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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am Posts: 5578 Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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Raffiki wrote: Sam Nasty wrote: I really think Heath has this for the SAG. The movie has just picked up too much momentum since december/ early january. I'm thinkingto myself, here I am, a SAG voter looking at the ballot. I saw Capote in December and thought PSH was just awesome. But I just saw BBM last week. This movie is really something. That Heath did a great job. The movie got to me. And everyone is loving it. But PSH has done so much and he is consistenly good. He should win. But I keep thinking about damn Ennis del mar. Oh fuck it. Heath it is.
now repeat that for all of the categories.
BBM will sweep SAGS. Mark my words. Ledger is too young. Hoffman has too much weight behind his career at this point. You really think Jake could win? There's no way it will sweep the SAG. There are too few awards. I think it's possible that it doesn't get any of the individual awards but takes home Best Ensemble. It looks to take Ensemble anyway. And I'm actually favoring BBM taking Ensemble way more than any of the films. The collective acting in this movie surpasses any other this year.
well you guys have more experience with this.. but i have been following the race this year since late november. i just have this feeling that PSH peaked and perhaps in any other year he would be locked for all wins. but heath has had this building buzz since venice that needs to reach a climax soon. I think his peak begins at the SAGs this weekend and ends with the oscar.
but i guess we shall know soon! 
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 3:48 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Raffiki wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: All I know is that theres no way Weisz is losing to Williams. Why? lol  Cause I said so................DUH!!!!!!!!!!
I dont know, I just didnt feel her performance was anywhere near Weisz, she's not a very strong actress or anything, she did what she could.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 4:01 am |
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Anonymous
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Sam Nasty wrote: I really think Heath has this for the SAG. The movie has just picked up too much momentum since december/ early january. I'm thinkingto myself, here I am, a SAG voter looking at the ballot. I saw Capote in December and thought PSH was just awesome. But I just saw BBM last week. This movie is really something. That Heath did a great job. The movie got to me. And everyone is loving it. But PSH has done so much and he is consistenly good. He should win. But I keep thinking about damn Ennis del mar. Oh fuck it. Heath it is.
now repeat that for all of the categories.
BBM will sweep SAGS. Mark my words.
The only SAG member who has communicated their preference to me voted for PSM and he was gay btw. I know, only one person but you can't lump these people together Mr. Nasty. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm the only person here who has actually heard from a SAG member who they're voting for. Unless you took a poll. 
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 6:27 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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My predictions:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Reese Witherspoon
Paul Giamatti
Michelle Williams
Crash
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:16 am |
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Anonymous
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Oscarwatch is predicting Hoffman and Huffman.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 11:29 am |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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loyalfromlondon wrote: Oscarwatch is predicting Hoffman and Huffman.
and only split by a vowel. kindof funny.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 11:37 am |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am Posts: 5578 Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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loyalfromlondon wrote: Sam Nasty wrote: I really think Heath has this for the SAG. The movie has just picked up too much momentum since december/ early january. I'm thinkingto myself, here I am, a SAG voter looking at the ballot. I saw Capote in December and thought PSH was just awesome. But I just saw BBM last week. This movie is really something. That Heath did a great job. The movie got to me. And everyone is loving it. But PSH has done so much and he is consistenly good. He should win. But I keep thinking about damn Ennis del mar. Oh fuck it. Heath it is.
now repeat that for all of the categories.
BBM will sweep SAGS. Mark my words. The only SAG member who has communicated their preference to me voted for PSM and he was gay btw. I know, only one person but you can't lump these people together Mr. Nasty. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm the only person here who has actually heard from a SAG member who they're voting for. Unless you took a poll. 
It was reported over at Oscar Watch that someone spoke with 3 SAG voters and they voted for heath. three beats one. 
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 1:31 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Sam Nasty wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: Sam Nasty wrote: I really think Heath has this for the SAG. The movie has just picked up too much momentum since december/ early january. I'm thinkingto myself, here I am, a SAG voter looking at the ballot. I saw Capote in December and thought PSH was just awesome. But I just saw BBM last week. This movie is really something. That Heath did a great job. The movie got to me. And everyone is loving it. But PSH has done so much and he is consistenly good. He should win. But I keep thinking about damn Ennis del mar. Oh fuck it. Heath it is.
now repeat that for all of the categories.
BBM will sweep SAGS. Mark my words. The only SAG member who has communicated their preference to me voted for PSM and he was gay btw. I know, only one person but you can't lump these people together Mr. Nasty. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm the only person here who has actually heard from a SAG member who they're voting for. Unless you took a poll.  It was reported over at Oscar Watch that someone spoke with 3 SAG voters and they voted for heath. three beats one. 
well I am not sure how the 120 K are broken up but I think both of who have to poll a few more.
