Best Picture:

[table]
[row][col]Bet 365[col]Centrebet Sports[col]Victor Chandler
[row]Brokeback Mountain[col]4/5[col]57/100[col]1/1
[row]Good Night and Good Luck[col]7/2[col]333/100[col]5/2
[row]Munich[col]4/1[col]7/1[col]8/1
[row]Walk the Line[col]12/1[col]10/1[col]10/1
[row]King Kong[col]8/1[col]10/1[col]14/1
[row]Capote[col]16/1[col]20/1[col]20/1
[row]Crash[col]14/1[col]25/1[col]25/1
[row]The Constant Gardener[col]28/1[col]20/1[col]12/1
[row]A History of Violence[col]25/1[col]33/1[col]20/1
[row]Match Point[col]40/1[col]33/1[col]16/1
[row]The Squid And The Whale[col]40/1[col]33/1[col]25/1
[row]Cinderella Man[col]25/1[col]50/1[col]50/1
[row]Memoirs of Geisha[col]33/1[col]50/1[col]50/1
[row]Syriana[col]40/1[col]66/1[col]50/1
[row]The New World[col]-[col]66/1[col]-
[row]Pride & Prejudice[col]80/1[col]100/1[col]50/1
[row]Cache[col]150/1[col]-[col]-
[row]Mrs Henderson Presents[col]125/1[col]150/1[col]50/1
[row]The 40 Year-Old Virgin[col]150/1[col]-[col]-
[row]The Family Stone[col]-[col]150/1[col]-
[row]The Producers[col]50/1[col]150/1[col]40/1
[row]Three Burials Melquiades Estrada[col]125/1[col]150/1[col]-
[/table]

Currently Brokeback is the overwhelming favorite, as more than half of wagers are betting on it to win, as shown by the fact that the odd is at least 1/1 among the three agencies.

Best Director:

[table]
[row][col]Centrebet Sports
[row]Lee, A[col]11/25
[row]Clooney, G[col]4/1
[row]Spielberg, S[col]11/2
[row]Jackson, P[col]14/1
[row]Meirelles, F[col]14/1
[row]Allen, W[col]20/1
[row]Cronenberg, D[col]20/1
[row]Mangold, J[col]20/1
[row]Haggis, P[col]25/1
[row]Miller, B[col]25/1
[row]Howard, R[col]33/1
[row]Lee JONES, T[col]50/1
[row]Malick, T[col]50/1
[row]Marshall, R[col]66/1
[row]Gaghan, S[col]100/1
[row]Wright, J[col]100/1
[/table]

Lee is even more of a favorite.

Best Actor:

[table]
[row][col]Bet 365[col]Centrebet Sports
[row]Hoffman, Philip Seymour[col]13/8[col]6/4
[row]Ledger, Heath[col]13/8[col]7/4
[row]Phoenix, Joaquin[col]5/1[col]9/2
[row]Strathairn, David[col]6/1[col]13/2
[row]Howard, Terence[col]6/1[col]7/1
[row]Jones, Tommy Lee[col]8/1[col]12/1
[row]Crowe, Russel[col]14/1[col]20/1
[row]Bana, Eric[col]25/1[col]25/1
[row]Fiennes, Ralp[col]20/1[col]25/1
[row]Clooney, George[col]28/1[col]-
[row]Daniels, Jeff[col]20/1[col]33/1
[row]Mortensen, V[col]-[col]66/1
[row]Murphy, Cillan[col]-[col]66/1
[row]Hopkins, Anthony[col]80/1[col]66/1
[row]Depp, Johnny[col]100/1[col]-
[row]Lane, Nathan[col]80/1[col]100/1
[row]Murray, Bill[col]-[col]100/1
[row]Rhys Meyers, Jonathan[col]-[col]100/1
[/table]

Deadheat between Hoffman and Ledger, and they're far ahead of everyone else.

That's all in line with what I am thinking.

GNGL, BM, Wak the Line, King Kong and Munich for Best Picture.

Hoffman and Ledger fighting it out for Best Actor and leaving Phoenix behind with Strathairn being a dark horse.

Mangold slipping for Director while Allen and Mereilles are rising.

Best Actress:

[table]
[row][col]Bet 365[col]Centrebet Sports
[row]Witherspoon, R[col]11/8[col]7/5
[row]Dench, J[col]4/1[col]3/1
[row]Huffman, F[col]2/1[col]9/2
[row]Watts, N[col]6/1[col]11/2
[row]Zhang, Z[col]9/2[col]8/1
[row]Knightley, K[col]9/1[col]7/1
[row]Allen, J[col]10/1[col]11/1
[row]Theron, C[col]9/1[col]16/1
[row]Kilcher, Q[col]-[col]25/1
[row]Linney, Laura[col]16/1[col]25/1
[row]Richardson, N[col]50/1[col]66/1
[row]Paltrow, G[col]-[col]100/1
[row]Parker, Sarah Jessica[col]-[col]100/1
[row]Collette, T[col]50/1[col]150/1
[row]Danes, C[col]-[col]150/1
[/table]

Witherspoon dominates. Too low on Keira.

Best Supporting Actor:

[table]
[row][col]Centrebet Sports
[row]Giamatti, P[col]9/4
[row]Gyllenhaal, J[col]3/1
[row]Dillon, M[col]5/1
[row]Clooney, G[col]6/1
[row]Hurt, W[col]6/1
[row]Hoskins, B[col]8/1
[row]Howard, T[col]8/1
[row]Costner, K[col]16/1
[row]Langella, F[col]25/1
[row]Rush, G[col]33/1
[row]Platt, O[col]50/1
[row]Sutherland, D[col]50/1
[row]Amalric, M[col]66/1
[row]Foxx, J[col]66/1
[row]Broderick, M[col]100/1
[row]Collins, C[col]100/1
[row]Ferrell, W[col]100/1
[row]Jenkins, R[col]100/1
[row]Nelson, C T[col]100/1
[row]Pepper, B[col]100/1
[row]Sarsgaard, P[col]100/1
[row]Rourke, M[col]150/1
[/table]

Without a clear leader, but people are currently betting on Giamatti and Gyllenhaal.

Best Supporting Actress:

[table]
[row][col]Centrebet Sports
[row]Williams, M[col]7/2
[row]Keener, C[col]4/1
[row]Weisz, R[col]9/2
[row]Adams, A[col]11/2
[row]Bello, M[col]11/2
[row]Gong, L[col]7/1
[row]Johansson, S[col]7/1
[row]McDORMAND, F[col]10/1
[row]Keaton, D[col]12/1
[row]Linney, L[col]14/1
[row]Newton, T[col]14/1
[row]MacLAINE, S[col]33/1
[row]Josee Croze, M[col]66/1
[row]Dawson, R[col]100/1
[row]Swinton, T[col]100/1
[row]Hathaway, A[col]150/1
[row]McADAMS, R[col]150/1
[row]Thurman, U[col]150/1
[/table]

I expect this to flunctuate a lot.

Nice for Watts, crappy for Knightly.

At least Anne Hathaway showed up somewhere on the radar. I've always wondered why she's never been considered at least a little bit. In any case, she's developing into a great actress anyways. She'll win the Oscar someday.

those all seem reasonable.

and why are these more sane???

and also great news for Kong fans as KONG is a solid # 5 or less with all 3.