Lineup and presenters:

The last film to win 6 Golden Globes was The Midnight Express in 1978, however, TWO of those awards are from a categories that don't exist anymore: the ‘New Star of the Year’ awards, which they had one category for males and one for females. The following are the awards it won:

Best Picture – Drama
John Hurt, Supporting Actor
Brad Davis, New Star of the Year Award – Male
Irene Miracle, New Star of the Year Award – Female
Best Screenplay
Best Original Score

So, it doesn’t seem to really count. It only got 4 awards counting today’s categories; didn’t even get director.

Gandhi in 1982 won 5 awards - though there was a "New Star of the Year" award that year also, which made it 5. Kingsley won for Best Actor and 'New Star of the Year - Male' - and the film also won Best Director, Best Foreign Film, and Screenplay.

In 1980, Ordinary People won 5 awards too, but that was again with the “New Star of the Year Award”. Timothy Hutton won for Supporting Actor and ‘New Star of the Year – Male’. Film also got Best Drama, Best Actress and Best Director.

So I looked back at all years from 1978 to today, and the only film to win 6 awards is one that won two awards that don’t exist today (The Midnight Express). And then even after that, there are only two other films in that time span that won even 5 awards, and both of those films won an award that doesn’t exist today (Gandhi, Ordinary People).

So, technically, the 3 films I just presented all won only 4 awards, counting today’s categories. All other films at most only won 4 Golden Globes. So that seems to be the magic number for a ‘big’ film in terms of awards.

To conclude, I find it extremely unlikely then that Brokeback Mountain wins 6 Golden Globes. If it does, that will be an incredible feat, which hasn’t been matched by a lot of incredible films in the past.

I think Ledger may miss out on Best Actor to Hoffman. And they might even reward Score to a “grander” type score, like Kong or Narnia. Who knows. Best Director could go to Clooney, since he is really respected, but I do think Ang Lee will win., Whatever awards, I think there will be a one or two that Brokeback misses on. Like I said, getting 6 Golden Globes wins would be spectacular and very nearly unprecedented, and would catapult that film into a huge frontrunner status (and it already is in a very secure frontrunner status, so holy, heh).

PEACE, Mike.

Thanks a lot for the info, Mike.

I am very certain on Supporting Actress/Picture/Song categories.

For the Score, GG sometimes make weird choices, sometimes even award movie that don't get an Oscar nom later on...it might go to Memoirs or Kong which I had up there at first, but then went for BBM.

As for Heath Leder, it's a risky pick, but as I saw Portman and Owen winning for Closer last year, something in me said, they will go for a BBM lovefrst and award Ledger, as a young hotshot performer.

Best Director is the one I am most uncertain about. I think it's 50/50 because Ang Lee has already won for CTHD.

But I still think it should manage 5, if not 6.

Some of my personally favourite presenters:

Good Night & Good Luck Clip - Drew Barrymore (she's fun and bright. I love how she is presenting the GNAGL clip)
The Constant Gardener Clip - Tim Robbins (Tim Robbins + The Constant Gardener = awesomeness)
Pride & Prejudice Clip - Emma Thompson (I looooooooooove Emma Thompson - beyond words)
Film Screenplay - Virginia Madsen & Harrison Ford (Interesting match up)
Cecil B. DeMille Award - Gwyneth Paltrow (I just tend to like her and how she speaks. Sweet person.)
TV Drama Series - Will & Grace Cast (This is going to be funny - this cast cheers' eachother every time they lost as a cast at the Emmy's, they're just great and good spirited. Heh)
Film Drama Actress - Leonardo DiCaprio (DiCaprio is one of the greatest actors working right now. He's excellent.)
Film Drama - Denzel Washington (I find him to be very charasmatic. I enjoy him as an actor and a person.)


And this is not to say I don't like the rest of the presenters (although some are weird choices), just that the above are my personal favourites to see. Too bad I won't be able to watch because I won't have access to a television.

PEACE, Mike.

My comments are inside the quote in bold.



Looks like a pretty solid list of presenters.

Guess you'll all be shocked once the godly Eastwood hands Spielberg that statue tomorrow. Has there been any marketing for the Globes? I havnt heard much. Might be that I dont watch much NBC, NBC sucks.

