Yeah, specially when it doesn't apply to the technical categories (John Williams, ... )

Huh?


What Mike said basically... plus, we're talking about an "important" ensemble movie with huge support in both the acting branch and techicals (Score, Cinematography and Editing in particular)- even more than Cold Mountain. I'd say it's more than a lock than The Queen at this point... ok, maybe not, but it's in.

Looks, however, like Babel may be taking the Crash route in terms of marketing and FYC-ing.

An ad in The Dallas Morning News this morning for Babel read, in Crash-esque fashion, "No film moved you more."

BetUS.com posted the following odds regarding the Golden Globes:

Best Motion Picture - Drama
Babel - 4/1
Bobby - 40/1
The Departed - 10/12
Little Children - 10/1
The Queen - 3/2

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Penelope Cruz- Volver - 6/1
Judi Dench - Notes on a Scandal - 12/1
Maggie Gyllenhaal - SherryBaby - 30/1
Helen Mirren - The Queen - 1/10
Kate Winslet - Little Children - 10/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
Leonardo DiCaprio - Blood Diamond - 50/1
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Departed - 10/1
Peter O’Toole - Venus - 5/2
Will Smith - The Pursuit of Happiness - 8/1
Forest Whitaker - The Last King of Scotland - 1/3

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Borat - 8/1
The Devil Wears Prada - 30/1
Dreamgirls - 1/10
Little Miss Sunshine - 5/1
Thank You for Smoking - 30/1

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Annette Bening - Running With Scissors - 5/2
Toni Collette - Little Miss Sunshine - 35/1
Beyonce Knowles - Dreamgirls - 10/1
Meryl Streep - The Devil Wears Prada - 1/5
Renee Zellweger - Miss Potter - 35/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Sacha Baron Cohen - BORAT - 1/4
Johnny Depp – Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest - 3/1
Aaron Eckhart – Thank You for Smoking - 10/1
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Kinky Boots - 25/1
Will Ferrell – Stranger Than Fiction - 10/1

Best Director- Motion Picture
Clint Eastwood – Flags of our Fathers - 30/1
Clint Eastwood – Letters from Iwo Jima - 6/1
Stephen Frears – The Queen - 3/1
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - Babel - 15/1
Martin Scorsese – The Departed - 2/7

Best Animated Feature Film
Cars - 3/1
Happy Feet - 1/5
Monster House - 10/1

Best Foreign Language Film
Apocalypto (USA) - 2/1
Letters from Iow Jima (USA/Japan) - 4/1
The Lives of Others (Germany) - 10/1
Pan’s Labyrinth (Mexico) - 3/1
Volver (Spain) - 3/2

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Adriana Barraza – Babel - 5/1
Cate Blanchett – Notes on a Scandal - 2/1
Emily Blunt – The Devil Wears Prada - 10/1
Jennifer Hudson – Dreamgirls - 10/1
Rinko Kikuchi - Babel - 5/1

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Ben Affleck – Hollywoodland - 15/1
Eddie Murphy – Dreamgirls - 20/1
Jack Nicholson – The Departed - 2/1
Brad Pitt - Babel - 1/2
Mark Wahlberg – The Departed - 5/1

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Guillermo Arriaga – Babel - 2/1
Todd Field and Tom Perrotta – Little Children - 20/1
Patrick Marber – Notes on a Scandal - 5/1
William Monahan – The Departed - 1/2
Peter Morgan – The Queen - 5/1

http://www.moviecitynews.com/Notepad/20 ... 18_pr.html

I will certainly take Letters' odd in foreign language; and Hudson tied for the last place at 1:10? Gotta be kidding me. I'll also take the field over Whitaker with the current lines; I don't think he should be more than 1:1. As expected, Mirren and Dreamgirls are the most overwhelming favorites.

Odds confuse me. Is there a way of ranking them from best to worst odds, rather than alphabetically?

Does that mean it's likely to win, so there's low risk involved?

Yep.

Exactly. Like for Mirren, you will only win a dollar for every $10 you bet, but it may still increase to 11:1 if enough people believe that's a really safe $1 win.

Cool. Thanks, everyone.