Well, the Academy Award nominations 2005 will be announced on Tuesday at 8:30 am EST. That means in four days. It's time to draw the line and lay the cards on the table. What are your final predictions for this year's nominees?

THE NOMINATIONS:


BEST PICTURE:

The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Ray
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways


BEST DIRECTOR:

Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Taylor Hackford, Ray
Mike Leigh, Vera Drake
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Martin Scorcese, The Aviator


BEST ACTOR:

Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Jamie Foxx, Ray
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland


BEST ACTRESS:

Annette Bening, Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Alan Alda, The Aviator
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Clive Owen, Closer
Jamie Foxx, Collateral


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virginia Madsen, Sideways
Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman, Closer


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

The Incredibles
Shark Tale
Shrek 2



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

The Aviator
Hotel Rwanda
Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind
The Incredibles
Vera Drake


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Before Sunset
The Motorcycle Diaries
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways


BEST ART DIRECTION:

The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
A Very Long Engagement
The Phantom of the Opera


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

The Aviator
The Passion of the Christ
House of Flying Daggers
The Phantom of the Opera
A Very Long Engagement


BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
Finding Neverland
The Aviator
Ray
Troy


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

Born into Brothels
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Super Size Me
Tupac: Ressurection
Twist of Faith

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT:

Autism is a World
The Children of Leningradsky
Hardwood
Mighty Times: The Childrens march
Sister Rose's Passion


FILM EDITING:

The Aviator
Collateral
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Ray


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

As it is in Heaven
The Chorus
The Downfall
The Sea Inside
Yesterday


BEST MAKE-UP:

Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Sea Inside
The Passion of the Christ


BEST SCORE:

Finding Neverland
The Village
Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban
The Passion of the Christ
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events


BEST SONG:

"Accidentally In Love", Shrek 2
"Al Otro Lado Del Río", The Motorcycle Diaries
"Believe", The Polar Express
"Learn To Be Lonely", The Phantom of the Opera
"Look To Your Path (Vois Sur Ton Chemin)", The Chorus


SHORT FILM (ANIMATED):

Birthday Boy
Gopher Broke
Guard Dog
Lorenzo
Rayn


SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION):

Everything in this Country Must
Little Terrorist
7:35 in the Morning
Two Cars, One Night
Wasp


BEST SOUND EDITING:

The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Spider-Man 2


BEST SOUND:

Spider-Man 2
The Polar Express
Ray
The Incredibles
The Aviator


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban
I, Robot
Spider-Man 2

BEST PICTURE:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Ray
Sideways

BEST DIRECTOR:
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Foster, Finding Neverland
Taylor Hackford, Ray
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Martin Scorcese, The Aviator

BEST ACTOR:
Javier Bardem, The Sea Inside
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Ray


BEST ACTRESS:
Annette Benning, Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virgina Madsen, Sideways
Natalie Portman, Closer
Meryl Streep, The Manchurian Canidate

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Alan Alda, The Aviator
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Jamie Foxx, Collateral
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Clive Owen, Closer

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles
Napoleon Dynamite

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Before Sunset
Closer
Million Dollar Baby
The Motorcycle Diaries
Sideways

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
The Aviator
Collateral
House of Flying Daggers
Ray
A Very Long Engagement

BEST ART DIRECTION:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Phantom of the Opera
The Terminal

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
The Aviator
House of Flying Daggers
The Phantom of the Opera
Ray
A Very Long Engagement

BEST SOUND:
The Aviator
The Bourne Supremacy
Collateral
Ray
Spider-Man 2

BEST SOUND EDITING:
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Spider-Man 2

BEST EDITING:
The Aviator
Collateral
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles
Million Dollar Baby

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
The Aviator
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Spider-Man 2

BEST MAKE-UP:
The Aviator
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Passion of the Christ

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
Learn To Be Lonely, The Phantom Of The Opera
Million Voices, Hotel Rwanda
Old Habits Die Hard, Alfie
Accidentally In Love, Shrek 2
Believe, The Polar Express

