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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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 So, the five Best Picture nominees are all but guaranteed... Babel
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
But, of the other options, what is the most likely to sneak in instead of one of those five?
Letters from Iwo Jima?
United 93?
Children of Men?
Something else?
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 2:02 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
Posts: 13403
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I'm still holding out for a late charge by CoM.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 2:06 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Well, I don't see anything pulling an upset, but if anything WERE to pull an upset on Oscar nomination day, it would be United 93. It has the important factor, the push by certain critics to recognize it, plus Guild nominations for Screenplay and Editing and critics awards galore. It would just be the next strongest in line, in my opinion.
Peace,
Mike.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 2:06 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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I Am Jack's... wrote: I'd say Letters would sooner get a BD nom.
I could see Pan's Labyrinth sneaking in over The Queen. Really? I could never see Pan's getting a nom for Best Pic over anything. I'm not saying I don't want a nom, but I think Children of Men has a better chance.
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Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 2:21 pm |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am
Posts: 6502
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Funny how Letters went from virtually safe about a month ago to its current status as a potential darkhorse.
I agree with Mike, though, and maintain that if there's one surprise Best Pic nom, it'll be United 93.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 2:23 pm |
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Quint
Baaaaa!
Joined: Sat May 06, 2006 10:31 am
Posts: 1011
Location: Lookin for mah bukkit
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I Am Jack's... wrote: I could see Pan's Labyrinth sneaking in over The Queen. I will die with joy if that happens.
How many times has a foreign film gotten a BP nom? The only times I can think of are Das Boot and Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon. _________________
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:07 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
Posts: 13403
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I enjoyed Pan's but no way it gets a BP Nod. I'd agree with those that think United 93 might sneak in.
Seriously thou what happened to Letters?
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:19 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
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I Am Jack's... wrote: It sucks because Letters is a really well made film. But slipping it in during the 11th hour simply rubbed people the wrong way.
I hope we now get more Oscar films released in Oct and Nov. It seems to be the pattern to release oscar bait later and later it seems. The days of a silence of the lambs early release are long gone. It tallies with the current culture of short memories thou.
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Rosberg was reminded of the fuel regulations by his wheel's ceasing to turn. The hollow noise from the fuel tank and needle reading zero had failed to convay this message
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:39 pm |
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Quint
Baaaaa!
Joined: Sat May 06, 2006 10:31 am
Posts: 1011
Location: Lookin for mah bukkit
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Gullimont-Kyro wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: It sucks because Letters is a really well made film. But slipping it in during the 11th hour simply rubbed people the wrong way.
I hope we now get more Oscar films released in Oct and Nov. It seems to be the pattern to release oscar bait later and later it seems. The days of a silence of the lambs early release are long gone. It tallies with the current culture of short memories thou. But what about Crash winning last year and being released in May? Or are you talking about the release of Oscar films in general? _________________
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:47 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
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It truly is sad how Letters lost so much steam after those first few weeks of buzz.
Look at its gross. It's STILL not up to $1 million. I don't see how it could get nominated anymore. I absolutely HATE to admit it but United 93 just MAY be ahead of LEtters now as the 6th spot or surprise nominee.
Also... Venus hasn't hit $1m yet either. Actually it hasn't even hit $300k after 4 weeks (granted they haven't expanded yet). It might be the lowest grossing film (when noms are announced) to get a nomination in any of the major 8 categories.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:52 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
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Quint75 wrote: Gullimont-Kyro wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: It sucks because Letters is a really well made film. But slipping it in during the 11th hour simply rubbed people the wrong way.
I hope we now get more Oscar films released in Oct and Nov. It seems to be the pattern to release oscar bait later and later it seems. The days of a silence of the lambs early release are long gone. It tallies with the current culture of short memories thou. But what about Crash winning last year and being released in May? Or are you talking about the release of Oscar films in general? Lamb's got released way back in Jan if I'm right (someone correct me). Crash was an abboration it was a failsafe against hollywood voting for a homosexual movie..........................(ducks in fear against possible annoyance)
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 3:53 pm |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am
Posts: 6502
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Gullimont-Kyro wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: It sucks because Letters is a really well made film. But slipping it in during the 11th hour simply rubbed people the wrong way.
I hope we now get more Oscar films released in Oct and Nov. It seems to be the pattern to release oscar bait later and later it seems. The days of a silence of the lambs early release are long gone. It tallies with the current culture of short memories thou. The days of releasing films in January may be gone (arguable whether it was actually here), but so, too, are the days of releasing Oscar bait at the end of December. Well, looking at this year's slate of nominees, at least. 4 films -- Babel, Departed, Queen, LMS -- all released in or before October, which is unprecedented, at least within the past decade or so.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 4:03 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am
Posts: 13403
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Dkmuto wrote: Gullimont-Kyro wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: It sucks because Letters is a really well made film. But slipping it in during the 11th hour simply rubbed people the wrong way.
I hope we now get more Oscar films released in Oct and Nov. It seems to be the pattern to release oscar bait later and later it seems. The days of a silence of the lambs early release are long gone. It tallies with the current culture of short memories thou. The days of releasing films in January may be gone (arguable whether it was actually here), but so, too, are the days of releasing Oscar bait at the end of December. Well, looking at this year's slate of nominees, at least. 4 films -- Babel, Departed, Queen, LMS -- all released in or before October, which is unprecedented, at least within the past decade or so. I'd agree there. CoM's disasterous release schedule bears that out. So does "The New World" last year.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 4:05 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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There has been a lot of debate lately on if academy should move the date back to the last week of March so that those late releases can be seen. However, I'm in the camp that moving the date up to February is the best thing academy has done. I'm sad films like Children of Men and Pan's Labyrinth won't get as much recognition as they deserved, but hopefully this year will teach studios a lesson that October/November is the new December now, and they will adjust accordingly. Imagine Children of Men had released in September as originally planned, and seeing good quality films spread out during fall and winter season. That'll be great.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 4:07 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Quint75 wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: I could see Pan's Labyrinth sneaking in over The Queen. I will die with joy if that happens. How many times has a foreign film gotten a BP nom? The only times I can think of are Das Boot and Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon. Here is the list
The Grand Illusion
Z
The Emigrants
Cries and Whispers
Il Postino
Life is Beautiful
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon
(Das Boot was not on the list) _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 6:18 pm |
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Quint
Baaaaa!
Joined: Sat May 06, 2006 10:31 am
Posts: 1011
Location: Lookin for mah bukkit
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Scotty Doesn't Know wrote: Quint75 wrote: I Am Jack's... wrote: I could see Pan's Labyrinth sneaking in over The Queen. I will die with joy if that happens. How many times has a foreign film gotten a BP nom? The only times I can think of are Das Boot and Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon. Here is the list The Grand Illusion Z The Emigrants Cries and Whispers Il Postino Life is Beautiful Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (Das Boot was not on the list) Really? I could've sworn it was nominated for Best Picture... _________________
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 8:01 pm |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm
Posts: 6645
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God...if United 93 or Children of Men took Babel's slot, I would be soooooo happy.
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| Sun Jan 14, 2007 8:30 pm |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am
Posts: 2913
Location: Portugal
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Bobby 
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| Mon Jan 15, 2007 6:58 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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If anything were to sneak in (doubtful), it'd be United 93 or Little Children.
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| Mon Jan 15, 2007 12:21 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1891
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I'm pretty sure it'll end up looking like this:
Children of Men
The Departed
Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
The Fountain
Pan's Labyrinth
precedent be damned!!!
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| Mon Jan 15, 2007 4:12 pm |
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