So, yeah, I was thinking about all of the Guilds awards as a whole, and since we're still a while until the Guilds start popping up, I thought I'd start a little early discussion thread regarding any/all of the Guild Awards.

I actually had a few questions to ask to you guys as a whole, but I need to look back at Guilds history of nominations/wins because my memory is so poor, so I ask:

Does anyone know a good website that basically has an archive of the nominations and winners of the Guilds per year? I remember having one last awards season that I had to browse the history of all of the Guilds awards, so I'm pretty sure there's one out there. I can't seem to find any links page on Oscarwatch, so I couldn't look there. Any links/help would be much appreciated.

Peace,
Mike.

I read from the LA Times that they're campaigning Iwo Jima in original for sure, I don't know if the guilds/academy will follow suit. Borat is also being pushed by the producers as Original, eventhough the character came from the TV show...

I think it might be a case similar to My Big Fat Greek Wedding. That came from a play, but the script wasn't changed (Just the actors, since it was a one-woman show), so it was original. With Borat, it's based just on a character, but it wasn't changed at all since the character was played by the same person.

I think that makes sense.

PGA (I'll go with 6 films too)

The Departed
The Devil Wears Prada (!!!)
Dreamgirls
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen

DGA

Alejandro González Iñárritu, Babel
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Martin Scorsese, The Departed

SAG

Best Ensemble

Babel
Bobby
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine

Best Actor

Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Best Actress

Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children

Supporting Actor, Motion Picture

Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Brad Pitt, Babel
Mark Wahlberg, The Departed

Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Jill Clayburgh, Running with Scissors (They love doing crazy shit like this)
Maggie Gyllenhaal, World Trade Center (And this)
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Catherine O’Hara, For Your Consideration

WGA

Adapted

The Departed
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Little Children
Notes on a Scandal

Original

Babel
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
World Trade Center

I'll say right now Casino Royale also has a shot.

dhun dhun dhun

SAG- Best Ensemble

Babel
Dreamgirls
The Departed
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen

alt: The Devil Wears Prada

PGA

Borat
The Departed
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine

alt: Happy Feet

DGA

Alejandro González Iñárritu, Babel
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
Stephen Frears, The Queen
Martin Scorsese, The Departed

alt: Clint Eastwood, Flags of Our Fathers

PGA and SAG announce Thursday.

Semi-final predictions:

PGA (I'll go with 6 films too)

Casino Royale
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Letters From Iwo Jima
The Queen
6. Little Miss Sunshine

SAG

Best Ensemble

Babel
Bobby
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Little Miss Sunshine
6. The Devil Wears Prada

Best Actor

Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Peter O'Toole, Venus
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
6. Ken Watanabe, Letters from Iwo Jima

Best Actress

Penelope Cruz, Volver
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Helen Mirren, The Queen
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada
Kate Winslet, Little Children
6. Beyonce Knowles, Dreamgirls

Supporting Actor, Motion Picture

Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Bill Nighy, Notes on a Scandal
Brad Pitt, Babel
6. Mark Wahlberg, The Departed

Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Emily Blunt, The Devil Wears Prada
Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Catherine O’Hara, For Your Consideration
Emma Thompson, Stranger Than Fiction
6. Kikuchi/Barraza, Babel

PGA likes to go for the "bigger" films, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the absence of Letters from Iwo Jima, and the inclusion of something like The Devil Wears Prada or Borat. Letters poor box office in only 5 theatres is not a good step.

DGA is where Clint will easily score, as well as Scorcese and Frears. The other two slots are still unsure for me. If Condon doesn't make it, then Inarritu and/or Greengrass and/or Cuaron and such could make it in. I would love to see Cuaron make it. But I tend to think that Condon will make it, since DGA is ultimately the best predictor of Best Picture at the Oscars, and I think Dreamgirls will make it there. But DGA isn't always perfect (but has in recent years been spot on).

Peace,
Mike.

Well, that's what I thought till Capote was nominated last year...