BEST SCORE:
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles
The Passion of the Christ
Sideways
The Terminal

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
The Incredibles
Shrek 2
The Polar Express

BEST FOREIGN PICTURE:
Campfire
The Chorus
The Five Obstructions
House of Flying Daggers
The Sea Inside

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Born into Brothels
Riding Giants
Super-Size Me
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Touching the Void

BEST PICTURE:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

ALTERNATES: 1) Ray 2) Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST DIRECTOR:
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Foster, Finding Neverland
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Martin Scorsese, The Aviator
Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers

ALERNATES: 1) Taylor Hackford 2) Mike Nichols

BEST ACTRESS:
Annette Bening, Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

ALTERNATES: 1) Uma Thurman 2) Scarlett Johannson

BEST ACTOR:
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Ray
Paul Giamatti, Sideways

ALTERNATES: 1) Javier Bardem 2) Liam Neeson

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Jamie Foxx, Collateral
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Freddie Highmore, Finding Neverland
Clive Owen, Closer

ALTERNATES: 1) Alan Alda (in the case of an Aviator sweep) 2) James Garner

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virginia Madsen, Sideways
Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman, Closer

ALTERNATES: 1) Kate Winslet 2) Sharon Warren

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Garden State
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles

ALTERNATES: 1) Ray 2) Kinsey

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Before Sunset
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Motorcycle Diaries
Sideways

ALTERNATES: 1) Finding Neverland 2) Friday Night Lights

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Campfire
The Five Obstructions
House of Flying Daggers
The Keys to the House
The Sea Inside

ALTERNATES: 1) Downfall (;))

BEST DOCUMENTARY:
Born Into Brothels
Riding Giants
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Super Size Me
Touching the Void

ALTERNATES: 1) Into the Realm of the Unreal 2) Tell Them Who You Are

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2

ALTERNATES: 1) Ghost in the Shell 2

BEST PICTURE
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

6th Spot: Ray

BEST DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Foster, Finding Neverland
Taylor Hackford, Ray
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Martin Scorsese, The Aviator

6th Spot: Zhang Yimou, House of Flying Daggers

BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, The Sea Inside
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Ray

6th Spot: Paul Giamatti, Sideways

BEST ACTRESS
Annette Benning, Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

6th Spot: Uma Thurman, Kill Bill Vol 2

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virgina Madsen, Sideways
Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman, Closer

6th Spot: Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Jamie Foxx, Collateral
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Clive Owen, Closer
Peter Sarsgaard, Kinsey

6th Spot: Freddie Highmore, Finding Neverland


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles
Kinsey

6th Spot: Garden State

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Closer
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Motorcycle Diaries
Sideways

6th Spot: Before Sunset

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Aviator
Collateral
Finding Neverland
Ray
The Passion of the Christ

6th Spot: House of Flying Daggers


BEST ART DIRECTION
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
The Phantom of the Opera
The Terminal

6th Spot: Lemony Snicket's

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Aviator
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Phantom of the Opera
Ray
A Very Long Engagement

6th Spot: House of Flying Daggers


BEST SOUND
The Aviator
The Bourne Supremacy
Collateral
Ray
Spider-Man 2


6th Spot: Finding Neverland

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Spider-Man 2


BEST EDITING
The Aviator
Collateral
The Incredibles
Million Dollar Baby
Ray

6th Spot: Sideways

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Aviator
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Spider-Man 2


BEST MAKE-UP
The Aviator
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
The Passion of the Christ


BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Learn To Be Lonely, The Phantom Of The Opera
Million Voices, Hotel Rwanda
Old Habits Die Hard, Alfie
Accidentally In Love, Shrek 2
Believe, The Polar Express


BEST SCORE
Finding Neverland
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Hotel Rwanda
Sideways
The Terminal

6th Spot: Spanglish

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2


BEST FOREIGN PICTURE
Campfire
The Five Obstructions
House of Flying Daggers
The Keys to the House
The Sea Inside


Total Nods
The Aviator-13
Finding Neverland-7
Million Dollar Baby-7
Hotel Rwanda-6
Ray-6
Sideways-6
Collateral-4
The Incredibles-4
Closer-3
The Phantom of the Opera-3
Spider-Man 2-3
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind-2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban-2
Lemony Snicket's-2
The Passion of the Christ-2
The Sea Inside-2
The Terminal-2

Everything else: 1 (Unless I missed some, lol...and these are without my alternates)

I figure, what the hell, I won't be punished for wrong predictions (riiight?) so I'll take some risks with mine.