**********************
From Yahoo TV.
12th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards
08:00 PM ET -TBS-
The Screen Actors Guild was started in 1933 and is one of the largest labor unions in the country -- representing nearly 120,000 working actors. So it's no wonder they like to salute their own; tonight, the guild holds its 12th annual SAG Awards, honoring the year's best performances (both individual and group -- a award unique to this ceremony ...........
Last edited by Goldie on Sat Jan 28, 2006 1:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 1:34 pm |
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Anonymous
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Sam Nasty wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: Sam Nasty wrote: I really think Heath has this for the SAG. The movie has just picked up too much momentum since december/ early january. I'm thinkingto myself, here I am, a SAG voter looking at the ballot. I saw Capote in December and thought PSH was just awesome. But I just saw BBM last week. This movie is really something. That Heath did a great job. The movie got to me. And everyone is loving it. But PSH has done so much and he is consistenly good. He should win. But I keep thinking about damn Ennis del mar. Oh fuck it. Heath it is.
now repeat that for all of the categories.
BBM will sweep SAGS. Mark my words. The only SAG member who has communicated their preference to me voted for PSM and he was gay btw. I know, only one person but you can't lump these people together Mr. Nasty. Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm the only person here who has actually heard from a SAG member who they're voting for. Unless you took a poll.  It was reported over at Oscar Watch that someone spoke with 3 SAG voters and they voted for heath. three beats one. 
I read it this morning. A larger issue at hand is that not all SAG members are AMPAS members. Nevertheless, I was commenting to your out of body conversation you were having. SAG members are voting for PSH. I have the proof.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 1:35 pm |
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Anonymous
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Am I the only one who thinks BBM can walk away empty handed here? Supporting Actress is its strongest chance and Rachel can't be underestimated.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 1:38 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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loyalfromlondon wrote: Am I the only one who thinks BBM can walk away empty handed here? Supporting Actress is its strongest chance and Rachel can't be underestimated.
Of course it can, but it's highly unlikely.
I'm thinking more and more that it could very well take Best ensemble because all four were incredibly strong performances. Especially, if Michelle doesn't win.
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 2:04 pm |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am Posts: 5578 Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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How could the most nominated and most popular movie go empty handed? Yeah I'd give you that my predicts are a best case scenerio but none at all? no way that happens.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 2:12 pm |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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Raffiki wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: Am I the only one who thinks BBM can walk away empty handed here? Supporting Actress is its strongest chance and Rachel can't be underestimated. Of course it can, but it's highly unlikely. I'm thinking more and more that it could very well take Best ensemble because all four were incredibly strong performances. Especially, if Michelle doesn't win.
It is very possible actually. Although I have a feeling Ledger will beat out Hoffman, since the SAGs have a bit of a history of voting for actors depending on what movie they're in. Just a hunch though.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 2:24 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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I say the best supporting actor is still going to Clooney, but I picked Giamatti for reasons I've explained elsewhere.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:03 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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Maverikk wrote: I say the best supporting actor is still going to Clooney, but I picked Giamatti for reasons I've explained elsewhere.
what?
Do you mean Clooney will get the Oscar but Giamatti will get the SAG?
Hehe, how can you say you think Clooney will get it, but you're predicting Giamatti? lol
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:11 pm |
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Christian
Team Kris
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:02 pm Posts: 27584 Location: The Damage Control Table
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It seems unlikely that Brokeback will be shutout. I see two possibilities: Brokeback getting Ensemble while not getting individual acting awards, or Brokeback getting only one individual award (most likely Michelle Williams) and losing out Ensemble.
_________________A hot man once wrote: Urgh, I have to throw out half my underwear because it's too tight.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:16 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Raffiki wrote: Maverikk wrote: I say the best supporting actor is still going to Clooney, but I picked Giamatti for reasons I've explained elsewhere. what? Do you mean Clooney will get the Oscar but Giamatti will get the SAG? Hehe, how can you say you think Clooney will get it, but you're predicting Giamatti? lol
Giamatti won't get the same support across the board as George Clooney, and the actor's guild is doing their all for Giamatti right now to make up for past snubs.
When it comes to Oscar time, they'll go with Clooney. The SAG winner and Oscar winner don't always line up.
If Clooney wins, which is entirely possible, the SAG winner and Oscar winner will line up this year.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:32 pm |
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kypade
Kypade
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 10:53 pm Posts: 7908
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I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:39 pm |
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Christian
Team Kris
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:02 pm Posts: 27584 Location: The Damage Control Table
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kypade wrote: I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh.
