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 Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread 
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Strangely impressive showing for Tropic Thunder

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Fri Jan 23, 2009 1:31 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Dr. Lecter wrote:
My super-very-ealry out-of-fun predictions for BP canididates would be:


Revolutionary Road
Australia
One of the Che-films
Body of Lies
Crossing Over/The Reader

In about 10 months, I'll be happy if at least 2 of them are still in contention, heh.

Really looks like a year for Winslet and DiCaprio to win at last!


Feb. 24th...

You had The Reader...

Bravo!

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Sun Jan 25, 2009 3:14 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
xiayun wrote:
What's the last film that won GG BP/BD, PGA, DGA, SAG, WGA, and BAFTA BP/BD?

Now I'm seriously thinking a sweep of 9 Oscars is possible. Definitely at least 6.


Best Picture: DONE

Best Director: LOCK

Best Ad. Screenplay: LOCK

Cinematography: Has a solid chance. Main competition is maybe The Dark Knight? I think it can take it.

Film Editing: It can take it.

Score: Locked up pretty much

Sound Editing: Hmm... I wouldn't put it past it but this and Sound Mixing are its weakest

Sound Mixing: See above

Song: LOCK

So, 5 of them pretty much locked up. Another 2 can easily be swept in. The last 2 are toss-ups.

So, yeah 6-8 seems to be a reasonable prediction if you ask me.

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Sun Jan 25, 2009 11:32 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Editing is locked IMO

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Sun Jan 25, 2009 11:38 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Song is LOCKED? I figured the "Slumdog" tunes would split votes and Peter Gabriel would sweep in for the win.

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Sun Jan 25, 2009 11:42 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
It still kinda blows my mind how Springsteen was not nominated. Why weren't there 5 nominees? Weren't there as many songs eligible as any year?

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Sun Jan 25, 2009 11:59 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I think 5 is a solid number. Pic/Dir/Screenplay, plus one tech, plus one music. But if starts going crazy in wins in precursors, I'll bump it to 7.

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Mon Jan 26, 2009 1:25 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I'm thinking 6.

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Mon Jan 26, 2009 1:45 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I'll say

Locked:
Picture
Director
Adapted Screenplay
Editing

Extremely likely:
Score
Cinematography

Questionable:
Sound Mixing
Song

Probably losing:
Sound Editing (Wall-E's a Sound Editing monster)

7 overall for me, with the first 6 and one of the questionable ones

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Mon Jan 26, 2009 1:52 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I hope Boyle and the team won't try to fake surprise when they win BD/BP...

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Mon Jan 26, 2009 1:54 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
If the history is anything, Slumdog will either win zero or both sound categories. No film that was nominated for both sound categories had ended up with just one of the two.

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:14 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
xiayun wrote:
If the history is anything, Slumdog will either win zero or both sound categories. No film that was nominated for both sound categories had ended up with just one of the two.


bodes well for WALL-E.


Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:15 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I don't see how WALL-E can lose in the sound categories.

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:26 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
loyalfromlondon wrote:
xiayun wrote:
If the history is anything, Slumdog will either win zero or both sound categories. No film that was nominated for both sound categories had ended up with just one of the two.


bodes well for WALL-E.


He must mean BP nominees...

Because The Incredibles was nominated for both, but got one.

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:33 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Dr. Lecter wrote:
loyalfromlondon wrote:
xiayun wrote:
If the history is anything, Slumdog will either win zero or both sound categories. No film that was nominated for both sound categories had ended up with just one of the two.


bodes well for WALL-E.


He must mean BP nominees...

Because The Incredibles was nominated for both, but got one.


Hmm, I guess my stats are all wrong. :( TTT was nominated for both and won just one too.

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 10:55 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I was then going to say when a BP winner got nominated for both sounds, it always wins both, but Braveheart disproved that too.

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 11:25 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
:console:

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Tue Jan 27, 2009 11:28 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
xiayun wrote:
I was then going to say when a BP winner got nominated for both sounds, it always wins both, but Braveheart disproved that too.


The real fact is no film has won mixing and lost editing when nominated for both. When there's a split the mixing isn't nominated for Editing. Braveheart and TTT both won editing and lost mixing

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Wed Jan 28, 2009 12:38 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
It's all void.


I'm pretty sure WALL-E will win both. And God knows it deserves it.

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Wed Jan 28, 2009 12:50 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Just found out - in the history of the Oscars, there has only been ONE occasion on which a BP nominee lost Best Visual Effects after having been nominated (that of course excludes films that lost Visual Effects to another BP nominee).


Meaning that Benjamin Button is pretty much locked.

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Wed Jan 28, 2009 8:37 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Just found out - in the history of the Oscars, there has only been ONE occasion on which a BP nominee lost Best Visual Effects after having been nominated (that of course excludes films that lost Visual Effects to another BP nominee).


Meaning that Benjamin Button is pretty much locked.


stupid Patton.


Wed Jan 28, 2009 8:41 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
loyalfromlondon wrote:
If Slumdog wins, I'll eat a shoe. It's not happening.


lolllllz


Thu Feb 12, 2009 11:52 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
Jon wrote:
loyalfromlondon wrote:
If Slumdog doesn't win, I'll eat a shoe. It's happening.


lolllllz


Bump it up on Oscar night. :D


Fri Feb 13, 2009 12:02 am
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
I think the list is pretty much final now:

www.criticstop10.com


Pretty awesome to see Let the Right One In all the way up at #7.

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Wed Feb 18, 2009 7:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Feb 18, 2009 7:32 pm
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Post Re: Well...the 2008 Contenders Discussion Thread
wrong link arthur

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Wed Feb 18, 2009 7:39 pm
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