Best Picture:
1. The Aviator
2. Million Dollar Baby
3. Sideways
4. Hotel Rwanda
5. Fahrenheit 9/11

6. Finding Neverland
7. Ray
8. Eternal Sunshine (*sigh* It's so painful to see this doing so well, but not quite well enough for a bp nom, probably...cause it means if had been released like in November there's a good chance it could've made it).

Best Director.
1. Martin Scorcese
2. Alexander Payne
3. Clint Eastwood
4. Michael Moore
5. Walter Salles

6. Marc Forster
7. Zhang Yimou

Best Actor
Jamie Foxx
Leonardo DiCaprio
Don Chealde
Paul Giamatti
Javier Bardem

-Johnny Depp
-Jim Carey

Best Actress
1. Hilary Swank
2. Annette Bening
3. Imelda Staunton
4. Kate Winslet
5. Julie Delpy

6. Catalina Sandino Moreno (I REALLLLLLY want both her and Julie to get in, but one of them will be hard enough...)
7. Uma Thurman

Best Supp. Actress
1. Cate Blanchett
2. Virginia Madsen
3. Laura Linney
4. Natalie Portman
5. Kate Winslet
-Sophie Okenodo...I really think she'll get in, but I don't know who to replace her for. Kate, probably?

Best supp. Actor.
1. Thomas Hayden Church
2. Clive Owen
3. Morgan Freeman
4. Freddie Highmore
5. Peter Sarsgaard
-Jamie Foxx

Best Original Screenplay:
1. Eternal Sunshine
2. the Aviator
3. Kinsey
4. Hotel Rwanda
5. Maria Full of Grace
-The Incredibles

Best Adapted SCreenplay:
1. Million Dollar Baby
2. Sideways
3. Finding Neverland (?)
4. The Motorcycle Diaries
5. Closer

-Before Sunset (pleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeease give the movie freakin something)

Best Picture
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Sideways
Million Dollar Baby
Spiderman 2

Best Director
Martin Scorsese
Mel Gibson
Alexander Payne
Clint Eastwood
Sam Raimi

Best Actor
Jamie Foxx
Leonardo Dicaprio
Don Cheadle
Paul Giamatti
Javier Bardem

Best Actress
Kate Winslet
Hilary Swank
Annette Bening
Imelda Staunton
Uma Thurman

Best Supporting Actor
Morgan Freeman
Jamie Foxx
Thomas Hayden Church
Clive Owen
Freddie Highmore

Best Supporting Actress
Virginia Madsen
Laura Linney
Natalie Portman
Kate Winslet
Cate Blanchett

Best Editing
The Aviator
Spideman 2
Eternal Sunshine of the spotless mind
Million Dollar baby
Collateral

Best Cinematagraphy
The Aviator
The Passion Of The Christ
Eternal sunshine of the spotless mind
Spiderman 2
Collateral

Best Original screenplay
Eternal Sunshine
the Aviator
Kinsey
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles

Best Adapted Screenplay
Before Sunset
Sideways
The Passion Of the christ
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby

Best Score
The Passion Of The Christ
Finding Neverland
The Terminal
The Incredibles
Harry Potter 3

Best Art Direction
The Aviator
The Phantom of the opera
Finding Neverland
The Terminal
Harry Potter 3

Best Costume design
The Aviator
The Phantom of the opera
Finding Neverland
Harry potter 3
House of Flying Daggers

