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 Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot 
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Post Re: Your Picks
Wall-e 9 nominations? That's not happening.


Wed Jul 16, 2008 12:52 pm
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Post Re: Your Picks
Even if it was eligible, I very highly doubt the Cinematography branch would nominate an animated film.

I need to work on my predictions. At this point I'm thinking at least this for Picture:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Milk
Miracle at St. Anna's
The Road (Very random, but this category needs some nihilism that the Academy has been liking)


Thu Jul 17, 2008 12:04 am
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Post Re: Your Picks
Hmm...

Best Picture
The Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Revolutionary Road

Best Director
Clint Eastwood- The Changeling
David Fincher- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mike Leigh- Happy-Go-Lucky
Christopher Nolan- The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant- Milk

Best Actor
Benicio Del Toro- Che
Richard Jenkins- The Visitor
Frank Langella- Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn- Milk
Brad Pitt- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Actress
Kate Beckinsale- Nothing But the Truth
Sally Hawkins- Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie- The Changeling
Meryl Streep- Doubt
Kate Winslet- Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin- Milk
Robert Downey, Jr.- The Soloist
Heath Ledger- The Dark Knight
Michael Sheen- Frost/Nixon
Kodi Smit-McPhee- The Road

Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates- Revolutionary Road
Penelope Cruz- Vicky Christina Barcelona
Viola Davis- Doubt
Vera Farmiga- Nothing But the Truth
Taraji P. Henson- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Adapted Screenplay
Body of Lies
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
The Road

Best Original Screenplay
The Changeling
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Vicky Christina Barcelona
WALL-E

Best Animated Feature
Dr. Seuss's Horton Hears a Who
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E

Best Art Direction
Australia
The Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
Miracle at St. Anna

Best Cinematography
Australia
Blindness
The Dark Knight
The Road
Revolutionary Road

Best Costume Design
Australia
The Changeling
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
The Young Victoria

Best Film Editing
Body of Lies
The Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Defiance

Best Makeup
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight

Original Score
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Defiance
The Soloist
WALL-E

Best Original Song
Hamlet 2
High School Musical 3
Sex and the City
WALL-E
?????

Best Sound Mixing
Body of Lies
Defiance
Iron Man
Miracle at St. Anna
WALL-E

Best Sound Editing
The Dark Knight
Defiance
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man
WALL-E

Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man

Lots of guesswork and placeholder predictions here as well.

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 1:39 am
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Post Re: Your Picks
Get ballsier, folks.

Best Picture
The Road
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Dark Knight
Changeling
WALL-E

Best Director
Spike Lee (Miracle at St. Anna)
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)*
Baz Luhrman (Australia)
Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road)
Steven Soderbergh (Che)

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road)*
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Benicio del Toro (Che)

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Sally Hawkins (Happy Go Lucky)
Angelina Jolie (The Changeling)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road)*

Best Supporting Actor
Jamie Foxx (The Soloist)
Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)*
Lodi Smit-McPhee (The Road)
Michael Sheen (Frost/Nixon)

Best Supporting Actress
Hiam Abbass (The Visitor)
Kathy Bates (Revolutionary Road)
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Christina Barcelona)*
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Carrice Van Houten (Body of Lies)

Best Original Screenplay
Happy Go Lucky
Milk
The Soloist
The Visitor
WALL-E*

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
The Road*
Miracle at St. Anna
Revolutionary Road

Best Editing
Australia
Che*
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Miracle at St. Anna
The Road

Best Cinematography
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Road
Revolutionary Road* (Deakins!)

Best Costume Design
Australia*
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Fall
Revolutionary Road

Best Art Direction
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button*
The Road
The Fall
Changeling

Best Make Up
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight*
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Original Score
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Revolutionary Road
The Road
WALL-E*

Best Original Song
Australia
Chronicles of Narnia II
Hamlet 2
High School Musical III
WALL-E*

Best Sound Editing
The Dark Knight
The Road
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man
WALL-E*

Best Sound Mixing
The Road
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army
Iron Man
WALL-E*

Best Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Iron Man*
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

Best Animated Feature
Kung-Fu Panda
WALL-E*
Horton Hears A Who

Best Documentary
Encounters at the End of the World*
Standard Operating Procedure
Surfwise
Where In The World Is Osama Bin Laden
Young@Heart

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 2:28 am
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Post Re: Your Picks
I don't see Wall-E getting best screenplay.

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 4:53 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Best Picture
The Reader
The Soloist
The Other Man
Miracle At St. Anna
Rachel Getting Married (comedy slot bitches!)

Best Director
Richard Eyre, The Other Man
Joe Wright, The Soloist
Spike Lee, Miracle at St. Anna
Jonathan Demme, Rachel Getting Married
David Fincher, the Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Actor
Brad Pitt, the Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Liam Neeson, The Other Man
Derek Luke, Miracle at St. Anna's
Leonardo Dicaprio, Body of Lies
Jamie Foxx, The Soloist

Best Actress
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Keira Knightley, The Duchess
Angelina Jolie, The Changeling

Best Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Ralph Fiennes, The Reader
Robert Downey, Jr., The Soloist
Ed Harris, Appaloosa
Tobey MacGuire, Brothers

Best Supporting Actress
Laura Linney, The Other Man
Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road
Carice Van Houten - Body of Lies
Valentina Cervi, Miracle at St. Anna
Gong Li, Shanghai

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 4:42 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
I don't know much about RGM either but I figure they're going to pick a comedy, and it has a noteable director and actress, unlike Happy Go Lucky

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 6:17 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Not sure how much weight that has when his nominated films are Vera Drake, Topsy Turvey, and Secret and Lies, but alright.

