Just to shake things up :


Best Actress
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
alt: Helen Mirren, The Queen

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
alt: Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal

Best Actor
Peter O'Toole, Venus
alt: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Best Supporting Actor
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children
alt: Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine

Ensemble
Babel
alt: Bobby

I know... lol


but Meryl still has ZERO SAGs to her credit for movies...? I just want to go against the consensus here.


EDIT - Correction: she got a SAG for Angels in America, and that's it. 8 SAG noms (3 for ensembles) and she's kinda overdue for the win. Mirren won 2 in 2002 for her work in Gosford Park. Will this really matter? We'll see

The Departed
Forest Whitaker
Helen Mirren
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Departed)
Cate Blanchett

I'm so split. Departed or Little Miss Sunshine can win this award, and then this could begin turning into my favorite Oscar year since Gladiator or American Beauty... Or, Babel can win, and all of a sudden the possibility is there for the worst. I only can pray.

Here's the history of how the SAG Ensemble winner went compared to the PGA Winner:

PGA Winner -- SAG Ensemble Winner

Brokeback Mountain -- Crash
The Aviator -- Sideways
Return of the King -- Return of the King
Chicago -- Chicago
Moulin Rouge -- Gosford Park
Gladiator -- Traffic
American Beauty -- American Beauty
Saving Private Ryan -- Shakespeare in Love
Titanic -- The Full Monty
The English Patient -- The Birdcage
Apollo 13 -- Apollo 13

7 times the PGA and the SAG Ensemble winner differed, 4 times the PGA and SAG Ensemble were the same.

The larger ensembles among the 5 nominees tend to win, but not always.

Peace,
Mike.

I can't believe Apollo 13 won both, and ended up hitting the awards show in practical 5th place, without a director's nom. Wacky.

EDIT - Actually it led the nominees in noms, and there was a 3/5 split that year anyways, with the other noms with director's being Babe and Il Postino, a foreign. So Apollo was second that year. I wonder how close it got to being the first BP winner without a BD nom... probably very. Hanks domination backlash may have stopped it.

I doubt it came close considering Driving Miss Daisy pulled off the feat 6 years before it.

Man, I was under the impression that no film had ever done that before... touting my ass off about it everywhere, haha.

LMS looks less unlikely now even.

There are a few others films to achieve the same thing besides Driving Miss Daisy, but you will need to go quite some years back.

Yeah, Wings and Grand Hotel in 1927, 1931, I believe. I knew about Grand Hotel winning with only a Picture nomination before, but I didn't consider it or Wings as viable comparisons for the feat, considering only 3 directors were nominated in those years... they probably would've gotten one with 5, or at the least you can't assume they wouldn't have.

Predictions from the Oscar "experts" indicates that Little Miss Sunshine is the overwhelming favourite to win Best Motion Picture Cast at the SAG Awards. Predictions:

Sasha Stone (Oscarwatch): The Departed
Damien Bona (Inside Oscar): Little Miss Sunshine
Dave Karger (EW): Little Miss Sunshine
Claudia Puig (USA Today): The Departed
Scott Bowles (USA Today): Little Miss Sunshine
Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today): Little Miss Sunshine
Kris Tapley (In Contention): Little Miss Sunshine
Pete Hammond (Hollywood Wiretap): Little Miss Sunshine
Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby): Little Miss Sunshine
Ed Douglas (Coming Soon): Little Miss Sunshine
Scott Feinberg (And the Winner Is): Little Miss Sunshine
Jeff Lelek (OW): Little Miss Sunshine
Russ (And the Oscar Goes To): Babel

Peace,
Mike.