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 DGA Predictions (Winner announced) 
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Lord of filth

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Those awards would disappoint me too though, because Clooney is the heart and soul of Good Night and it has pretty excellent direction.

But I think those 5, there's not one that doesn't deserve to be there.

Even in direction, I would be willing to budge a little more for Haggis and a few others. Crash's direction was pretty good, and the acting and cinematography was great too.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:48 am
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MikeQ. wrote:
These apparently may be the DGA noms, posted by some apparent insider on IMDB:

Woody Allen, Match Point
David Cronenberg, A History of Violence
Peter Jackson, King Kong
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Steven Spielberg, Munich

Take it with a grain of salt though. Actually, I don't really believe it, but I wanted to post it just for fun. Hehe. Spark discussion. And to compare and see when they are officially announced. If these end up being right, wow.

And before someone mentions the Clooney snub, well, apparently he may not be a member of the DGA? I dunno. But meh. Just ignore this I guess. People have been talking about it over at Oscarwatch, and have basically assumed it's fake, but I posted this anyways.

PEACE, Mike.


That'd be a 1/5 match with the PGA and that has never happened, I think.

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:54 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
MikeQ. wrote:
These apparently may be the DGA noms, posted by some apparent insider on IMDB:

Woody Allen, Match Point
David Cronenberg, A History of Violence
Peter Jackson, King Kong
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Steven Spielberg, Munich

Take it with a grain of salt though. Actually, I don't really believe it, but I wanted to post it just for fun. Hehe. Spark discussion. And to compare and see when they are officially announced. If these end up being right, wow.

And before someone mentions the Clooney snub, well, apparently he may not be a member of the DGA? I dunno. But meh. Just ignore this I guess. People have been talking about it over at Oscarwatch, and have basically assumed it's fake, but I posted this anyways.

PEACE, Mike.


That'd be a 1/5 match with the PGA and that has never happened, I think.


Yeah, they are probably fake. The 1/5 match certainly turned me off too. I was just happy to see Cronenberg, Spielberg and Jackson in there. Hehe.

PEACE, Mike.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:56 am
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Extraordinary

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It's my predicted five, and it could happen, but it doesn't mean the person has inside information, especially coming from IMDb forum. If someone hadn't posted it at OW, we wouldn't have treated it with any seriousness.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:57 am
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You know what I just realized since we all are comparing this year to 1999....

Being John Malkovich got a WGA nom, a PGA nom, a DGA nom, a Best Picture nom at the Globes and a Best Ensemble SAG nom and yet didn't make it as Best Picture at the Oscars. The only thing it didn't get was a Director nom at the Globes.

That could mean that Walk the Line could very well not be nominated as well. It got PGA, Best Picture (but not Director) at the Globes and will most likely get Best Ensemble, but I don't think it'll get DGA and it missed out on WGA.

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:58 am
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Allen is a good director, but I don't think he deserves to make the cut this year. Match Point is not one of his strongest works.

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 3:58 am
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Being John Malkovich was a quirky comedy that had trouble with a broader audience, so I don't think Walk the Line compares to it. Almost Famous was another example of getting almost everything except for an oscar BP nom. On the flip side, you have Gosford Park, which missed PGA (no shock) and DGA (shocking considering the statue of Altman) and had most people written it off. Of course, there are even more extreme examples of Elizabeth and The Thin Red Line.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:02 am
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Lord of filth

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Walk the Line is also going to walk away with 3 Globe wins probably. It's really strong in the musical/comedy area. Jeff Daniels in the Actor category is really the only competition to Walk the Line.

Interestingly, Walk the Line is the only one of the nominees potentials now that has an element of "Hollywood" to it.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:10 am
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If Walk the Line misses DGA and SAG Ensemble, though, I would rethink it, really.

I wonder if there is any movie that got neither a GG nom for Best Picture, nor a DGA nom nor a PGA nom and yet could get a Best Picture nom at the Oscars.

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:10 am
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Walk the Line is in, I was doubting last night but it's pretty much over for this one, we were right at the beginning, it was a lock. Maybe not Mangold because producers don't vote for Oscar directors, but Walk the Line is totally getting in at this point. The second biggest news of the day after Munich and Kong being snubbed was that Walk the Line was nominated. PGA was a HUGE endorsement for it.

It doesn't need SAG ensemble, but it needs Pheonix and Witherspoon to be nominated.

If Spielberg doesn't get a DGA tomorrow, then Munich may be dead, depending on what is nominated. Cronenberg being nominated in place of Spielberg would just create further confusion, a situation where we have a nebulous 5th nominee and virtually anything statistically could be nominated out of about 6 nominees.