I have the Other Man in there as the token brit pick, though. :sweat:

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Thu Jul 17, 2008 7:02 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Here's what I want:

Best Picture
The Dark Knight
Wall-E
Quantum of Solace
Iron Man
Revolutionary Road

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Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:25 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
The Dark Knight wrote:
Munk·E wrote:
Here's what I want:

Best Picture
The Dark Knight
Wall-E
Quantum of Solace
Iron Man
Revolutionary Road


Its not really a My Oscar Ballot thread. :P


Loya, reading your picks, it almst sounds like it is, though :funny:

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Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:21 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
The Dark Knight wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Dark Knight wrote:
Munk·E wrote:
Here's what I want:

Best Picture
The Dark Knight
Wall-E
Quantum of Solace
Iron Man
Revolutionary Road


Its not really a My Oscar Ballot thread. :P


Loya, reading your picks, it almst sounds like it is, though :funny:


Really? The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Australia, Revolutionary Road, Frost/Nixon, The Changeling, Milk, Happy Go Lucky...

You're not comparing those films chances to Quantum of Solace and Iron Man are you?


(And I know you're referring to WALL-E and TDK, but don't discount the other films over your bias) :sweat:


No, Loyal, I'm not. I just think that it's quite a coincidence that you're likely looking forward very mnuch to all five films in your Top 5. You are a Lurhman fan, think Bejamin Button looks great, WALL-E fanatic and a TDK fan and likely soon orgasming over Winslet and DiCaprio in RR. So, yeahg, I refer to the entire Top 5 :) No. I'm not comparing it to Munk's list because he simply stated it's a wish list. Yours is a subconscious wish list.

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Fri Jul 18, 2008 1:02 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Magnus wrote:
The Dark Knight wrote:
10 is much sexier than 9. Stupid Score rules makes an 11th nom for music impossible. I found the score to be amazing (the Greenwood There Will Be Blood-esque fever pitch!!!)


Yeah, the score thing is a shame.

Though I have to listen to it again, because I really didn't feel that Greenwood-effect as most did. I just thought they took a lot from BB but made it a bit more epic and chaotic to fit with the theme of the film.

C'mon, the moment when the convoy starts, as the helicopter passes overhead, and the music slowly dampens? I got goosebumps when that happened.

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Thu Jul 24, 2008 12:05 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
an early Oscar season attempt:

Best Picture
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Milk
Revolutionary Road
The Road

Best Director
Baz Luhrmann - Australia
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Gus Van Sant - Milk
Clint Eastwood - Changeling
Sam Mendes - Revolutionary Road

Best Actor
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road
Viggo Mortenson - The Road
Will Smith - Seven Pounds

Best Actress
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky

Best Supporting Actor
Colin Farrell - Pride and Glory
Ed Harris - Appaloosa (to honor both his performance and direction)
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Michael Sheen - Frost/Nixon
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder

Best Supporting Actress (looks like a really weak category at the moment)
Amy Adams - Doubt
Charlize Theron - The Road
Kathy Bates - Revolutionary Road
Laura Linney - The Other Man
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona

Best Original Screenplay
Australia
Changeling
Milk
Vicky Christina Barcelona
Wall-E

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Miracle at St. Anna
Revolutionary Road
The Road

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Thu Aug 21, 2008 5:49 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
How can you have The Dark Knight for adapted screenplay but not picture? Not an accusation, just a question.

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Sun Aug 24, 2008 2:13 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Consolation prize?

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Sun Aug 24, 2008 9:24 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Why is young@heart ineligible, loyal?


Tue Sep 30, 2008 12:23 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
The Dark Knight wrote:
Groaning wrote:
Why is young@heart ineligible, loyal?


Both it and Surfwise appeared on television first. :disgust:


:pinch: It's a dumb rule, but thanks anyways.


Tue Sep 30, 2008 1:00 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Well anyone even remember it?

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Wed Oct 08, 2008 4:02 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
I'll do the top 8 categories, and I promise I won't change a thing:

Best Picture
Australia
Milk
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight

Best Director
Darren Aronovsky, The Wrestler
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Baz Lurhman, Australia
Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Nicole Kidman, Australia
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor (I don't know what to think of this outside of Ledger... I guess I'll just go check the contenders and pick 4 names outside of Ledger..)
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Liev Shreiber, Defiance

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Best Original Screenplay
Milk
Rachel Getting Married
The Wrestler
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Wall-E

Best Adapted Screenplay
Doubt
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Road

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Sat Oct 11, 2008 6:38 am
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
My best guess:

Best Picture
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Revolutionary Road

Best Director
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Baz Luhrmann, Australia
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie, The Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., The Soloist
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Brad Pitt, Burn After Reading

Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Best Original Screenplay
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
The Visitor
WALL-E

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Revolutionary Road
The Road

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zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


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Sat Oct 11, 2008 10:40 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Btw loyal, Van Houten isn't even in Body of Lies. Not that she'd have any chance if she was considering the movie's reception and b.o. performance.

