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 Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread 
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
I'm pretty impressed the HFPA had the stuff to give the Best Director win to Schnabel. Awesome.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:44 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
When is the last time a BD winner at the Globes didn't get nominated for BP?

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:45 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
The Cardinal (1963)
Spartacus (1960)
East of Eden (1955)

Those are all of the Best Picture (Drama) winner to get snubbed for Best Picture out of their 65 winners. Nice odds.


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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Positive* Jon wrote:
1. No Country for Old Men
2. Into the Wild
3. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4. There Will Be Blood
5. Michael Clayton

6. Atonement
7. Juno
8. Sweeney Todd

?


I'd go with

1. No Country for Old Men
2. Into the Wild
3. Michael Clayton
4. Juno
5. Atonement

6. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
7. There Will Be Blood
8. Sweeney Rodd

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:46 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Wind Waker wrote:
When is the last time a BD winner at the Globes didn't get nominated for BP?


Clint Eastwood, Bird (1988)


Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:47 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Great to see Atonement and Sweeney Todd pick up big wins. :thumbsup: Also glad to see Juno not pick up anything.


Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:48 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Positive* Jon wrote:
The Cardinal (1963)
Spartacus (1960)
East of Eden (1955)

Those are all of the Best Picture (Drama) winner to get snubbed for Best Picture out of their 65 winners. Nice odds.


Wow, those are nice odds. Go Atonement!

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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Atonement has a 94% chance of getting a BP nom. I'd say it's pretty much a lock then.

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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Okay, right now I'm thinking

1. No Country
2. There Will Be Blood
3. Into the Wild
4. The Diving Bell
5. Michael Clayton


6. Juno
7. Atonement


Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:50 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
My BP predicts after the Globes:

There Will Be Blood
Atonement
Sweeney Todd/Michael Clayton/Juno
No Country for Old Men
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly/Into the Wild

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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Great for Schnabel, Cotillard and Blanchett. I'm a bit confused with Atonement winning over NCFOM and TWBB but thats typical of the Globes.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:51 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Positive* Jon wrote:
Wind Waker wrote:
When is the last time a BD winner at the Globes didn't get nominated for BP?


Clint Eastwood, Bird (1988)


Also:

Barbra Streisand, Yentl (1983)
Elia Kazan, Baby Doll (1956)
László Benedek, Death of a Salesman

Also nice odds. :thumbsup:


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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
1 No Country for Old Man - FRONTRUNNER
2 Into The Wild - almost lock
3 There Will be Blood - almost lock
4 Michael Clayton - very strong

5 The Diving Bell and Butterfly - getting closer and closer

6 Atonement - very close, but it is the 6th everywhere
7 Juno - too young for the Academy
8 Sweeney Todd - slim chance

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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Why are people still hesitant to predict Diving Bell? I think that, between this win and the DGA/WGA noms, it's obviously beloved enough to overcome that. It's in, peoples.


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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Certainly great wins for Atonement and Sweeney Todd. Still, the biggest winner today/tonight is The Diving Bell, considering it basically won its BP and then the most importantly BD. I agree with PosJon that it looks quite safe; at least if it's snubbed, it'd be unprecedented, foreign or not.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:58 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Positive* Jon wrote:
Why are people still hesitant to predict Diving Bell? I think that, between this win and the DGA/WGA noms, it's obviously beloved enough to overcome that. It's in, peoples.


I think it's overwhelming evidence that Schnabel himself is in (Best Director), but I'm still not ready to predict the actual film to be nominated for Best Picture. DGA and Globe Best Director are directing awards afterall, heh.

But I agree, the film is clearly beloved. I still question though whether the Academy would stick it in Best Picture. I hope they do!

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:59 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
For a foreign film to win Best Director says something; I agree that it means that Diving Bell will probably get an Oscar nod.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:09 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Atonement is resurrected from the dead, Juno is more dead than before. But even with its win, I'm not convinced that Sweeney Todd is even in the top 10 in the race.


Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:10 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
alex young wrote:
Atonement is resurrected from the dead, Juno is more dead than before. But even with its win, I'm not convinced that Sweeney Todd is even in the top 10 in the race.


Certainly not as the Oscar nominations polls are closed. If Atonement gets a PGA, that's a great buzz. Unless it is out of the race. Sweeney has a very slim chance.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:17 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Innnteresting. Even though I don't think Atonement is better than No Country or There Will Be Blood, I'm glad this doesn't turn into a coronation for No Country, or a two-horse race between No Country and Blood. Even though... I guess if polls are closed, it doesn't mean a whole lot.


Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:25 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Dkmuto wrote:
Innnteresting. Even though I don't think Atonement is better than No Country or There Will Be Blood, I'm glad this doesn't turn into a coronation for No Country, or a two-horse race between No Country and Blood. Even though... I guess if polls are closed, it doesn't mean a whole lot.


That'strue. As I said before a SAG nod means lot more than a GG win. Is Into the Wild stronger than Atonement and Sweeney? Hell yes! I want Atonement to sneak it, but then Michael Clayton should be out. And somehow that movie gained lot more support.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:30 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Well... that wasn't awkward. :funny: Between the jokes, quiet almost laugh track-like applause, and overlong clips, I think that went well!

Oh and I hate to be the pessimist, but I think the Picture/Director wins were more about the Globes being alienated by No Country and Blood than anything else. Atonement's back in it though. More and more this looks like the weirdest year that we've probably ever seen. The SAGs, DGA, Globes, and box-office are all at odds with each other. :unsure:

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:31 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Without Juno, we'll have five movies that grossed under $50m.

Crazyyyyyy.


Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:34 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Watch the BP nominess be something off the wall like:

3:10 to Yuma
The Bourne Ultimatum
Gone Baby Gone
Once
Ratatouille

Just because this year has just been so crazy

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:38 pm
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Post Re: Golden Globes, Er News Conference Party Down Thread
Well... Atonement will probably get up to 70 mil+ if it gets a BP nom, they'll milk it out

No Country is at 46.8 right now, it'll slide over

Michael Clayton can maybe get up to 50 with its award re-release

But yeah, worst year for box-office ever.

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Sun Jan 13, 2008 11:39 pm
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