My final PGA/SAG/DGA predictions:

PGA:

The Departed
Dreamgirls
The Queen
Little Miss Sunshine
United 93

DGA:

Martin Scorsese (The Departed)
Clint Eastwood (Letters from Iwo Jima)
Paul Greengrass (United 93)
Stephen Frears (The Queen)
Alejandro González Iñárritu (Babel)

SAG:

Best Actor

Peter O'Toole (Venus)
Ryan Gosling (Half Nelson)
Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Departed)
Sacha Baron Cohen (Borat)

Best Actress

Penelope Cruz (Volver)
Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal)
Helen Mirren (The Queen)
Meryl Streep (The Devil Wears Prada)
Kate Winslet (Little Children)

Best Supporting Actress

Rinko Kikuchi (Babel)
Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls)
Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal)
Catherine O’Hara (For Your Consideration)
Abigail Breslin (Little Miss Sunshine)

Best Supporting Actor:

Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond)
Mark Wahlberg (The Departed)
Jack Nicholson (The Departed)
Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls)
Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine)

Best Ensemble

Little Miss Sunshine
Babel
The Departed
Dreamgirls
United 93

PGA:
The Departed
Letters from iwo jima
The queen
Dreamgirls
Babel

DGA:
Martin Scorsese
Clint eastwood(iwo jima)
Paul Greengrass
Alejandro González Iñárritu
Bill Condon

Taking rather wild guesses here:

For SAG:

Best Performance by an Ensemble Cast
BABEL
THE DEPARTED
DREAMGIRLS
LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
THE QUEEN

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Sacha Baron Cohen, BORAT
Leonardo DiCaprio, THE DEPARTED
Peter O'Toole, VENUS
Will Smith, THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS
Forest Whitaker, THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Penelope Cruz, VOLVER
Judi Dench, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Helen Mirren, THE QUEEN
Meryl Streep, THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA
Kate Winslet, LITTLE CHILDREN

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Alan Arkin, LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Steve Carell, LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Jackie Earle Haley, LITTLE CHILDREN
Eddie Murphy, DREAMGIRLS
Jack Nicholson, THE DEPARTED

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Cate Blanchett, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Emily Blunt, THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA
Abigail Breslin, LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Jennifer Hudson, DREAMGIRLS
Rinko Kikuchi, BABEL

We need to remember: SAG will probably do at least one really crazy, stupid thing. Fucking actors. CLORIS LEACHMAN? I'll never fully get over that.

After knowing the PGA results, these are my DGA Predictions:

Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Alejandro González Iñárritu, Babel
Stephen Fears, The Queen
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls

Alt. Paul Greengrass, United 93
Alt 2. Alfonso Cuaron, Children of Men

I suck at predicting SAG, so I'm not even going to bother.

Peace,
Mike.

What, for Spanglish?

I had no problems with that nomination, she was wonderful in that.

According to Tapley, SAG puts DiCaprio under supporting for The Departed, so don't be surprised if his name isn't mentioned tomorrow or he gets double-nominated.

Can't wait for SAG. 6 AM PST/9 EST I think.

It'll be televised live at 6:05am PST.

That'll depend which film can get 3 acting noms: Babel, The Departed, or Dreamgirls?

Babel? Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress x 2 and Best Ensemble?

The Departed? Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor x 2 and Best Ensemble? (Kris Tapley could be wrong... again)

I'm not sure if there is anything else that can get 3 acting nominations. I could see Dreamgirls getting Eddie Murphy and Jennifer Hudson, but Beyonce is definitely not getting nominated. Jamie Foxx? Plus it would have to get Ensemble, too, which isn't for sure.

Peace,
Mike.

Little Miss Sunshine could conceivably get 3: 2 supporting actors and 1 supporting actress. If it does, then it will mean the support among acting branch is extremely strong, and BP will be a no-brainer. Getting 2 and the ensemble will keep it in contention.

Yeah, I was thinking LMS might be able to do it too if it can get all the supporting nods. I think LMS has Ensemble in the bag, easily.

Peace,
Mike.

Right now for DGA I'm thinking Scorsese, Innaritu, Greengrass, Frears, and Eastwood.

And oh, if Babel leads the SAGs tomorrow, I'm making a "Can Babel win?" thread... because it's kind of gaining some serious momentum right now.

Good Gracious. That would be terrible for Leo. Oscar voters will probably be confused and split his votes between leading and supporting. Furthermore if they put him in under supporting it hurts all the others in the cast as well.