Apparently, Melissa Leo has a lot of support from people like like Clint Eastwood, Dustin Hoffman, Roger Ebert, Quentin Tarantino, Whoopi Goldberg, Ron Howard, Marcia Gay Harden, Josh Brolin and Sean Penn.

http://www.awardsdaily.com/?p=7361#more-7361

I am really surprised that Clint Eastwood would be supporting her over Angelina Jolie. This could be a really close race beetween Leo and Winslet.

I find it very hard to believe that Clint Eastwood would be actively supporting her.

I agree.

Additionally, Leo would have to get through both Winslet and Streep. I don't see it happening. Just because certain people are supporting Leo, doesn't mean she will magically have the numbers to win.

Peace,
Mike

I would be thrilled if Leo, Streep, or Hathaway stole this away from Winslet. But I don't see it. I think Streep still has a chance, but Frozen River is just too small, and too unnappreciated, I think its' a good film with an astonishing turn, but she was lucky to get the nom let alone the win.

I don't think Winslet is winning. Meryl or Leo.

My vote goes to Meryl. She's due moreso than Winslet.

Come on, 2 of Winslet's 6 noms, those in Best Supporting, were for less than stellar work.

It would be one of the Top 3 upsets of the decade.

^what? how? there's clearly no frontrunner in this category.

I don't like it either, velocisnacktor, but Winslet is clearly the frontrunner.

how? essentially no precursors.

Except you know that she did. Stop being precocious.

BAFTA. that's it.

pterosnacktyl you're being overly literal minded at a time when such action is clearly unnecessary.

kate is not winning simply because that will make me spit and I can tell I won't be spitting tomorrow.

well, let's be clear here. Winslet has won 2 Best Actress Awards for The Reader, whereas Meryl has won 4.

Now Winslet also won an additional 3 awards for the same role in Best Supporting Actress.

Well the Oscars are Sunday, so, yeah.

fuck it's not saturday? shiiiiiiiiiiiitttttttttttt

Snack, there may or may not be a frontrunner, but there's clearly someone who's not really in play. Hathaway, Streep and Winslet are both ahead of Leo. She's only ahead of Jolie and that simply for one reason - Jolie has won before.

hmm...no. it's more like winslet > streep > leo >> hathaway (not sure why her steam ran out) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> jolie (even if she had never one before)

but winslet's still not winning.

Then again, snack, you were a very very firm believer that Jolie won't get in when Changeling came out, heh.

I mean what has Hathaway won so far?

National Board of Review
Chicago Film Critics Award
BFCA

And Leo?

Nothing big at all.

Hathaway's steam ran out because

1) it became apparent that giving Anne Hathaway a statue at this stage, quality of her performance aside, is lunacy
2) Winslet started grabbing all the heat
3) AMPAS hated hated hated her movie. They're just not that into her.

not so! well....I did argue that Sally Hawkins would NOT get in, which meant Jolie was (although I didn't want to put it that way). But yeah, early on I didn't think Jolie would happen. And I still think it has nothing to do with last year's "snub" that no one besides Lecter and the people he reminds constantly remember.

From AD:

I guess we'll never know.

And Hathaway steam actually never really ran out.

It all doesn't matter, though. It's Winslet or Streep.

I've actually been thinking the same thing for a few weeks.

-As a character actress she was worked with many Academy voters throughout her career.
-The DVD release date was perfect to her a nice little boost in the middle of Oscar voting.
-She is amazing.

I'm not predicting her, I'm sticking with Meryl just like I'm staying with my early December predictions for all top 8 categories. But neither would it surprise me if she did win. Now would I mind it in the least.