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Sun Oct 12, 2008 6:05 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
The Dark Knight wrote:
I'm ready to final tackle the foreign flicks

The Baader-Meinhof Complex
Captain Abu Raed
The Class
Gomorrah
Waltz with Bashir


I saw Baader-Meinhof (in the German premiere, no less) - and seriously I doubt this will be nommed. It's not even close in quality to The Lives of Others or Downfall.

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Sun Oct 12, 2008 6:35 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
The Dark Knight wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Dark Knight wrote:
I'm ready to finally tackle the foreign flicks

The Baader-Meinhof Complex
Captain Abu Raed
The Class
Gomorrah
Waltz with Bashir


I saw Baader-Meinhof (in the German premiere, no less) - and seriously I doubt this will be nommed. It's not even close in quality to The Lives of Others or Downfall.


That stinks. I saw the trailer and was really impressed by it, along with its cast.


So was I. The trailer looked aces, but the movie is really like a Best-Of of the RAF. It just counts down oin a checklist and those who know a little bit about RAF won't find a lot new there. It's not bad, more like C+/B- quality. Some performances are good, others average. Never boring, but the main problem is that unlike the movies I have mentioned in never goes nto some depth, but stays on the surface and just recounts what happened during that time period. A decent history lesson, but nothing more.

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Sun Oct 12, 2008 6:52 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Heh, I agree (though plenty of people here will probably disagree). Baader-Meinhof really really tries to imitate Downfall's success...yet it fails.

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Sun Oct 12, 2008 7:08 pm
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Post Re: Your Best Guess At The Oscar Ballot
Finally finished mine. Not too confident in the techs, but whatever. I'm still a bit lost on what to do with Doubt. I didn't like the trailer, but there's just too many categories where it's an obvious choice for a nom. I have it getting Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, Costumes, Cinematography, Art Direction, and Score... that has to be enough for a nomination. Director and Editing, which I left off, would give it 11 in that case. :wacko: I don't want this year's BP to be Doubt.

Best Picture

The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Gran Torino
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt

Best Director

Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight)
Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
Darren Aronofsky (The Wrestler)
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)

Best Actor

Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)

Best Actress

Sally Hawkins (Happy-Go-Lucky)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
Kristin Scott-Thomas (I've Loved You For So Long)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)

Best Supporting Actor

Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Michael Sheen (Frost/Nixon)
Robert Downey, Jr. (The Soloist)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
Eddie Marsan (Happy-Go-Lucky)

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Debra Winger (Rachel Getting Married)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Geraldine Hughes (Gran Torino)

Best Original Screenplay

Happy-Go-Lucky
Gran Torino
Vicky Cristina Barcelona
WALL-E
Rachel Getting Married

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire
Doubt

Best Editing

The Dark Knight
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
The Wrestler
Gran Torino

Best Cinematography

The Dark Knight
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Australia
The Wrestler
Doubt

Best Costume Design

Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Doubt
The Changeling

Best Art Direction

Doubt
The Duchess
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Make Up

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Reader
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Original Score

WALL-E
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Revolutionary Road
Frost/Nixon
Doubt

Best Original Song

WALL-E
The Wrestler
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
Hamlet 2
Cadillac Records

Best Sound Editing

The Dark Knight
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Iron Man
WALL-E

Best Sound Mixing

Frost/Nixon
The Dark Knight
The Soloist
Iron Man
WALL-E

Best Visual Effects

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Iron Man
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

Best Animated Feature

Kung-Fu Panda
WALL-E
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who

Best Documentary

Bigger Stronger Faster
Encounters at the End of the World
Man on Wire
Religulous
Standard Operating Procedure

Best Foreign Language Film

dunno

Total:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - 10
The Dark Knight - 9
Doubt - 9
Frost/Nixon - 8
Gran Torino - 6

The Wrestler - 6
Wall-E - 6
Australia - 4
Rachel Getting Married - 3
Narnia - 3
Iron Man - 3
Happy-Go-Lucky - 3
The Reader - 2
The Soloist - 2
Vicky Cristina Barcelona - 2
The Duchess - 2
Hellboy II - 2
Indiana Jones - 2

Kung-Fu Panda - 1
Milk - 1
I've Loved You For So Long - 1
Horton Hears a Who - 1
Bigger Stronger Faster - 1
Encounters at the End of the World - 1
Man on Wire - 1
Religulous - 1
Standard Operating Procedure - 1
Hamlet 2 - 1
Cadillac Records - 1
Changeling - 1
Revolutionary Road - 1
Slumdog Millionaire - 1

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Last edited by Shack on Mon Oct 13, 2008 5:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Oct 13, 2008 2:55 am
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