Well, my question is basically - what directors do you expect to win at least one more Oscar in their lifetime - whether they have won before or not. Obviously, for previous winners it seems even harder. There are only 18 directors in Oscar history who have won more than one Oscar.


4 wins:

John Ford


3 wins:

William Wyler
Frank Capra


2 wins:

Billy Wilder
David Lean
Fred Zinnemann
Steven Spielberg
Elia Kazan
George Stevens
Clint Eastwood
Joseph L. Mankiewicz
Robert Wise
Oliver Stone
Milos Forman
Leo McCarey
Lewis Milestone
Frank Lloyd
Frank Borzage


Of these previous winners, only four are still alive, if I remember correctly (Spielberg, Eastwood, Stone and Forman)?


So who do you think will join the list above? Or will actually win his/her first Oscar in the future? Or maybe one of these four will manage to win another Oscar in their lifetime?

________________________________________________________________________________

Here's what I think:

Steven Spielberg - 6 noms and two wins so far - the Academy likes him and the audiences love him. I believe that he'll eventually scoop another BP/BD win combo since he was deprived of one with Saving Private Ryan. I'd also name Clint Eastwood for a third win, but I simply don't think he'll really last long enough - unless The Human Factor is brilliant.


Martin Scorsese - I consider it a given actually. He's not THAT old and is clearly one of the most influential filmmakers in history. He has been overdue for what seems like an eternity, but now he seems to be cranking out awards contenders and box-office successes one after another. The Aviator and The Departed were both bona fide hits and got 16 Oscar noms and 9 wins altogether. Each of Scorsese's recent three films has been nominated for BP/BD...and with flicks like Shutter Island or Silence (with DDL!) cming up and eventually that Theodore Roosevelt flick...he'll have many more contenders in the future. I could see him ending up with as many as 10-11 best Director noms by the end of his career and at least one more win.


P. T. Anderson - There Will Be Blood finally brought his directing skills to the Academy's attention (he should've won) and I don't think it'll stop here. I'm not sure a movie by hin will ever win Best Picture, but seems like a likely BD/BP split candidate for me at some point.


Peter Weir - with four noms in the bag, certainly one of the most overdue directors out there. I'm pretty sure he'll win one eventually along the road as his movies are actually appealing to wide audiences (unlike Lynch who's also overdue, but probably won't get his due).


Christopher Nolan - Yes...some of you might laugh now, but it will happen eventually. Not for a superhero flick or any fantasy, mind you, but eventualy he'll direct some thriller/drama for which he will be rewarded. He's well on his way to becoming one of Hollywood's most influential directors.


David Fincher - Now that Benjamin Button finally got him his first Oscar nom, I don't think it'll stop here. He's got a distinct style and I'm pretty sure that'll garner him a win one day.


Stephen Frears - probably the currently most overdue director representing the British fraction with acclaimed films like The Grifters, The Queen and Dangerous Liaisons under his belt and two Best Director noms.


Ridley Scott - he's making enough baity material and one of these days one of them will strike a cord with the Academy members. No matter what you think of him, he has been influential with films like Alien and Blade Runner and has received enough success and Academy acclaim with American Gangster, Gladiator and Black Hawk Down.


Michael Mann - I'm absolutely positive that he will win one day. I can't believe that he hasn't been nominated more in the past, but he's building up a very credible and successful career, so one day, it'll be his as well. Might even win twice, when I think of it.


Jim Sheridan - six noms so far and not a single win. He's also got a batch of baity projects coming up. Coutn him in!

Spielberg will probably be nominated for Lincoln.

Scorsese will get a nom for either Silence or Shutter Island (I think the former since early reviews are comparing Shutter Island to Cape Fear). I can see a nom for the Teddy film as well.

Eastwood will get his fifth nomination with the Mandela project. I don't imagine there's much more gas left in his tank after that.

Frears will definitely get a nom for My Fair Lady. Just way too baity.

I'd add Peter Jackson who will get his third nomination with The Lovely Bones.

As for who will win next out of the group, it's kind of a numbers game really. I'd say Spielberg would win again first but Scorsese has a higher output.

I think Spielberg's winning for Lincoln. Considering the Academy goes for intention over product anyways (see: Crash), even if he didn't handle a Lincoln biopic well, I could still see it winning. Not to mention, despite his Best Director win for Saving Private Ryan, many felt the movie was ultimately robbed of what it deserved -- that could give him a boost.