Best Sound
Spiderman 2
The Aviator
The Bourne Supremacy
Collateral
Ray

Best Sound editing
Spiderman 2
The Incredibles
The Aviator


Best Foreign film
The Sea Inside
The Five Obstructions
House of Flying Daggers
The Keys to the House
Campfire

Best Visuall Effects
Spiderman 2
The Aviator
The Day After tommorrow

Best Make-Up
The Passion Of the christ
The Aviator
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events

Best Documentry
Paper Clips
Born into Brothels
Super-Size Me
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Touching the Void

Best Animated Film
The Incredibles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2

I'll just do my final "main" ones here:

BEST PICTURE
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

BEST DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Forster, Finding Neverland
Taylor Hackford, Ray
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Martin Scorsese, The Aviator

BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, The Sea Inside
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Ray
Paul Giamatti, Sideways

BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, Being Julia
Catalina Sandino Moreno, Maria Full of Grace
Imelda Staunton, Vera Drake
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Jamie Foxx, Collateral
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Freddie Highmore, Finding Neverland
Clive Owen, Closer

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virginia Madsen, Sideways
Sophie Okenedo, Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman, Closer

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Garden State
Hotel Rwanda
Kinsey

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Before Sunset
Closer
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

Best Picture
The Aviator
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways
Finding Neverland
Hotel Rwanda

Best Actor
Jamie Foxx, Ray
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Paul Giamatti, Sideways
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland -OR-Paul Giamatti, Sideways

Best Actress
Annette Bening, Being Julia
Hilary Swank, M$B
Imelda Staunton - Vera Drake
Catalina Sandino Moreno - Maria Full of Grace
Julie Delpy - Before Sunset

Supporting Actor:
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Clive Owen, Closer
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby
Jamie Foxx -Collateral
Alan Alda - The Aviator

Supporting Actress:
Virginia Madsen, Sideways
Sophie Okonedo, Hotel Rwanda
Natalie Portman, Closer
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator

Director:
Martin Scorsese, The Aviator
Alexander Payne, Sideways
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Forster, Finding Neverland
Terry George, Hotel Rwanda

Screenplay - Original
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine
Kinsey
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles

Screenplay - adapted
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways
Closer
Before Sunset
Finding Neverland

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Million Dollar Baby
The Aviator
Collateral
Ray
The Passion of the Christ


BEST ART DIRECTION:

The Aviator
The Phantom of the Opera
The Terminal
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
Million Dollar Baby (they usually do some bullshit here, remember when Chicago won Art Direction)


BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

The Aviator
Finding Neverland
The Phantom of the Opera
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
Ray


BEST SOUND:

The Aviator
The Bourne Supremacy
Finding Neverland
Ray
Spider-Man 2


BEST SOUND EDITING:

Spider-Man 2
The Aviator
The Incredibles


BEST EDITING:

Collateral
Ray
The Aviator
Million Dollar Baby
Finding Neverland


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

The Aviator
The Day after Tomorrow
Spider-Man 2


BEST MAKE-UP:

The Aviator
Hellboy
The Passion of the Christ


BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

Learn To Be Lonely, The Phantom Of The Opera
Million Voices, Hotel Rwanda
Old Habits Die Hard, Alfie
Accidentally In Love, Shrek 2
Peter's Song, Finding Neverland


BEST SCORE:

Sideways
The Terminal
Finding Neverland
Spanglish
The Incredibles


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

The Incredibles
Shrek 2
The Polar Express


BEST FOREIGN PICTURE:

Downfall
The Sea Inside
Campfire
House of Flying Daggers
The Five Obstructions

Less than 30 hours away.

w00t! When they finally get clled you guys are going to hear so much from me you'll want to :-# me up.

Haha, sorry I haven't been part of the discussion so much. As is apparent from my poor call on the two final docs (neither of which is eligable) I have no idea what's going on until I hear the noms. Picking winners will be fun though.