SAG Ensemble will really help Munich if Spielberg also gets DGA.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:34 am
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But isn't Munich already dead as far as a Best Picture win goes? I mean no GG nom, no WGA nom and no PGA nom...

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:57 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
But isn't Munich already dead as far as a Best Picture win goes? I mean no GG nom, no WGA nom and no PGA nom...


Munich is dead about 99%

IF it manages to get DGA nom, which I can't see how considering they sent the screeners late, then it might still have a teeeeeeeeny chance.

I still think it's a lock for a nod... I'm 99.9999999781% sure :biggrin:

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 5:13 am
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Heh honestly, in a race like this I'm not convinced it's dead yet. Really, I've given up on most any presumptions until the nominees are announced.


Thu Jan 05, 2006 5:27 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Ang Lee
George Clooney
Steven Spielberg
David Cronenberg
Paul Haggis


Copycat!!!


;)

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Thu Jan 05, 2006 6:39 am
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If Clooney is snubbed, I'll eat my shoes.. :biggrin:


Thu Jan 05, 2006 7:25 am
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Award Winning Bastard

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from http://oscarwatch.com

Quote:
DGA Sets Host, Presenters for 58th Annual DGA Awards Dinner

LOS ANGELES, Jan. 24, 2006 (PRIMEZONE) -- Carl Reiner will return as host for the 58th Annual Directors Guild of America Awards, DGA President Michael Apted announced today. This year will mark the twentieth time Reiner has hosted the DGA Awards, which will take place on Saturday, January 28, 2006 at the Hyatt Regency Century Plaza in Los Angeles.

Apted also announced the slate of presenters for the DGA Awards.
Following is the list of confirmed presenters as of January 24

Michael Apted
Catherine Keener
Peter Bergman
Heath Ledger
Eric Braeden
John Leguizamo
Patricia Clarkson
S. Epatha Merkerson
Matt Dillon
Thandie Newton
Jake Gyllenhaal
Jaime Pressly
Patricia Heaton
Randy Quaid
Cheryl Hines
Emmy Rossum
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Geoffrey Rush
Ron Howard
David Strathairn
Anjelica Huston
Ziyi Zhang

Clint Eastwood, DGA's Lifetime Achievement Award recipient, will be present, and all five nominees for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film will also be in attendance:

George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck.) Paul Haggis (Crash) Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain) Bennett Miller (Capote) Steven Spielberg (Munich)


Tue Jan 24, 2006 9:39 pm
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So...many...presenters...considering that in fact everyone cares about only one award :P (well, except for those who are nominated for other awards).

My guess is George Clooney.

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Wed Jan 25, 2006 5:00 am
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I guess Ziyi is there to support Ang?

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Wed Jan 25, 2006 1:49 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
So...many...presenters...considering that in fact everyone cares about only one award :P (well, except for those who are nominated for other awards).

My guess is George Clooney.


Well, it's the last chance that I see for anything to make Brokeback Mountain look like it's not invincible.


Wed Jan 25, 2006 5:02 pm
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I see Ang Lee winning easily. His precursor dominance is simply too great.

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Wed Jan 25, 2006 5:20 pm
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xiayun wrote:
I see Ang Lee winning easily. His precursor dominance is simply too great.


Yep, I see Brokeback steamrolling like an unstoppable train. Heath Ledger could even upset Hoffman at the SAGs and Oscars with the way this thing is dominating.


Wed Jan 25, 2006 5:39 pm
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But didn't Ang Lee win the DGA already or am I completely off? Who won in 2001? :huh:

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Wed Jan 25, 2006 7:18 pm
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Raffiki wrote:
But didn't Ang Lee win the DGA already or am I completely off? Who won in 2001? :huh:


You're right, he won in 2001.


Wed Jan 25, 2006 7:42 pm
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And that is exactly the reason why I am giving Clooney the edge here.

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Wed Jan 25, 2006 8:12 pm
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Chris wrote:
Raffiki wrote:
But didn't Ang Lee win the DGA already or am I completely off? Who won in 2001? :huh:


You're right, he won in 2001.


Yeah, but I don't think that's going to stop Ang from winning for the second time. 5-year is a good period and doesn't give people the feeling of too many too soon. If DGA is about that, Clint wouldn't have won over Marty last year. I think the chance of Clooney is exaggerated a little bit. I don't think anybody has dominated the precursors as Ang has without going on to win DGA and the Oscar. Cronenberg is the only other director who has won anything significant this year.

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