Scorsese... I'm sure he'll pick up a few more nominations, but let's face it, until this decade (when he was ready to suck anyone's dick for an Oscar), he didn't make movies with the intention of pleasing the Academy. And I think he's cool enough that now that he's won, he's gonna go back to making only the movies that he wants to make. I'm not sure that'll result in another win.

Peter Jackson... yeah, he's young and he's definitely gonna win again.

Eastwood... I don't think he'll be able to make it to a third win, honestly.

Stone... he just doesn't make good enough movies anymore.

Danny Boyle... I feel like he could win again in the future. His past resumé shows a ton of versatility, so I imagine that when he does his next Oscar-bait picture, it'll contrast very nicely with Slumdog.

The Coens... I don't think they'll win again. See: Scorsese.

I didn't realize exactly how young he is.

PJ - 47
Spielberg - 62
Scorsese - 66
Eastwood - 118

Seriously, PJ could tie Ford

thank god he lost all that weight.

PJ ain't winning more than two Oscars overall. I don't think we'll ever see anyone tying Ford actually - the Academy likes to spread the wealth far more nowadays. Look at Streep's million noms and no wins in decades.

The numbers are in PJ's favour though. Of the 9 films he's directed, 3 have been nominated for Best Picture, and 5 have been nominated for Oscars.

In total, 35 nominations and 20 wins. Insane.

If TDK has proven anything, it's that they didn't have to nominate The Two Towers based on a mandate. FOTR, I get. ROTK, I get. TTT, makes no sense.

It'll be interesting to find out what PJ chooses after Tintin. I do fully expect The Lovely Bones to be successful in terms of nominations.

TDK had everything going for it and failed to get a nominated. Critical praise, guild support, box office and it got nothing. There was mandate and it failed.

TTT had far less of all of the above and still got in. It pales in comparsion to the love FOTR got and still got in.

It's PJ. Plain and simple.

PJ will definitely get another Oscar if he keeps the quality up. He's just ambitious, diverse and creative enough that he'll get another project eventually that'll please them.

TTT was better than FOTR, heh. IMO.


Seriously...no director will ever win four Oscars again, I think. Hell, Wyler couldn't do it with 12 noms...

Unless Eastwood lives until he's 110 and directs films until then. I could see him winning as many in that case.

TTT was the first nominee since Beauty And The Beast to grab no other major nominations.

But no, Loyal, I don't buy that. TTT still had better reviews than TDK, if slightly less than FOTR. But an 88 on MC is nothing to sneeze at. It was the whole zeitgeist on LOTR that brought it in, they were getting hit with it once, then twice, then thrice. Plus the Harold Bloom types are finally starting to embrace LOTR. But Batman?

I know many people that feel that way too in real life. But when you look at precursors and such, FOTR trumps TTT.

BUT to say PJ has no shot at a few more wins, I don't know. He's 20 years younger than Scorsese.

Yeah, TTT was lucky to get a nomination. FOTR had a solid shot at winning in 2002.

I never said that. I'm saying that no one has a shot at 4 Best Director wins nowadays.

actually scratch precursors (TTT did get PGA/DGA), moreso TTT only had 6 Oscar noms, mostly low-tier tech noms.

FOTR was the first fantasy film to be nominated only one year prior. It was still handicapped, if not as much.

Stephen Daldry
Sam Mendes (again)
Neil Jordan
James Mangold

well Marty stopped making good movies a decade or so ago, so he'll probably take another.
Michael Mann, probably. PTA, not going to happen.

He won't make bait for bait's sake, though. TWBB happened to be biopic-like, western period piece, so of course they bit. Now that he's done that, and since I don't see him doing an epic romantic melodrama any time soon...I don't really see it.

Isn't PTA doing Power Play next? It's about Native Americans and casinos.

Wizard Of Oz. Beauty And The Beast. Star Wars? ET?

The last two were sci-fi. The first two, musicals?

It's A Wonderful Life?
Around The World In Eighty Days?
Lost Horizon?
Mary Poppins?
Doctor Dolittle?
Crash?
Ten Commandments?

got me there.

Oh, I almost forgot The Green Mile.

Albeit, these are mostly soft fantasies. Then again, Ten Commandments had a disembodied voice parting the Red Sea...