BTW, who here is going to an Oscar party? I've been to fun ones the last two years running. Catered with drinks and everyone dressing up in evening gowns and suits, etc. Its kind of fun, and the closest thing to being there since it gets projected onto big screen and there is an entire audiance aspect with cheering and booing, etc. I need to find a good one here in NYC, because last year I went to one in Chicago and the year before in Boston. Anyone know of any good ones here? Preferable economic entry and courtesy champaign?

final:
Picture:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Ray
Sideways


Director:
Martin Scorsese for The Aviator
Micheal Mann for Collateral
Marc Foster for Finding Neverland
Clint Eastwood Million Dollar Baby
Alexander Payne for Sideways

Actor:
Don Cheedle in Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp in Finding Neverland
Leonardo Dicaprio in The Aviator
Jamie Foxx in Ray
Paul Giamanti in Sideways

Actress:
Annette Bening in Being Julia
Julie Delpy in Before Sunset
Imelda Strauton in Vera Drake
Hilary Swank in Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet in Eternal Sunshine

Supporting Actor:
Alan Alda in The Aviator
Thomas Haden Church in Sideways
Jamie Foxx in Collateral
Morgan Freeman in Million Dollar Baby
Clive Owen in Closer

Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett in The Aviator
Larua Linley in Kinsey
Virginia Madsen in Sideways
Natalie Portman in Closer
Kate Winslet in Finding Neverland

Original Screenplay:
The Aviator
Collateral
Enternal Sunshine
The Incredibles
Ray

Adapted Screenplay:
Before Sunset
Closer
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

Animated Feature:
The Incredbiles
The Polar Express
Shrek 2

Art Direction:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House of Flying Daggers
Lemmony Snicket
The Passion of the Christ

Cinematography:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
The Passion of the Christ
Sideways
A Very Long Engagement

Costume:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
House of Flying Daggers
Phantom of the Opera
Ray

Film Editing:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles
Million Dollar Baby
Spider-Man 2

Makeup:
Hellboy
Lemmony Snicket
The Passion of the Christ

Sound:
The Aviator
Collateral
The Day After Tomorow
I, Robot
Spider-Man 2

Sound Editing:
Collateral
The Incredibles
Spider-Man 2

Score:
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles
The Passion of the Christ
Sideways
The Terminal

Visual Effects:
The Day After Tommorow
Sky Captain
Spider-Man 2

nods:
Aviator: 11
Finding Neverland: 10
Sideways: 8
Million Dollar Baby: 6
The Incredibles: 5
Ray: 4
The Passion of the Christ: 4
Spider-Man 2: 4
Collateral: 4
Closer: 3
Day After Tommrow: 2
Before Sunset: 2
Lemmony Snicket: 2
House of Flying Daggers: 2
Enternal Sunshine: 2
Sky Captain: 1
Hellboy: 1
The Terminal: 1
Kinsey: 1
Shrek 2: 1
Polar Express: 1
I, Robot: 1
Very Long Engagement: 1
Vera Drake: 1
Being Julia: 1
Phantom of the Opera: 1
Hotel Rwanda: 1

I'm obviously expecting some surprises tomorrow morning.

BEST PICTURE:
The Aviator
Fahrenheit 9/11
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Sideways

BEST DIRECTOR:
Clint Eastwood, Million Dollar Baby
Marc Foster, Finding Neverland
Michael Mann, Collateral
Michael Moore, Fahrenheit 9/11
Martin Scorcese, The Aviator

BEST ACTOR:
Don Cheadle, Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Aviator
Jamie Foxx, Ray
Liam Neeson, Kinsey


BEST ACTRESS:
Annette Benning, Being Julia
Julie Delpy, Before Sunset
Hilary Swank, Million Dollar Baby
Uma Thurman, Kill Bill Volume 2
Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, The Aviator
Laura Linney, Kinsey
Virgina Madsen, Sideways
Meryl Streep, The Manchurian Canidate
Kate Winslet, Finding Neverland

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
David Carradine, Kill Bill Volume 2
Thomas Haden Church, Sideways
Freddie Highmore, Finding Neverland
Jamie Foxx, Collateral
Morgan Freeman, Million Dollar Baby

