9, 1, 5, 6, 2
9, 6, 1, 5, 2
9, 1, 5, 2, 6
9, 5, 2, 1, 6
9, 2, 6, 1, 5
9, 6, 5, 1, 2
9, 6, 2, 5, 1
9, 6, 1, 5, 2
9, 2, 6, 1, 5
9, 5, 6, 1, 2

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
1 24 (24%)
5 24 (24%)
6 19 (19%)
2 17 (17%)
9 16 (16%)

6th Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 2, 5, 6
1, 2, 6, 5
1, 6, 5, 2
1, 6, 2, 5
1, 6, 2, 5
1, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 2, 6, 5
1, 6, 2, 5
1, 6, 5, 2
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 6, 2, 5
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 5, 2, 6
1, 5, 6, 2
1, 5, 2, 6

2, 6, 1, 5
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 5, 6, 1
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 5, 6, 1
2, 5, 1, 6
2, 1, 6, 5
2, 5, 6, 1
2, 6, 5, 1
2, 6, 5, 1
2, 6, 5, 1
2, 5, 1, 6
2, 1, 6, 5
2, 1, 6, 5
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 5, 6, 1
2, 1, 5, 6
2, 6, 1, 5
2, 6, 1, 5
2, 6, 1, 5

5, 6, 2, 1
5, 6, 1, 2
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 1, 2, 6
5, 1, 2, 6
5, 2, 1, 6
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 6, 1, 2
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 6, 2, 1
5, 1, 2, 6
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 1, 2, 6
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 1, 2, 6
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 6, 2, 1
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 2, 6, 1
5, 6, 1, 2
5, 6, 1, 2
5, 1, 6, 2
5, 2, 1, 6
5, 6, 1, 2

6, 2, 5, 1
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 5, 1, 2
6, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 5, 1
6, 2, 5, 1
6, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 5, 2, 1
6, 5, 1, 2
6, 1, 2, 5
6, 5, 1, 2
6, 2, 5, 1
6, 1, 5, 2
6, 2, 1, 5
6, 1, 5, 2

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
1 27 (27%)
5 27 (27%)
6 24 (24%)
2 22 (22%)

7th Round
Spoiler: show
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 6, 5
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 5, 6
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 6, 5
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 6, 5
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6
1, 5, 6

5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 6, 1
5, 1, 6
5, 1, 6
5, 6, 1

6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 5, 1
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 5, 1
6, 5, 1
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5
6, 1, 5

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
1 36 (36%)
5 33 (33%)
6 31 (19%)

8th Round
The "votes":
Spoiler: show
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5
1, 5

5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1
5, 1

Movie Number of votes (Percentage)
1 56 (56%)
5 44 (44%)


Thu Feb 11, 2010 2:19 pm
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Into the fray
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Posts: 1874
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Thanks for the votes guys & gals, and thanks for tacking to the top.

We have 10 so far from WOKJ & 120 in total when including a couple of other forums. And as of today, we now have a 1st place vote for every movie :thumbsup:


Thu Feb 11, 2010 3:55 pm
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Wallflower
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35246
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
I'm seeing AN EDUCATION tonight. I think we should wait until Lecter can see it too ;).


Thu Feb 11, 2010 4:38 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Finished watching all of them today. Sent my list. Hope my number one wins :)


Fri Feb 12, 2010 11:40 pm
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Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Thanks soagg, we're up to 15 votes


Sat Feb 13, 2010 2:45 am
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Wallflower
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35246
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
I sent mine in a little while ago.


Sun Feb 14, 2010 12:32 am
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Indiana Jones IV
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:10 pm
Posts: 1093
Location: Montreal, Canada
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
just sent mine in.

_________________
TOP 5 MOVIES

1. The Life Aquatic With Steve Zissou
2. The Royal Tenenbaums
3. No Country for Old Men
4. Rushmore
5. Being John Malkovich


Sun Feb 14, 2010 3:31 pm
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You are waiting for a train

Joined: Fri Jun 19, 2009 3:25 pm
Posts: 995
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Sent.


Mon Feb 15, 2010 1:07 am
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Posts: 1874
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
See new post here: viewtopic.php?f=16&t=56215

I'll post the WOKJ results here as this is tacked, and I'll be posting the multi-forum ballot pool in that thread....



Alright the full votes are in. We have 24 from WOKJ, and you guys actually had the most dramatic vote despite the small number. Also thanks for the votes! This was fun to do.

Just a reminder. Your 1st place votes are what count in round 1. The lowest is eliminated in each round. If your ballot is casting a vote for the movie that was eliminated, we move down your list.

Round 1 (1st place votes):

Image
5

Image
5

Image
4

Image
3

Image
3

Image
2

Image
1

Image
1

Image
0

Image
0


Round 1's graph:

Image



End of Round 1: Precious, The Blind Side, Up in the Air, District 9 eliminated. 2 ballots reallocated.

Round 2:


Image
+1

Image
+1

Image



End of Round 2: The Hurt Locker eliminated. 2 ballots reallocated.

Round 3:


Image
+1

Image
+1

Image


End of Round 3: Up eliminated. 3 votes reallocated.

Round 4:


Image
+2

Image
+1

Image



End of Round 4: A Serious Man eliminated. 4 votes reallocated.

Round 5:


Image
+3

Image
+1

Image



End of Round 5: An Education eliminated. 6 votes reallocated. An Education voters will determine the winner.

Round 6:


Image
+5

Image
+1

Image



Inglourious Basterds is your WOKJ Best Picture winner with 14 votes to 10 votes. Every single forum wound up picking Inglourious, but this is the only come-from-behind win. I'll show you why (numerically) every forum picked it when I post the full (151 vote) simulation later on today. Also, despite The Hurt Locker's poor showing here, you guys actually rated it pretty highly. It was the lack of number 1s that doomed it here. I'll show that later too.


Mon Feb 15, 2010 2:12 pm
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Wallflower
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Posts: 35246
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
AN EDUCATION didn't do too bad here. :thumbsup:


Mon Feb 15, 2010 3:40 pm
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The Wall
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Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Mike wrote:
AN EDUCATION didn't do too bad here. :thumbsup:

That and WOKJ has enough taste to eliminate The Hurt Locker fairly early on. That's why I love this board.


Mon Feb 15, 2010 4:49 pm
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm
Posts: 12096
Location: Stroudsburg, PA
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Dr. Magnus wrote:
The fact that Avatar almost won is scary...the fact that Inglorious won is relieving


Let's hope this is what happens with the Oscars, too.

_________________
Buy my books! http://michaelaventrella.com


Image


Mon Feb 15, 2010 5:44 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
I think so Inglourious Basterds will be replaced by Hurt Locker in the Academy List.


Mon Feb 15, 2010 10:45 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
We are talking about much smaller scale here. When we talk about Academy there are 5000+ nominations and this list would be very different there even after first elimination. We will have too many votes for one movie and in this round it looked like whoever liked A Serious Man and An Education also preferred Inglourious Basterds.

Also they are looking for 50% votes and thus we might not have to wait till the 4th or 5th place elimination when talking about large scales if there is an outright front-runner from the first round. I see Hurt Locker still having a good chance in that case as well with the Academy


Mon Feb 15, 2010 10:53 pm
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The Lubitsch Touch
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Posts: 11019
Post Re: Best Picture Simulation
Quote:
Every single forum wound up picking Inglourious


lol

What illiterate forums you must have been asking! (this one included obv)

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Mon Mar 08, 2010 6:57 am
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