Well the SAG has been guilty of that. Just look at Million Dollar Baby and Sideways last year. They have been substituting Best Ensemble as Best Picture. IN previous races, movies like The Birdcage, How to Make an American Quilt, Waking Ned Devine, Greek Wedding are examples of movies not really considered as Best Picture material but their ensemble qualities are rewarded.
At least this year, there's a couple of true ensemble pieces (Crash, Good Night and Good Luck...)
_________________A hot man once wrote: Urgh, I have to throw out half my underwear because it's too tight.
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 8:45 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am Posts: 9966
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kypade wrote: I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh.
I guess it's how you look at it.
Best Acting by an Ensemble and Best Acting Ensemble could mean two slightly different thing if you really want to get into it.
But christian's right in that they regard Best Ensemble, more or less, like Best Picture.
_________________ Top Movies of 2009 1. Hurt Locker / 2. (500) Days of Summer / 3. Sunshine Cleaning / 4. Up / 5. I Love You, Man
Top Anticipated 2009 1. Nine
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 9:43 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Raffiki wrote: kypade wrote: I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh. I guess it's how you look at it. Best Acting by an Ensemble and Best Acting Ensemble could mean two slightly different thing if you really want to get into it. But christian's right in that they regard Best Ensemble, more or less, like Best Picture.
still think that the Family Stone should have been up for that
Claire Danes .... Julie Morton
Diane Keaton .... Sybil Stone
Rachel McAdams .... Amy Stone
Dermot Mulroney .... Everett Stone
Craig T. Nelson .... Kelly Stone
Sarah Jessica Parker .... Meredith Morton
Luke Wilson .... Ben Stone
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Sat Jan 28, 2006 11:25 pm |
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Christian
Team Kris
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 5:02 pm Posts: 27584 Location: The Damage Control Table
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Goldie wrote: Raffiki wrote: kypade wrote: I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh. I guess it's how you look at it. Best Acting by an Ensemble and Best Acting Ensemble could mean two slightly different thing if you really want to get into it. But christian's right in that they regard Best Ensemble, more or less, like Best Picture. still think that the Family Stone should have been up for that Claire Danes .... Julie Morton Diane Keaton .... Sybil Stone Rachel McAdams .... Amy Stone Dermot Mulroney .... Everett Stone Craig T. Nelson .... Kelly Stone Sarah Jessica Parker .... Meredith Morton Luke Wilson .... Ben Stone
I thought The Family Stone was a shoo-in for the Ensemble prize.
_________________A hot man once wrote: Urgh, I have to throw out half my underwear because it's too tight.
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Sun Jan 29, 2006 12:43 am |
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Anonymous
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Cotton wrote: Raffiki wrote: loyalfromlondon wrote: Am I the only one who thinks BBM can walk away empty handed here? Supporting Actress is its strongest chance and Rachel can't be underestimated. Of course it can, but it's highly unlikely. I'm thinking more and more that it could very well take Best ensemble because all four were incredibly strong performances. Especially, if Michelle doesn't win. It is very possible actually. Although I have a feeling Ledger will beat out Hoffman, since the SAGs have a bit of a history of voting for actors depending on what movie they're in. Just a hunch though.
I would say its more likely than not.
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Sun Jan 29, 2006 7:25 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Goldie wrote: Raffiki wrote: kypade wrote: I don;t see how you can even consider BBM an ensemble. It has 4 characters of any real note, and two of em share a combined forty minutes or so of screen (being generous). I dunno. I just wouldn't even think about that movie when thinking of the years "ensemble films." Meh. I guess it's how you look at it. Best Acting by an Ensemble and Best Acting Ensemble could mean two slightly different thing if you really want to get into it. But christian's right in that they regard Best Ensemble, more or less, like Best Picture. still think that the Family Stone should have been up for that Claire Danes .... Julie Morton Diane Keaton .... Sybil Stone Rachel McAdams .... Amy Stone Dermot Mulroney .... Everett Stone Craig T. Nelson .... Kelly Stone Sarah Jessica Parker .... Meredith Morton Luke Wilson .... Ben Stone
Hmm, for once, I agree. Definitely one of the best ensembles of the year.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Jan 29, 2006 7:25 am |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am Posts: 2913 Location: Portugal
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If it wasn't for the mixed reviews, The Family Stone would be nominated for Supporting Actress, Ensemble and probably Supporting Actor...
One question, just for comparison sake: did Kevin Spacey win the SAG in 2000?
EDIT: I just noticed that American Beauty almost sweeped this, winning Ensemble, Actor and Actress (Swank was beaten by Benning!  )... BUT, The English Patient lost all of the 4 nods... I don't really know what to think.. 
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Sun Jan 29, 2006 8:26 am |
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