Walk the Line and Brokeback Mountain will be the last two clips presented. Look suspicious to me.

Well, surely is not because they are in alphabetical order.

Never?

Titanic won 5, I think... and that's the biggest "sweep" in the last years, if I'm not mistaken...



EDIT: Mike answered your question...

Picture - Drama
A History of Violence

Director
Steven Spielberg (Munich)

Actor - Drama
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)

Actress-Drama
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)

Picture - Comedy/Musical
Walk the Line

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Johnny Depp (Charlie and Chocolate Factory)

Actress - Comedy/Musical
Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)

Supporting Actor:
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man

Supporting Actress
Shirley MacLaine, In Her Shoes

Original Score:
King Kong

Screenplay:
Good Night

Song:
Brokeback Mountain

Foreign Language:
Kung Fu Hustle

And yes, I know, I took a crazy pill this morning.

I was just about to say something...

Preemption is the mark of genius.

I looked at the list of members who comprise the HFPA and I went with what would appeal most to them.

If they go for your prediction, they are definitely going to spread the love.

I also just realized (duh!!) that the 2nd part season premiere of 24 is tonight.

No good will come of this. All hail the mighty DVR.

8 1/2 hours to go.

Woohoo

I was going out to see Breakfast on Pluto again with some chicas, but had to cancel. yknow, I wanna be ready for the Globes. Only 8 hours and all to get ready for the festivities.

mixin it up a lil (ps, i realize there are far better/safe/more realistic choices for some of these (WTL), but...I dunno. That gets boring after a while. :o)

Supporting Actor:
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man

Supporting Actress
Rachel Weisz, Contant Gardener

Original Score:
Memoirs of a Geisha

Screenplay:
Munich

Song:
Brokeback Mountain

Foreign Language:
Kung Fu Hustle

ACTRESS-Drama
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)

Actress - Comedy/Musical
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)

Picture - Comedy/Musical
Pride and Prejudice

Director
George Clooney (Good Night and Good Luck)

Actor - drama
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)

Picture - Drama
Brokeback Mountain

Loyal, you are clearly pretty insane.

Hehe.

No seriously, do you know that you have a movie winning which director wasn't nominated and a director winning whose movie was not nominated? You know what is the likelihood for them to win?

Nothing about this year has made sense.

I'm just joining the orgy of insanity.

Get them predictions up there, folks!

Unfortunately, I got tied up earlier and didn't get to see Munich or Capote today, so maybe one tomorrow. I would have liked to see them before the Globes, but I won't have Brokeback viewed, either.
I don't think you actually need to see the movie because it's not about our opinions of the films, but I still would have liked to, but I was a little too busy. I get 'em all in before the Oscars, and then some.

those on the east coast will be seeing the Golden Globes first that us in the Pacific Coast and everybody will be talking about the winners and thats fine, but please do not edit the title of the thread by putting the big winner of the night PLEASE!!!!

somebody did that with the Critics' Choice Awards thread, and ruined the whole show for me, right...loyal , well not the whole show, just the Best Picture winner

Thanks!

I had no idea.

my bad

(though we've been doing it that way since I started on the forums back at BOM)

thats fine, Just think of the unlucky Pacific people

I won't be here for the Globes, just after them. I have no TV in my room right no and no computer in my living room (and no notebook either for that matter). And I won't be running back and forth between the two rooms. So I watch the show (after sleeping a bit now) and then will come here and discuss it a bit.

If that happens, we'll have a very fun time waiting for Oscar nominees, since things will have opened up a lot. A History of Violence winning Best Picture, but getting no noms for PGA or DGA, and Spielberg winning over both Lee and Clooney.

Crazy stuff.

Here are my predictions:

Best Picture - Drama
- Brokeback Mountain

Best Picture - Comedy/Musical
- Walk the Line

Best Director
- George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actor - Drama
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote

Best Actor - Comedy/Musical
- Jeff Daniels, The Squid and the Whale

Best Actress - Drama
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica

Best Actress - Comedy/Musical
- Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Best Supporting Actor
- Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man

Best Supporting Actress
- Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

Best Original Score
- King Kong

Best Screenplay
- Good Night and Good Luck

Best Original Song
- Brokeback Mountain

Best Foreign Language Film
- Kung Fu Hustle

PEACE, Mike.