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Aviator
Eternal Sunshine of the spotless Mind
Garden State
Hotel Rwanda
The Incredibles

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Before Sunset
Million Dollar Baby
The Motorcycle Diaries
The Phantom of the Opera
Sideways

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
The Aviator
Collateral
House of Flying Daggers
Ray
A Very Long Engagement

BEST ART DIRECTION:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
The Phantom of the Opera
The Terminal
A Very Long Engagement

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
The Aviator
House of Flying Daggers
The Phantom of the Opera
Ray
A Very Long Engagement

BEST SOUND:
The Aviator
Beyond the Sea
Collateral
Ray
Spider-Man 2

BEST SOUND EDITING:
The Aviator
The Incredibles
Spider-Man 2

BEST EDITING:
The Aviator
Collateral
Fahrenheit 9/11
Finding Neverland
The Incredibles

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
The Aviator
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
Spider-Man 2

BEST MAKE-UP:
The Aviator
Hellboy
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events


BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
Learn To Be Lonely, The Phantom Of The Opera
Million Voices, Hotel Rwanda
Old Habits Die Hard, Alfie
Accidentally In Love, Shrek 2
Believe, The Polar Express

BEST SCORE:
Finding Neverland
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Incredibles
Sideways
The Terminal

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
The Incredibles
Shrek 2
The Polar Express

BEST FOREIGN PICTURE:
Campfire
The Chorus
The Five Obstructions
House of Flying Daggers
The Sea Inside

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Born into Brothels
Riding Giants
Super-Size Me
The Story of the Weeping Camel
Touching the Void

Is Almodovar eligable for anything? Foreign film? Or was it released in the wrong year in Spain? Or was it a second entry? Will they sneak him in for direction if the film isn't actally eligable? Or cinematography or editing? Something dammit! Its the Best movie of the year and the only film I've given an A to in reviews.

my crazy other best pic nom: The Incredibles!
thats right I'm convised there gonna say it!
(then again i was convinced they were gonna say shrek and nemo....)

It isn't eligible for Foreign Film category since Spain submitted The Sea Inside instead, but it is eligible for all other categories since it was released in U.S. in 2004.

That'll never happen now that they have an animated category. It's only happened once in the 70 something years.

Based on what Xia just told me I would switch up Yimou for Almodovar. Not for quality (Everyone knows what I thought that is not the point) But because Hero was released so late here that judges are going to either be Yimou-ed out or they are going to have let-down from the former to the latter because the critics seemed to have done that as well.

Here's a thought, does Gael Garcia Bernal finally get a nod in one of the acting categories with Diaries and Education out this year?

i have a feeling that sunshine or rwanda could go over ray.
(intresting though that ray is very likley to be the highest grosing pre nom!)

heres my major choises with alternatives
Picture:
The Aviator
Finding Neverland
Million Dollar Baby
Ray
Sideways
alt: Hotel Rwanda, Enternal Sunshine, Collateral, Incredibles

Director:
Martin Scorsese for The Aviator
Micheal Mann for Collateral
Marc Foster for Finding Neverland
Clint Eastwood Million Dollar Baby
Alexander Payne for Sideways
alt: Ray, Flying Daggers, Enternal Sunshine

Actor:
Don Cheedle in Hotel Rwanda
Johnny Depp in Finding Neverland
Leonardo Dicaprio in The Aviator
Jamie Foxx in Ray
Paul Giamanti in Sideways
alt: Neeson (kinsey), Eastwood (baby), Bardem (sea)

Actress:
Annette Bening in Being Julia
Julie Delpy in Before Sunset
Imelda Strauton in Vera Drake
Hilary Swank in Million Dollar Baby
Kate Winslet in Eternal Sunshine
alt: Thurman (kill bill), Moreno? (maria), Johanson (bobby long)

Supporting Actor:
Alan Alda in The Aviator
Thomas Haden Church in Sideways
Jamie Foxx in Collateral
Morgan Freeman in Million Dollar Baby
Clive Owen in Closer
alt: Hilgmore (neverland), Caradine (kill bill), Gardner (notebook), Sargasland (kinsey)

Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett in The Aviator
Larua Linley in Kinsey
Virginia Madsen in Sideways
Natalie Portman in Closer
Kate Winslet in Finding Neverland
alt: Okonedo (rwanda), Warren (ray), Streep (manchurian)

CRAZY surprise guesses....

Gael Garcia Bernal nominated for Best Actor

or

Clint Eastwood nominated for Best Actor (I still hold out hope for this)

I would actually think just the reverse. Because Hero is ineligible, I think that actually helps to have people throw the combined support behind Yimou. Even though some like Hero more, most of them still think HOFD is more than adequate, so they wouldn't have any trouble writing Yimou's name for it. If Hero had been eligible, there would have been a vote split, and the chance of him nominated would become much smaller.

On the other hand, I can definitely see Almodovar getting nominated for the foreign director spot, if there is one this year. However, Almodovar was just nominated two years ago for Talk to Her and won the screenplay, so the director branch may feel he has been honored already. And especially when they know whoever they pick for the 5th spot is more of a symbol of respect since that director's respective film won't be nominated by the entire body of academy, they probably will choose someone who has never been honored and who they respect a lot. I don't know if they think that deep when they cast their ballots, but I'm still amazed that Yimou doesn't have a foreign film oscar yet with the portfolio of works he has put out.

Gael Bernal just got caught in the best and most competitive category of the year. There are so many great performances by actors in 2004 that Bernal couldn't get on the radar. Also having two films hurt here since the academy rule states that you can't put a person's name twice in the nomination ballot, so a voter has to choose which film to put Bernal under, thus a vote split occur. That's part of the reason Scarlett was snubbed last year.

Xia...I see you point, but do you think it will just get a best foreign film nod? They might reserve director for Pedro because his film can't go through in foreign, just like last time. For sure I agree with you Daggers will at least get a foreign film nod. Also its unfortunate about Bernal, because the female categories are pretty damn weak this year, but you are right, he'll get locked out of the male ones. Too bad, Leo was ok in the Aviator, but pretty much everything about that movie (except maybe Blanchet) was overrated.

I'll call foreign since its the only one I can think of. I might be off the mark too since I don't know which submissions are even eligable. Where are you guys getting this? From an official site?

Best Foreign Film

Moolaade
The Downfall
The Sea Inside
The Motorcycle Diaries
House of Flying Daggers

The rule for foreign films is too strict. I think they should make all the ones that got a release in U.S. automatically eligible. Out of your choices, dolce, Moolaade and The Motorcycle Diaries aren't eligible.

Back to the topic of director, I think one thing that hurt Yimou is that HOFD is eligible for foreign film and will sure get a nomination. When Pedro Almodóvar and Fernando Meirelles were nominated, their respective films weren't eligible for foreign film, and their films got much acclaims to be completely ignored, so the academy found several categories to nominate for each of them, and they got good enough support to break through the director branch. With HOFD being eligible, the voters may not nominate Yimou again in the director category. Still, to counter that point, I can argue that Alejandro Amenábar is also a world class director, and it's likely that they will give Amenábar the foreign film oscar, then Yimou's chance for director increases again.

I can't wait for the morning.

Yeah...exactly my thoughts since Dagger is eligable for foriegn film. Director nods have rarely gone to foreigners. You can probably count them on your fingers (discounting UK). Ah damn...why the hell are Moolaade and Motorcycle ineligable...for chrissake. With Education and Motorcycle gone there's two of my top three of the year right there...and I've only heard good things about Moolaade (will be seeing it with in the next few weeks).

Damn...well pull those two out and throw in Very Long Engagement (despite not being that great) and Five Obstructions. Geesh, I'm pissed now.

A Very Long Engagement isn't eligible either since France submitted The Chorus, which isn't getting that stellar of reviews and not doing much at box office.